Group 1 - The national carbon emission trading market has been operational for four years, with a total trading volume of 673 million tons and a trading value of 46.249 billion yuan as of July 15 [1][4] - The carbon market has included approximately 3,700 key emission units across four major industries: power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting, covering an annual greenhouse gas emission volume of about 8 billion tons [4] - The establishment of the carbon registration and settlement institution, known as "Zhongtan Dengdeng," in Wuchang District has positioned it as the "carbon asset brain" and "carbon trading hub" for the national carbon market [4] Group 2 - The open day event attracted representatives from communities, schools, environmental organizations, and enterprises, showcasing the achievements of the carbon market and allowing participants to engage in simulated carbon trading [2][3] - Wuchang District is actively developing a dual-carbon economic belt centered around the Zhongtan Dengdeng building, attracting over 90 companies and research institutions in carbon trading, management, finance, and technology [4]

Core Viewpoint - China Carbon Neutral (01372) has successfully completed the technical testing of its Carbon Coin, which is pegged to 1 kilogram of carbon credit, utilizing blockchain and smart contract technology to enhance the efficiency, transparency, and automation of carbon credit trading [1][2] Group 1: Carbon Coin and Technology - Carbon Coin is a carbon credit-backed stablecoin that aims to create a unified tokenized carbon ecosystem, facilitating the seamless transfer of carbon credits between buyers and sellers [1] - The application system includes carbon accounts, carbon reduction projects, and lifecycle management systems for carbon credits, enhancing the compatibility and functionality of carbon asset trading [1] - The technology is expected to improve information and price transparency, ultimately increasing market liquidity [1] Group 2: Global Carbon Market Challenges - The global carbon market faces challenges such as reduced efficiency, lack of standardization, insufficient transparency, and market fragmentation [1] - A tokenized carbon ecosystem can address these issues, supporting the development of global carbon trading [1] Group 3: Stablecoin Impact on Cross-Border Payments - Stablecoins can significantly enhance cross-border payment efficiency, reducing costs to one-tenth of traditional systems and achieving transaction speeds in seconds [2] - It is projected that by 2024, 10% of global cross-border payments will be completed using stablecoins [2] Group 4: Strategic Implications for the Company - The successful testing of Carbon Coin and the carbon credit anchoring protocol is expected to improve the quality tracking and transparency of carbon reduction projects, benefiting carbon market service providers [2] - The company believes that participation in digital technology will lead to sustainable business growth and financial returns, laying a solid foundation for further business expansion and enhancing overall shareholder interests [2]

Core Insights - The national carbon emissions trading market in China is set to expand its coverage to include the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries, which are significant carbon emitters, with an estimated total emissions coverage of approximately 80 billion tons [1][3][4] - The market has seen a cumulative trading volume of about 673 million tons and a total transaction value exceeding 46.2 billion yuan as of July 15, 2025, indicating a growing trading scale and stable price trends [1][6][12] - The introduction of the voluntary carbon emissions reduction trading market (CCER) has begun, with the first certified voluntary reduction units officially issued, further enhancing market activity [1][12] Market Expansion - The national carbon market is recognized as a major institutional arrangement to address climate change and promote green low-carbon transformation in the economy [2][4] - The expansion plan was outlined in the government work report for 2025, emphasizing the need to broaden the industry coverage of the carbon emissions trading market [2][4] - The newly included industries are expected to add around 1,500 key emission units, increasing the total to approximately 3,700 units, which will cover over 60% of the national carbon emissions [3][4] Trading Mechanism and Performance - The carbon trading system has adopted a single-sided bidding method to enhance trading efficiency [3] - The carbon price has fluctuated within a reasonable range, with the market price recently stabilizing between 70-80 yuan per ton after reaching a peak of over 105 yuan per ton in November 2024 [7][9] - The completion rate for the 2023 carbon quota was approximately 99.98%, indicating a strong compliance culture among key emission units [6][11] CCER Market Development - The CCER market has seen a cumulative trading volume of about 237,800 tons and a total transaction value of 200 million yuan as of July 15, 2025, reflecting its growing importance [13][12] - Various stakeholders, including national and local key emission units, project developers, and financial institutions, are participating in the CCER market, which is expected to further stimulate market activity [13][14] - The CCER price has remained higher than the carbon emissions allowance (CEA) price, indicating strong market demand and the potential for future price adjustments as supply increases [10][14]

