Economic Overview - The Chengdu metropolitan area achieved a GDP of 739.31 billion yuan in Q1, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, surpassing the provincial growth rate by 0.7% and accounting for 48.5% of the province's total economy [1] - Chengdu city contributed 593.03 billion yuan to the GDP, growing by 6.0%, representing 80.2% of the metropolitan area's total [1] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value of the Chengdu metropolitan area increased by 10.5% year-on-year, exceeding the provincial growth rate by 3.3% [2] - Mianyang city reported a remarkable industrial growth of 24.3%, the only city in the province with a growth rate over 20%, driven by emerging industries like crystalline silicon photovoltaic and lithium batteries [2] - Ziyang city focused on key industries such as equipment manufacturing and clean energy, achieving a 17.2% increase in industrial added value [2] - Chengdu's industrial sectors, including non-ferrous metal smelting and automotive manufacturing, saw significant growth rates of 83.7% and 25.4% respectively [2] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment in the Chengdu metropolitan area rose by 9.5% year-on-year, outpacing the provincial growth rate by 5.5% [3] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 330.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, also higher than the provincial rate by 1.0% [3] - The metropolitan area accounted for 47.2% of the province's total retail sales [3] Development Initiatives - The Chengdu metropolitan area is focusing on new consumption scenarios to stimulate demand, with projects like the Jiangkou Shen Yin Museum and the Chinese Traditional Culture Technology Innovation Demonstration Park underway [3]

国泰海通发布研报称，新能源车和储能赛道仍处于发展初期，渗透率还有较大提升空间，锂电中游各环 节盈利压力是由供需阶段性错配导致的，但随着供给端出清、新增产能放缓及需求端的逐步回暖，中游 环节利润底部正在出现，供需格局优化看好板块盈利改善，板块估值开始具备性价比，给予锂电行 业"增持"评级。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 风险提示：下游需求不及预期的风险;国内外竞争加剧的风险;新技术发展速度不及预期的风险;原材料价 格波动的风险;行业政策波动的风险。 24年各环节盈利分化，利润向头部企业集中 2024年，锂电板块合计实现营业收入17552.11亿元，同比+4.90%;合计实现归母净利润1058.43亿元，同 比+6.80%;板块平均毛利率为18.62%，同比+0.15pct;板块平均归母净利率为6.03%，同比+0.11pct。分板 块看：仅电池、结构件、辅材环节营收、归母净利同比均为正，前驱体、铜铝箔环节增收不增利，其 中，铜箔行业全面亏损。整体看，各环节盈利分化明显，电池板块利润贡献占比已超90%，各环节内部 一二线厂商分化明显，行业利润持续向头部企业集中。 25Q1业绩向好，盈利能力提升 2025Q1单季度锂电板 ...

一切迹象与数据似乎都在佐证，中国动储产业还处于洗牌与博弈深水区。 为了让读者朋友对锂电产业趋势与变化有一个更为清晰、直观的了解，24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 根据108家动储上市/IPO公司2024年财报中营收、预收款、归母净利润、对外投资、经营与筹资 现金流、总负债、资金净值、应收账款于存货等核心数据制作了十大排行榜。 24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 统计数据显示，当前动储产业形势确实不容乐观：2024年108家动储公司 整体营业收入同比下降11.87%，增速较2023年同期下降了11个百分点；归母净利润整体同比下降 67.27%，已经连续2年巨幅下降 （2023年降幅为47.69%） ；客户预收款规模已经连续两年下 降；产业造血力 （经营净现金流） 也同比下降18.38%，增速较去年同期下降了61.01个百分点； 净筹资规模更是同比下降了81.91%，资金净值也下降了20.32%，等等。 | 核心指标 | 2024年合计 | 同比上一年增长 | 2023年同期增速 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总资产 | 29,092.41 | 6.17% | 12.65% | | 总负债 ...

