【策略】中观数据与盈利预测指向哪些行业景气？——20250623 【固定收益】高频工业品价格底部反弹——基本面高频数据跟踪—— 20250623 ◼ 研究视点 【环保】监测门槛抬高，科创板专层赋能——20250623 证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 06 24 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 中观数据与盈利预测指向哪些行业景气？ 今日概览 ◼ 重磅研报 作者 | 分析师 杨义韬 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号：S0680522080002 | | | | | 邮箱：yangyitao@gszq.com | | | | | 行业表现前五名 | | | | | 行业 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 1 年 | | 通信 | 7.9% | 0.3% | 28.0% | | 银行 | 6.0% | 11.2% | 33.4% | | 石油石化 | 4.9% | 2.6% | -2.0% | | 传媒 | 4.6% | 0.2% | 42.6% | | 国防军工 | 3.5% | 0.8% | 25.9% | | 行业表现后五名 | | | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new national standard "Residential Project Specifications" is expected to drive the development of new residential buildings towards safety, comfort, sustainability, and intelligence, while also providing opportunities for quality upgrades in the real estate supply chain [1][6]. Group 1: Impact on High-Performance Building Materials - The new regulations have led to a significant increase in demand for high-performance building materials due to mandatory requirements for insulation and soundproofing [2][3]. - Real estate companies are shifting their focus from price to quality, actively seeking new materials and technologies that enhance housing quality [2][3]. - The new regulations are seen as a milestone for the building materials industry, promoting a shift from low-quality price competition to a focus on performance, quality, durability, and user experience [2][3]. Group 2: Technological Advancements and Innovations - The promotion of prefabricated construction is expected to enhance market acceptance and improve construction efficiency [4]. - Companies are investing in research and development for prefabricated decoration technologies, achieving significant reductions in construction time and improving quality [4][5]. - The integration of smart home systems is expanding, with companies developing customized and innovative functional scenarios for their projects [5][6]. Group 3: Transformation of the Real Estate Supply Chain - The new regulations are reshaping the supply and procurement systems in the building materials industry, emphasizing transparency and quality control [6][7]. - The cost of green building materials has become comparable to traditional materials due to technological advancements and policy support, leading to higher project implementation rates [6][7]. - The entire real estate industry is moving towards high-quality and sustainable development, with expectations for further maturity in the supply chain over the next few years [8].

张东壮提到，ESG建设是一项系统性、长期性工程，绝非一蹴而就。ESG发展已经从企业"加分项"转变 为高质量发展的"必修课"，希望行业企业进一步提高站位，深刻认识发展ESG的重要性，精准把握ESG 发展的新要求，凝聚合力，携手开创建材行业ESG工作新局面。 中证报中证网讯(记者董添)6月20日，由中国建筑（601668）材料联合会主办的"首届建筑材料行业ESG 可持续发展论坛"在北京举办。论坛以"绿色转型共建可持续未来"为主题，旨在共同研讨ESG理念在建 材行业的实践路径。 中国建筑材料联合会驻会副会长张东壮表示，ESG已经融入国家整体发展战略，联合会始终把加强ESG 建设工作作为推动建材行业绿色低碳安全高质量发展的一项重要的工作来抓。联合会推动引导行业上市 公司积极响应、非上市企业高度关注的建材行业ESG实践正在加速推进。 本次论坛成功搭建了建材行业首个ESG交流高端平台，联合会表示，将以此为契机，进一步完善工作举 措，加快建设行业ESG生态圈，引导并推动ESG实践不断走深走实，共同谱写好建材行业绿色低碳安全 高质量发展新篇章。 论坛正式启动了建筑材料行业ESG公共服务平台，发布了《深化建材行业ESG实践共创 ...

的规定，在公司中设立中国共产党的组织， 的规定，在公司中设立中国共产党的组织， 建立党的工作机构，配齐配强专兼职党务工 建立党的工作机构，配齐配强专兼职党务工 作人员。 作人员。 证券代码：600326 证券简称：西藏天路 公告编号：2025-035 号 转债代码: 110060 转债简称：天路转债 债券代码：188478 债券简称：21 天路 01 西藏天路股份有限公司 关于修改公司章程的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据《中国共产党章程》《中国共产党基层组织选举工作条例》等党内法规 对党的基层组织设置、党委委员人数的要求，结合公司实际，决定对党委委员相 关内容进行修订并进行工商变更登记。 具体修改条款如下： 修订前 修订后 公司党组织关系隶属西藏建工建材集团 副书记 2 名。党委委员由党员大会（或党员 有限公司党委。公司党委按照有关规定，根据 代表大会）选举产生，每届任期 5 年。任期 工作需要逐级设立党的基层委员会、总支部委 届满，应按期进行换届选举。如需调整党委 员会、支部委员会，建立健全党的基 ...

