Summary of Cambridge Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Cambridge Technology - **Industry**: Optical Modules Key Points Financial Performance - Cambridge Technology's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 3.3 billion RMB, falling short of the 750 million Euro threshold set by the OECD's Pillar Two tax regime [2][4][5] - The company expects to maintain a positive outlook for Q4 2025 despite facing delivery pressures, driven by increased customer demand [2][3] Market Demand and Growth - The demand forecast for optical modules, particularly 800G, has been consistently revised upwards, with expectations that demand may exceed 100 million units by 2027 [2][6] - The company is closely collaborating with clients to ensure future delivery plans and material preparations, indicating a robust growth phase in the industry [2][6] Product Development and Technology - Silicon photonics technology is gaining high acceptance in the market, with most of Cambridge Technology's products above 800G utilizing this solution [2][7] - The company has signed supply agreements with five strategic partners to secure CW light source supplies and has addressed key material issues such as silicon photonic engines and DSPs [2][8] Production Capacity and Plans - Cambridge Technology aims to achieve a production capacity of 2.3 million units by the end of 2025, slightly exceeding expectations, and plans to reach 5 million units by the end of 2026, including both 800G and 1.6T production lines [4][15] - The 1.6T product is expected to account for 20% of total production capacity by the end of 2026 [29] Customer Base and Market Expansion - The company is expanding its business not only through existing customers but also by acquiring new clients, indicating a successful market share expansion for its high-speed optical modules [4][9] - Major clients are expected to drive the demand for 1.6T modules, with significant interest from large customers who require high bandwidth solutions [17] Pricing and Profitability - The current price range for 800G modules is approximately $350 to $400, while 1.6T modules are priced above $1,000, with expectations of price reductions in 2026 [19] - The gross margin for the first half of the year reached 32.4%, with projections to maintain above 40% in 2026 as production scales up [26][31] Supply Chain and Material Preparedness - The company has made sufficient preparations for key materials such as lasers and DSP chips, ensuring supply chain stability through annual agreements [25] - The assembly yield is reported to be above the industry average, contributing to the current gross margin levels [33] Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - Cambridge Technology is actively pursuing partnerships with new suppliers to meet diverse customer needs and ensure flexibility in responding to market demands [12][14] - The company is also exploring opportunities with major clients like Nokia, which may lead to increased demand for optical modules in 2026 [28] Challenges and Risks - The company acknowledges potential supply chain challenges, particularly concerning the availability of 800G capacity, which may be slightly below the target of 600,000 units for 2025 [21] - The impact of the OECD's Pillar Two tax regime is being monitored, although the company does not expect to be affected in the short term [4][5] Conclusion Cambridge Technology is positioned for growth in the optical module market, driven by increasing demand for high-speed solutions and strategic partnerships. The company is focused on expanding its production capacity and ensuring supply chain stability while navigating potential challenges in the evolving market landscape.

Core Insights - The AI sector continues to experience a pullback, with the ChiNext AI index dropping over 2%, particularly affecting companies heavily invested in optical modules and computing hardware [1] - Despite the downturn, storage chip leader Beijing Junzheng saw a surge of over 10%, indicating a divergence in performance within the sector [1] - The first ChiNext AI ETF (159363) faced a decline of over 2%, with a trading volume exceeding 350 million CNY, reflecting ongoing market volatility [1] Market Performance - Major optical module companies like Xinyisheng and Zhongji Xuchuang experienced declines of over 5% and 4% respectively, while Tianfu Communication fell by over 2% [1] - In contrast, companies involved in AI applications, such as BlueFocus and Zhongwen Online, saw increases of over 4% [1] - The ChiNext AI ETF reported a net subscription of 34.6 million shares despite its price drop, indicating continued investor interest [1] Storage Chip Market - SanDisk, a leading flash memory company, announced a significant price increase of up to 50% for NAND flash contracts, driven by tight supply conditions due to surging demand from AI data centers and wafer supply constraints [2] - This marks SanDisk's third price hike in 2023, following earlier increases of 10% in April and September, which prompted other major players like Micron to follow suit [2] Future Outlook - Tianfeng Securities remains optimistic about the computing power industry, suggesting that 2025 could be a pivotal year for AI infrastructure and applications in China [3] - The firm encourages ongoing monitoring of AI industry dynamics and investment opportunities [3] - The first ChiNext AI ETF (159363) is highlighted as a key investment vehicle, with over 54% of its holdings in optical module leaders, and a significant portion allocated to AI applications [4] Investment Trends - The ChiNext AI ETF has a total scale exceeding 3.5 billion CNY, with an average daily trading volume of over 700 million CNY, positioning it as a leader among similar ETFs tracking the ChiNext AI index [4] - The ETF's strategy focuses on capturing AI thematic trends, with over 70% of its portfolio allocated to computing power and more than 20% to AI applications [4]