Report's Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - The report suggests that enterprises with a quota gap should make phased low - cost purchases before the end of August. The depletion of the mandatory circulation quota may support the carbon price reversal. With less than half of the 2025 mandatory circulation quota released, it's expected to be exhausted by mid - October. Anticipatory trading may lead to a carbon price reversal in Q3. Before August, the carbon price may fluctuate due to slow quota release and low trading willingness. From September, the price may rise as compliance pressure mounts, but price volatility may intensify in the second half of the year [4] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Quotes - CEA: The main targets showed mixed trends and were generally weak. The listed volume was 3.1 thousand tons, and the bulk volume was 0.0 thousand tons. The closing prices of CEA19 - 20, CEA21, CEA22, CEA23, and CEA24 were 71.34 yuan/ton, 71.00 yuan/ton, 74.50 yuan/ton, 74.11 yuan/ton, and 74.50 yuan/ton respectively, with the CEA23's price dropping by 0.86% and CEA24 rising by 0.04%. The total trading volume of CEA23 was 2.11 thousand tons, and that of CEA24 was 1.00 thousand tons [3][6] - CCER: The listed agreement trading volume was 0.15 thousand tons, the average trading price was 83.05 yuan/ton (down 0.51%), the trading amount was 124,700 yuan, and the cumulative trading volume was 237,660 tons [3][8]

Core Insights - The national carbon market in China is approaching its fourth anniversary, with significant progress in emissions reduction and market stability, achieving a cumulative transaction value exceeding 46.2 billion RMB and an average price of over 74 RMB per ton [1] - The market is evolving towards maturity, with ongoing improvements in regulatory frameworks and mechanisms to facilitate carbon pricing and trading [1][2] Market Expansion - The national carbon market has completed three compliance cycles and is expanding to include steel, cement, and electrolytic aluminum industries, which are significant contributors to emissions [2] - This expansion is designed to be gradual, allowing new sectors to adapt to the rules and enhance their participation in carbon trading [2] Financial Mechanisms - Carbon markets offer unique advantages over traditional financing methods, such as shorter financing cycles and better mobilization of private capital, particularly beneficial for developing countries [3] - The development of carbon financial products, including futures and derivatives, is expected to enhance market liquidity, risk management, and pricing mechanisms [6][7] Data Utilization - There is a need for improved carbon accounting and disclosure mechanisms, as many companies lack robust carbon data, which is crucial for financial institutions [4] - Financial institutions are increasingly engaging in carbon accounting and climate risk stress testing, with 535 institutions conducting carbon accounting and 134 performing climate risk assessments in 2022 [4] Regulatory Developments - The People's Bank of China is revising guidelines for environmental information disclosure to encourage innovation in sustainable reporting among financial institutions [5] - The introduction of sustainable development reporting guidelines by major exchanges aims to enhance the quality of corporate sustainability disclosures [5] Future Directions - Experts emphasize the importance of developing a diverse range of carbon financial products to support small and medium enterprises in their carbon reduction efforts [7] - Initiatives like carbon accounts and rating systems are being piloted to link corporate emissions reductions with financing costs, fostering a sustainable reduction mechanism [7]

