当A股市场在美联储降息的迷雾中反复震荡，万亿市值的算力龙头工业富联正呈现出基本面与股价背离 的独特景观——一边是订单及算力需求持续拉升的硬核业绩支撑，一边是短期资金避险引发的震荡调 整。近期，工业富联股价在64-68元区间反复拉锯，这份波动究竟是风险信号还是布局良机？在降息"靴 子"落地的关键节点，这家全球AI算力基础设施的核心供应商，正值得投资者重新审视。 多重利好共振，算力需求进入爆发周期 当下的算力行业，正处于政策、技术、需求三重利好驱动的超级风口。政策端，全球主要经济体纷纷将 AI算力基础设施建设提升至战略高度，国内"东数西算"工程持续落地，企业级AI算力部署补贴政策频 出，为算力硬件需求提供了坚实保障。技术端，GPT-4o等大模型持续迭代，多模态应用加速渗透，推 动AI算力需求从训练端向推理端全面扩散，而边缘计算、智能驾驶等新场景的兴起，更让算力需求呈 现指数级增长态势。 需求端的爆发尤为直观：全球头部云服务商集体开启"算力军备竞赛"，微软为支撑Copilot生态持续扩建 智算中心，谷歌加码AI训练集群，国内字节、腾讯的智算中心项目也进入密集交付期。作为这些巨头 的核心供应商，工业富联正站在需求爆发 ...

Core Viewpoint - Deep South Circuit achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.326 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.30% [1] - In Q3, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 966 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 92.87% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.16% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The strong demand for AI and significant growth in storage packaging substrates drove the record high performance in Q3 [1] - The company's PCB business benefited from the booming global computing infrastructure, leading to substantial growth in related demand [1] Group 2: Product and Business Growth - The company saw continuous growth in shipments of products related to high-speed switches, optical modules, and AI accelerator cards [1] - In the packaging substrate business, products include module packaging substrates, storage packaging substrates, and application processor chip packaging substrates, with notable growth in storage packaging substrates [1] Group 3: Operational Developments - Key customer projects for next-generation high-end DRAM products progressed significantly, driving revenue growth in the packaging substrate business [1] - The Guangzhou Guangxin factory is steadily ramping up production, alongside the expansion of PCB data center and wired communication businesses, optimizing product structure and enhancing overall gross margin [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Industrial Fulian is a leading smart manufacturing service provider and industrial internet solution provider, with a strong focus on electronic device design, R&D, manufacturing, and sales, leveraging industrial internet for global clients [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Industrial Fulian achieved a revenue of 603.93 billion yuan, ranking first in the industry, significantly higher than the industry average of 15.49 billion yuan and the median of 1.415 billion yuan [2] - The net profit for the same period was 22.52 billion yuan, also leading the industry, surpassing the average of 635 million yuan and the median of 54.758 million yuan [2] - The company’s revenue and net profit growth accelerated in Q3 2025, with notable contributions from AI server and GPU products, as well as high-speed switch growth [6] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Industrial Fulian's debt-to-asset ratio was 63.82%, an increase from 53.32% year-on-year and above the industry average of 44.84% [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 6.76%, slightly down from 6.82% year-on-year and below the industry average of 19.47% [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 53.11% to 476,400, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per account decreased by 34.69% to 41,700 [5] - The sixth largest circulating shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, held 369 million shares, a decrease of 123 million shares from the previous period [5] Group 4: Executive Compensation - The chairman, Zheng Hongmeng, received a salary of 7.5121 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 736,100 yuan from 6.776 million yuan in 2023 [4] Group 5: Business Highlights - The cloud computing business saw significant growth, with revenue from AI servers increasing by over 65% year-on-year in the first three quarters, and over 75% in Q3 alone [5] - The precision component business benefited from new AI smart terminal products, with the switch business experiencing a remarkable 100% growth in Q3, and 800G switches seeing a year-on-year increase of over 27 times [5][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 38.40% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 603.93 billion yuan and a net profit of 22.49 billion yuan, up 48.52% year-on-year [7] - The growth is primarily driven by strong demand in the AI server and related business sectors, with a notable acceleration in performance in Q3 2025 [7] - The cloud computing business continues to grow rapidly, with Q3 2025 revenue from cloud services increasing by over 75% year-on-year, and GPU AI server revenue growing more than five times year-on-year [7] - The company is expected to generate revenues of 1,007.81 billion yuan, 1,573.17 billion yuan, and 1,817.89 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 35.06 billion yuan, 59.93 billion yuan, and 76.22 billion yuan [7] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 476.34 billion yuan, with a revenue growth rate of -6.9%, followed by 609.14 billion yuan in 2024 with a growth rate of 27.9% [6] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 21.04 billion yuan, with a net profit growth rate of 4.8%, increasing to 23.22 billion yuan in 2024 with a growth rate of 10.3% [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.06 yuan in 2023 to 1.77 yuan in 2025, and further to 3.02 yuan in 2026 [6] Market Performance - The company has shown a market performance of -36% over the last 12 months, compared to a 19% increase in the consumer electronics sector and a 74% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 603.9 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.4%, with a net profit of 22.487 billion yuan, up 48.52%, indicating strong profitability [1] - The rise of generative AI has significantly benefited the company, as it capitalizes on the increasing demand for computing power, leading to a market capitalization of 1.6 trillion yuan [3] - Major cloud service providers are expected to continue expanding their capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, with investments from Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta projected to exceed 320 billion dollars by 2025 [3] Revenue Breakdown - The computing power service has become the largest revenue segment for the company, accounting for over 60% of total revenue, with AI servers steadily increasing their share within the cloud computing business [4] - The cloud computing business revenue grew by over 65% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a remarkable growth of over 75% in the third quarter alone [4] - Revenue from cloud service providers constituted 70% of the cloud computing business, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 150%, and a more than 2.1 times increase in the third quarter [4] Market Trends - The breakthrough in large model technology is opening a growth era, providing broader development space for efficient AI servers [5] - According to TrendForce, the demand for AI servers is expected to continue growing, with an estimated market value of 298 billion dollars by 2025, accounting for over 70% of the overall server market [6] - The company is focusing on R&D investments in AI infrastructure and expanding global production capacity to meet the surging demand for AI servers and related products [6] Future Outlook - The rapid development of generative AI presents significant growth opportunities across various industries, with AI computing power demand anticipated to experience explosive growth [6] - The company's performance demonstrates a deep benefit from the surge in computing power demand, positioning AI as a core driver of steady growth and positive performance impact [6]

