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数据点评 | 为何大宗涨价拉不起PPI?(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
申万宏源宏观· 2025-09-10 13:06
Core Viewpoints - The upstream price increase has a positive contribution to PPI month-on-month, but the low capacity utilization in the mid and downstream sectors continues to drag down PPI significantly [2][10][70] - In August, PPI showed marginal improvement, primarily driven by a notable rebound in commodity prices, with PPI month-on-month remaining at 0% [2][10][70] - The overall PPI month-on-month is 0%, mainly due to low capacity utilization in the mid and downstream sectors, which prevents the full transmission of upstream price increases [2][10][70] PPI Analysis - In August, coal and steel prices continued to rise, with coal mining (2.8%), black mining (2.1%), and black rolling (1.9%) showing month-on-month increases [2][10][70] - The international oil price decline negatively impacted domestic oil prices, with copper prices also contributing negatively to PPI [2][10][70] - The mid and downstream sectors are experiencing significant price reductions, with PPI declines in food and automotive sectors both at -0.3% [2][10][70] CPI Analysis - In August, CPI year-on-year dropped to -0.4%, influenced by a high base and weak food prices, with food CPI down 4.3% [3][23][50] - The core CPI continues to expand, with core goods CPI rising 0.1 percentage points to 0.9%, driven by high gold prices and demand from the third batch of national subsidies [3][29][71] - Core service CPI increased slightly, supported by summer travel and medical service reforms, while rental CPI remains weak due to high youth unemployment [4][33][62] Future Outlook - Commodity prices may continue to rise, but the oversupply in the mid and downstream sectors may constrain the transmission of upstream price increases, leading to weak inflation throughout the year [4][41][72] - It is expected that by the end of the year, PPI year-on-year may recover to a maximum of -2.1% [4][41][72] - CPI is anticipated to remain negative in the third quarter, with a potential turnaround in the fourth quarter due to ongoing policies supporting service consumption and demand recovery [4][41][72]
南侨食品:2025年8月份营业收入简报
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-10 12:44
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Nanjiao Food (605339) reported a decrease in consolidated operating revenue for August 2025, amounting to RMB 238.5843 million, which represents a year-on-year decline of 2.41% [1]
日辰股份(603755):餐饮类平稳增长 零售类延展增量
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 12:32
Core Insights - The company achieved a total operating revenue of 204 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 8.63%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 35.23 million yuan, up by 22.64% [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its market share in the restaurant chain and food processing sectors while enhancing product development [4] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 102 million yuan, a growth of 6.85%, and a net profit of 17.57 million yuan, increasing by 11.04% [1] - The company's net profit margin improved by 1.98 percentage points to 17.3% in H1 2025, with a gross margin of 38.27%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.11 percentage points [3] - The company’s operating revenue from direct sales reached 202 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.57% [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Channel Development - The restaurant sector continues to face demand pressure, but brand customization and direct retail channels are experiencing rapid growth, with direct retail sales increasing by 382.56% in Q2 2025 [2] - The company is actively expanding its B/C dual-channel strategy to tap into new customer bases and strengthen its market position [4] - The company’s digital factory in Jiaxing is expected to be operational by the end of 2025, enhancing flexible manufacturing and multi-category supply capabilities [4] Group 3: Cost Management and Profitability - The company’s cost reduction efforts led to an improvement in gross margin, with a decrease in selling and administrative expenses contributing to enhanced profitability [3] - In H1 2025, the company’s selling expenses decreased by 2.52 percentage points, while management expenses fell by 0.58 percentage points [3] - The integration of the baking business from Aibeibang is expected to drive new category growth, despite its lower gross margin [3]
宏观经济点评:PPI同比增速回升或因输入性与地产链基数回落
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-10 12:01
2025 年 09 月 10 日 宏观经济点评 宏 观 经 济 点 开 源 证 券 证 券 相关研究报告 PPI 同比增速回升或因输入性与地产链基数回落 《非美地区需求或仍锚定美国需求— 宏观经济点评》-2025.9.9 《国债买卖或重启,服务消费有望加 码—宏观周报》-2025.9.7 《 就业降温明显,但 50bp 降息尚需 通胀配合—美国 8 月非农就业数据点 评》-2025.9.6 何宁(分析师) 郭晓彬(分析师) | hening@kysec.cn | | | guoxiaobin@kysec.cn | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证书编号:S0790522110002 | | | 证书编号:S0790525070004 | | | 事件:8 月 | CPI | 同比-0.4%,预期-0.2%,前值 | 0%;PPI | 同比-2.9%,预期-2.9%, | 核心 CPI 环比连续五个月超季节性 8 月 CPI 同比较前值下降 0.4 个百分点至-0.4%;环比较前值下降 0.4 个百分点 至 0%。 1、鲜菜价格带动食品 CPI 环比回升 8 月 CPI ...
