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猪价都跌成这样了,怎么还不见猪肉便宜啊?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 03:03
Core Viewpoint - The pork price has been on a downward trend since October, with the national average price for live pigs nearing 11 yuan per kilogram, raising concerns about whether it can be maintained [2] Group 1: Price Dynamics - The relationship between live pig prices and pork prices is complex, involving multiple stages such as slaughtering, transportation, and distribution, which delays the reflection of live pig price changes in the market pork prices [4] - There is a notable pattern in price transmission: prices rise quickly but fall slowly. When live pig prices increase, the market tends to react swiftly, while a decrease in prices does not prompt the same urgency in the market [5][7] - Historical data shows that even with significant drops in live pig prices, market pork prices tend to remain high, as stakeholders in the supply chain are reluctant to lower prices [8] Group 2: Seasonal Consumption Trends - As the year-end approaches, there is typically a 20% increase in pork consumption compared to September and October, driven by seasonal demand for products like cured meats and sausages [11] - Recent increases in pork prices can be attributed to rising demand as temperatures drop, indicating that the market is beginning to recover, which may support pork prices in the near term [9][11]
农产品日报:部分二育入场,猪价震荡运行-20251016
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-10-16 02:37
市场要闻与重要数据 农产品日报 | 2025-10-16 部分二育入场,猪价震荡运行 生猪观点 期货方面,昨日收盘生猪 2511合约11400元/吨,较前交易日变动-50.00元/吨,幅度-0.44%。现货方面,河南地区 外三元生猪价格11.23元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.13元/公斤,现货基差 LH11-965,较前交易日变动-615;江苏地 区外三元生猪价格 11.33元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.13元/公斤,现货基差LH11-70,较前交易日变动+180;四川 地区外三元生猪价格10.53元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.10元/公斤,现货基差LH11-1665,较前交易日变动-645。 据农业农村部监测,据农业农村部监测,10月15日"农产品批发价格200指数"为119.07,比昨天上升0.15个点,"菜 篮子"产品批发价格指数为120.04,比昨天上升0.18个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为18.21元/公斤,比昨 天下降1.5%;牛肉65.98元/公斤,比昨天下降0.1%;羊肉61.66元/公斤,比昨天下降0.3%;鸡蛋7.44元/公斤,比昨 天下降2.1%;白条鸡17.51元/公斤,比昨天 ...
广州增城:以动物疫病净化攻坚筑牢生物安全屏障
Nan Fang Nong Cun Bao· 2025-10-16 02:33
广州增城:以动 物疫病净化攻坚 筑牢生物安全屏 障_南方+_南方 plus 近期,全省动物 疫病区域化防控 技术培训班在穗 举办,广州市增 城区农业农村局 兽医师吴焕婷受 邀作动物疫病净 化专题授课,分 享了增城立足国 家生物安全战 略、扎根基层实 践的动物疫病净 化创新路径与系 统成效,为全省 深入推进动物疫 病区域化管理创 新、服务畜牧业 高质量发展提供 了可复制、可推 广的"增城方 案" 。 化"的战略转型 需求,从"筑牢 国家生物安全屏 障、守护公共卫 生安全、夯实乡 村振兴产业根 基"三个维度, 系统阐释动物疫 病净化的战略意 义,结合我国与 国际最新动物卫 生政策导向,以 增城在奶牛、家 禽等优势养殖领 域的疫病净化成 功案例为切入 点,逐环节拆解 净化场创建"前 期准备—过程实 施—长效维 持"的全流程工 作逻辑,深入剖 析"政策适配— 技术攻坚—政企 联动"的关键路 径。 目前,增城区已 累计指导建成无 广州市增城区农业农村局兽医师吴焕婷受邀在全省动物疫病区域化防控技术培训班上做动物疫病净化专题授课。 吴焕婷紧扣动物 防疫"由重点控 制向全面净 规定动物疫病小 区1场次、国家 级动物疫病净化 ...
