格隆汇新股 卖调味品年入34亿！四川成都冲出一家IPO，三年半派息近13亿 原创 阅读全文 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International initiates a "Buy" rating for Haitian Flavor Industry's H-shares with a target price of HKD 39.1, highlighting the company's strong position in the Chinese condiment industry and potential for overseas expansion [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Haitian Flavor Industry is recognized as a leader in the Chinese condiment market [1] - The company's overseas business is still in its early stages but is expected to benefit from the trend of Chinese restaurant brands expanding internationally [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - CMB International estimates that Haitian's overseas revenue could achieve double-digit compound growth over the next three years, leading to an increase in the proportion of overseas revenue [1] - The forecasted compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for Haitian's revenue from 2024 to 2027 is approximately 8%, while net profit is expected to maintain a growth rate of around 10% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International initiates a "Buy" rating for Haitian Flavor Industry (03288) with a target price of HKD 39, driven by the recovery in the catering channel, product innovation, and overseas expansion, projecting approximately 8% compound annual growth in revenue from 2024 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Haitian Flavor Industry is expected to have over 6,700 distributors by the end of 2024, ensuring comprehensive coverage of major regions in the country [1] - The company's strong distribution network guarantees stable sales nationwide [1] Group 2: Product and Market Trends - The ongoing trend towards health-conscious products is driving an upgrade in the product structure [1]

汤底咕嘟作响，食客陈连清舀起一勺汤送入口中，味蕾瞬间开启一场"微型风暴"，集"酸、辣、鲜、 甜"于一体的糟粕醋，酸辣开胃、鲜甜味足。"就是这个味儿！一口'上头'，这就是海南的'灵魂酸 汤'！"他满足地咂咂嘴。 "来，先喝一口汤！"11月13日，海口骑楼老街附近的糟粕醋火锅店里热气腾腾。 作为海口糟粕醋制作技艺代表性传承人，杨翊诚正努力将百年渔家发酵工艺与现代食品科技深度融合， 突破保质与运输瓶颈。如今，借助海南自贸港的政策东风，糟粕醋正以文化符号的身份迅速出海，越来 越多糟粕醋品牌开始落地海外市场，出口至美国、加拿大、澳大利亚、新西兰等多个国家和地区。 海南省市场监督管理局食品生产监督管理处副处长殷晓静介绍，为保障海南糟粕醋产品顺利出口，该局 组建工作专班送政策上门，通过指导企业规范生产流程，建立完善的质量安全管理控制体系，提升企业 出口竞争力。 今年发布的《海南省推进糟粕醋产业高质量发展实施方案（2025—2030年）》，明确将"糟粕醋制作技 艺"从市级向省级、国家级非遗推进，推动糟粕醋驶入产业发展快车道。 产业数据见证糟粕醋的热度：2024年，海南糟粕醋行业产值约1亿元，截至今年上半年，海南省与糟粕 醋相 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International initiates a "Buy" rating for Haitian Flavor Industry (603288) with a target price of HKD 39, driven by recovery in the restaurant channel, product innovation, and overseas expansion, projecting an approximately 8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue from 2024 to 2027 [1] Revenue and Growth Projections - Revenue is expected to achieve about 8% CAGR from 2024 to 2027 [1] - Net profit is anticipated to maintain a growth rate of around 10% [1] Profitability and Efficiency - Improvement in gross margin and operating profit margin is expected due to declining raw material costs and enhanced efficiency [1] Market Position and Distribution - By the end of 2024, the company is projected to have over 6,700 distributors, ensuring comprehensive coverage across major regions in China [1] - Strong distribution capabilities are expected to support stable nationwide sales [1] Product Innovation and Health Trends - The ongoing health trend is driving product structure upgrades, with the company leveraging its leading R&D capabilities to continuously innovate [1] Overseas Expansion Potential - The company primarily serves overseas markets through a trade model, with short-term overseas expansion likely benefiting from the trend of domestic restaurant brands going global [1] - The overseas business is still in its early stages, with expectations of double-digit CAGR in overseas revenue over the next three years, increasing the proportion of overseas revenue [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International initiates a "Buy" rating for Haitian Flavor Industry (03288) with a target price of HKD 39, driven by the recovery in the catering channel, product innovation, and overseas expansion, projecting an approximate 8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue from 2024 to 2027 [1] Revenue and Growth Projections - Revenue is expected to achieve about 8% CAGR from 2024 to 2027 due to multiple drivers including catering channel recovery, product innovation, and overseas expansion [1] - The company is projected to maintain a net profit growth rate of around 10% [1] Profitability and Efficiency - There is potential for improvement in gross margin and operating profit margin, driven by declining raw material costs and efficiency enhancements [1] Market Position and Distribution - As of the end of 2024, the company will have over 6,700 distributors, ensuring comprehensive coverage of major regions in the country, which supports stable national sales [1] Product Innovation and Health Trends - The ongoing health trend is driving product structure upgrades, with the company leveraging its leading R&D capabilities to continuously innovate products, thereby consolidating its competitive advantage [1] Overseas Expansion Strategy - The company primarily serves overseas markets through a trade model, and short-term overseas expansion is expected to benefit from the trend of domestic catering brands going abroad [1] - The overseas business is still in its early stages, with expectations of double-digit CAGR in overseas revenue over the next three years, which will increase the proportion of overseas revenue [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong leadership position of Haitian Flavor Industry in the Chinese condiment market, emphasizing its robust brand barriers and significant market share in soy sauce (13.2%) and oyster sauce (40.2%) [1][2] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing health-oriented product upgrades and the integration of online and offline channels, which are reshaping the industry [1][2] - The report initiates a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 39.00, indicating a potential upside of 19.8% from the current price of HKD 32.64 [1][2] Industry Overview - The Chinese condiment industry is characterized by steady growth and low concentration, presenting opportunities for consolidation [1] - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards healthier products, which is likely to optimize product structures and expand niche markets [1][2] - The distribution network is extensive, with over 6,700 distributors ensuring stable sales across major regions in China [2] Company Performance and Projections - Haitian Flavor Industry is projected to achieve approximately 8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue from 2024 to 2027, driven by restaurant channel recovery, product innovation, and overseas expansion [2] - The company’s overseas revenue is expected to grow at a double-digit CAGR over the next three years, increasing its share of total revenue [2] - Improvements in gross margin and operating profit margin are anticipated due to declining raw material costs and efficiency enhancements, with net profit expected to maintain a growth rate of around 10% [2]

