AI驱动PCB爆火，湖北黄石冲出一家IPO，3年收入超100亿，负债率较高 原创 阅读全文 格隆汇新股 ...

（原标题：和讯投顾张平：缩量阳，还能涨么？又到变盘周！） A股冰火两重天，电力批量涨停，稳定币金融再创高点，但是科技却出现了全面回落，PCB CPU都在调 整，业绩难道不管用了吗？ 和讯投顾张平分析称，今天整个市场如果没有金融和电力的支撑，A股的上证指数涨不起来。那么为什 么出现这种情况？第一个叫周线13周调整来了，比如上周正好是13周达到相对高的一个位置，这是为什 么老鹰说周一周二周三三天你要提高警惕的原因。之前你可能觉得听完我的还有点犹豫，你看我们现在 判断都已经很准确了，但是呢A股最大的特征在于以日线级别的这样一个进攻，丝毫没有减弱。我们之 前说的剑指3600仍在进行当中，而且它是触碰一下这个3500这个位置就差三个点，差一点他就调了。那 为什么这样？解释为第一层就是缩量。我们都平常说放量进攻，你看上个交易日放量了，我说了放量就 调，它是持续的稳定的量能才是有效的，单独的量能没用。 回过头来，日线级别就这意思，周线级别上周13周，现在 PCB等等面临着这样一个调整，那么整个市 场后面靠谁？就靠金融。有人说金融涨的多了这个要调那市场就下来了，不像大家想的你想让哪个调， 说涨的多他就调他不调，调了它就下来。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Junya Electronics Technology Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit for three consecutive years, with a reported loss in 2024, primarily due to challenges in the printed circuit board (PCB) sector [2][18]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue from PCB products decreased from 2.34 billion yuan in 2022 to 2.08 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a downward trend in profitability [2][16]. - The gross profit margin for PCB products dropped from 16.14% in 2023 to 9.30% in 2024, indicating significant pressure on margins [16][17]. - The company reported a total revenue of 2.20 billion yuan in 2024, down from 2.30 billion yuan in 2023, with a total cost of 1.99 billion yuan [16][19]. Group 2: Customer and Supplier Dynamics - The top ten customers for 2024 accounted for 32.43% of total sales, with significant changes in customer composition due to market conditions [2][6]. - Major customers such as Weichuangli and Souluan experienced order declines due to inventory destocking in the overseas photovoltaic sector and international trade impacts [2][6]. - The top ten suppliers accounted for 50.14% of total purchases, with changes driven by procurement strategy adjustments and supplier performance [6][7]. Group 3: Production and Cost Structure - PCB production volume decreased from 3.11 million square meters in 2023 to 2.97 million square meters in 2024, while sales volume also declined [8][12]. - The cost structure for PCB products remained stable, with direct materials accounting for 66.06% of total costs in 2024, up from 64.37% in 2023 [8][12]. - The average procurement prices for key raw materials such as copper foil and gold salt increased, contributing to higher production costs [11][20]. Group 4: Industry Context - The global PCB market is projected to grow, with a forecasted value of $73.57 billion in 2024, driven by demand in sectors like AI and electric vehicles [13][17]. - The PCB industry faces intense competition, with over 2,200 manufacturers globally, leading to price erosion and margin pressures [14][15]. - Despite a recovery in the PCB market, the company struggles with specific customer demand and competitive pricing strategies, impacting overall profitability [20].

