Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the negative impact of Trump's tariff policies on the U.S. economy, highlighting criticism from former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who argues that these policies are detrimental to American interests and ultimately harm U.S. businesses and consumers [1][6][20]. Economic Impact - Since the implementation of tariffs, U.S. economic growth has slowed, with a reported contraction of 0.3% in the first quarter of the year, marking the worst performance since the COVID-19 pandemic began [2][5]. - The tariffs have led to a surge in imports as companies stockpile goods, resulting in a record trade deficit of $162 billion in March, the highest since the 1990s [3][5]. - This "preemptive stocking" has temporarily boosted inventory investment but has drained future demand, leading to reduced new orders and consumer purchasing power [3][5]. Trade Relations - The retaliatory tariffs imposed by the EU and Japan have adversely affected U.S. agricultural exports, particularly soybeans, which saw a decline in export volumes [5][6]. - Yellen emphasizes that the ongoing tariff war will only exacerbate the economic challenges faced by the U.S., as multiple vulnerabilities are tied to reliance on China [6][20]. Key Vulnerabilities - The U.S. is heavily dependent on China for rare earth elements, with China controlling 70% of global rare earth mining and 90% of refining, which are critical for various industries including technology and defense [8][16]. - The tariffs have disrupted supply chains, with U.S. manufacturers facing increased costs and quality issues due to reliance on Chinese components [11][13]. - The high demand for Chinese products means that tariffs ultimately burden U.S. companies, as they are forced to absorb the additional costs [14][16]. Recommendations - Yellen advocates for a cessation of the tariff policies and a restoration of trade relations with China, arguing that collaboration in future industries like clean energy and artificial intelligence is essential for U.S. economic growth [18][20]. - The article suggests that continuing the current approach could isolate the U.S. internationally, as allies may shift their alliances towards China [19][20].

Investment News - Major investment firms such as BlackRock, Temasek, Sequoia Capital, and others have recently shown interest in companies like Luxshare Precision, Anker Innovations, and Crystal Optoelectronics, indicating that core competitiveness and global operational capabilities are crucial for companies to navigate through challenging external environments [6] - As of the end of Q1, insurance funds were among the top ten shareholders in over 700 stocks, with the highest holdings in banking stocks, followed by transportation, real estate, telecommunications, and public utilities sectors [6] - Data shows that 65 fund companies with year-on-year data achieved a total operating income of 105.17 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.27% year-on-year, while net profit reached 30.49 billion yuan, an increase of 3.09% year-on-year [6] - Guandao Digital, listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, will be marked as "*ST Guandao" after receiving an audit opinion that could not express an opinion on its 2024 annual report, potentially marking the first true delisting stock on the exchange [6] Company Developments - Apple plans to adjust the iPhone release schedule next year to manage its expanding product line, with a foldable iPhone potentially launching alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series in 2026 [8] - Tesla announced its commitment to a vision-based processing solution, emphasizing that advanced technology does not require expensive sensors, aiming to make safe and intelligent products affordable for everyone [8] - Neta Auto has faced issues with its app going offline, leading to user complaints and trending discussions on social media platforms [8] International Dynamics - The U.S. oil futures market saw a significant drop, with WTI crude oil opening down 3.7% and Brent crude oil down 3.5%, following OPEC+ members' agreement to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June [9] - Japan's Ministry of Internal Affairs reported a decrease of 350,000 children aged 15 and under, marking a continuous decline for 44 years, with the total number now at 13.66 million [9]