Group 1 - The national carbon emissions trading market achieved a transaction volume of 189 million tons and a transaction value of 18.114 billion yuan in 2024, marking a new high since its launch in 2021 [2] - Shanghai Environment and Energy Exchange plays a significant role in guiding enterprises to reduce emissions and promote the development of green low-carbon industries [2][3] - The green low-carbon industry in Hongkou District has formed a scale exceeding 100 billion yuan, with a growth rate of over 20% expected in 2024 [4] Group 2 - The carbon trading mechanism effectively promotes energy conservation and emission reduction among enterprises, enhancing their market competitiveness and optimizing the business environment [3] - The new power system construction aims to support the dual carbon policy, with a focus on high reliability in urban core areas [4] - EY has integrated green low-carbon concepts into its five major business sectors, providing professional support for enterprises in the green low-carbon field [4] Group 3 - Nuclear energy is expected to play an increasingly important role in achieving dual carbon goals, with significant potential for development in energy structure and healthcare sectors [5] - Companies are actively supporting the construction of carbon business systems to promote the development of green low-carbon services [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the introduction of the "Beijing Carbon Inclusive Management Measures (Trial)" aimed at promoting public participation in green and low-carbon actions to help the capital achieve its carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, effective from September 1, 2025 [1][4] - Beijing has the highest participation in carbon inclusive activities in the country, with 5.6 million participants [1][2] - The "Low Carbon Travel" carbon inclusive project has achieved a cumulative carbon reduction of over 400,000 tons since its inception in 2020 [2] Group 2 - The management measures will further promote the carbon inclusive mechanism from pilot exploration to standardized and in-depth development, providing institutional support for low-carbon governance [4] - The management measures include six chapters and 35 articles, covering aspects such as carbon inclusive methodology management, project management, and emission reduction management [4] - The measures encourage various social welfare organizations, financial institutions, and large enterprises to support carbon inclusive actions, signaling that low-carbon behaviors have value [5]

Core Points - The Shanghai Carbon Benefit platform officially launched on June 25, 2025, allowing citizens to convert carbon reduction from daily green behaviors into digital currency and various rewards [1][14][16] - The platform has gained popularity, with 130,000 users participating in the initial experience phase, demonstrating the public's engagement with low-carbon actions [16][18] - The carbon reduction mechanism aims to make carbon reduction actions visible, measurable, and rewarding, fostering a culture of low-carbon living among citizens [18][23] Group 1: Carbon Benefit Mechanism - The core of the carbon benefit mechanism is to enable various societal entities to see, quantify, and receive rewards for their carbon reduction efforts, thus motivating low-carbon lifestyles [18][19] - The platform integrates multiple daily life scenarios for carbon reduction, including public transport, shared bicycles, and electric vehicles, allowing users to accumulate carbon credits [24][37] - Each gram of carbon reduction corresponds to one carbon credit, which can be exchanged for rewards, enhancing the perceived value of low-carbon actions [16][27] Group 2: Platform Features and Structure - The Shanghai Carbon Benefit system is designed with a focus on individual carbon accounts, supported by a top-down approach that encourages government leadership, public participation, and market operations [23][24] - The platform has established a comprehensive and user-friendly carbon benefit system, addressing challenges such as data silos and limited reward options [19][25] - The carbon credit marketplace allows users to exchange their accumulated credits for a variety of rewards, thus linking individual actions to broader carbon market transactions [26][30] Group 3: Regulatory and Technical Framework - The Shanghai government has implemented a series of regulations and guidelines to ensure the effective operation of the carbon benefit system, including the establishment of legal attributes for carbon credits [32][33] - A standardized methodology for calculating carbon reduction has been developed, ensuring the credibility of carbon credits and facilitating their integration into the carbon market [33][34] - Blockchain technology is utilized to secure data and manage identities, enhancing the reliability and transparency of the carbon benefit platform [35]

