基础化学原料价格略有波动，其中硫酸、聚丙烯、甲醇分别下降0.3%、0.3%和0.2%，纯碱上涨0.5%。 成品油批发价格略有下降，其中0号柴油、92号汽油、95号汽油均下降0.1%。 化肥价格继续下降，其中尿素、三元复合肥分别下降0.4%和0.1%。 钢材价格略有下降，其中槽钢、螺纹钢、普通中板每吨3607元、3356元和3738元，分别下降0.8%、 0.5%和0.3%。 据商务部市场运行监测系统显示，10月6日至12日，全国生产资料市场价格比前一周（环比，下同）上 涨0.3%。 有色金属价格小幅上涨，其中铜、锌、铝分别上涨2.1%、0.9%和0.7%。 煤炭价格继续上涨，其中无烟块煤、炼焦煤、动力煤每吨1154元、1031元和760元，分别上涨0.8%、 0.6%和0.3%。 橡胶价格略有上涨，其中合成橡胶、天然橡胶均上涨0.1%。 ...

两融余额持续回升，最新市场两融余额24571.96亿元，连续4个交易日增加，期间杠杆资金大幅加仓哪 些股票？ 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至10月16日，沪深北两融余额为24571.96亿元，较上一交易日增加77.75 亿元，其中融资余额24401.38亿元，较上一日增加75.91亿元。分市场来看，沪市两融余额为12496.03亿 元，较上一日增加15.61亿元，深市两融余额12000.31亿元，较上一日增加62.24亿元。北交所两融余额 75.63亿元，较上一日减少1049.98万元。值得注意的是，这已经是两融余额连续4个交易日持续增加，其 间两融余额合计增加154.20亿元。 分行业看，两融余额连续增加的态势下，申万所属的31个行业中，融资余额增加的共有23个行业，有色 金属行业融资余额增加最多，其间融资余额增加76.84亿元，融资余额增加居前的行业还有电力设备、 基础化工等；融资余额减少的行业有通信、银行等。以幅度进行统计，有色金属行业融资余额增幅最 高，达6.74%，其次是钢铁、环保，增幅分别为3.10%、2.50%。 融资余额行业变动 | 行业 | 最新融资余额（亿元） | 融资余额增加额（亿元） ...

工业硅期货早报 2025年10月17日 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点——工业硅 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 | | | | 供给端来看 ， | | 上周工业硅供应量为9 | 7万吨 ， . | 环比有所增加4 30% 。 . | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 需求端来看 ， | 上周工业硅需求为8 | | 2万吨 环比减少4 ， . | 65% . . | 需求持续低迷 | . | | | | | | | 多晶硅库存为24万吨 | ， | 处于高位 ， | 硅片亏损 ， | 电池片亏损 ， | 组件盈 ...

据上海有色网（SMM）统计，截至本周四，电解铝厂的氧化铝原料库存为312.6万吨，较前一周累积3.2 万吨，整体现货市场仍处于供应宽松状态。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Core Insights - A total of 126 companies have announced their performance forecasts for the first three quarters, with 102 companies expecting profit increases, representing 80.95% of the total [1] - The overall proportion of companies reporting positive forecasts is 87.30%, with 8 companies expecting profits and 10 and 3 companies forecasting profit declines and losses, respectively [1] Company Performance - Among the companies with positive forecasts, 48 are expected to see net profit growth exceeding 100%, while 38 companies anticipate growth between 50% and 100% [1] - XianDa Co., Ltd. is projected to have the highest net profit growth at 3009.81%, followed by Chujiang New Materials at 2150.09% and Yinglian Co., Ltd. at 1602.05% [1][2] Industry Analysis - The companies expecting profit growth are primarily concentrated in the basic chemicals, electronics, and non-ferrous metals sectors, with 8, 8, and 6 companies respectively [1] - The main board, ChiNext, and STAR Market have 31, 11, and 6 companies respectively among those forecasting profit growth [1] Stock Performance - Since July, stocks of companies expecting profit growth have averaged a 28.31% increase, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - Northern Rare Earth has seen the largest increase at 113.45%, followed by Guangku Technology and Changchuan Technology with increases of 111.42% and 89.69% respectively [2] Capital Flow - In the past five days, the stocks with significant net inflows include Feirongda, Yuanda Intelligent, and Luoxin Pharmaceutical, with net inflows of 171.57 million, 113.84 million, and 69.74 million respectively [2] - Conversely, Northern Rare Earth, Changchuan Technology, and Jinli Permanent Magnet experienced significant net outflows of 568.86 million, 250.41 million, and 131.07 million respectively [2]

跨期套利跟踪 2025/10/17 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -580 -640 -750 -800 理论价差 530 959 1396 1833 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 20 60 85 120 理论价差 213 331 450 569 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 140 140 140 145 理论价差 215 332 448 564 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -70 -65 -55 -15 理论价差 211 318 425 532 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 410 650 890 1170 锡 5-1 价差 -270 理论价差 5827 期现套利跟踪 2025/10/17 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 495 -85 理论价差 592 978 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 25 45 理论价差 195 323 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/10/17 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 ...

