服装与配饰

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李宁(02331.HK):1H25表现健康稳健 看好长期发展趋势
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 12:00
1H25 销售费用率同降1.2ppt 至29.0%,公司在投入体育重点资源营销的同时关闭直营低效门店,保证了 销售费用率表现稳健;管理费用率同增0.5ppt 至5.2%,主要因公司计提凯胜牌商誉减值0.72 亿元。毛利 率的下降使得集团1H25 营业利润率下降0.3ppt 至16.5%。由于利息收入下降以及汇兑损失,1H25 集团 财务净收入下降0.66 亿元至0.34 亿元;此外,1H25公司计提1.06 亿元投资性房地产减值,所得税率也 有所提升。综合而言,1H25 归母净利率同降1.9ppt 至11.7%。 1H25 库存仍处于相对健康状态。截至1H25 末,公司渠道库存同比增长低单位数,库销比保持4 个月的 健康状态;渠道库存中6 个月以内新品占比82%。公司应收账款周转天数继续维持在14 天的良好水平。 发展趋势 机构:中金公司 研究员:林骥川/陈婕/杨润渤 1H25 业绩符合我们预期 公司公告1H25 业绩:收入同增3%至148 亿元,归母净利润同降11%至17.4 亿元,业绩符合我们预期。 公司宣派中期股息人民币33.59 分/股,对应派息率约50%。 跑步、综训产品继续健康增长,合理发货确保渠 ...
李宁(2331.HK):2025上半年表现稳健 3季度经营仍有挑战;维持中性评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 12:00
机构:交银国际 研究员:肖凯希/钱昊 线下渠道受持续客流疲软影响;库存水平健康:分渠道来看,公司上半年直营/批发/电商收入分别录得 同比-3.4%/+4.4%/+7.4%,线上稍好于线下,线下仍然受客流的持续拖累(下降低单位数)。截至上半 年末,公司门店数量较上年末净减少51 家至7,534 家,其中直营门店减少19 家。折扣方面,上半年线下 折扣加深小于1ppts,线上折扣加深1 ppts,管理层表示3季度以来经营挑战加大,3 季度毛利率环比2 季 度有下行压力,对全年整体持审慎态度。上半年公司库销比为4 个月,继续维持在健康水平。 聚焦专业运动,增强营销资源投入力度:尽管经营环境不确定性较高,公司仍然继续坚持对专业品类领 域的聚焦,上半年鞋类表现(同比+4.9%)优于服装(同比-3.4%),占比进一步提升至56%。其中,跑 步品类增长良好(流水同比+15%),三大核心跑鞋IP(超轻、赤兔、飞电)总销量突破526 万双。公 司也加强营销资源方面投入,已全面启动和中国奥委会的合作推广,提升品牌专业形象,预计COC 相 关赞助费用会使得公司下半年营销费用率环比加深。但长期看,我们认为此次顶级赛事营销有助于提升 ...
中金:美国企业承担了多少关税成本?
智通财经网· 2025-08-20 00:08
Core Viewpoint - The burden of tariffs will directly determine the pressure on the U.S. economy, with the average profit margin of sampled companies being dragged down by 1.2% due to tariff costs, placing greater pressure on producers [1][18]. Tariff Impact on Inflation - The actual effective tariff rate in the U.S. has risen to 10.6%, with theoretical effective rates potentially reaching 16-17% [2][6]. - Concerns about inflation due to increasing tariffs have not materialized as expected, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remaining below investor expectations for the past four months [4][6]. Corporate Responses to Tariff Pressures - Companies are adopting two main strategies to mitigate tariff pressures: price adjustments on products and supply chain negotiations [11][12]. - Price increases are more common for optional and high-end products, while essential goods see more cautious price adjustments due to lower price elasticity [13][14]. Supply Chain Adjustments - Companies are negotiating with suppliers and adjusting supply chains to reduce reliance on imports from China, with many shifting production to other countries [15][16]. - The import share from China has significantly decreased, from 13.4% in 2024 to 7.1% by June 2025, while imports from Taiwan and Vietnam have increased [17]. Sector-Specific Insights - In the automotive sector, manufacturers like General Motors and Tesla are absorbing significant tariff costs, with GM's tariff cost as a percentage of revenue reaching 2.3% [19]. - Retailers, particularly those focused on essential goods, are more cautious in passing on tariff costs due to their already low profit margins [20]. Demand Trends - There is a noted downward pressure on demand, particularly for durable goods, with some consumers making preemptive purchases to avoid future price increases due to tariffs [21].
