Core Viewpoint - The company, Jihua Group, expects a significant net loss for the year 2025, with projections indicating a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company ranging from -350 million to -250 million yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses between -525 million and -425 million yuan [1] Financial Performance - The anticipated net loss is primarily attributed to a decrease in product orders from key customers, leading to a substantial decline in operating revenue [1] - The reduction in order income has resulted in underutilization of production capacity, high fixed costs, and a decrease in gross profit, all of which have negatively impacted profitability [1]

际华集团1月19日公告，预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为-3.50亿元至-2.50亿元，预 计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为-5.25亿元至-4.25亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant net loss for the year 2025, with projections indicating a net profit attributable to the parent company ranging from -350 million to -250 million yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses between -525 million and -425 million yuan, compared to a net profit of -4.228 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] Group 1 - The anticipated performance decline is primarily due to a reduction in product orders from key customers, leading to a substantial drop in revenue [1] - The company is facing challenges such as underutilization of production capacity, high fixed costs, and a decrease in gross profit margin [1] - The company is currently under investigation for suspected violations of information disclosure regulations, with the investigation still ongoing [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that "talent" is the key to overcoming development bottlenecks in the transformation and upgrading of China's traditional manufacturing industry, particularly in the textile and apparel sector, which faces structural talent challenges [2][3]. Group 1: Talent Development Initiatives - SHEIN, in collaboration with the Guangdong Provincial Federation of Trade Unions, has launched free employment support skills training programs targeting key employment groups, including unemployed graduates and workers in transition, focusing on popular job roles in the market [3][18]. - The training program includes "zero-based" employment support for roles such as sewing workers and garment pattern makers, aiming to enhance the skill sets of participants and facilitate their entry into the job market [18][21]. - SHEIN's training initiatives have resulted in a significant reduction in defect rates among suppliers, with a reported 50% decrease in defective products following targeted training sessions [7][9]. Group 2: Comprehensive Training Models - SHEIN has established a multi-faceted training system that includes regular and special training sessions, both online and offline, to empower suppliers and enhance their skill levels [8][9]. - The company has conducted nearly 600 training sessions in 2025, covering approximately 37,000 supplier instances and certifying skills across six job roles, thereby contributing to the industry's talent pool [9][10]. - The training model is characterized by a "from industry to industry" approach, ensuring that training is relevant and directly addresses the needs of suppliers [11]. Group 3: Industry-Academia Collaboration - SHEIN has developed a four-part integration mechanism that connects industry needs with educational institutions, ensuring that the training curriculum aligns with real-world job requirements [12]. - The establishment of the SHEIN Industry-Education Evaluation Shared Training Base facilitates hands-on learning experiences for students, bridging the gap between theoretical knowledge and practical application [12][14]. - The company plans to collaborate with educational institutions to create "micro-specialties" and share training resources, focusing on cultivating talents with composite skills in digital garment technology [14]. Group 4: Employment Support for Key Groups - The "zero-based" skills training program has received positive feedback from participants, with many reporting increased confidence and practical skills that enhance their employability [15][21]. - SHEIN's training not only provides structured courses but also includes practical training environments and industry-experienced instructors, ensuring that participants acquire valuable skills [19][21]. - The company has established a complete cycle of "job demand—skills training—skills evaluation—employment services," which helps address employment challenges for key groups while simultaneously building a talent pipeline for the apparel industry [21]. Group 5: Synergy Between Talent Development and Industry Ecosystem - SHEIN's talent development is integrated into its broader "4+1" industry empowerment system, which includes investments in technology innovation, factory upgrades, and community services, promoting sustainable development in the textile and apparel sector [23]. - The company has invested over 600 million yuan in upgrading factory facilities, benefiting more than 33,000 individuals, while also developing over 180 innovative tools that enhance production efficiency by an average of 35% [24]. - SHEIN's initiatives have created a positive feedback loop where talent development and hardware upgrades work in tandem, leading to improved production efficiency and product quality across the supply chain [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - SHEIN is expanding its role as a "chain master" in the apparel industry by promoting high-quality employment through skill training programs aimed at various employment groups, including unemployed graduates and flexible workers [1][3]. Group 1: Employment Support Initiatives - SHEIN, in collaboration with the Guangdong Provincial Federation of Trade Unions, has launched free skill training programs for eight popular job roles, focusing on sewing and garment pattern-making for zero-basis learners [1][3]. - The training includes practical courses and real production environment simulations, ensuring participants acquire valuable hands-on skills [3]. Group 2: Industry Context and Challenges - The textile and apparel industry employs over 20 million people and plays a significant role in stabilizing employment and increasing income [3]. - There is a structural talent mismatch in the traditional garment manufacturing sector, with weak training systems in small factories and a disconnect between educational institutions and industry needs [3][4]. Group 3: Policy and Strategic Initiatives - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for coordinated industry and employment development, improving human resource matching mechanisms, and enhancing lifelong vocational training systems [4]. - SHEIN has initiated a "5 billion yuan" supplier empowerment plan to address common challenges in technology and talent training, with plans for nearly 600 training sessions covering 3.7 million business interactions by 2025 [5]. Group 4: Training and Development Models - SHEIN has established a training and evaluation base to expand its training outreach and has developed a four-in-one model integrating job demand, training, evaluation, and employment [5]. - The company is also working to include "garment quality inspectors" as a new occupational classification and is developing evaluation standards for this role [5]. Group 5: Community and Employee Support - SHEIN is committed to enhancing the sense of belonging and stability among supplier employees through initiatives like the "Star Light" project, which has supported 815 families and 1,716 youth in education [6]. - The company plans to host skill competitions to promote skill integration and improvement among employees [6].