Group 1: Mechanical Industry - The mechanical industry is expected to see a recovery in prosperity from 2024 to Q1 2025, with revenue and profit growth in semiconductor equipment, engineering machinery, and robotics [1][2] - In 2024, the mechanical industry is projected to achieve a revenue of 2.3 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, and a net profit of 123.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.1% [1] - By Q1 2025, the total revenue is expected to reach 522.08 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, and a net profit of 38.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.1% [1] Group 2: Robotics and Semiconductor Equipment - The humanoid robot sector is anticipated to see significant profit growth, particularly in force sensors, bearings, and tendon drive components [2][3] - The transition from "multi-sensor fusion" to "body intelligence" in humanoid robots will create new demands for hardware and software technologies [3] - The semiconductor equipment sector is benefiting from domestic substitution and capital expenditure, with significant room for improvement in self-sufficiency due to geopolitical influences [3][4] Group 3: Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is expected to maintain high prosperity levels, driven by domestic demand and supportive fiscal policies [4] - Domestic sales of excavators are projected to continue increasing, despite some trade friction risks in exports [4] Group 4: Game Industry - The gaming industry is experiencing a recovery, with revenue growth starting from Q2 2024 and a significant increase in profits by Q1 2025 [6][8] - In 2024, the total revenue for the gaming industry reached 93.434 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, while net profit decreased by 50% due to a drop in profit margins [7] - By Q1 2025, the gaming industry revenue is expected to reach 26.719 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.6%, with net profit reaching 3.482 billion yuan, reflecting a strong recovery [8] Group 5: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery sector is seeing significant profit concentration among leading battery manufacturers, with overall revenue in 2024 reaching 1.755 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [11][12] - By Q1 2025, the lithium battery sector is projected to achieve a revenue of 414.084 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.75%, with net profit reaching 28.717 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 51.11% [13] Group 6: Home Appliance Industry - The home appliance sector is expected to show strong performance, with overall revenue and net profit in 2024 increasing by 6% and 9%, respectively [15] - By Q1 2025, revenue and net profit are projected to increase by 14% and 22%, respectively, driven by domestic demand and export opportunities [15][16] Group 7: Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a divergence in performance, with innovative drugs driving growth in the pharmaceutical segment [19][20] - In 2024, the overall revenue for the pharmaceutical sector is expected to decline by 1.5%, while net profit is projected to decrease by 12.5% [20][21] Group 8: Real Estate Industry - The real estate sector is witnessing a decline in profitability, with gross margins reaching a historical low of 13.8% in 2024 [25][26] - The sector is expected to stabilize in 2025, with improvements in gross margins as land acquisition costs decrease [25][27] Group 9: Coal Industry - The coal sector is facing significant pressure, with prices expected to reach a turning point in May 2025 [32][34] - The average selling price of self-produced coal is projected to decline by 10.9% in Q1 2025 compared to 2024, impacting overall profitability [33] Group 10: ETF Holdings - Institutional investors have significantly increased their holdings in ETFs, with a 38.8% year-on-year growth, reaching 1.54 trillion yuan by the end of 2024 [36][37] - The proportion of state-owned funds in ETF holdings has also increased, indicating a shift in investment strategies [36][37]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No information provided in the content regarding industry investment ratings. Core Views - The plastics market is affected by factors such as increased supply from new capacity and reduced downstream demand, but the sentiment is boosted by Sino - US trade negotiations, suggesting that short positions should gradually stop profit and exit [3] - For lithium carbonate, the supply - demand surplus pattern continues, with futures prices hitting new lows and limited room for spot price decline, suggesting a wait - and - see approach [5] - The short - term copper price is expected to be mainly oscillating upwards, affected by Sino - US negotiations and supply - demand fundamentals, and attention should be paid to the US CPI data [10] - Crude oil supply is under pressure, demand growth is expected to slow down, and it is recommended to stop profit on previous short positions [11][13] - For asphalt, under the situation of weak supply and demand, a wait - and - see approach is recommended [14] - PP is expected to oscillate, with downstream demand recovery slow and new orders limited, but market sentiment is boosted by trade negotiations [15][16] - PVC is still under pressure, but it is recommended to gradually stop profit on short positions due to improved macro - sentiment [17] - Urea prices are expected to oscillate upwards, but the upward space is restricted by policies [18][19] Summary by Variety Plastics - Supply: Yulong Petrochemical's overhauled devices restarted, and new capacity was put into production, but some