Core Insights - On November 19, brokerages provided target prices for listed companies, with notable increases for 易瑞生物 (Yirui Biotech), 中国海诚 (China Haicheng), and 健康元 (Health元), showing target price increases of 44.37%, 40.26%, and 26.01% respectively, across the medical device, professional engineering, and chemical pharmaceutical industries [1][2]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - 易瑞生物 (Yirui Biotech) received a target price of 15.00 yuan with a target increase of 44.37% from 华创证券 (Huachuang Securities) [2]. - 中国海诚 (China Haicheng) has a target price of 15.40 yuan, reflecting a 40.26% increase from 国泰海通证券 (Guotai Junan Securities) [2]. - 健康元 (Health元) was assigned a target price of 15.26 yuan, indicating a 26.01% increase from 国泰海通证券 (Guotai Junan Securities) [2]. Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 37 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on November 19, with 伊利股份 (Yili Group) receiving recommendations from 3 brokerages, 南方航空 (Southern Airlines) from 1, and 易瑞生物 (Yirui Biotech) from 1 [3]. - 伊利股份 (Yili Group) closed at 29.58 yuan and was recommended by 3 brokerages in the beverage and dairy industry [3]. Group 3: First Coverage - On November 19, 6 companies received initial coverage from brokerages, including 潮宏基 (Chao Hong Ji) with a "Buy" rating from 首创证券 (Shouchuang Securities) [4]. - 海容冷链 (Hairong Cold Chain) received an "Increase" rating from 兴业证券 (Industrial Securities) [4]. - 风华高科 (Fenghua High-Tech) was rated "Buy" by 中邮证券 (China Post Securities) [4].

Core Insights - The article highlights the rising popularity and cultural significance of "Zao Po Vinegar," a traditional condiment from Hainan, which is gaining traction both domestically and internationally [2][3][4]. Industry Development - The Zao Po Vinegar industry in Hainan is experiencing rapid growth, with an estimated industry output value of approximately 100 million yuan in 2024 [4]. - Over 270 production and dining entities related to Zao Po Vinegar have been established in Hainan, with more than half founded in the last five years [4]. - The local government is actively promoting the Zao Po Vinegar production techniques as part of the provincial and national intangible cultural heritage initiatives, aiming to enhance the industry's development [3][4]. Technological Integration - Modern food technology is being integrated with traditional fermentation methods to extend the shelf life of Zao Po Vinegar and improve quality control [3]. - Companies are utilizing advanced techniques to ensure precise control over acidity and flavor, facilitating the export of Zao Po Vinegar products to international markets, including the USA, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand [3][4]. Cultural Promotion - There is a push to combine Zao Po Vinegar with tourism, with projects like cultural experience centers and industry parks being developed to educate visitors about its unique flavor and cultural background [5]. - Restaurants in Haikou are innovating by creating themed dining experiences that incorporate Zao Po Vinegar, appealing to younger consumers and enhancing its status as a representative symbol of Hainan cuisine [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the food and beverage industry [3][8]. Core Insights - The food and beverage industry experienced a slight revenue increase of 0.17% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, but the net profit attributable to shareholders declined by 4.58% [3][15]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in both revenue and profit, with revenues dropping by 4.75% year-on-year and net profits decreasing by 14.61% [3][15]. - The report highlights that the macroeconomic policies aimed at boosting domestic demand are expected to lead to a recovery in performance and valuation for the food and beverage sector [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The food and beverage sector's overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was CNY 8309.16 billion, with a net profit of CNY 1711.64 billion [3][15]. - The third quarter alone generated revenue of CNY 2500.62 billion, with a net profit of CNY 434.96 billion [3][15]. 2. Subsector Performance 2.1 Baijiu (Chinese liquor) - The baijiu sector faced significant pressure, with revenues and net profits declining in the third quarter of 2025 [24]. - Major brands like Moutai and Fenjiu performed relatively well despite the overall downturn [24]. - The report notes a 20%-30% decline in sales during traditional festive periods, with regional variations in performance [24]. 2.2 Beer - The beer sector maintained steady demand, achieving a revenue of CNY 620.52 billion in the first three quarters, up 2.02% year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 94.84 billion, up 11.82% [29]. - The third quarter saw revenues of CNY 203.20 billion, with a net profit increase of 11.30% [29]. 2.3 Snacks - The snack sector showed positive growth, with revenues and net profits increasing in the third quarter [3][29]. 2.4 Soft Drinks - The soft drink sector experienced a strong performance, particularly in the third quarter, with leading companies showing significant growth [3][29]. 2.5 Dairy Products - The dairy sector continued to face demand challenges, but there were signs of marginal improvement as raw milk prices stabilized [4][29]. 2.6 Condiments - The condiment sector is undergoing intense competition, but leading companies are outperforming the overall market [4][29]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on resilient companies with strong growth potential, such as Dongpeng Beverage, Yili, and Moutai, among others [8][24].