Core Viewpoint - SHEIN is expanding its role as a "chain master" in the apparel industry by providing skill training programs aimed at enhancing employment opportunities for various groups, including unemployed graduates and workers in transition [1][3]. Group 1: Employment Support Initiatives - SHEIN, in collaboration with the Guangdong Provincial Federation of Trade Unions, has launched free skill training programs for eight in-demand job roles, focusing on sewing and garment pattern making [1]. - The training is designed for individuals with no prior experience, offering systematic courses and practical training environments to ensure participants acquire useful skills [1]. - Successful trainees will receive skill certificates and may be prioritized for job placements in relevant positions [1]. Group 2: Industry Impact and Employment Statistics - The textile and apparel industry employs over 20 million people in China, playing a significant role in stabilizing employment and increasing income [1]. - SHEIN's initiatives have reportedly stimulated employment across the entire supply chain, impacting over one million jobs [4]. Group 3: Training and Development Programs - In 2023, SHEIN introduced a "Five-Year 500 Million Yuan" supplier empowerment plan, focusing on technical challenges and talent training to address common and specific issues faced by suppliers [4]. - The company plans to conduct nearly 600 training sessions covering six job roles by 2025, with a focus on skill level certification [4]. - SHEIN has established a training base to enhance the reach of its educational programs and has successfully integrated the "garment quality inspector" as a new occupational classification [4]. Group 4: Social Responsibility and Employee Welfare - SHEIN is committed to enhancing the sense of belonging and stability among supplier employees through initiatives like the "Gathering Star Light" project, which has supported 815 families and 1,716 youth in education [5]. - The company operates 30 "Children's Homes" nationwide, serving over 100,000 individuals by providing after-school care for employees' children [5]. - SHEIN is also focused on cultivating versatile technical talent and plans to hold skill competitions to promote learning and skill integration among employees [5].

Group 1: Outdoor Apparel Industry - The outdoor footwear and apparel industry has maintained rapid growth since 2021, with a CAGR of 25.3% for outdoor apparel and 18.4% for outdoor footwear, projected to grow by 24.5% and 16.3% year-on-year in 2025 respectively [24][26] - Online sales of outdoor footwear are growing faster than apparel, with outdoor footwear online sales growth maintaining over 40%, while certain apparel categories like jackets and sun-protective clothing are experiencing slower growth [24][26] - Key outdoor brands such as Kailas and Berghaus are showing strong momentum, while brands like The North Face are underperforming; the market is becoming more diversified with new brands emerging [25][26] Group 2: AI Application in Computing Industry - Major international companies are focusing on AI application in vertical scenarios, with OpenAI and Anthropic launching healthcare-focused AI models, enhancing compliance and professional services [28] - Domestic companies are also advancing in AI applications, with Alibaba upgrading health services and Tencent providing comprehensive support for mini-programs, indicating a strong push towards AI integration [28] - The market for AI applications is expected to see significant growth, with predictions indicating that the GEO market will reach $24 billion globally by 2026, driven by high consumer trust in AI applications in China [30][32] Group 3: Public Utilities Industry - The public utilities sector, including electricity, gas, and water, is characterized by its "essential" nature, with stable long-term growth prospects [32] - The transition to low-carbon energy sources is accelerating, with the share of clean energy consumption expected to reach 28.6% of total energy consumption by 2024, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [32][33] - There is a growing trend of overseas funds over-allocating to the public utilities sector, with significant increases in holdings by institutional investors in this industry [33]