Core Insights - New Yisheng experienced a decline of 5.08% on November 10, with a stock price of 332.03 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 3300.29 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Chengdu New Yisheng Communication Technology Co., Ltd. was established on April 15, 2008, and went public on March 3, 2016. The company specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of optical modules [1] - The revenue composition of the company's main business includes 98.86% from above 25G, 0.87% from below 25G, and 0.26% from other sources, with no revenue from PON [1] Fund Holdings - Dachen Fund has one fund heavily invested in New Yisheng, specifically the Dachen Value Pioneer Flexible Allocation A (011030), which reduced its holdings by 6,100 shares in the third quarter, now holding 6,720 shares, representing 7.23% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has incurred an estimated floating loss of approximately 119,300 CNY today [2] Fund Performance - Dachen Value Pioneer Flexible Allocation A (011030) was established on May 19, 2021, with a current scale of 17.3476 million CNY. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 34.5%, ranking 2469 out of 8219 in its category, and a one-year return of 31.59%, ranking 2010 out of 8125 [2] - Since its inception, the fund has experienced a loss of 16.14% [2] Fund Management - The fund is managed by Wu Haoyang and Chen Ran. Wu has been in the position for 1 year and 61 days, with a total asset scale of 165 million CNY, achieving a best return of 43.06% and a worst return of 14.94% during his tenure [3] - Chen has been managing the fund for 323 days, with a total asset scale of 335 million CNY, achieving a best return of 41.61% and a worst return of 3.37% during his tenure [3]

Core Viewpoint - The discussion of "Old Deng" and "Young Deng" has evolved into a new narrative in the investment community, reflecting a clash of investment styles and market cycles, with a focus on whether to adhere to value investing or embrace growth trends [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Styles - "Old Deng" refers to investors who prefer mature industry leaders and are less concerned with short-term fluctuations, while "Young Deng" investors chase emerging technologies and market trends [3]. - The performance gap between these investment styles has widened significantly in the current market environment, with "Young Deng" stocks like AI and semiconductor companies outperforming traditional sectors [3][4]. - Fund managers are increasingly recognizing the need to balance their investment strategies between maintaining a value-oriented approach and adapting to growth opportunities [4][10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recent market has seen a stark divide, with some funds experiencing significant gains in technology sectors, while others focusing on traditional sectors face performance pressures [4][8]. - The ongoing debate highlights the importance of understanding market cycles and the potential for value recovery in traditional sectors like finance and real estate [8][9]. - Fund managers emphasize the need for a diversified investment approach, suggesting that maintaining a flexible strategy can help navigate market volatility [10][11]. Group 3: Future Outlook - There is a consensus among fund managers that the current technology cycle, particularly in AI and related fields, is expected to last for several years, presenting both opportunities and risks [6][8]. - The importance of a robust investment thesis based on verified profitability and growth potential is underscored, with caution advised against overly optimistic projections [6][7]. - The ability to adapt and expand one's investment capabilities is seen as crucial for long-term success in a rapidly changing market landscape [10][11].

