Core Viewpoint - The report from Guojin Securities highlights that the rapid rise in prices within traditional industries is driven by the high returns from AI, which is reallocating resources and creating supply gaps. The industry is currently in a stocking phase, further catalyzing price increases, particularly in electronic materials [1]. Group 1: Impact of AI on Traditional Industries - AI is attracting capital due to its high return potential, leading to a significant reallocation of resources from traditional sectors, creating supply shortages [2]. - The competition in the industry is intensifying as companies upgrade their capacities to maintain technological advantages, resulting in a rapid evolution of the sector [2]. - Traditional capacities being directly squeezed by AI include storage, electronic fabrics, optical fibers, CTE electronic fabrics, CCL, CPUs, copper foils, packaging, passive components, power supplies, PCBs, and ATE [2]. Group 2: Specific Industry Insights - In storage, HBM is consuming wafer capacity at a much higher rate than traditional DRAM [3]. - For electronic fabrics, low-dk/low-cte/Q fabrics are taking over the capacity of 7628/thin/ultra-thin fabrics due to longer ordering cycles [3]. - AI data centers are consuming optical fiber capacity, particularly G.652D, due to a shortage of optical preform rods [4]. Group 3: Price Increases and Market Dynamics - The price increases in traditional sectors are occurring rapidly, with examples including DDR4 and LPDDR4 prices rising since May 2025, and ordinary electronic fabrics experiencing multiple price hikes throughout 2025 and early 2026 [10][11]. - The stocking behavior in the electronic materials supply chain is accelerating price increases, as companies anticipate further price hikes and react by increasing their inventory [11].

【国联民生电子】PCB更新-0224 领导好，假期海外市场PCB板块表现较好，给您汇报如下： ➠昨日台股开盘欣兴大涨10%，受T-glass短缺及铜价上涨影响，载板涨价持续；随着算力芯片性能提高叠加大尺寸 封装趋势，载板层数和面积持续增加，生产壁垒增加，供给缺口或27年进一步扩大； ➠建议关注受益#BT载板缺货涨价+ABF有望形成突破的深南、兴森，以及T-glass供应商宏和 ➠除欣兴外，台玻今日亦大涨10%，台媒报道在25年涨价50%的基础上，电子布月度价格继续上调10-15%；继2月 电子布单价突破5元后，3月有望上涨至6元，涨价趋势强劲。 ➠建议关注涨价弹性较大的# 宏和科技、中国巨石等 【国联民生电子】PCB更新-0224 领导好，假期海外市场PCB板块表现较好，给您汇报如下： ➠昨日台股开盘欣兴大涨10%，受T-glass短缺及铜价上涨影响，载板涨价持续；随着算力芯片性能提高叠加大尺寸 封装趋势，载板层数和面积持续增加，生产壁垒增加，供给缺口或27年进一步扩大； ➠建议关注受益#BT载板缺货涨价+ABF有望形成突破的深南、兴森，以及T-glass供应商宏和 ➠除欣兴外，台玻今日 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the semiconductor industry, particularly in the AI and HPC sectors, indicating a strong demand that supports revenue growth [2][5]. Core Insights - TSMC reported a record revenue of NT$401.26 billion in January 2026, a year-on-year increase of 36.8%, driven by strong demand in AI servers, HPC, and cloud data centers [2][5]. - The advanced packaging capacity remains tight, which is a key factor supporting revenue growth [5]. - The report highlights that the AI sector continues to drive demand, with companies like Xinxia and JY Electronics also reporting significant revenue increases [2][5][20]. Summary by Sections AI Sector - TSMC's revenue growth is attributed to the sustained demand for AI servers and advanced process technologies, maintaining high utilization rates [5]. - Xinxia's revenue reached NT$900 million in January 2026, up 28.5% year-on-year, reflecting the strong demand for server management chips [7]. - JY Electronics reported a revenue of NT$3.37 billion, a 41% increase year-on-year, driven by the rising complexity and demand for AI-related testing [8]. Mature Process - UMC, World Advanced, and PSMC reported revenues of NT$20.86 billion, NT$4.01 billion, and NT$4.62 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 5%, 18%, and 26% [16]. - PSMC's revenue reached a 39-month high, driven by rising prices in memory wafer foundry and increased demand for logic foundry [16]. Storage - Nanya Technology, Winbond, and Macronix reported revenues of NT$15.31 billion, NT$11.78 billion, and NT$3.02 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 608%, 94%, and 51% [17]. - Nanya indicated that various DRAM products may remain tight due to limited new capacity, particularly DDR4 and LPDDR4 [17]. End-Side Chips - MediaTek's revenue was NT$46.98 billion, down 8% year-on-year, with expectations of a significant decline in mobile terminal demand due to rising costs [18]. - The Smart Edge business is expected to grow, with data center ASIC revenue projected to exceed USD 1 billion in 2026 [20]. Passive Components - Yageo reported a revenue of NT$13.03 billion, a 27% year-on-year increase, driven by strong demand from AI-related applications [20].