devices were also under maintenance [3] - Demand: PE downstream开工率 decreased, with agricultural film entering the off - season and other demand being average [3] - Inventory: Petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level in recent years [3] - Recommendation: Gradually stop profit on short positions [3] Carbonate Lithium - Price: The futures price hit a new low, and the spot price is close to the bottom [4][5] - Supply: Production in Jiangxi is stable, while the northern region's开工率 has decreased significantly [5] - Demand: Positive electrode production is expected to increase in May and then enter the off - season, and the impact of US tariffs on global demand may be limited [5] - Inventory: There is a slight reduction in inventory [5] - Recommendation: Wait and see [5] Copper - Price: Affected by Sino - US negotiations and the US dollar, it is expected to oscillate upwards in the short term [9][10] - Supply: The supply of copper ore is tight, and there are many smelter maintenance plans in May and July - September [10] - Demand: Downstream demand shows resilience, with cable enterprise开工率 and orders increasing [10] - Recommendation: Pay attention to the US CPI data [10] Crude Oil - Supply: OPEC + is gradually increasing production, and US production is at a high level, with large supply pressure [11] - Demand: The growth rate of global demand is expected to slow down [11] - Recommendation: Stop profit on previous short positions [13] Asphalt - Supply:开工率 has rebounded, and production is expected to increase in May [14] - Demand: Downstream开工率 is uneven, and actual demand needs to be restored [14] - Inventory: The inventory - to - sales ratio has slightly increased, still at a low level in recent years [14] - Recommendation: Wait and see [14] PP - Supply: New production capacity is put into production, and there are more maintenance devices, with enterprise开工率 at a relatively low level [15] - Demand: Downstream开工率 continues to decline, and new orders are limited [15][16] - Inventory: Petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level in recent years [15] - Recommendation: Expected to oscillate [16] PVC - Supply:开工率 has increased, and spring maintenance scale is less than last year [17] - Demand: Downstream开工率 is still low, and exports are affected by policies [17] - Inventory: Social inventory is still high [17] - Recommendation: Gradually stop profit on short positions [17] Urea - Supply:开工率 is stable, and some enterprises are resuming production [18] - Demand: Agricultural fertilization is cautious, and compound fertilizer factory开工率 may decline [18][19] - Inventory: Inventory is being reduced [18] - Recommendation: Prices are expected to oscillate upwards, but be cautious of risks [19]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is currently facing significant challenges, with overcapacity and price wars impacting profitability, as exemplified by the recent financial performance of leading companies like Enjie [2][4][15]. Financial Performance Summary - Enjie reported Q1 2025 revenue of 2.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.23%, but net profit fell to 25.99 million yuan, down 83.57% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities decreased by 72.73%, indicating severe financial strain [3]. - The decline in net profit is primarily attributed to a drop in separator prices, highlighting ongoing price competition in the industry [4][15]. Industry Dynamics - The lithium battery sector has shifted from a supply shortage to oversupply due to aggressive capacity expansion by companies during previous growth phases [4]. - Major players are either ignoring the overcapacity issue or slowly exiting the market, while some are pursuing international expansion to mitigate challenges [5][15]. - Enjie is investing in new production facilities in Malaysia and Hungary, with planned capacities of 1 billion square meters and 800 million square meters per year, respectively [5]. Market Challenges - The industry is experiencing a downturn, with Enjie's revenue projected to decline by 15.60% to 10.16 billion yuan in 2024, and a net loss of 556 million yuan, reflecting a 122.02% year-on-year decrease [15]. - The company attributes its losses to intensified competition and the need to write down asset values, which have significantly impacted its financial results [15]. Strategic Responses - Enjie is pursuing a dual strategy of international expansion and transformation, including plans to advance solid-state battery technologies [15]. - Despite current challenges, there are signs of stabilization in revenue, suggesting potential for recovery in the future [15].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - Yesterday, the 2507 contract of lithium carbonate futures rose 0.53% to 64,040 yuan/ton. The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate dropped 650 yuan/ton to 64,600 yuan/ton, industrial-grade lithium carbonate dropped 650 yuan/ton to 62,950 yuan/ton, battery-grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) fell 220 yuan/ton to 66,090 yuan/ton, and battery-grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) fell 220 yuan/ton to 71,235 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory decreased by 157 tons to 36,194 tons [3]. - In April, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.251 million and 1.226 million respectively, with year-on-year increases of 43.8% and 44.2%. The sales of new energy vehicles accounted for 47.3% of the total sales of new vehicles. Among them, domestic sales were 1.025 million, a month-on-month decrease of 5% and a year-on-year increase of 39.3%, accounting for 49.5% of domestic