且从产能角度看，目前煤炭、钢铁等传统周期性行业的"落后产能"已基本出清完毕，加之上市公司并购重组/央国企整合也基本完 毕，行业集中度显著提升。在此背景下，通过行政手段进一步出清产能的空间已极为有限。 | | 一周策略前瞻 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 券商/分析师 结论 | | 逻辑 | 关注板块 | | | | 短期来看,全球市场定价核心在于7月9日美 国与各国贸易协定进展,此前美国总统特朗 普表示不考虑延长关税豁免最后期限,但此 | | | | | 种表态也可能是一种谈判策略,美国对部分 | | | | | 国家关税也有延期可能。上半年我国经济增 | 关注两条主线:1)中报业绩预期有望 | | 华西策略 | 下半年央行降准降息仍有空间,A | 长动能强劲,全年经济增速目标达成的压力 | 向好方向,如:风电、火电、机器人 | | | | | 等:2) 前期海外英伟达产业链突破新 | | 李立峰 | 股稳中向上趋势不变。 | 减轻。然而对于下半年而言，无论关税最终 | | | | | 结果如何,出口对增长的拉动力都会比上半 | 高,可期待国产链补涨行情。 | | | | ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [6] Core Insights - The GB300 is expected to start volume production in the second half of the year, with significant advancements in AI performance and capabilities [1][8] - The central government emphasizes high-quality development of the marine economy, with wind power generation rapidly increasing, accounting for over 12% of total power generation [2][10] - There is a strong growth in overseas AI demand, particularly from new enterprises, driving high capital expenditure in AI [3][14] Summary by Sections GB300 Launch - CoreWeave announced the first market delivery of the NVIDIA GB300 NVL72, featuring advanced AI performance with over exaflop capabilities and significant improvements in user response speed and throughput [1][8] Marine Economy Development - The central government is focusing on enhancing the marine economy through policy support and encouraging social capital participation, with wind power generation capacity rapidly increasing [2][10] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the AI capital expenditure and related sectors, highlighting the growth potential in the optical module industry and PCB supply chain [3][14] - Specific beneficiary stocks include NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication in the optical module sector, and China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Unicom in the telecommunications sector [3][16][17] - The marine economy sector is also highlighted, with companies like Zhongtian Technology and Hengtong Optic-Electric being potential beneficiaries [4][15]

电子周观点： GB300 开始出货，继续看好 AI-PCB 及核心算力硬件。7 月 3 日，美国 CoreWeave 公司在官网宣布，已收到市 场上首个英伟达 GB300 NVL72，PowerEdge XE9712 服务器是戴尔公司基于 Nvidia GB300 NVL72，专门为推 理任务设计的 AI 服务器，具备高效能、高密度加速技术，能提供 50 倍的 AI 推理输出并提升 5 倍的吞吐量， 适用于大规模 AI 部署的 LLM 训练和即时推论。采用液冷技术，实现节能运行。具备实时万亿参数 LLM 推理能 力，增强大规模 AI 模型训练。戴尔表示，采用创新的直接芯片冷却技术，最多可支持 192 个 Nvidia Blackwell Ultra GPU。我们认为，GB200 下半年迎来快速出货，GB300 也将快速上量，此外，B200、B300 也在积极拉 货，产业链迎来拉货旺季。谷歌、亚马逊、Meta 等公司 ASIC 芯片快速发展，我们预计 2026 年三家公司 ASIC 芯片的数量将超过 700 万颗，OpenAI 及 xAI 等厂商也在大力推进 ASIC 芯片。英伟达 Blackwell 的快速放 ...

Market Overview - The market is currently showing signs of weakness, with only around 1200 stocks in the green and many experiencing declines, indicating a potential retreat in market sentiment [1][2] - The index has struggled to break through the 3500 level, which is seen as a significant resistance point, requiring a trading volume of 1.8 trillion to 2 trillion for a successful breakout [2][3] Sector Analysis - The PCB sector has shown mixed performance, with some stocks experiencing gains while others faced declines, indicating a divergence between trend stocks and sentiment-driven stocks [3][4] - The chip sector is facing significant negative feedback, with many stocks hitting their lower limits, suggesting a potential downturn in this area [4] - The innovative drug sector has reached new highs, indicating strong market recognition and potential for continued upward movement [5] Investment Strategy - The recommendation is to focus on trend stocks within the PCB sector while treating sentiment-driven stocks with caution, possibly employing a strategy of buying on dips [4][5] - The steel sector is showing promise, with some stocks performing well, but there are concerns about the sustainability of this momentum given the current market conditions [7]