Core Viewpoint - Industrial Fulian, once labeled as a "contract manufacturer," has successfully transformed into a key supplier of global AI computing infrastructure, riding the wave of the AI boom and significantly increasing its market valuation [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In Q3, Industrial Fulian reported a net profit of 10.373 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 62.04% year-on-year, driven primarily by AI servers and high-speed switches [3][5] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 603.931 billion yuan, up 38.40% year-on-year, with a net profit of 22.487 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 48.52% [5] - The cloud computing segment saw revenue growth exceeding 65% year-on-year, with Q3 alone showing over 75% growth, largely due to the demand for AI server products [5][6] Market Trends - The global demand for AI servers is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market value of $298 billion by 2025, accounting for over 70% of the overall server market [9] - Major cloud service providers like Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia are expanding their AI computing infrastructure, leading to a surge in AI server demand [2][9] Strategic Positioning - Industrial Fulian has leveraged over 20 years of experience in large-scale intelligent manufacturing to meet the "contract manufacturing" needs for AI servers, enhancing customer stickiness [9] - The company is a key manufacturer of Nvidia's GB200 AI server products and is preparing for the mass production of the next-generation GB300 products, expected to ship in the second half of 2025 [2][10] Customer Engagement - Industrial Fulian has established deep collaborations with leading global clients to develop next-generation AI servers and liquid-cooled cabinets, providing customized solutions widely used in high-performance AI data centers [10] - The company is also actively involved in the design and development of robotics, applying these technologies in various automated production lines [11] Investment Interest - With high performance expectations, Industrial Fulian has become a core investment target for institutional investors amid the AI wave, rising from 157th to 7th in public fund holdings [13][14] - The AI computing sector is experiencing rapid growth, with significant capital flowing into companies like Industrial Fulian, indicating a shift from traditional sectors to AI computing leaders [14]