特步国际(01368):主品牌及索康尼协同增长,持续聚焦跑步赛道
EBSCN· 2025-08-19 03:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.84 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 21.5% to 910 million RMB [5] - The main brand and the subsidiary brand, Saucony, are experiencing synergistic growth, with a continued focus on the running segment [11] - The company has successfully divested its KP business, which had previously incurred losses, leading to a more favorable profit outlook [5] Financial Performance - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the first half of 2025 was 0.35 RMB, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.18 HKD per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 50% [5] - Gross margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 45.0%, while operating profit margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 19.1% [6] - The retail revenue for the main brand and Saucony grew in the mid-single digits and over 30% respectively [6] Revenue Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, the revenue composition was 60.8% from footwear, 37.3% from apparel, and 1.9% from accessories, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 6.3%, 9.5%, and a decline of 7.8% [7] - The main brand's revenue accounted for 88.5% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5%, while professional sports revenue (Saucony and Maile) accounted for 11.5% with a growth of 32.5% [7] Retail and Market Strategy - The company continues to strengthen its position in the running market, with the main brand maintaining the highest wearing rate in key marathon events [11] - The company has launched new products and expanded its retail presence, with a focus on enhancing consumer experience and increasing the number of retail outlets [11] Future Earnings Forecast - The report maintains earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027, projecting EPS of 0.49 RMB, 0.55 RMB, and 0.60 RMB respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11, 10, and 9 times [12][13]
361度(01361):25H1业绩点评:稳健增长符合预期,现金流大幅改善
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-13 02:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in H1 2025, with revenue reaching 5.705 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 858 million yuan, up 8.6% year-on-year. The lower profit growth compared to revenue is attributed to a decrease in interest income and other earnings [7] - The company maintains a strong market position with a focus on product upgrades and channel innovation, particularly through the expansion of "super stores" [7] - The financial outlook remains positive, with projected net profits of 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.62 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to a low valuation with P/E ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 8.518 billion yuan in 2023 to 13.990 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.57% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 961.43 million yuan in 2023 to 1.616 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 10.89% [1] Segment Performance - In terms of product categories, footwear outperformed apparel, with adult and children's footwear showing strong growth. Adult apparel revenue grew by 10.9%, while children's apparel saw a 11.4% increase [7] - Online sales experienced significant growth, increasing by 45.0% year-on-year, while offline sales saw a slight decline of 1.2% [7] Financial Metrics - The gross profit margin slightly increased to 41.5% in H1 2025, while the net profit margin decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 15.0% [7] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, reaching 524 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 227.2% [7]
威富集团亏损 北面品牌强撑
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-05 16:36
Core Viewpoint - Despite the implementation of a restructuring plan for nearly two years, the company continues to face losses, particularly with its Vans brand, which has not yet returned to growth [1][3]. Financial Performance - For Q1 of FY2026, the company reported total revenue of $1.8 billion, remaining flat compared to the previous year; operating loss was $56 million, an improvement from an expected loss of $110 million to $125 million [1]. - Vans brand revenue for Q1 of FY2026 was $498 million, down 15% year-over-year, while The North Face brand revenue was $557 million, up 5% year-over-year [1][2]. Brand Performance - The Vans brand has consistently shown declining revenue, with a 16% drop in FY2025, contributing to a total revenue decline of 4% for the company [2]. - The North Face brand has managed to achieve growth, but its single-digit growth is insufficient to support overall company performance amid increasing competition in the outdoor sector [2]. Restructuring Efforts - The restructuring plan initiated in October 2023 includes a significant focus on the Vans brand, which is seen as crucial for the company's turnaround [3]. - The company has appointed a new global president for Vans to accelerate its transformation, although the brand's performance in Q1 of FY2026 indicates that challenges remain [3]. Future Outlook - The management expresses confidence in the ongoing transformation, believing it will lead to sustainable long-term revenue and profit growth [3]. - The company is taking steps to close underperforming Vans stores and reduce discounting to improve brand performance [3]. Strategic Recommendations - To regain market opportunities, the Vans brand needs to enhance product innovation, focus on youth and fashion trends, and leverage digital tools to improve retail efficiency and customer experience [4].