Macroeconomic Highlights - In October, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.2%, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [1] - The producer price index (PPI) for industrial producers fell by 2.1% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the first positive change this year [1] Regulatory Updates - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) and the Ministry of Finance jointly released the "Securities Settlement Risk Fund Management Measures," effective from December 8, 2025. The contribution ratio for equity products is adjusted from 0.0003 to 0.00009 of the transaction amount, and the proportion of the risk fund collected by securities registration and settlement institutions is revised from 20% to 9% of business income [1][2] Company News - Zhongji Xuchuang reported that its core processes for optical modules are produced using self-developed or customized automated equipment [8] - Taiji Co., Ltd. announced that its controlling shareholder and concerted parties plan to transfer 4.6423% of the company's shares to China Electronics Jin Investment [9] - Shen Sanda A's controlling shareholder's concerted party intends to transfer 3.01% of the company's shares [10] - Yuxin Technology noted a strong demand for system upgrades from traditional overseas financial institutions, with initial success in its overseas strategy this year [11] - Jian Ke Yuan's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1% of the company's shares [12] - Xin Lei Neng's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 0.65% of the company's shares [13] - Silk Road Vision's director Wang Junping intends to reduce his holdings by no more than 0.056% of the company's shares [14] - Tianyi New Materials is facing a bankruptcy pre-restructuring application from creditors [15] - Hanyu Group's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its holdings by no more than 1.91% of the company's shares [16] - Huakun Zhenyu launched the HuaKun AT958 B3 server equipped with the latest Ascend 910C chip [17] - Sichuan Road and Bridge plans to acquire a bridge component asset group from Xin Zhu Shares for 628 million yuan [18] - Zhongying Technology's controlling shareholder and actual controller's concerted party intends to reduce its holdings by no more than 0.7713% of the company's shares [19] - Dameng Data plans to jointly establish an industrial fund to invest in projects related to the database industry chain [20]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that artificial intelligence (AI) is transitioning from point applications to comprehensive empowerment, becoming a key driver for the intelligent upgrade of the real economy in China [1] - China has become the largest holder of AI patents globally, accounting for 60% of the total [1] - The "China Internet Development Report 2025" highlights that AI is significantly changing the operational methods of the economy and society, with a shift in large models from "heavy training" to "heavy reasoning," resulting in improved reasoning efficiency [1] Group 2 - The successful launch of the experimental satellite No. 32 demonstrates advancements in space technology, with the Long March 11 rocket completing its 606th flight [2] - The launch of the Chu Tian No. 2 technology test satellites by the Li Jian No. 1 rocket marks its 10th flight, indicating progress in commercial space endeavors [2] Group 3 - Guosheng Securities reports that silicon photonics technology is restructuring the optical module industry chain, shifting investment focus from backend packaging to frontend design and wafer manufacturing [3] - The report identifies four key investment directions: silicon photonics design companies, silicon modulation FAB manufacturers, supporting devices, and necessary equipment for silicon photonics [3] Group 4 - The registration of the "Remote Sensing Satellite Multispectral Monitoring Data Set" in Shanxi marks a significant milestone in the resourceization of remote sensing satellite data in China [4] Group 5 - The first batch of pilot projects for national data infrastructure construction has achieved positive results, with 18 cities establishing data infrastructure nodes and over 3,900 entities providing more than 13,000 data products [5] - By the end of September, the total volume of high-quality data sets in China exceeded 500PB, with significant growth in data annotation-related output [5] Group 6 - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in China rose by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, while the core CPI increased by 1.2%, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [6] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, indicating a shift from stability to growth for the first time this year [6] Group 7 - The PPI in October decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, while the average PPI for January to October fell by 2.7% [7] Group 8 - From January 1, the purchase tax for new energy vehicles in China will shift from full exemption to a 50% reduction, coinciding with a peak in consumer demand due to the upcoming policy change and the traditional sales season [8] Group 9 - Beijing is establishing a national data element comprehensive pilot zone, aiming to enhance data management and market-oriented reforms [9] Group 10 - China's laser equipment market accounts for over 50% of the global market, with significant exports to Europe and Southeast Asia [10] - The domestic high-power laser device localization rate has surpassed 70%, indicating a strong position in the global laser equipment market [10]