Core Viewpoint - Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. (Industrial Fulian) is being revalued by the capital market as it transitions from a "contract manufacturer" to a key player in the AI computing infrastructure sector, with its stock price surging over 280% in less than six months, reaching a market capitalization of over 1.6 trillion yuan [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3, Industrial Fulian reported a net profit of 10.373 billion yuan, a significant increase of 62.04% year-on-year, driven primarily by AI servers and high-speed switches [2][3]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 603.931 billion yuan, up 38.40% year-on-year, with a net profit of 22.487 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 48.52% [3]. - The cloud computing segment saw a revenue increase of over 65% year-on-year, with Q3 alone showing a growth of over 75%, largely due to the demand for AI server products [3][4]. Market Trends - The global AI server market is experiencing robust growth, with major cloud providers like Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia expanding their AI computing infrastructure, leading to a projected market value of $298 billion by 2025 [6][10]. - Industrial Fulian is positioned as a critical manufacturer of AI servers, including Nvidia's GB200 and the upcoming GB300 products, which are expected to enhance revenue and profit potential [7][10]. Business Segments - The company’s communication and mobile network equipment business is also benefiting from AI-driven demand, with significant growth in the switch business, particularly in 800G switches, which saw a year-on-year increase of over 27 times in Q3 [4][8]. - Industrial Fulian is actively involved in the design and development of robots, with applications in automation across various business lines, including logistics and production [8]. Investor Sentiment - Institutional investors are increasingly favoring Industrial Fulian, with its ranking among public funds rising from 157th to 7th, indicating strong market recognition of its leadership in the AI server sector [9]. - The company is expected to maintain its leading position in the AI computing supply chain, benefiting from strong demand and improving profit margins as it scales up production [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved record high revenue and profit in Q3 2025, with a revenue of 63.01 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 33.25% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 11.11%. The net profit for Q3 was 9.66 billion yuan, showing a year-over-year increase of 92.87% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 11.20% [5] - The gross margin improved to 31.39%, up 6.00 percentage points year-over-year and 3.80 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, driven by enhancements in PCB product structure and increased utilization rates in substrate production [5] - The net profit margin reached 15.35%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.76 percentage points and a stable quarter-over-quarter change [5] - The company is optimistic about future profit growth, raising profit expectations for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with projected net profits of 34.80 billion yuan, 47.04 billion yuan, and 58.28 billion yuan respectively [5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 167.54 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 28.39%, and a net profit of 23.26 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 56.30% [5] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.22 yuan, 7.06 yuan, and 8.74 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 43.6, 32.3, and 26.1 [5][8] - The company is actively expanding high-end production capacity, with new projects including the Nantong Phase IV and a factory in Thailand, which is currently in trial production [7] Business Structure and Market Demand - The PCB business is undergoing continuous structural adjustments, with significant demand growth driven by AI server and related product investments. The company has seen substantial order growth for AI accelerator cards, high-speed switches, and optical modules [6] - The substrate business has benefited from a rapidly growing storage market, with full customer orders and improved profit margins due to the successful introduction and mass production of new high-end DRAM products [6]

Core Insights - Nvidia has become the first company globally to reach a market capitalization of $5 trillion, driven by its significant share in AI investment spending [1] - The measurement of data centers has shifted from physical size to computing power measured in gigawatts, with Wall Street now evaluating data centers based on "cost per gigawatt" [1] - The construction cost for a 1 gigawatt AI data center is estimated at $35 billion, representing a new economic foundation for the AI industry [2] Cost Structure of AI Data Centers - The largest single cost in AI data centers is attributed to GPUs, accounting for approximately 39% of total expenditures, with Nvidia's chips being the primary contributors [3] - Each 1 gigawatt of computing power requires over 1 million GPU chips, highlighting the central role of GPUs in the AI industry [3] - Networking equipment follows GPUs in cost, comprising about 13% of data center expenses, benefiting companies like Arista Networks and Broadcom [4] Infrastructure and Operational Costs - Power and cooling infrastructure, including generators and transformers, represent nearly 10% of total costs for a 1 gigawatt AI data center [6] - The operational costs of running a 1 gigawatt AI data center are relatively low, with annual electricity costs estimated at $1.3 billion and minimal personnel requirements [7] - The industry is facing challenges related to power supply, with major companies like Siemens Energy and GE Vernova reporting a surge in orders for turbines and grid infrastructure [7]

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a significant increase in revenue and net profit, with net profit growing by 53.91% year-on-year [3] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.425 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.17%, and a net profit of 492 million yuan, reflecting strong operational performance [3] Group 2: Business Strategy and Operations - The company is focusing on technological innovation and digital transformation to enhance production capacity and efficiency, aiming to support business growth [4] - The Thailand factory officially commenced production in June 2025 and is currently in the ramp-up phase, with plans to accelerate customer certification and product introduction [5] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, particularly through the Thailand facility, which is positioned to serve high-performance PCB applications [5] Group 3: Market Demand and Customer Relations - The company is experiencing strong demand for computing power infrastructure, which is driving its business growth [3] - Due to commercial policy restrictions, the company is unable to disclose specific details about its overseas suppliers and customers [2][6] - The company maintains stable relationships with major domestic and international server brand clients and ODM customers [4] Group 4: Future Outlook and Growth Measures - The company plans to continue enhancing its management capabilities, reducing costs, and improving operational efficiency to sustain revenue and profit growth [2] - The company is committed to increasing research and development investments to ensure its core technologies remain competitive in the market [4] - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 67.30% year-on-year, indicating improved cash collection and financial health [4]