特步国际(01368):特步品牌稳健增长,索康尼短期调整
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-19 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The main brand of the company continues to show steady growth, with retail performance remaining stable. In Q2 2025, the main brand's revenue saw a low single-digit year-on-year growth, with discounts ranging from 7% to 75%. The inventory turnover ratio is healthy at 4 to 4.5 months [8]. - The performance of the subsidiary brand, Saucony, has experienced a short-term slowdown, but is expected to return to high growth. In Q2 2025, Saucony's revenue grew over 20%, and for H1 2025, it grew over 30%. The slowdown is attributed to the company's strategic decision to lower prices on certain products, impacting short-term revenue. Future plans include accelerating store openings in high-tier cities and orderly adjustments in e-commerce operations, which are expected to drive Saucony back to rapid growth [8]. - Overall, the main brand is benefiting from the running trend, maintaining robust growth, while Saucony is undergoing a temporary adjustment without altering its long-term growth potential. The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.41 billion, 1.60 billion, and 1.82 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 10, 8, and 7 times, respectively [8][10]. Summary by Sections - **Retail Performance**: The main brand's revenue in Q2 2025 showed low single-digit growth year-on-year, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4 to 4.5 months [4][8]. - **Saucony's Performance**: Saucony's revenue growth in Q2 2025 exceeded 20%, with H1 2025 growth over 30%. The brand is expected to regain high growth through strategic adjustments [4][8]. - **Financial Projections**: The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.41 billion, 1.60 billion, and 1.82 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10, 8, and 7 times [10].
特步国际(01368):主品牌稳健增长,户外品牌势头强劲
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-07-18 09:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][25] Core Insights - The main brand of the company shows steady growth, while the outdoor brand is experiencing strong momentum. The children's segment is growing faster than the adult segment, with footwear outperforming apparel. The newly introduced brand, Saucony, has seen over 20% growth in Q2 2025 and over 30% growth in the first half of the year [6][5] - The company is focusing on optimizing its multi-brand matrix and has initiated a Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) transformation, which is expected to enhance market responsiveness and efficiency [6][5] - The financial forecast indicates a projected net profit of 1.37 billion RMB for FY2025, with a corresponding PE ratio of 10 [6][16] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: - FY2023: 14.346 billion RMB - FY2024: 13.577 billion RMB - FY2025E: 14.636 billion RMB - FY2026E: 15.759 billion RMB - FY2027E: 16.911 billion RMB - Net profit projections for the same period are: - FY2023: 1.034 billion RMB - FY2024: 1.303 billion RMB - FY2025E: 1.368 billion RMB - FY2026E: 1.496 billion RMB - FY2027E: 1.633 billion RMB - The gross margin is expected to improve from 42% in FY2023 to 45% in FY2027 [6][16] Retail Performance - The retail performance for 2023 shows a year-on-year growth of approximately 20% in Q1, high double digits in Q2, and over 30% in Q4, with a consistent discount level of 7-7.5 [15][6] - The inventory turnover ratio is healthy, with a stock-to-sales ratio of about 4 to 4.5 months at the end of Q2 2025 [6][15] Brand Strategy - The company is focusing on its core running products, which have shown double-digit growth, while casual products have experienced some fluctuations. The newly launched products have received positive market feedback [6][5] - The DTC transformation is expected to enhance the company's ability to adapt to market changes and consumer demands, with plans to open larger stores and new store formats [6][5]
全球零售250强出炉,仅13家中国企业上榜
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-03 06:54