牧原股份:公司9月生猪养殖完全成本在11.6元/kg左右
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-10-15 20:35
Core Viewpoint - The company has indicated that the complete cost of pig farming for September 2025 is approximately 11.6 yuan/kg [1] Group 1 - The company has provided guidance for the range of pig output for 2026, with further announcements to follow [1] - The company is collaborating with BAF Vietnam Agricultural Joint Stock Company to construct a building farming project, which is currently progressing steadily [1] - The company's Snowflake Pork project is still in the research and development stage and has not yet achieved stable mass production [1]
温氏股份:目前公司养猪业务合作农户委托代养费平均为200元-250元/头
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-10-15 14:13
Core Viewpoint - The company, Wen's Foodstuffs Group, has provided insights into its pig farming business, indicating that the average entrusted breeding fee for cooperative farmers ranges from 200 to 250 yuan per pig, influenced by various factors such as farming performance, regional development, and breeding models [2] Summary by Category - **Business Operations** - The average entrusted breeding fee for cooperative farmers is between 200 and 250 yuan per pig [2] - The fee structure is dependent on the performance of the cooperative farmers, regional development, and specific breeding practices [2]
广东省猪粮比价进入过度下跌一级预警区间 将启动冻猪肉储备收储
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 14:09
Core Insights - The average pig-to-grain price ratio in Guangdong Province is reported at 4.98:1 as of October 15, indicating a significant decline that triggers a first-level warning under the established monitoring mechanism [1] - The Guangdong Provincial Development and Reform Commission plans to initiate frozen pork reserve collection to stabilize the pig market and ensure supply [1] - Recommendations are made for farms to strategically manage production and maintain stable pig production capacity and normal market rhythms for both slaughter and replenishment [1]
国家级生猪大数据中心:10月15日全国生猪均价回升至11.01元/公斤 价格初现企稳迹象
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 14:09
Core Insights - The national average price of live pigs in China is showing a steady upward trend, with the current price at 11.01 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 0.11 yuan from the previous day [1][3] - The supply index for meat products in Chongqing has risen by 2.36% compared to the previous day, indicating an increase in meat supply [1] - The wholesale trading volume of pork in Beijing has increased to 58.84 million kilograms, up by 2.17% from the previous day [1] Price Monitoring - The average price difference for the external three yuan pig price across 21 major regions is approximately 0.50 yuan per kilogram, which is a decrease of 0.03 yuan from the previous day and is below the average transportation cost of 0.55 yuan per kilogram [3] - After several days of decline, there are initial signs of price stabilization, supported by increased reluctance among farmers to sell and a rise in breeding activity, which is expected to support short-term prices [3]
广东猪粮比价:10月15日降至4.98∶1启动收储
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 13:43
Core Insights - The average pig-to-grain price ratio in Guangdong Province has been declining, prompting the government to initiate frozen pork reserve collection [1] Price Monitoring - As of September 9, the average pig-to-grain price ratio was 5.93:1, entering the excessive decline warning zone [1] - By September 23, the ratio dropped to 5.64:1, remaining between 5:1 and 6:1 for three consecutive weeks, thus entering the second-level warning zone [1] - On October 15, the ratio further decreased to 4.98:1, entering the first-level warning zone [1] Government Actions - The Guangdong government plans to start frozen pork reserve collection to stabilize the pig market [1] - Slaughtering and processing enterprises are advised to take the opportunity to replenish their inventories [1] - Breeding farms are encouraged to manage their production capacity rationally [1]
广东省:猪粮比价4.98∶1,启动冻猪肉储备收储
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 12:12
Core Insights - On October 15, the average pig-to-grain price ratio in Guangdong Province reached 4.98:1, entering the first-level warning zone for excessive decline as defined by a joint plan from five provincial departments [1] - In response, the Guangdong government will initiate the storage of frozen pork reserves to stabilize the live pig market [1] - The government also advises farming operations to make informed decisions to maintain stable production capacity and normal rhythms for both slaughtering and restocking [1]
广东省猪粮比价:4.98∶1进入一级预警将收储
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 12:12
Core Insights - The average pig-to-grain price ratio in Guangdong Province has reached 4.98:1, entering the excessive decline warning zone as defined by a joint notice from five departments [1] - In response, the Guangdong government will initiate the reserve collection of frozen pork to stabilize the live pig market [1] - The government advises farming operations to make informed decisions to maintain stable production capacity and normal rhythms of market entry and replenishment [1]