Core Viewpoint - The export chain of listed companies in Q1 2025 is expected to perform well, driven by factors such as foreign trade enterprises "grabbing exports," accelerated expansion of mid-to-high-end products in overseas markets, and the ongoing efforts of the "Belt and Road" initiative. The net profit growth rate of the export chain in Q1 2025 is projected to be 15.33%, a significant increase of 14.54 percentage points compared to 2024A [1]. Group 1: Export Chain Performance - The net profit growth rate of the export chain in Q1 2025 is 15.33%, up from 0.80% in 2024A, outperforming the overall non-financial A-share market, which saw a decline of 12.94% [1]. - The export chain's performance indicates strong support from external demand over the past six months [1]. Group 2: Industry Overseas Revenue Proportion - As of the end of 2024, the highest overseas revenue proportion is in the electronics industry at 41.7%, followed by home appliances at 38.5% [2]. - Industries with over 20% overseas revenue proportions include automotive (26.5%), machinery manufacturing (23.8%), and light industry manufacturing (22.5%) [2]. - The light industry manufacturing sector saw a significant increase in overseas revenue proportion, rising by 4.76 percentage points compared to 2023 [2]. Group 3: Trends in Overseas Revenue - Since 2018, sectors such as automotive, personal care, and machinery have rapidly increased their overseas revenue proportions, reflecting a trend towards high-end, intelligent, and green exports [2]. - The electronics and communications sectors have experienced a noticeable decline in overseas revenue proportions due to geopolitical issues [2]. Group 4: Industry-Specific Developments - In 2024, industries such as non-ferrous metals and mid-to-high-end manufacturing have made significant progress in overseas business, with notable increases in overseas revenue proportions [4]. - The sectors with the most substantial marginal improvements in overseas revenue proportions include other electronics (+15.06 percentage points) and home goods (+9.23 percentage points) [4]. Group 5: Exposure to International Markets - The report categorizes industries based on their exposure to various international markets, highlighting those with high exposure to the U.S. and those with declining exposure [6]. - Industries currently with high exposure to the U.S. include home appliances, medical devices, and computer equipment, while sectors like communications and media have seen a decrease in U.S. exposure [6].

随着美国所谓"对等关税"政策再现波动，全球资金再度聚焦产业链韧性与出口型企业的应对策略。 券商中国记者注意到，贝莱德、淡马锡、红杉资本、中欧基金、中金公司、花旗等海内外头部机构，近期出现 在立讯精密、安克创新、水晶光电等电子元件企业的调研名单中。 面对美国所谓"对等关税"政策的不确定性，机构投资者的关注重点集中于企业的应对策略。多家公司表示，尽 管外部环境持续扰动，但真正决定企业能否穿越周期的，仍是其核心竞争力与全球化运营能力。 贝莱德、淡马锡等调研立讯精密 日前，立讯精密举办的投资者调研会议吸引了超过500家机构参与，涵盖贝莱德、南方基金、摩根士丹利、红 杉资本、交通银行、淡马锡、高毅资产、招商银行等众多头部机构。 作为精密制造领域的领军企业，立讯精密长期专注于消费电子、汽车和通信等行业。公司产品覆盖消费电子、 汽车、通信、工业及医疗等多个领域，为客户提供一站式、多品类的核心零部件、模组及系统级产品解决方 案。 在调研会议上，有投资者提问，越南目前面临的美国所谓"对等关税"政策是加征较高关税，公司如何考虑新安 排？对此，立讯精密回应称，消费电子很多产能在越南制造有非常高的性价比，这个价值更多体现在品牌客户 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨电子元件 [Table_Title] 从苹果财报看关税对果链的影响与投资机遇 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 北京时间 5 月 2 日，苹果发布 2025 财年第二季度报告，报告期内苹果公司实现营业收入 954 亿美元，同比增长5.08%，实现净利润248亿美元，同比增长4.84%，单二季度毛利率为47.05%， 同比略有提升，公司在业绩说明会给出 FY2025Q3 季度指引：收入预计实现 0%-5%增长，毛 利率为 45.5%-46.5%，包括因关税相关成本的 9 亿美元影响，运营费用为 153-155 亿美元。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 蔡少东 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490522090001 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 1 电子元件 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 从苹果财报看关税对果链的影响与投资机遇 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 北京时间 5 月 2 日，苹果发布 2025 财年第二季度报告，报告期内苹果公司实现营业收入 954 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 公司研究丨点评报告丨景旺电子（603228.SH） [Table_Title] 景旺电子 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评：深 耕汽车，拥抱 AI 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 景旺电子发布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报：2024 年，公司实现营业收入 126.59 亿元，同比增 长 17.68%；实现归母净利润 11.69 亿元，同比增长 24.86%；实现毛利率和净利率 22.73%和 9.16%，分别同比-0.44pct 和+0.69pct。2025 年一季度，公司实现营业收入 33.43 亿元，同比 增长 21.90%；实现归母净利润 3.25 亿元，同比增长 2.18%；实现毛利率和净利率 20.78%和 9.87%，分别同比-3.83pct 和-1.70pct。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 SAC：S0490517070012 SFC：BUW100 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 景旺电子发布 2024 年报及 2025 ...

