点击查看公告原文>> 责任编辑：小浪快报 深圳传音控股股份有限公司（证券代码：688036）于2025年11月13日发布公告称，公司已于2025年11月 12日召开第三届董事会第二十次会议，审议通过了发行H股股票并在香港联合交易所有限公司主板上市 的相关议案，本次发行上市尚需提交公司股东会审议，并需取得中国证券监督管理委员会、香港联交所 及香港证券及期货事务监察委员会等监管机构的备案、批准和/或核准；公司本次筹划香港上市旨在进 一步提高综合竞争力，提升国际品牌形象，更好地利用国际资本市场以多元化融资渠道，计划在股东会 决议有效期内（自审议通过之日起24个月或同意延长的其他期限）选择适当时机完成发行；截至公告披 露日，公司正积极与相关中介机构商讨本次发行的具体工作，除董事会已审议通过的议案外，其他关于 本次发行H股并上市的具体细节尚未确定。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文为AI大模型基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信 息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成 个人投资建议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验 ...

Investment Philosophy - The core investment philosophy is that "buying stocks is buying companies" and understanding the business and future cash flows is crucial [4][15][18] - The concept of "safety margin" is not just about price but about how well one understands the company [4][15][19] - It is emphasized that most companies are difficult to understand, making investment challenging [4][15] Company Culture - A good company culture guides the organization back to the right path, focusing on long-term value rather than short-term profits [5][24] - Companies with strong cultures may still make mistakes, but they are more likely to correct them [5][24] - The importance of user-oriented culture is highlighted, as it drives companies to prioritize user experience and product quality [21][24] Case Studies - The transition from feature phones to smartphones at BBK Electronics was driven by market necessity rather than initial support from leadership [6][7] - The rapid decline in feature phone sales was unexpected, showcasing the need for companies to be sensitive to market changes [8][9] - The failure of companies like Nokia and Motorola is attributed to cultural issues and a lack of focus on user needs [10][21] Investment Examples - Investments in companies like Apple and Tencent are based on a deep understanding of their business models and market positioning [4][15][21] - The investment in NetEase was driven by confidence in its gaming team and favorable market conditions, resulting in significant returns [19] - The decision to invest in NVIDIA is based on its strong ecosystem and the growing demand for AI technology [26][27] Market Trends - The electric vehicle market is seen as highly competitive, with many companies likely to fail due to lack of differentiation [30][31] - The potential for AI to disrupt traditional business models is acknowledged, with companies needing to innovate to survive [28][29] - The sustainability of companies like Tesla is questioned, with concerns about the long-term viability of the electric vehicle business model [29][30] Long-term Investment Strategy - The importance of understanding investment opportunities and aligning them with opportunity costs is emphasized [15][28] - Companies like Berkshire Hathaway are viewed as safer long-term investments due to their established business models and management culture [33][34] - The notion that age should not dictate retirement from investment is discussed, as long as one remains competent [13][34]

Core Insights - Xiaomi is focusing on building its AI capabilities, particularly in large models, as indicated by the recruitment efforts for key developers like Luo Fuli [3][4] - The company is investing heavily in GPU resources, with plans to establish a large GPU cluster to enhance its AI model development [4] - Xiaomi's financial performance in the AI and electric vehicle sectors shows significant revenue, with a reported income of RMB 213 billion in Q2 2025 [4] Group 1: Recruitment and Talent Acquisition - Luo Fuli, a key developer from DeepSeek, was reportedly offered a high salary by Xiaomi's founder Lei Jun to lead the AI model team [3] - There has been no official confirmation from Xiaomi regarding Luo Fuli's employment status, although she has expressed a desire for a quiet work environment [3] - Luo Fuli's recent academic and professional background highlights her as a prominent figure in AI research, potentially indicating her future role at Xiaomi [5][7] Group 2: Investment in AI Infrastructure - Xiaomi is actively building a GPU cluster to support its AI model development, starting with 6,500 GPU resources [4] - Lei Jun's leadership is pivotal in this initiative, emphasizing the importance of AI hardware in the company's strategy [4] - The establishment of this infrastructure is expected to significantly boost Xiaomi's research capabilities in AI [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Xiaomi reported RMB 213 billion in revenue from its innovative business segments, including smart electric vehicles and AI [4] - The revenue from smart electric vehicles was RMB 206 billion, with a gross margin of 26.4% for the innovative business segment [4] - Despite the revenue, the segment reported an operating loss of RMB 3 billion, indicating challenges in profitability [4]