Core Viewpoint - The discussion of "Old Deng" and "Young Deng" has evolved into a new narrative in the investment community, reflecting a clash of investment styles and market cycles, with a focus on whether to adhere to value investing or embrace growth trends [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Styles - "Old Deng" refers to investors favoring mature industry leaders with less focus on short-term volatility, while "Young Deng" represents those chasing emerging technologies and market trends [3][5]. - The performance gap between these investment styles has widened significantly in the current market environment, with "Young Deng" stocks, such as those in AI and robotics, outperforming traditional sectors like real estate and banking [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recent market has seen a stark divide, with some funds experiencing significant gains in technology sectors, while others, adhering to traditional value investing, have faced performance pressures [4][6]. - Fund managers are increasingly recognizing the need to balance their investment strategies between maintaining a focus on value and adapting to growth opportunities in emerging sectors [5][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The ongoing transformation in investment philosophies is tied to broader industry shifts and the evolution of investor demographics, indicating a potential long-term change in market dynamics [5][8]. - There is a consensus among fund managers that understanding the cyclical nature of markets and being adaptable in investment strategies will be crucial for future success [6][9].

Core Insights - The discussion of "Old Deng" and "Young Deng" reflects a divide in investment styles, with "Old Deng" representing value-oriented investors focused on mature industries, while "Young Deng" signifies those chasing emerging technologies and market trends [2][3] - The performance disparity between these investment styles has become pronounced in the current market environment, prompting a reevaluation of investment philosophies [2][4] Investment Styles - "Old Deng" investors tend to favor established industry leaders and are less concerned with short-term volatility, while "Young Deng" investors are more inclined to pursue new technologies and market fads [2][3] - The categorization of stocks into "Old Deng," "Middle Deng," and "Young Deng" reflects both age and investment style differences among investors, with significant performance gaps emerging as market conditions evolve [2][3] Market Performance - Fund managers have reported significant performance pressures, particularly in the third quarter, as technology stocks, especially in AI and computing power, have seen substantial valuation increases [3][5] - For instance, the Southern Fund's manager noted that their portfolio lagged behind due to a focus on cash flow and dividends, which became less relevant in the current growth-driven market [3][6] Investment Philosophy - The distinction between "Old Deng" and "Young Deng" lies in their pricing frameworks, with the former focusing on current valuations and the latter on future growth potential [4][5] - A senior value-oriented fund manager emphasized the importance of verified profitability and growth certainty in investment decisions, cautioning against overly optimistic projections based solely on current trends [5][6] Sector Insights - The technology sector, particularly in AI and related fields, is expected to experience sustained growth, with fund managers predicting a prolonged technology cycle lasting 5 to 10 years [5][6] - Conversely, traditional sectors like finance and real estate are being viewed as potential recovery opportunities, with expectations of improved asset quality and valuation recovery [6][7] Strategic Adaptation - Fund managers are encouraged to expand their investment capabilities and adapt to changing market conditions, balancing between maintaining their core investment philosophies and exploring new opportunities [7][8] - The ability to navigate market volatility and identify undervalued stocks is seen as crucial for long-term success, with a focus on thorough research before making investment decisions [8]

Core Viewpoint - The "Fixed Income + Growth" strategy has shown remarkable performance, with public funds capitalizing on high elasticity sectors amid a recovering market [2][4]. Fund Performance - As of the end of Q3, the overall scale of "Fixed Income +" funds reached 2.5 trillion yuan, an increase of over 770 billion yuan from the end of last year, with the number of products rising to 1,775 [5]. - The average net value growth rate of 1,795 "Fixed Income +" products this year is 5.57%, with 244 funds increasing by over 10%. The "Fixed Income + Growth" strategy has outperformed, particularly those with high allocations to technology growth assets [6][8]. Investment Strategy - The top-performing fund, Huaan Zhilian A, focused on the AI industry chain with a stock allocation of 45%, achieving a net value growth rate of 48.26% this year [6]. - The "Fixed Income + Technology" and "Fixed Income + Growth" strategies have shown superior performance, with median returns of 10.29% and 7.18% respectively in Q3 [8]. Market Trends - High elasticity sectors are becoming crucial for "Fixed Income +" products to achieve excess returns, supported by ongoing trends in AI and macroeconomic conditions favoring growth styles [10]. - The investment focus is shifting towards high-quality companies in technology growth, cycles, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and consumer sectors, with an emphasis on maintaining a balanced portfolio [10].

人民财讯11月9日电，中际旭创（300308）11月9日在互动平台回复称，公司光模块核心工序均采用自研 或定制自动化设备进行量产，能够自主可控。 ...