Market Overview - The main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets experienced a net outflow of 23.655 billion yuan, with the ChiNext board seeing a net outflow of 11.352 billion yuan and the CSI 300 index stocks experiencing a net outflow of 6.758 billion yuan [1] Stock Performance - Forest Packaging had the highest limit-up order volume, reaching 545,800 hands, followed by Jin Yi Culture, Huayin Power, and Shaan Energy with limit-up orders of 314,500 hands, 235,800 hands, and 214,800 hands respectively [2] - In terms of limit-up order funds, ten stocks had orders exceeding 100 million yuan, with Forest Packaging, Jin An Guo Ji, Hopson, and Huayin Power leading with 495 million yuan, 150 million yuan, 144 million yuan, and 144 million yuan respectively [2] Digital Currency Sector - The digital currency concept saw significant gains, with stablecoins, cross-border payments, and other fintech-related concepts rising on July 4 [3] - Companies like Desheng Technology are actively participating in digital currency projects, including the Beijing Minsheng Card, which integrates digital RMB [4] - Jingbeifang is involved in the system construction for digital currencies and is exploring stablecoin applications [4] Innovative Pharmaceuticals - Companies such as Seli Medical and Rejing Bio are making strides in innovative drug development, with Seli Medical's new drug application being accepted by the National Medical Products Administration [5] - Rejing Bio is focusing on antibody and nucleic acid drugs through strategic investments in innovative pharmaceutical companies [5] Printed Circuit Board (PCB) Industry - Jin An Guo Ji reported a revenue of 168 million yuan from its PCB business in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 32.81% [6] - Aoshikang specializes in high-precision PCB development and production, targeting high-value products in AI servers, automotive electronics, and high-frequency communication devices [7]

【环球网财经综合报道】4月9日以来，科技成长领域强势反弹。截至7月3日，PCB（印制电路板）指数涨幅超 50%，CPO概念（光电共封装技术）指数上涨近40%。其中，光模块企业新易盛，PCB公司胜宏科技、东山精密等 公司股价更是纷纷创出历史新高。 富国基金测算显示，经过近期修复，目前TMT板块整体估值修复至历史中枢位置，虽板块内部估值分化，计算 机、电子、传媒估值偏高，可能带来短期行情波动，但当前AI处于发展初期，估值容忍度较高。若后续AI产业链 业绩兑现，高估值有望被高业绩增速消化。 同时，机构密集调研科技细分领域。Choice数据显示，近一个月来，截至7月3日，半导体、计算机软件、光电子 器件等行业调研热度居前。调研纪要显示，业绩成为机构关注的核心要素。如7月1日，中欧基金、泉果基金、光 大保德信基金等调研东山精密，询问公司今年主要贡献利润的业务；6月13日至16日，华泰柏瑞基金、宏利基金、 财通基金等调研胜宏科技，关注公司订单情况。（南木） 重仓科技行业的基金也乘势而起，净值大幅反弹。4月9日至7月2日期间，永赢科技智选混合基金净值反弹 57.77%，中航机遇领航混合基金净值上涨56.66%，德邦鑫星价值 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the demand for PCB is recovering, driven by AI and high-speed communication innovations, leading to overall growth in PCB demand [2] - The AI server and switch market for M8 PCB is projected to have a market space of 50-60 billion by 2026, indicating a strong growth potential in the PCB industry [1] - The CSI Cloud Computing and Big Data Theme Index has seen a 0.73% increase, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Data Harbor (up 8.19%) and Runze Technology (up 5.69%) [1] Group 2 - The CSI Cloud Computing and Big Data Theme Index includes 50 companies involved in cloud computing and big data services, reflecting the overall performance of these sectors [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Cloud Computing and Big Data Theme Index account for 51.84% of the index, highlighting the concentration of performance among leading companies [2] - The domestic PCB manufacturers are gradually enhancing their position in the high-end market due to prior technological accumulation and improved product competitiveness [2]