Investment Philosophy - Buying stocks means buying companies, and understanding this concept is crucial for successful investing [5][6][7] - Investment is simple but not easy; it requires understanding the business and future cash flows [8][9] - The margin of safety in investing is not about price but about how well one understands the company [10][11] - Opportunity cost is a critical factor in investment decisions; one must always consider where the money could go instead [12] - Holding cash is uncomfortable for the company; a full investment strategy is preferred [13] - Long-term holding is an intention, but opportunity costs must always be calculated [14] - Investment decisions should be based on future cash flows rather than price-to-earnings ratios [15] Understanding Companies - Understanding a company is a gray area; many may not truly grasp the market dynamics [19][20] - Not understanding a company does not equate to not making money; however, repeating success is challenging [21] - It is advisable to avoid companies that one does not understand; investing in well-known entities like Berkshire Hathaway or S&P 500 is safer [26] Corporate Management - Quick exit from unsuitable investments is a good practice [28] - Trust in management is essential; decisions made by CEOs should be respected, and they should be held accountable [31][32] - Management alone cannot save a company; strategic and cultural issues must be addressed [34] Company Culture - A strong corporate culture guides a company back to its core values and mission [40][41] - A "not-to-do" list is essential for avoiding mistakes learned from past experiences [42][43] - Shared values among employees are crucial for a cohesive work environment [46] Company Analysis - Familiarity with companies like Apple, Tencent, and Moutai is beneficial for investment decisions [49][50] - Apple’s strong corporate culture and user experience focus are key strengths [51] - Moutai's unique flavor and consumer recognition are vital for its market position [56][58] AI and Technology - AI represents a significant industrial revolution, but it is accompanied by potential bubbles [45][46] - AI is a substantial leap in computing applications, fundamentally changing industries [46] - AI can create GDP growth but may also lead to job reductions in certain sectors [75]

Core Viewpoint - The Indian market has become a stronghold for domestic smartphone brands, capturing over 70% market share, while Apple is attempting to establish a foothold through local manufacturing and partnerships [2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Domestic smartphone brands like Xiaomi, OPPO, VIVO, and Transsion dominate the Indian market, with Samsung struggling to compete [2]. - Apple has started manufacturing iPhones in India, contributing to 15-20% of global production, and is now supplying all iPhones for the U.S. market from India [3]. - By Q3 2025, Apple is projected to hold 28% of the sales revenue in the Indian smartphone market, making it the top brand by revenue [4]. Group 2: Sales and Market Share - In terms of revenue, India has become Apple's third-largest single smartphone market after the U.S. and China, despite its unit sales ranking fifth with only 10% market share [5]. - The smartphone shipment data for Q3 2025 shows the following market shares: - Vivo: 20% (9.7 million units) - Samsung: 14% (6.8 million units) - Xiaomi: 13% (6.5 million units) - OPPO: 13% (6.5 million units) - Apple: 10% (4.9 million units) - Others: 29% (14.0 million units) [6]. Group 3: Competitive Pressure - Domestic brands face increasing pressure as Apple rapidly gains market share and revenue, potentially threatening their positions in the Indian market [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company,追觅, is aggressively expanding beyond its original cleaning appliance business into various sectors, including automotive, drones, smartphones, and space exploration, driven by the unclear future of its core business and increasing competition in the home appliance market [2][6][12]. Group 1: Expansion into New Industries - In August, 追觅 announced its entry into the drone industry, followed by plans to launch its first smartphone, Dreame Space, in September [2]. - The company has also established a business unit focused on astronomy, aiming to develop intelligent astronomical optical systems and explore asteroid mining [2][3]. - 追觅's ambition includes creating a comprehensive ecosystem that spans from smart home devices to outdoor electric vehicles and even aerospace technologies [11]. Group 2: Challenges in Core Business - The cleaning appliance market is growing, with projections indicating an increase from 20 billion yuan in 2019 to 42.3 billion yuan by 2024, but competition is fierce, and 追觅's market share has dropped significantly [6][12]. - As of early 2025, 追觅's market share in the cleaning appliance sector fell to 7.5%, a decrease of 45.27 percentage points year-on-year, despite revenue reaching 15 billion yuan in 2024 [6][12]. - The company faces challenges in penetrating established markets dominated by brands like Haier, Midea, and Gree, which collectively hold 70% of the high-end appliance market [6][12]. Group 3: Financial Aspects and Investment Strategy - In the first half of 2025, 追觅 reported revenue of 9.855 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.002 billion yuan, with a net profit growth rate of 41.35%, outpacing revenue growth [13]. - The company plans to leverage its ODM (Original Design Manufacturer) business to support its self-research automotive projects, indicating a dual approach to funding its ventures [15][16]. - 追觅's automotive division has reportedly secured over 15 billion yuan in orders, with interest from 54 dealers across 22 countries, suggesting a shift in focus towards international markets [16][17]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Market Trends - The global space economy is projected to grow from $596 billion in 2024 to $944 billion by 2033, while the robotics market is expected to exceed $400 billion by 2029, indicating significant growth potential in these sectors [9]. - However, 追觅's entry into the drone and space markets faces stiff competition, particularly from established players like DJI, which has a substantial market presence and extensive patent portfolio [19][21]. - The company’s strategy to diversify into multiple sectors may be a response to the declining investment interest in the automotive sector, as funding is increasingly directed towards advanced manufacturing and artificial intelligence [26][29].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that the shortened delivery cycle for Xiaomi's SU7 Pro/Max indicates a consistent and robust execution in enhancing manufacturing capabilities, reinforcing their previous view that the tax subsidy announced on October 24 reflects Xiaomi's confidence in increasing production capacity [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on Xiaomi with a 12-month target price of HKD 56.5 [1] - The report highlights Xiaomi's strong balance sheet and robust ecosystem integration capabilities as key factors for long-term competitiveness in the electric vehicle sector [1] Group 2: Industry Position - Xiaomi's scale and deep involvement in the electric vehicle supply chain provide cost advantages that enhance its attractiveness in the market [1] - The company is positioned to leverage its interconnected consumer devices to establish one of the largest consumer-grade smart ecosystems globally [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) is a highly open and economically vibrant region in China, contributing approximately 1/9 of the national economic output with only 0.6% of the country's land area [1][2]. Group 1: Innovation and R&D - The GBA has emerged as a leading innovation hub, with the Shenzhen-Hong Kong-Guangzhou innovation cluster ranking first in the World Intellectual Property Organization's "World's Top 100 Innovation Clusters" [4]. - In the first three quarters of this year, GBA listed companies invested a total of 237.31 billion yuan in R&D, accounting for 20.69% of all A-share companies' R&D expenses, indicating that 1 out of every 5 yuan spent on R&D in the A-share market comes from the GBA [4]. - BYD leads all A-share companies with R&D expenses of 43.75 billion yuan, focusing on advanced technologies such as fast-charging batteries and next-generation power chips [4]. Group 2: Industry Upgrading and New Growth Areas - The GBA is a key player in nurturing new productive forces, achieving breakthroughs in emerging sectors such as autonomous driving, low-altitude economy, and robotics [7]. - Companies like WeRide and Pony.ai have successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with WeRide operating in 30 cities across 11 countries and Pony.ai focusing on local operations [7]. - The establishment of the "Air-Ground Integrated Smart AI Ecosystem Alliance" indicates a significant market potential in the low-altitude economy and robotics, projected to exceed one trillion yuan in the next five years [7]. Group 3: Global Expansion - GBA listed companies are increasingly pursuing internationalization, with total overseas revenue reaching 955.60 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, accounting for 19.5% of all A-share companies' overseas revenue [11]. - BYD achieved overseas revenue of 135.36 billion yuan, marking a 50.49% year-on-year increase, and has ambitious plans for further international expansion [11]. - Transsion Holdings has captured over 40% of the African smartphone market by focusing on differentiated imaging technology, showcasing a successful model for international market penetration [12]. Group 4: Upcoming Events - The 20th China Economic Forum will take place on November 18 in the Nansha Economic and Technological Development Zone, focusing on technology innovation and financial integration [17][18].