道道全:公司暂无股份回购计划
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-10 11:36
证券日报网讯道道全9月10日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至目前,公司暂无股份回购计划。 基于对公司未来发展的信心,公司实际控制人之一致行动人已于近期发布了增持股份计划。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
9月10日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 10:38
Group 1 - Dematech won a 900 million yuan overseas smart logistics project from a well-known e-commerce giant in Latin America, focusing on intelligent logistics cross-belt sorting systems and related services [1] - Kang En Bei received approval for the registration of short-term financing bonds and medium-term notes, with a total registration amount of 1 billion yuan, valid for two years [1][2] - Zhi Xiang Jin Tai's GR1803 injection for systemic lupus erythematosus clinical trial has been approved by the National Medical Products Administration [2] Group 2 - Jin Da Wei's subsidiary received approval for a veterinary drug product, pyridone, valid from September 3, 2025, to September 2, 2030 [4] - Fu Li Wang's subsidiary plans to invest 500 million yuan in a high-end wire material project, focusing on high-strength prestressed steel strands for various applications [5] - He Li Biological's subsidiary's Class III medical device registration application has been accepted, focusing on natural bone repair materials [12] Group 3 - Lin Yang Energy won a 244 million yuan metering equipment project from Southern Power Grid, expected to positively impact its 2025 and 2026 performance [20] - Sanxia Water plans to absorb its wholly-owned subsidiary, Chongqing Changdian United Energy, with all assets and liabilities to be inherited by Sanxia Water [13] - Tian Cheng Technology canceled the use of 91 million yuan of raised funds for permanent working capital, ensuring no impact on the normal operation of investment projects [24] Group 4 - Baosteel received approval to publicly issue bonds totaling 20 billion yuan to professional investors, valid for 24 months [52] - Tian Kang Biological reported a 10.15% year-on-year increase in pig sales in August, with a total of 263,800 pigs sold [53] - Xinjiang Construction won multiple major projects totaling 4.506 billion yuan, including a 2.4 billion yuan photovoltaic hydrogen synthesis project [18]
研报掘金丨万联证券:立高食品业绩有望保持增长,维持“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-10 09:32
Core Viewpoint - The report from Wanlian Securities indicates that Lihigh Food's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 reached 171 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.24% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses were 82 million yuan and 80 million yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 40.84% and 40.36% [1] - The company's performance is improving, with major products maintaining high growth rates [1] Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the revenue from cream products grew by over 28%, demonstrating the effectiveness of the company's high-end strategy [1] - Innovative channels such as catering, tea drinks, and new retail continue to experience rapid growth [1] Cost and Efficiency - In the first half of 2025, the cost and expense input-output ratio improved, with some period expense ratios declining year-on-year, further releasing profit space through scale effects [1] Industry Outlook - The company is expected to maintain growth as the baking industry in China continues to expand, and the domestic substitution of frozen baking raw materials opens up market space for domestic brands [1] - The company is projected to recover positive growth in 2024 and maintain a favorable trend in the first half of 2025 [1]
立高食品(300973):点评报告:公司业绩向好,主要产品保持较高增长
