格隆汇1月30日丨超讯通信(603322.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司未直接或间接持有沐曦的股权。公 司作为沐曦核心的合作伙伴，一直以来与沐曦在投资及业务端保持着密切合作，公司持续看好并深耕国 产算力产品及业务布局，努力成为算力行业优秀和伟大的上市公司。 ...

那么，为什么成长风格的创业板能顶住压力逆势收红？关键在于领涨的通信/CPO板块，其驱动逻辑与 有色金属完全"脱钩"，它遵循的是另一套叙事和基本面。 先说结论：今日市场是外部宏观冲击与内部产业趋势力量的一次激烈碰撞，其结果凸显了当前环境 下"脱钩"传统周期与拥抱科技创新的资金选择。 先看数据全景。今日A股沪弱深强，上证跌0.96%，创业板指涨1.27%，成交缩量至2.86万亿，显示市场 整体处于观望。港股则更弱，恒指跌超2%。板块上，通信（+3.44%）与有色金属（-7.80%）分列涨跌 榜首位，形成刺眼对比。 这种分裂行情的直接"导火索"，是隔夜全球贵金属市场的闪崩。白银暴跌超8%，黄金高位回撤超500美 元，源于多头获利了结与美元反弹的双重压力。这完美诠释了周期股尤其是资源品的投资核心矛盾：其 价格定价权在外，股价波动性与全球流动性和商品价格高度同步，内生缓冲弱。A股相关标的出现逾30 只跌停，是情绪与逻辑的连锁反应。 投资者当下需要做的，或许是重新审视自己持仓的"核心驱动逻辑"是什么。是博弈美元加息周期的尾 声，还是投资中国制造业升级与科技创新的确定性未来？不同的答案，对应着截然不同的持仓结构和心 态。 ...

Core Insights - The recent quarterly report for the 2025 fund provides insights into market trends and investment opportunities, particularly focusing on the analysis by fund manager You Guoliang from Changcheng Jiujia Innovation Growth Fund [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Focus - The fund continues to focus on national strategic emerging industries and the broader artificial intelligence sector, with particular attention to companies in the 3D printing technology-related machinery industry that are expected to benefit across multiple fields such as commercial aerospace, consumer electronics, and computing power [1][3]. Group 2: Market Trends - Overall, stocks related to the commercial aerospace sector have shown significant gains in Q4 2025. Despite the short-term price increases, commercial aerospace is a crucial part of the national strategic emerging industries and is emphasized in the "14th Five-Year Plan" as a key component of building a "space power" [1][3]. - The importance of commercial aerospace is increasing as it becomes a significant area of competition among major countries, with ongoing developments in reusable rocket recovery and low-orbit satellite networking that have yet to be fully realized [1][3].

1月30日午后，算力股大幅走强，创业板指拉升涨逾1%，截至发稿中证科创创业50指数(931643.CSI)上 涨2.42%，该指数成分股中，天孚通信上涨超12%，澜起科技上涨近12%，泰格医药上涨超8%。 相关ETF方面，双创龙头ETF(159603)截至发稿成交额超2500万元。据Wind数据显示，该ETF盘中获申 购2.64亿份。资金流向方面，该ETF上个交易日(1月29日)净流入额为2.85亿元，截至上个交易日，已连 续2个交易日获资金净流入，累计净流入额为5.39亿元。该ETF最新流通份额为21.6亿份，最新流通规模 为31.54亿元。 华西证券表示，行情或将轮动至同样具备业绩和叙事的科技板块。考虑到科技板块在2025年经历了从2 月普涨到7-9月算力硬件的缩圈，若本轮科技行情走强，可能进一步缩圈至更上游的领域，例如PCB的 石英布、钻针、钻孔设备&光通信的光芯片、光纤预制棒&半导体材料设备等。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 双创龙头ETF（159603）紧密跟踪中证科创创业50指数，该指数从科创板和创业板中选取市值较大的50 只新兴产业上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映上述板块中代表性新兴产业上市公 ...

格隆汇1月30日｜A股市场算力概念股拉升，其中，天孚通信涨超14%，宏景科技、利扬芯片涨超12%， 太辰光涨超10%，城地香江、利通电子10CM涨停，新易盛、东微半导涨超7%，罗曼股份、顺网科技、 怡亚通、世纪华通涨超6%，锐捷网络、中际旭创、协创数据涨超5%。 ...