事件：公司公告 25 年业绩预增：归母净利 31.5-33.4 亿同比+68.0%～78.0%， 扣非归母净利 29.9-31.7 亿同比+72.0%～82.0%。结合行业和公司近况，我们 点评如下： ❑ 风险提示：同行竞争加剧、算力客户开拓及订单导入不及预期，产能扩张不 及预期。 财务数据与估值 证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2026 年 02 月 04 日 深南电路（002916.SZ） Q4 环降源于新产能爬坡、费用增加，静待 H1 业绩环比高增 TMT 及中小盘/电子 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 13526 | 17907 | 23817 | 32153 | 43406 | | 同比增长 | -3% | 32% | 33% | 35% | 35% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 1398 | 2028 | 3530 | 6114 | 8921 | | 同比增长 | -19% | 45% | 74% | 73% | 46% | | ...

Group 1 - The PCB sector has achieved significant excess returns driven by AI demand and technological upgrades from major companies like Nvidia, Amazon, and Google, with a year-to-date increase of 150%, leading the electronic sub-sector [3][22] - In 2026, AI demand for PCB is expected to continue growing rapidly, with supply tightness persisting, particularly in high-end HDI and multilayer boards, as well as in domestic high-end substrate breakthroughs [3][6] - The overall PCB market is projected to grow from $849 billion in 2025 to between $940 billion and $980 billion in 2026, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [6][12] Group 2 - The PCB industry is currently in an expansion phase, with strong downstream AI computing demand, despite anticipated weakness in mobile and automotive sectors in 2026 [5][12] - Inventory levels in Taiwan and mainland China have shown an upward trend, indicating increased stocking by downstream manufacturers due to strong AI demand [5][6] - The overall capacity utilization rate for PCB manufacturers in the second half of 2025 is between 93% and 97%, with optimistic order visibility extending beyond three months for leading manufacturers [6][12] Group 3 - The demand for high-end HDI and multilayer boards is rapidly increasing, with supply constraints and accelerated capacity expansion expected to benefit manufacturers with advanced technology [7][12] - The AI-driven trend is pushing for upgrades in PCB specifications, particularly in consumer electronics and automotive sectors, with a focus on innovations from companies like Apple and OpenAI [8][12] - The market for high-speed CCL is anticipated to grow significantly, with projections of around $8 billion in 2026 and a CAGR of 40% from 2024 to 2027 [9][12] Group 4 - The upstream materials for CCL, including copper foil, resin, and fiberglass cloth, are experiencing significant upgrades and supply tightness, driven by AI demand [10][12] - The equipment sector is expected to benefit from the expansion of PCB production, with high demand for advanced equipment driving rapid growth for domestic manufacturers [11][12] - The overall investment strategy for 2026 suggests focusing on sectors like computing boards, CCL, upstream materials, and domestic equipment manufacturers, as the AI-driven innovation cycle is expected to last longer and create broader market demand [12][12]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of mid-to-high-end PCB capacity and the rising demand for advanced packaging, leading to a significant increase in its direct imaging equipment sales [4][5]. - The company's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated to be 309 million, 427 million, and 543 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 92.6%, 37.8%, and 27.2% [4][5]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected to grow from 829 in 2023 to 2,507 in 2027, with a CAGR of 29.9% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 179 million in 2023 to 543 million in 2027, with a peak growth rate of 92.6% in 2025 [2]. - Earnings per share are forecasted to rise from 1.36 yuan in 2023 to 4.12 yuan in 2027 [2]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 41% by 2027, after a dip in 2024 [2]. Industry and Company Situation - The company is the global leader in PCB direct imaging equipment, holding a 15% market share in 2024 [7]. - The direct imaging technology eliminates the need for traditional mask processes, enhancing production efficiency and profitability for downstream companies [36]. - The global market for direct imaging equipment is projected to grow from approximately 11.2 billion yuan in 2024 to 19 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 9.2% [40]. - The demand for high-end PCBs is driven by sectors such as AI servers and smart driving, leading to a structural growth in the PCB industry [50][52]. Product and Technology Development - The company covers a wide range of applications in micro-nano processing, including PCB, IC substrates, and advanced packaging [14][16]. - The direct imaging technology allows for finer line widths and higher precision, meeting the increasing demands of high-end PCB products [48][49]. - The company has established a strong customer base, including major PCB manufacturers, which enhances its market position and customer loyalty [21][60].

