图 1德林控股陈宁迪：美9月或降息，投资者应关注什么？ 美国劳工部公布，7月份消费物价指数（CPI）按年升幅维持2.7%，略低市场预期升2.8%，按月增幅从6 月的0.3%放慢至0.2%，与估算一致，期内扣除食品和能源的核心CPI按年升幅，由6月的2.9%加速到 3.1%，略多于预期的3%，按月亦加快至0.3%，增幅为1月以来最大，符预期。 美国7月份生产物价指数（PPI）按年升幅由6月的2.3%提速至3.3%，显著多过预期增长2.5%，按月升 0.9%，为2022年6月以来最急，远超预期增加0.2%。期内核心PPI按年增速自6月的2.6%加快至3.7%，高 于预期的3%升幅，按月增长0.9%，快过预期增长0.2%。美国上月服务价格急升1.1%。 美国最新出炉的7月份通胀显示在关税影响之下，整体物价依然受控，美国财长贝桑接受霍士财经访问 时暗示，美联储应对9月减息0.5%持开放态度。他于彭博电视访问中认为，现时利率太过具紧缩性，应 降低1.5至1.75%，相信9月有很大机会减息0.5%。交易员现时押注美联储9月有高达95%机会减息 0.25%。 日本内阁府公布，当地第二季国内生产总值（GDP）增加1%，好于市 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes Shenzhen's 45 years of development as a vibrant city born from reform and opening up, showcasing significant GDP growth and the emergence of globally influential companies like Huawei and Tencent [1] - Shenzhen has achieved over 1,000 national firsts and ranks among the top global innovation cities in terms of R&D investment intensity, establishing itself as a major source of technological innovation [1] - The city's achievements are attributed to continuous institutional innovation and expanding openness, fulfilling its role as a "testing ground" for reforms assigned by the central government [1] Group 2 - Recent policies from the Central Committee and State Council aim to deepen reform and expand openness in Shenzhen, introducing new reform measures and innovative experiments [2] - Shenzhen is positioned at a new starting point to deepen reforms and expand openness, focusing on system integration and efficiency, particularly in areas like cross-border data flow and intellectual property protection [3] - The city aims to accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system, contributing significantly to China's modernization efforts [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Ninth City (NCTY) has experienced a stock price increase of 4.14% on August 25, reaching $8.8 per share, with a total market capitalization of $124 million [1] Financial Performance - As of December 31, 2024, the total revenue of The Ninth City is projected to be 112 million RMB, representing a year-over-year decrease of 35.81% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -73.424 million RMB, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 467.06% [1] Company Background - The Ninth City Limited, listed on NASDAQ since 2004 under the stock code NCTY, is actively positioning itself as a diversified high-tech internet company [1] - Currently, the company is primarily focused on blockchain-related business activities [1]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance on August 25, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 1.94% and 3.14% respectively, led by major tech companies [1] - Notable gainers included Kuaishou-W and Alibaba-W, both increasing over 5%, while Meituan-W rose by more than 3% and Tencent Holdings increased by over 2% [1] ETF and Fund Performance - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) opened strongly and closed up 3.39%, reaching a historical high with a trading volume of 671 million yuan, indicating increased market activity [2] - The ETF has seen a net inflow of 448 million yuan over the past five days, bringing its total fund size to 8.289 billion yuan, also a record high [5] Influencing Factors - The market rally is attributed to several key factors, including expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, as indicated by Chairman Powell's comments on employment risks and inflation [4] - New regulations aimed at curbing "malicious competition" among internet platforms are expected to promote healthier market conditions [4] - Alibaba's restructuring of its business model to focus on four main segments is also seen as a positive catalyst for market sentiment [4] Sector Outlook - Analysts suggest that the internet sector is showing signs of valuation recovery, with leading companies experiencing significant market cap increases driven by profit recovery [4] - The positive earnings outlook for Hong Kong stocks, particularly in the "new economy" sector, is expected to improve ahead of A-shares [5] Index Performance - The China Securities Hong Kong Internet Index has outperformed the Hang Seng Tech Index, with a cumulative increase of over 35% year-to-date [7] - The top four holdings in the Hong Kong Internet ETF include Xiaomi Group-W, Tencent Holdings, Alibaba-W, and Meituan-W, collectively accounting for 54.74% of the fund [8]

Core Viewpoint - The majority of popular Chinese concept stocks experienced an increase, with notable gains from companies such as NetEase, Tencent Music, Baidu, Alibaba, and Pinduoduo, indicating a positive market sentiment towards these stocks [1] Company Performance - Pinduoduo reported a Q2 total revenue of 103.98 billion yuan (approximately 14.35 billion USD), reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7%, slightly above market expectations of 103.93 billion yuan [1] - The operating profit for Pinduoduo was 25.79 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 21% [1] - Pinduoduo's net profit was 30.75 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 4% [1] Management Insights - Pinduoduo's management emphasized their commitment to supporting merchants, suggesting that the current quarter's profit levels may not be sustainable [1] - The company prioritizes long-term investments that contribute to the platform's ecosystem over short-term profit, indicating a strategic focus on sustainable growth [1]