1月30日，A股三大指数早盘涨跌不一，截至午间休市，沪指跌1.19%，深证成指跌0.96%，创业板指涨 0.8%。沪深北三市半日成交19514亿元，较上日缩量836亿元。 盘面上，亚太交易时段国际金银价跳水，黄金股、有色资源股大幅回调，中金黄金等多股跌停。另一方 面，粮食、农业股逆势走强，登海种业等股封板。算力硬件股盘中同样拉升，天孚通信（300394）大涨 超10%创出历史新高，中际旭创、新易盛涨超4%。 行业层面，近期，海外推理和训练算力需求旺盛，亚马逊云和谷歌云双双涨价。推理侧， MoltBot（原 ClawdBot）、Claude Code等Agent产品加速落地，对于云计算资源的需求显著增加，2026年年初以来 Token调用量已经连续2-3周高速增长。训练侧，Grok-5、Veo4等模型仍然在持续迭代，工业界持续探索 Scaling上限，从而支撑训练算力需求。 中信证券研报认为，尽管当前AI应用大规模商业化落地能见度仍然不足，但展望未来3-6个月，随着推 理端AI应用落地的密集催化叠加训练端模型的持续迭代，预判算力需求仍有望进一步上行，一旦美股 财报季算力需求得到确认，前期压制算力板块情绪与估值的 ...

Macro and Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of the "anti-involution" trend in 2026, which is expected to be a key focus for economic work, with potential for significant upward movement in the market [8][9][10] - The report suggests that the current market environment is characterized by a complex backdrop for the anti-involution trend, with weak domestic demand but resilient external demand [9][10] - It highlights the need to focus on industries with high policy intervention and improved supply-demand dynamics, such as steel, oil services, and cement [10] Industry and Company Insights - The mechanical industry report notes that SpaceX aims for complete reuse of its Starship rockets, which could drastically reduce space access costs by 99% [11][12] - The report on humanoid robots indicates that Tesla plans to sell its Optimus robot to the public by the end of 2027, with significant advancements expected in robot capabilities [13][14] - The report on the textile and apparel industry indicates a bifurcation in the market, with high-end brands driving growth while many mid-tier brands struggle with price competition [18][19][20] - The analysis of the computer industry highlights price increases in cloud services from major providers like Google and Amazon, indicating a rising trend in computing power costs [22][23] - The report on CNOOC Services indicates a positive outlook for the company, with expected capital expenditures of approximately RMB 8.44 billion for 2026, focusing on equipment investment and technology upgrades [24] - The report on Xiamen Tungsten indicates rapid growth in profits and ongoing advancements in solid-state battery materials, with projected revenues of RMB 20.03 billion for 2025 [25][26][27] - The analysis of China Ping An highlights a shift towards value growth and improved valuation due to enhanced product structure and channel value [28][29]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the AI and cloud computing industry, particularly focusing on the North American market and the emerging demand for computational power driven by AI applications, especially AI Agents like Doubao mobile phones expected to launch in 2026 [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **AI Application Explosion**: A significant increase in AI Agent product usage is anticipated by 2026, leading to a surge in token demand and a general price increase across the computational power supply chain due to supply-demand imbalances [1][2]. - **Cloud Code Performance**: Cloud Code has shown exceptional growth in North America, achieving an annual revenue of $1 billion within six months, making it one of the fastest-growing AI applications [3][4]. - **Skills Function Efficiency**: The Skills function effectively addresses long context issues by reducing token consumption, enhancing model processing efficiency, and rapidly gaining popularity in the North American market [5][6]. - **Cost-Effective Chinese Models**: Chinese models like Deepseek and Zhiyu GLM are entering the North American market due to their cost advantages, particularly for mid to low-end tasks, showing a significant increase in usage [1][11]. - **API Call Volume Surge**: The increase in API call volume in North America is attributed to strong demand during the earnings season, with major companies like TSMC raising capital expenditures to meet the demand for AI chips [12][13]. Additional Important Insights - **Fiber Optic Industry Supply-Demand Dynamics**: The fiber optic industry is transitioning from oversupply to a balanced state, with expectations of a supply shortage by 2026 due to rising AI-driven demand [16]. - **Liquid Cooling Technology Growth**: Liquid cooling technology is expected to become standard, with a projected global market size of $10 billion by 2026, driven by increased adoption in high-performance computing [24]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Investment focus should be on leading companies in the fiber optic sector, such as Changfei and Hengtong, as well as companies with recovery potential like Tongding Interconnection [18]. - **Market Trends for Cloud Code**: The trend indicates that Cloud Code is not only popular among programmers but is also being adopted by non-programmers for various automated tasks, indicating a shift in how AI tools are utilized [9]. - **Future of AI in Computer Operations**: By 2026, AI is expected to take over more operational tasks, significantly enhancing efficiency and changing the user interaction model with computers [14]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the growth potential and challenges within the AI and cloud computing sectors, particularly in North America.