Core Insights - The Deloitte report titled "2025 Global Retail Power" highlights the dual challenges and opportunities in the global retail sector, with total retail revenue reaching a record high of $6.03 trillion (approximately 43.4 trillion RMB) [1] - The report emphasizes the increasing concentration of the industry and the urgent need for Chinese retail companies to navigate global competition [1] Global Retail Landscape: Growth, Differentiation, and Power Dynamics - The global retail landscape shows a mixed growth pattern, with the top 250 retail companies experiencing a 3.6% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by inflation and structural growth [2] - North America leads with 85 companies contributing 49.2% of global revenue, while Europe has 89 companies at 33.6%, facing challenges from online retail and declining consumer demand [4] - The Asia-Pacific region, with 54 companies contributing 13.8% of revenue, shows potential but lags behind North America and Europe in global revenue share and internationalization [4] Company Performance and Trends - Walmart remains the top global retailer with a revenue of 464.9 billion RMB, leveraging its extensive store network and supply chain efficiency [6] - Amazon ranks second with 180.7 billion RMB in revenue, focusing on a retail-tech ecosystem that enhances consumer experience [7] - SHEIN, a rising star in cross-border e-commerce, reported 219.9 billion RMB in revenue with an 88.2% compound annual growth rate, showcasing its agile supply chain and data-driven fashion model [13][15] Challenges and Strategic Shifts - JD.com, despite being the only Chinese company in the top ten, saw a decline in global ranking, highlighting challenges in market saturation and competition from local players [11] - Alibaba's new retail strategy has faced difficulties, leading to a significant drop in global ranking, as the company shifts focus from heavy asset ownership to platform empowerment [16][17] - Watson's Group has shown resilience in the beauty retail sector, leveraging a multi-channel approach and brand innovation to maintain growth [18] Future Trends and Recommendations - The report identifies four key trends shaping the future of retail: strategic operational efficiency, AI-driven transformation, sustainability, and alternative revenue sources [54][55] - Chinese retail companies are encouraged to embrace these trends to enhance competitiveness in the global market, focusing on globalization, digital transformation, and innovative business models [60][61][62]
共探“无废城市”新路径,阿迪达斯全新可持续元素门店落地上海
Jiang Nan Shi Bao· 2025-06-05 03:58
Core Viewpoint - The new sustainable store model by Adidas is positioned as a significant amplifier of brand value, enhancing consumer trust and recognition while contributing to the "waste-free city" initiative in Shanghai [1][3]. Group 1: Sustainable Store Model - Adidas has launched a new sustainable store in Shanghai, integrating various sustainable practices into its design and operations, which allows for a more immersive consumer experience [2][3]. - The store aims to achieve a 99% usage rate of recycled polyester by 2024, significantly exceeding the global average of 12% in the apparel industry [2][3]. - By 2030, Adidas plans for 10% of its products to use recycled polyester sourced from discarded textiles, with a long-term goal of achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions across its value chain by 2050 [2][3]. Group 2: Consumer Engagement and Recycling Initiatives - The store features a permanent clothing recycling bin and engages consumers through activities like the exchange of eco-friendly bags made from recycled clothing, fostering a "green cycle" of consumption [3][4]. - Over the past two years, Adidas has successfully recycled approximately 4 tons of clothing, resulting in the creation of eco-friendly bags that have gained popularity among consumers [5][6]. Group 3: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - There is a growing trend of green consumption among young consumers, with over 90% recognizing the importance of sustainable practices, indicating a shift from a new trend to a new norm in commercial society [4][5]. - Adidas views sustainability as a competitive advantage in product marketing and sales, emphasizing the need for broader consumer participation beyond the top tier willing to pay a premium for eco-friendly products [5][6]. Group 4: Industry Recognition and Achievements - Adidas has maintained an "AAA" MSCI ESG rating for six consecutive years from 2019 to 2024 and received the highest "A" grade from CDP for climate change in 2024 [3][4]. - The company has been recognized as a leader in climate action, ranking first among 1,953 brands in the corporate climate action index in 2024 [3].