Wanlian Securities· 2025-09-10 09:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [4] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its core products, with significant revenue growth in the first half of 2025, achieving a revenue of 2.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.20%, and a net profit of 171 million yuan, up 26.24% year-on-year [1] - The company is successfully implementing a high-end strategy, with cream revenue growth exceeding 28% in the first half of 2025, and a notable increase in revenue from baking food raw materials by 32.12% [2] - The company is adapting to market trends by diversifying its distribution channels, with innovative channels such as catering and new retail showing a growth rate of approximately 40% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.07 billion yuan, with a net profit of 171 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 167 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 16.20%, 26.24%, and 33.28% respectively [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.02 billion yuan, with net profit and non-recurring net profit reaching 82 million yuan and 80 million yuan, marking year-on-year increases of 40.84% and 40.36% respectively [1] Product Performance - The revenue from frozen baked goods was 1.125 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.08%, accounting for 54.35% of total revenue, while revenue from baking food raw materials reached 933 million yuan, up 32.12%, making up 45.09% of total revenue [2] - The revenue breakdown for key products includes cream at 558 million yuan (up 28.70%), fruit products at 83 million yuan (up 7.70%), sauces at 142 million yuan (up 36.45%), and other baking raw materials at 151 million yuan (up 63.84%) [2] Channel Development - The distribution channel for the company is diversified, with nearly 50% of revenue coming from circulation channels, and approximately 30% from supermarkets, which saw a growth of nearly 30% year-on-year [3] - Innovative channels, including catering and new retail, accounted for slightly over 20% of total revenue, with a combined growth rate of about 40% [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin decreased by 2.25 percentage points to 30.35% in the first half of 2025, influenced by changes in channel and product structure as well as rising raw material costs [3] - The net profit margin increased by 0.56 percentage points to 8.05% due to effective cost control, with significant reductions in sales and management expense ratios [9] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain growth, with projected net profits of 321 million yuan, 390 million yuan, and 454 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.70%, 21.45%, and 16.56% [10]
经营主体破2000万户之后:广东再造营商环境
21世纪经济报道· 2025-09-10 09:06
9月9日,广东省加快推进现代化产业体系建设第六场专题会议(市场化法治化国际化营商环境 专场)在广州举行。 会议召开前一天,广东省市场监督管理局公布了一组最新数据:截至9月3日,广东省登记在册 经营主体达到2000.19万户,较2024年末净增95.31万户,增长5%,占全国十分之一,经营主 体总量持续稳居全国第一。 这是企业家们笃定投票的结果。截至8月末,广东全省登记在册私营企业达到834.53万户,同 比增长10.6%,全省登记在册外商投资企业达到23万户,较2024年增长6.97%。其中,粤港澳 大湾区内地九市新设外商投资企业1.85万户,占全省新设外资企业总量的97.73%。 良好的营商环境吸引了超2000万户经营主体扎根南粤。下一个问题是:广东如何通过优化营商 环境,持续保持经济发展韧性、激发市场主体活力、巩固提升产业竞争力?专题会现场,大家 讨论焦点瞄准了两大关键主体: 民企和外商。 但现阶段民营企业发展也存在待解的难题。全国人大代表、广东省工商联主席、研祥高科技控 股集团董事局主席陈志列就坦言,当前民营经济在市场准入、公平竞争、要素支持和服务保障 等方面,仍存在一些困难与障碍。 佳都科技集团股份有 ...
仙坛股份:8月实现鸡肉产品销售收入5.16亿元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-10 08:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Xiantan Co., Ltd. (002746.SZ) reported a significant increase in chicken product sales revenue for August 2025, amounting to 516.18 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.45% [1] - The poultry farming and processing sector generated chicken product sales revenue of 464.12 million yuan, with a sales volume of 56,200 tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.65% in revenue and 18.66% in sales volume [1] - The food processing sector achieved chicken product sales revenue of 52.05 million yuan, with a sales volume of 3,900 tons, showing a substantial year-on-year growth of 35.38% in revenue and 50.30% in sales volume [1] Group 2 - The sales volume for chicken products in August 2025 was 60,000 tons, with a month-on-month increase of 1.02% [1] - The poultry farming and processing sector experienced a month-on-month revenue increase of 1.64% and a sales volume increase of 1.68% [1] - The food processing sector, however, saw a month-on-month decline in revenue of 4.22% and a sales volume decrease of 12.55% [1]