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The discussion primarily revolves around the **AI industry**, **cyclical commodities**, and **commercial aerospace** as key areas of focus leading up to the Chinese New Year [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **AI as a Growth Driver**: By 2026, AI is expected to remain a core driver of global economic growth. The main influencing factors include the direction of U.S. monetary policy and the sustainability of the AI industry. If the Federal Reserve maintains a loose monetary policy to stimulate global demand, combined with the ongoing prosperity of the AI sector, it could lead to a significant revaluation of Chinese assets [1][2]. - **Market Outlook**: The market is anticipated to trend upwards, supported by a potential easing of U.S.-China relations, a shift from external to internal demand, and an influx of foreign capital alongside the appreciation of the Renminbi [1][2]. Investment Strategy (Six Main Rotation Lines) 1. **Inflation Line**: This sector is viewed as the most stable and certain, with positive outlooks for storage, CPUs, semiconductors (high price elasticity, strong sustainability in the first half), non-ferrous metals, chemicals, electronic materials, and petrochemicals [1][2]. 2. **Overseas Computing Power Chain**: Recently affected by fluctuations in U.S. stocks, but long-term prospects remain strong due to new technology elasticity (CPO, power supplies, liquid cooling, PCB) and unexpected entry of Apple [1][2]. 3. **Domestic Computing Power Chain**: Expected to outperform overseas counterparts, benefiting from breakthroughs in advanced processes and self-sufficiency, with recent catalysts intensifying [1][2]. 4. **AI Applications**: This year is likely to see significant marginal changes, transitioning from thematic investments to industrial realization. Key areas of focus include autonomous driving, AI super entry points, AI software, and edge computing, with an emphasis on trading opportunities pending commercial maturity [1][2]. 5. **Real Estate Chain**: There are potential short-term opportunities driven by policy changes [1][2]. 6. **Thematic Line**: As market risk appetite continues to rise, participation in rotations is encouraged [1][2]. Additional Important Information - **Fund Positioning**: The fund is positioned as a technology growth-oriented secondary bond fund, primarily investing in AI directions, with a year-to-date return of 3.11%. The fund is managed by Chen Daye, who has a background in AI and finance, allowing for precise identification of opportunities [1][2]. - **Current Holdings**: The fund's current holdings include semiconductors, domestic computing power, AI applications, overseas computing power, and non-ferrous metals [1][2]. - **Position Management**: The fund is slightly adjusting its positions under a slow bull market, nearing full investment [1][2]. - **Future Adjustments**: Key focus areas for the first quarter include tracking revenue growth from AI-related companies like Google and Microsoft around their earnings reports, to validate commercialization effectiveness. The overall year will hinge on whether the Federal Reserve continues its loose monetary policy [1][2].

Group 1 - Muxi Co., Ltd. expects a net loss of 650 million to 798 million yuan for 2025, a reduction from a loss of 1.409 billion yuan in the previous year, while projecting revenue growth of 115.32% to 128.78%, reaching 1.6 billion to 1.7 billion yuan [1] - Yingxin Development plans to acquire 60% of Guangdong Changxing Semiconductor for 520 million yuan, aiming to enhance its revenue through the storage chip business, which is expected to improve profitability [2] - Shunhao Co., Ltd. has invested 110 million yuan in Orbit Chuangguang, increasing its stake to 28.68%, aligning its technology with global space computing trends [3] Group 2 - Visual China announced that major shareholder Liang Jun plans to reduce his stake by up to 0.8% of the company's total shares, equating to a maximum of 5.6 million shares [4] - Dongcai Technology reported that its actual controller and vice chairman, Xiong Haitao, is under investigation, but the company asserts that operations remain normal and unaffected [5] - Pizaihuang has completed the first subject enrollment for its Phase I clinical trial of the innovative drug PZH2113, which targets relapsed/refractory non-Hodgkin lymphoma, with no similar drugs approved in the market [6] Group 3 - Several companies, including Zhongjin Gold and Ganfeng Lithium, are projecting significant net profit increases for 2025, with estimates ranging from 42% to 642% growth, driven by various market opportunities [10] - Companies like Huadian and Yihua are also planning share buybacks and stake reductions, indicating active management of shareholder value [10]