vehicle sales [3]. - On the supply side, weekly production cuts continue, and the total supply in May is expected to be lower than expected. On the demand side, the consumption of lithium carbonate by ternary and lithium iron phosphate in May is expected to increase slightly month-on-month. The inventory turnover days of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials have been continuously decreasing, and the ternary materials show a slight upward trend. The cell end remains prosperous. In terms of inventory, there was a slight destocking during the week, but the overall inventory level remains high, especially the downstream inventory [3]. - Overall, against the backdrop of a lack of obvious incremental demand, the decline in lithium ore prices and the relatively low reduction in supply still lead to a strong bearish sentiment in the market. Be vigilant against capital disturbances under short-term low valuations [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Research Views - Futures, spot prices, and warehouse receipt inventory changes of lithium carbonate and related products [3] - New energy vehicle production, sales, and market share data in April [3] - Supply, demand, and inventory situation analysis in May [3] - Overall market sentiment and risk warning [3] 2. Daily Data Monitoring - Price changes of various products in the lithium battery industry chain from May 9 - 12, 2025, including futures, lithium ores, lithium carbonates, lithium hydroxides, and other materials [5] - Price differentials between different grades of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, and their changes [5] 3. Chart Analysis 3.1 Ore Prices - Charts showing the price trends of lithium spodumene concentrate, lithium mica, and other ores in 2024 - 2025 [6][8] 3.2 Lithium and Lithium Salt Prices - Charts presenting the price trends of metal lithium, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and hexafluorophosphate in 2024 - 2025 [9][11][13] 3.3 Price Differentials - Charts depicting the price differentials between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and other relevant differentials in 2024 - 2025 [16][17][19] 3.4 Precursor & Cathode Materials - Charts showing the price trends of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium manganate, and cobalt acid lithium in 2024 - 2025 [21][24][27] 3.5 Lithium Battery Prices - Charts presenting the price trends of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, cobalt acid lithium cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries in 2024 - 2025 [29][31] 3.6 Inventory - Charts showing the inventory trends of downstream, smelters, and other links in 2024 - 2025 [34][36] 3.7 Production Costs - Chart depicting the production profit trends of lithium carbonate from different raw materials in 2024 - 2025 [38][39] 4. Research Team Introduction - Introduction of the non - ferrous research team members, including their educational backgrounds, positions, research directions, and professional achievements [42][43] 5. Contact Information - Company address, phone number, fax, customer service hotline, and postal code [46]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of balancing performance and cost in battery cell procurement for automotive manufacturers [6] - BYD is expanding its operations in Southeast Asia, indicating a strategic move to tap into new markets [6] - CATL is focusing on energy storage, with market growth in this sector outpacing that of power batteries [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that CATL's IPO in Hong Kong is set to be one of the largest in recent years, with a planned issuance of 118 million shares at a maximum price of 263 HKD per share, potentially raising between 4 to 5 billion USD [1][2] - The IPO has attracted significant cornerstone investors, including major energy companies and sovereign wealth funds, with total investments exceeding 2.6 billion USD [1][2] - CATL's market leadership and its role in empowering the global renewable energy industry are recognized as key factors for its record-setting IPO [2] Group 2 - CATL plans to use 90% of the funds raised from the IPO to support the construction of its factories in Hungary, which will enhance its local production capacity in Europe [2] - The Hungarian project, with a total investment of up to 7.34 billion EUR, aims to establish a 100 GWh battery production line, with phases one and two expected to have capacities of 34 GWh and 38 GWh respectively [2] - The company's overseas revenue is projected to increase significantly as it expands its international operations, which are seen as a major growth driver [2] Group 3 - In 2024, CATL is expected to achieve a revenue of 362.01 billion RMB and a net profit of 50.75 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year growth of 15.01% [3] - The company's overseas revenue accounted for 30.48% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 29.45%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.88% [3] - In Q1 2025, CATL reported a revenue of 84.71 billion RMB and a net profit of 13.96 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year growth of 32.85% [3]

| 01 | ｜ 一周锂电新闻汇总 | | --- | --- | | 02 | ｜ 2GWh储能电池项目落地黑龙江 | | 03 | ｜ 宁德时代9MWh储能系统解决方案问世 | | 04 | ｜ 2025起点轻型动力电池及两轮车换电大会7月10-11日无锡 | | | 举办 | 点击阅读原文，即可报名参会！ 中国驻智利大使馆5月9日发布声明称，关于近期有关"比亚迪和青山控股退出在智利锂电产业化投资项目"的相关报道，经向两家公司核实， 两家公司从未声明终止在智利投资，愿同智利有关部门继续对话。 驻智利使馆表示，中智两国经济互补性强，合作基础坚实，在绿色经济、能源转型等领域存在诸多契合点和广阔机遇，许多中企愿意通过多种 形式参与智利国家锂战略，使馆将继续鼓励和支持中企在智利投资、挖掘更大潜力。 此前，智利当地报纸Diario Financiero报道称，比亚迪与青山已决定不再推进把碳酸锂加工为电池正极材料的项目。智利政府发言人Aisen Etcheverry等官员证实了该报道，称这两家中国公司在锂价暴跌后已中止投资意向。 （ 来源：界面新闻 ） 往 期 回 顾 ...