Core Viewpoint - The carbon-inclusive mechanism is becoming an essential tool for public participation in carbon reduction, integrating into daily life and promoting a nationwide low-carbon lifestyle in China [1][2][6]. Group 1: Policy and Implementation - 27 provinces in China are actively promoting the carbon-inclusive mechanism as a key strategy for public carbon reduction, with related policies being issued [2][6]. - The carbon-inclusive mechanism quantifies the carbon reduction efforts of individuals, communities, and small enterprises, allowing them to offset their carbon emissions or participate in carbon trading [2][3]. - The mechanism is part of the broader "dual carbon" action and Beautiful China policy, with significant engagement from local governments [2][4]. Group 2: Innovative Practices - Various innovative practices are being implemented to enhance public participation, such as linking carbon credits to public transport and tourism in Harbin, which has achieved a daily carbon reduction of 764 tons [2][3]. - The "I donate 1kg of carbon for the Winter Olympics" initiative has successfully raised nearly 100,000 tons of carbon reduction through inter-city recognition of reduction efforts [2][3]. - Alipay's carbon-inclusive business has engaged 200 million participants in green travel and cultural consumption activities, demonstrating the potential for large-scale public involvement [3][4]. Group 3: Market Potential and Challenges - The carbon-inclusive mechanism shows significant market potential, but challenges remain in enhancing public awareness and participation in low-carbon behaviors [5][6]. - A report highlights the need for a well-structured policy framework to support the carbon-inclusive mechanism, emphasizing the importance of cross-departmental collaboration [6][7]. - The report suggests establishing an independent "carbon-inclusive market" to better facilitate the connection and economic benefits of the carbon-inclusive mechanism [8]. Group 4: Impact on Public Behavior - The carbon-inclusive platform has significantly increased the frequency and volume of carbon reduction actions among users, with "intervened users" reducing carbon emissions 2.58 times more than non-intervened users [7]. - Survey results indicate that 100% of respondents find the measurement features of the carbon-inclusive platform important for their low-carbon lifestyle [7]. - There is a positive correlation between income levels and participation in carbon reduction activities, with each 1 yuan increase in income leading to an increase in the number of participants and reduction actions [7].

Core Insights - The national carbon market in China is developing steadily, with industry expansion, improved methodologies, and mature market operations, but recent declines in carbon emission allowance (CEA) prices have raised concerns [1] - As of June 27, the average transaction price of CEA was 74.96 yuan/ton, a decrease of approximately 30% from the peak in November of the previous year [1] - Multiple factors, including a significant drop in international energy prices and a loosening of policies, have contributed to the recent decline in carbon prices [2] Market Dynamics - Demand for carbon allowances has weakened due to a decline in thermal power generation, which is the main industry in the national carbon market, with total power generation growth of only 0.1% from January to April, significantly lower than the 6.1% growth in the same period last year [2] - The manufacturing PMI fell below 50% after April, leading to a slowdown in industrial electricity growth, while higher temperatures reduced residential electricity demand [2] - The launch of the national voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market (CCER) and the increase in supply expectations have also contributed to the downward pressure on carbon prices [3][4] Future Price Trends - Despite the current decline, experts believe that carbon prices are likely to stabilize and rise in the long term due to the ongoing push for carbon neutrality and the gradual implementation of industry expansion [1][5] - The carbon price is expected to rise as high-emission industries transition and the renewable energy sector grows, with a higher carbon price incentivizing companies to adopt disruptive technologies [5] Global Influences - China's carbon prices may be influenced by other major global carbon markets, such as the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM), which will impose fees on certain products based on carbon market price differences starting in 2026 [6] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has suggested that to meet the Paris Agreement goals, the global average carbon price should exceed $85 per ton by 2030, which could also impact China's carbon pricing [6] Market Structure and Regulation - The EU carbon market serves as a reference for improving the financial attributes of carbon markets globally, with a well-established legal framework and a diverse range of trading products [9] - Experts suggest that financial institutions should be gradually introduced into carbon market trading to enhance liquidity and market activity, while ensuring that carbon prices do not rise too quickly [8][10] - There are challenges in the development of carbon finance in China, including the need for clearer legal definitions regarding carbon emission rights and the limitations on financial institutions' direct participation in the carbon market [8]