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group's electric vehicle momentum exceeds expectations, with Q3 deliveries reaching approximately 110,000 units, and the business may turn profitable [1] - Despite delays in the approval of the second factory in Beijing, Q4 delivery volumes are expected to rise further due to healthy demand and the launch of a new large SUV in the coming year [1] - The company anticipates a 23% increase in electric vehicle shipments by 2027, with an expected net profit margin of 4.5% in the second half of 2027 [1] Financial Adjustments - The investment bank has revised its operating profit forecasts for Xiaomi's core business down by 2% and 1% for 2026 and 2027, respectively, while maintaining a "neutral" rating and lowering the target price from HKD 60 to HKD 50 [1] - The decline in core business profitability is more severe than previously anticipated, attributed to slowing growth in the domestic smartphone market, a pullback in IoT demand after a peak, and rising component costs impacting gross margins [1] - Core profitability is expected to remain under pressure for the next two to three quarters, with significant year-on-year growth likely not resuming until the second half of next year [1]

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group's electric vehicle momentum exceeds expectations, with third-quarter deliveries reaching approximately 110,000 units, and the business may turn profitable [1] - Despite delays in the approval of the second factory in Beijing, fourth-quarter deliveries are expected to rise further due to healthy demand and the launch of a new large SUV next year [1] - The company anticipates a 23% increase in electric vehicle shipments by 2027, with an expected net profit margin of 4.5% in the second half of 2027 [1] Financial Adjustments - The firm has revised down its operating profit forecasts for Xiaomi's core business by 2% and 1% for 2026 and 2027, respectively, maintaining a "neutral" rating and lowering the target price from HKD 60 to HKD 50 [1] - The decline in core business profitability is more severe than previously anticipated, attributed to slowing growth in the domestic smartphone market, a pullback in IoT demand after a seasonal peak, and rising component costs impacting gross margins [1] - Core earnings are expected to remain under pressure for the next two to three quarters, with significant year-on-year growth likely not resuming until the second half of next year [1]