Group 1 - WS International Luxury Second-hand Store opened in Qingshan District, covering approximately 3,000 square meters with over 1,000 high-quality second-hand items from popular brands [4] - Hanyang District launched a car promotion event from January 18 to February 14, offering up to 5,000 yuan in subsidies for purchasing vehicles, which can be combined with national and local subsidies [5] - The establishment of the Guanggu Business School aims to cultivate 500 technology entrepreneurs and startups over the next three years, with a goal of helping at least 50 companies achieve annual revenues exceeding 100 million yuan [12] Group 2 - The "Spring Breeze Action" job fair was held, featuring 80 quality companies offering over 4,000 job positions, aimed at stabilizing employment and promoting development [20] - Wuhan's financial authorities introduced measures to support urban renewal projects, targeting at least 100 projects with a financing support goal of no less than 1,000 billion yuan [21] - The city is experiencing a surge in plum blossom viewing, with nearly 100,000 plum trees blooming across parks and streets, attracting public interest [22]

Core Viewpoint - The 9th World Zhejiang Business Forum and the 2025 Shanghai Zhejiang Chamber of Commerce Annual Meeting highlighted the positive development trajectory of Shaoxing, emphasizing high-quality growth and strategic initiatives to enhance regional advantages and innovation capabilities [3][8]. Economic Growth - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, Shaoxing's economic growth has consistently ranked among the top three in Zhejiang Province and the Yangtze River Delta, with the GDP expected to reach approximately 900 billion yuan last year [3][8]. Regional Advantages - Shaoxing is enhancing its geographical advantages by planning the Hu-Hang-Shao Jin Railway, aiming to create a transportation network that allows for 30-minute access within the city, 30 minutes to Hangzhou, and 60 minutes to Shanghai [3][8]. Technological Innovation - The city has established itself as a national innovation hub and the first "three-in-one" high-quality development pilot zone for education and technology talent in Zhejiang, with 13 universities and a significant increase in R&D investment among industrial enterprises [3][4][8]. Industrial Transformation - Shaoxing's industrial transformation includes the recognition of the Hangzhou Bay modern textile and apparel cluster as a national advanced manufacturing cluster, with the integrated circuit industry generating around 90 billion yuan [4][9]. Business Environment - The implementation of the 5.27 "Love Enterprise Action" has led to over 820,000 market entities and 260,000 businesses, with 80 companies listed on the A-share market, ranking third among similar cities in China [4][9]. Future Directions - Looking ahead to the 15th Five-Year Plan, Shaoxing aims to cultivate new industrial formats, shape new urban forms, activate new population dynamics, and empower cultural vitality through eight major actions, striving to become a model city for integrated development [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [2] Core Insights - The supply contraction from two major cotton-exporting countries has been established, with a downward revision in U.S. cotton yield and the first decline in Brazilian cotton production and area in five years [3] - U.S. cotton prices are showing significant bottoming characteristics, with ICE 2 cotton futures significantly below planting costs and basis signals confirming this trend [3] - The core variable is anchored in Brazil, with multi-dimensional data confirming the inevitability of production cuts [3] Summary by Sections Supply Dynamics - The global cotton supply is reaching a critical turning point characterized by a "double reduction" pattern. The USDA's January 2026 report indicates an 8% downward revision in U.S. cotton yield to 856 pounds per acre, leading to a 2% decrease in total production compared to December forecasts. This has alleviated inventory pressure [5] - Brazil, as the world's largest cotton exporter, is experiencing a termination of its supply expansion cycle. The CONAB report predicts a 2.8% reduction in planting area and a 6.3% decrease in production to 3.82 million tons for the 25/26 season, marking the first reduction in both area and production in five years [5] Price Dynamics - U.S. cotton prices have been in a prolonged downturn for nearly three years, with current ICE 2 cotton futures around 65 cents per pound, placing it in the 20% historical low range since 2015. The current price is significantly below the average planting cost of approximately 80 cents per pound, indicating limited downward price potential [5] - Historical data shows that the basis for U.S. cotton has reached a low point, with high-quality cotton exhibiting a positive basis in January, suggesting a structural basis recovery as a leading indicator for mid-term price increases [5] Investment Recommendations - The report is optimistic about the performance elasticity of Bailong Oriental under the upward driving force of U.S. cotton prices. The expected downward revision in U.S. cotton production and the end of Brazil's capacity expansion provide a solid foundation for U.S. cotton price support [5] - The report recommends Bailong Oriental, which holds low-cost cotton inventory that will release significant profit elasticity as cotton prices rise. The increase in raw material prices is expected to boost yarn sales prices and significantly restore gross margins through inventory appreciation in a positive basis environment [5][6]