财报季，社保基金持股动向曝光！三季度末社保基金共现身8只个股前十大流通股东榜，新进3只，增持 1只。 业绩方面，社保基金持有个股中，三季报净利润同比增长的有6家，净利润增幅最高的是瑜欣电子，公 司前三季共实现净利润7339.41万元，同比增幅为60.21%，净利润同比增幅居前的还有藏格矿业、金岭 矿业等，净利润分别增长47.26%、47.09%。 以板块分布统计，社保基金持有个股中，主板有6只，创业板有2只。所属行业来看，社保基金持股主要 集中在医药生物、机械设备行业，分别有2只、2只个股上榜。 市场表现方面，社保基金重仓股10月以来平均上涨2.91%，涨幅跑赢沪指。（数据宝） 社保基金重仓股排行榜 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议 证券时报 数据宝统计显示，社保基金最新出现在8只个股前十大流通股东名单中，合计持股量6136.45万 股，期末持股市值合计22.70亿元。持股变动显示，减持4只，新进3只，增持1只。 社保基金重仓股中，从前十大流通股东名单中社保基金家数来看，共有8只股获1家社保基金集中现身， 持股量居前的是藏格矿业、华新水泥、九洲药业，持股量分别是有1800.00万股、1281.00万股、12 ...

有色ETF基金（159880）业绩比较基准为国证有色金属行业指数收益率，管理人为鹏华基金管理有限公 司，基金经理为闫冬，成立（2021-03-08）以来回报为74.03%，近一个月回报为12.76%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 10月17日，有色ETF基金（159880）开盘涨0.63%，报1.754元。有色ETF基金（159880）重仓股方面， 紫金矿业开盘涨2.13%，洛阳钼业涨0.19%，北方稀土涨0.02%，中国铝业涨1.40%，山东黄金涨3.03%， 华友钴业涨0.26%，中金黄金涨3.28%，赣锋锂业涨0.06%，赤峰黄金涨4.08%，云铝股份涨1.59%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 ...

生产资料市场：有色金属价格小幅上涨，其中铜、锌、铝分别上涨2.1%、0.9%和0.7%。煤炭价格继续 上涨，其中无烟块煤、炼焦煤、动力煤每吨1154元、1031元和760元，分别上涨0.8%、0.6%和0.3%。橡 胶价格略有上涨，其中合成橡胶、天然橡胶均上涨0.1%。基础化学原料价格略有波动，其中硫酸、聚 丙烯、甲醇分别下降0.3%、0.3%和0.2%，纯碱上涨0.5%。成品油批发价格略有下降，其中0号柴油、92 号汽油、95号汽油均下降0.1%。化肥价格继续下降，其中尿素、三元复合肥分别下降0.4%和0.1%。钢 材价格略有下降，其中槽钢、螺纹钢、普通中板每吨3607元、3356元和3738元，分别下降0.8%、0.5% 和0.3%。 食用农产品市场：禽产品批发价格小幅下降，其中鸡蛋、白条鸡分别下降3.3%和0.3%。肉类批发价格 以降为主，其中猪肉每公斤19.01元，下降2.2%，牛肉下降0.3%，羊肉上涨0.3%。水产品批发价格略有 下降，其中鲤鱼、鲫鱼、鲢鱼分别下降1.1%、1.1%和1.0%。30种蔬菜平均批发价格每公斤4.77元，下降 0.4%，其中菜花、西兰花、菠菜分别下降11.0%、5.4% ...

Market Overview - On Thursday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, the CSI 300 increased by 0.3%, the STAR Market 50 fell by 0.9%, the CSI 1000 decreased by 1.1%, the ChiNext Index rose by 0.4%, and the Hang Seng Index declined by 0.1% [4] - The best-performing sectors on Thursday were coal (+2.4%), banking (+1.4%), food and beverage (+1.0%), communication (+0.7%), and pharmaceutical biology (+0.2%). The worst-performing sectors were steel (-2.1%), non-ferrous metals (-2.1%), building materials (-1.9%), basic chemicals (-1.8%), and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (-1.6%) [4] - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets on Thursday was 19,311 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 15.82 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [4] Important Insights Macroeconomic Research - In September, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year (previous value: -0.4%), which was lower than market expectations and prior forecasts (Wind consensus expectation: -0.1%). The month-on-month growth rate was 0.1% (previous value: 0%) [5] - The market anticipates that the Producer Price Index (PPI) year-on-year growth rate is likely to turn positive quickly [5] - The M1-M2 gap is narrowing, indicating a slowdown in the migration of household deposits. In September, fiscal spending exceeded revenue, leading to an increase in both household and corporate deposits [6] - The forecast for excess household savings from 2020 to September 2025 is expected to decrease to 2.89 trillion yuan (previous value: 3.01 trillion yuan), with a notable slowdown in the decline of excess savings in September [6] Light Industry Strategy Report - For Q4 2025, the report emphasizes three main lines: 1) The new consumption sector continues to thrive, with potential valuation shifts for growth stocks. 2) Quality manufacturing and traditional consumption stocks at the bottom of the cycle are expected to see upward opportunities, along with high dividend value. 3) The overseas market is showing gradual improvement after tariff stabilization [8] - The new consumption sector is expected to maintain strong growth, with significant differentiation among companies. The international tobacco giants are continuing to grow, and the pet industry is anticipated to remain highly competitive during the Double Eleven shopping festival [9] - Quality manufacturing is expected to benefit from price increases in metal cans and favorable conditions in the paper and plastic packaging sectors, with a positive outlook for profitability in Q4 [9]