Core Insights - The company reported R&D expenses of 112.89 million yuan for the first three quarters, which represents 4.35% of its operating revenue [2] Group 1 - The primary focus of the R&D expenditures is on servers, new energy vehicle electronics, advanced HDI, ceramic liners, and substrates [2]

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has achieved significant accomplishments, marking a good start for the new journey towards the second centenary goal [6] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is crucial for transitioning towards a modern socialist society, emphasizing the need to address uncertainties and enhance high-quality development [7] - The implicit target for economic growth during the "15th Five-Year Plan" is around 5%, with necessary growth rates for GNI and GDP projected to exceed 6.3% and 4.6% respectively [8] Group 2: Power Industry Insights - The power demand in China has maintained steady growth, with total electricity consumption reaching 7.77 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [22] - The coal price has bottomed out, leading to a stabilization of electricity prices, with the average monthly trading price in Jiangsu rising to 395.60 RMB/MWh, an increase of 82.80 RMB/MWh [23] - The electricity market is expected to see a balanced supply-demand situation, with a focus on enhancing the profitability of thermal power and the growth of renewable energy sources [24] Group 3: Company-Specific Performance - The company "特锐德" reported a net profit of 3.59 billion RMB for Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 41.53% and a gross margin of 27.76% [28] - "富特科技" achieved a net profit of 0.70 billion RMB in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 186.93%, driven by effective cost management and scale effects [37] - "招商积余" reported a revenue of 139.42 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 14.65% and a net profit of 6.86 billion RMB [31] Group 4: Electronics Industry Insights - "深南电路" achieved record high revenues and profits in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 167.54 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 28.39% [56] - The company’s gross margin improved to 31.39%, benefiting from an enhanced product mix and increased utilization rates [57]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.754 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.39%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.326 billion yuan, up 56.30% year-on-year [8] - The growth in revenue is driven by the demand for high-speed switches and optical modules in the communication and data center sectors, as well as the recovery in the storage market [8] - The company is expected to see significant capacity expansion with ongoing projects in Nantong and Thailand, which are anticipated to contribute to future revenue growth [8] - The forecast for revenue from 2025 to 2027 is 23.649 billion yuan, 29.081 billion yuan, and 34.338 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 3.479 billion yuan, 4.808 billion yuan, and 6.175 billion yuan [8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 13.526 billion yuan, with a growth rate of -3.3%. For 2024, revenue is expected to rise to 17.907 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 32.4% [7] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 1.398 billion yuan, with a decline of 14.8%. In 2024, net profit is expected to increase to 1.878 billion yuan, showing a growth of 34.3% [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 5.22 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 43.7 [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve significantly, reaching 20.8% in 2025 and 26.6% by 2027 [7] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown a performance of -13% over the last 12 months compared to the CSI 300 index, which has seen a rise of 158% [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the significant growth potential in the data center liquid cooling valve market, driven by an increase in demand and overseas capacity release [1] - The company’s products are widely used in data centers in Indonesia and North America, indicating a strong market presence and potential for sustained high growth [1] - The substrate market is expected to experience exponential growth due to the CPO node, with the company having made extensive preparations for mass production, positioning itself for rapid volume increase [1]