Group 1: Social Security Fund Holdings - The Social Security Fund entered the top ten circulating shareholders of 215 A-share listed companies in the first quarter [1] - Zhongtong Bus had the highest number of new holdings by the Social Security Fund, with 3 new positions [1] - Other companies with 2 new holdings include Lens Technology, Inner Mongolia First Machinery, Anke Intelligent Electric, and several others [1] Group 2: Zhongtong Bus - Zhongtong Bus saw a new holding value of 137 million yuan from the Social Security Fund in Q1 [1] - The company reported a net profit of 76.51 million yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 80.52% [2] - The company has ongoing international orders, including 895 electric buses for Chile, with 300 delivered and the rest expected in Q2 [2] Group 3: Lens Technology - Lens Technology had a new holding value of 1.088 billion yuan from the Social Security Fund in Q1 [3] - The company reported Q1 revenue of 17.063 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.10%, and a net profit of 429 million yuan, up 38.71% [3] - Growth is expected from new product structures and increased demand in various sectors, including smartphones and electric vehicles [3] Group 4: Inner Mongolia First Machinery - Inner Mongolia First Machinery had a new holding value of 295 million yuan from the Social Security Fund in Q1 [4] - The company reported a net profit of 186 million yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 11.03% [4] - The company is expanding its military trade product system and has developed new products for international markets [4] Group 5: Anke Intelligent Electric - Anke Intelligent Electric had a new holding value of 251 million yuan from the Social Security Fund in Q1 [4] - The company reported a net profit of 43.72 million yuan in Q1, a year-on-year decrease of 28.92% [4] - The company is actively pursuing international cooperation following discussions at the Dubai Power Exhibition [4]

[Table_Summary] 东山精密发布 2025 年一季报：2025 年一季度，公司实现营业收入 86.02 亿元，同比增长 11.07%；实现归母净利润 4.56 亿元，同比增长 57.55%。从盈利能力来看，2025 年一季度， 公司分别实现毛利率和净利率 14.13%和 5.31%，分别同比+0.53pct 和 1.57pct。 分析师及联系人 丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨东山精密（002384.SZ） [Table_Title] 东山精密 2025 年一季报点评：业绩大幅增长， 光电显示与精密制造持续向好 报告要点 [Table_Author] 杨洋 高伊楠 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490517060001 SFC：BUW100 SFC：BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 东山精密（002384.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 东山精密 2025 2] 年一季报点评：业绩大幅增长， 光电显示与精密制造持续向好 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司基础 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨生益科技（600183.SH） [Table_Title] 生益科技 2025 年一季报点评：AI 赋能成长，业 绩步入高增 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 生益科技发布 2025 年一季报：2025 年一季度，公司实现营业收入 56.11 亿元，同比增长 26.86%；实现归母净利润 5.64 亿元，同比增长 43.76%。从盈利能力来看，2025 年一季度， 公司分别实现毛利率和净利率 24.60%和 11.31%，分别同比+3.30pct 和+2.18pct。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 SAC：S0490517070012 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 生益科技（600183.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 生益科技 2025 2] 年一季报点评：AI 赋能成长，业 绩步入高增 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 生益科技发布 2025 年一季报：2025 年一季度，公司实现营业收入 56.11 亿元，同比增长 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in Q1 2025, achieving operating revenue of 4.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 491 million yuan, up 29.47% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 24.74% and 10.29%, reflecting a year-on-year change of -0.45 percentage points and +0.71 percentage points respectively [2][5]. - The growth in performance is attributed to the increasing demand in high-speed network communication, computing power, and server-related sectors, as well as the ongoing trends in electric and intelligent vehicles. The company is expected to benefit from structural opportunities in the downstream market, particularly in the PCB business, driven by AI and intelligent driving [11]. - The company is focusing on strategic customer development and product introduction in the PCB sector, particularly in data centers and automotive electronics, while also enhancing its capabilities in the packaging substrate business [11]. Financial Performance and Forecast - For the fiscal year 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.531 billion yuan, with expected profits of 3.034 billion yuan and 3.549 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027 respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are estimated to be 21.89, 18.27, and 15.61 [11][18].