晨会聚焦 晨会纪要（R3） 晨会纪要 2025 年 08 月 25 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 3825.76 | 1.45 | | 深证成指 | 12166.06 | 2.07 | | 创业板指 | 2682.55 | 3.36 | | 科创 50 | 1247.86 | 8.59 | | 北证 50 | 1600.27 | 0.68 | | 沪深 300 | 4378.00 | 2.10 | 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 -5% 15% 35% 55% 2024-08 2024-11 2025-02 2025-05 上证指数 沪深300 | 何晨 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0530513080001 | | | hechen@hnchasing.com | | | 胡跃才 | 分析师 | | 执业证书编号:S0530525070001 | | | huyuecai@hnchasing.com | | 【债券研究】债券市场综述 二、重要财经资讯 【财经要闻】证监会修改证 ...

智通财经APP获悉，周一，热门中概股多数上涨，截至发稿，网易(NTES.US)涨超4%，腾讯音乐 (TME.US)涨超3.6%，百度(BIDU.US)涨超3%，阿里巴巴(BABA.US)涨超2.3%。拼多多(PDD.US)涨超 2.5%，拼多多二季度营收增速小幅放缓，但得益于营销费用的控制，公司净利润降幅大幅收窄，整体 业绩好于预期。Q2总收入1039.8亿元(143.5亿美元)，同比增长7%，市场预估1,039.3亿元。营业利润 257.9亿元，同比下降21%；净利润307.5亿元人民币，同比下降4%。拼多多管理层在电话会上强调，接 下来公司将持续加大对商家的支持，因此不认为这个季度的利润可以持续。"相较于短期业绩，我们更 加关注可以为平台生态带来长期回报的投入。这也是我们甘于牺牲利润，长期坚持反哺生态的原因。" ...

每经AI快讯，8月25日，多数中概股走强。阿里巴巴涨2.9%，拼多多涨4.3%，网易涨4.6%，百度涨 3.5%。京东涨1.7%，理想汽车涨1.8%，蔚来涨1.3%。 ...

每经AI快讯，铜牛信息（SZ 300895，收盘价：54.79元）8月25日晚间发布公告称，公司第五届第十七 次董事会会议于2025年8月25日以现场和通讯相结合的方式召开。会议审议了《关于2025年半年度报告 及其摘要的议案》等文件。 2024年1至12月份，铜牛信息的营业收入构成为：互联网行业占比58.97%，其他占比28.15%，金融行业 占比8.82%，政府事业单位占比4.06%。 截至发稿，铜牛信息市值为77亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——A股成交连续8天破2万亿元，券商招聘也来了！行业巨头秋招"求才"，25个 岗位都有什么特点？ （记者 张喜威） ...

Market Outlook and Strategy - The improvement in liquidity narrative is expected to support a rebound in the Hong Kong stock market, narrowing the gap with the rapidly rising A-share market [1][3] - The current earnings forecast rate for Hong Kong stocks is at its highest since 2022, indicating a positive outlook for earnings improvement [1][6] - It is recommended to focus on sectors that differ from A-shares, with a suggested investment sequence of innovative drugs first, followed by the internet sector, and finally new consumption [1][7] Sector Recommendations - Recommended sectors include innovative drugs, internet, and non-bank financials, with specific indices provided for each [1][9] - The innovative drug sector is highlighted due to alleviated liquidity risks and high growth potential [9] - The internet sector is seen as having fully priced in earnings pressures, making it a potential area for growth in a loosening liquidity environment [9] - Non-bank financials are considered a good base choice in a bull market, with valuations significantly lower than A-shares, indicating potential for catch-up [9] Performance Review - The Hong Kong stock market saw a slight increase last week, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.27% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.89% [12][15] - The AH premium index expanded to 125.33, reflecting positive market sentiment [12] - The majority of sectors experienced gains, particularly non-essential consumption, information technology, and telecommunications, while materials, energy, and utilities lagged [15] Micro Liquidity Analysis - Average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong market reached 280.3 billion HKD, indicating a significant increase in trading activity [18] - There was a net inflow of 179 billion HKD from southbound funds, primarily directed towards financial, information technology, and healthcare sectors [29] - Local ETFs saw a net inflow of 5.5 billion HKD last week, contributing to a total net inflow of 45.1 billion HKD year-to-date [24][27] Earnings Disclosure - As of August 25, 2023, 699 Hong Kong-listed companies have issued earnings warnings, with 41% indicating positive earnings revisions, the highest rate in three years [6][8] - The technology, pharmaceutical, and new consumption sectors in Hong Kong have a higher representation compared to A-shares, suggesting potential for continued earnings improvement [6] Valuation Levels - The forward P/E ratio for the Hang Seng Index is currently at 11.6X, placing it in the 69.3 percentile since 2020, while the Hang Seng Tech Index stands at 19.3X, in the 24.6 percentile since its inception [33][35]