Group 1 - Hongde Fund recently conducted research on a listed company, Yilong Co., which highlighted the advantages of 2200-2400MPa ultra-high-strength steel strands and their applications in multiple high-speed rail constructions [1] - The company’s export business typically has a shorter account period compared to domestic business, with 90% and 80% of customers having account periods within one year, respectively [1] - Yilong Co.'s products are primarily used in railway, water conservancy, bridges, highways, new energy infrastructure, and civil construction, with the railway market being a core focus [1] Group 2 - The company is considering factory upgrades and capacity expansion, having requested authorization from the board to proceed with a simplified procedure for issuing stocks to specific targets [1] - The execution cycle of contracts varies based on product type and contract amount, with longer execution cycles for concrete products used in rail transit [1] - Pre-stressed materials have transportation radius requirements, and concrete products for rail transit need to be constructed near new high-speed rail projects [1] Group 3 - Hongde Fund was established in 2015, with a total asset management scale of 46.34 billion yuan, ranking 86 out of 210 [2] - The fund's best-performing public fund product in the past year is Hongde Digital Economy Mixed Initiation A, with a latest net value of 1.19 and a growth of 38.5% over the past year [2] - The latest public fund product raised by Hongde Fund is Hongde Yuhui Bond A, which is a bond-type mixed secondary fund, with a concentrated subscription period from June 3, 2025, to June 23, 2025 [2]

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 市场总览 重要观点 报告日期：2025 年 06 月 19 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 06 月 19 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 ❑ 大势：6 月 18 日上证指数上涨 0.04%，沪深 300 上涨 0.12%，科创 50 上涨 0.53%，中证 1000 下跌 0.1%，创业板 指上涨 0.23%，恒生指数下跌 1.12%。 ❑ 行业：6 月 18 日表现最好的行业分别是电子（+1.5%)、通信（+1.39%)、国防军工（+0.95%)、银行（+0.92%)、 电力设备（+0.32%)，表现最差的行业分别是美容护理（-1.73%)、房地产（-1.35%)、建筑材料（-1.22%)、非银金 融（-1.16%)、轻工制造（-1.13%)。 ❑ 资金：6 月 18 日全 A 总成交额为 12217.64 亿元，南下资金净流入 12.42 亿港元。 ❑ 【浙商煤炭 樊金璐】煤炭 半年行业策略 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year, net sales were $5.5 billion, a marginal increase compared to the prior year, driven by contributions from recent acquisitions [5] - Organic sales for the year were $5.2 billion, down 5.4% on a same-day basis compared to the prior year [6] - Net income for the full year was $115.5 million, including a $42.5 million non-cash goodwill impairment charge [6] - Adjusted EBITDA was $500.9 million, and free cash flow for the year was $336.1 million, representing 67% of adjusted EBITDA [6] - In the fourth quarter, net sales were $1.3 billion, with organic sales declining 8.3% per day [7][17] - Net income for the fourth quarter was $26.1 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $109.8 million [7][31] - Free cash flow generated during the quarter was $183.4 million, or 167% of adjusted EBITDA, marking the highest level of quarterly free cash flow conversion in the company's history [7][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ceilings saw volume improvement during the quarter, benefiting from the addition of CAMCO and a focus on architectural specialties projects [8][9] - Wallboard sales for the quarter were $526.6 million, down 10.1% year-over-year, with a 12.1% decrease in volume partially offset by a 1% increase in price and mix [21][22] - Steel framing sales were $189.2 million, down 14.2% for the quarter, with volumes down 2.6% and price and mix down 10.2% [25] - Complementary product sales were nearly flat year-over-year, up 1.4% on a per-day basis, representing the twentieth consecutive quarter of per-day growth in this category [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wallboard industry volumes were down 10% in the first calendar quarter, with high interest rates and policy uncertainty being primary impediments to growth [11] - U.S. residential revenues declined 6% per day compared to the prior year, with single-family volumes down 1.9% per day [20][21] - Multifamily revenues fell 32.4% and commercial revenues fell 10.1% on a per-day basis [20] - The company expects to slightly outpace normal seasonal trends in wallboard volumes for the fiscal first quarter [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on four strategic pillars: expanding share in core products, growing complementary products, expanding the platform, and driving improved productivity and profitability [15] - A significant cost savings program has been executed, achieving $25 million in annualized cost savings in the fiscal fourth quarter, totaling $55 million for the year [16][18] - The company aims to maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation, balancing stock buybacks with debt reduction while pursuing attractive M&A opportunities [34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management is cautiously optimistic about nearing the bottom of the cycle, with expectations for recovery tied closely to mortgage rates and the broader macroeconomic environment [10][35] - The company anticipates that pent-up demand will materialize when conditions improve, with expectations for single-family volumes to be flat to slightly up year-over-year for the fiscal first quarter [36] - Management acknowledges the need for market recovery to achieve long-term margin targets of 10% to 12% [62] Other Important Information - The company reduced net debt by more than 10% during the quarter, maintaining a leverage ratio within the target range of 1.5 to 2.5 times [16] - Cash on hand as of April 30 was $55.6 million, with $631.3 million of available liquidity under the revolving credit facility [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the sequential organic trends and why they might improve? - Management noted improvements primarily in the single-family market and share gains with larger customers, contributing to a more positive outlook [44] Question: What technology and efficiency optimization efforts are being implemented? - The company has continued to invest in digital initiatives, including e-commerce and automation, which have contributed to cost reductions and improved efficiencies [48][49] Question: How does the company view the single-family market dynamics and share gains? - Management indicated that they are leveraging scale to support builder partners and have gained share through strong relationships and geographic focus [56][58] Question: What is the expected timeline for seeing start activity flow into shipments? - Typically, there is a three to six-month lead time for production large builder focus, with visibility comfortable for the current quarter [72] Question: How permanent are the recent cost reductions? - Management estimates that about 50% of the cost reductions are permanent, while the other 50% may return with volume recovery [77]

ETF Industry News - Major indices collectively rose, with several communication sector ETFs leading the gains. The Communication ETF (515880.SH) increased by 2.08%, 5G50ETF (159811.SZ) rose by 1.87%, and Communication Equipment ETF (159583.SZ) gained 1.79% [1] - The construction materials sector saw declines, with the Construction Materials ETF (516750.SH) down by 1.30% and another Construction Materials ETF (159745.SZ) down by 1.25% [1] Communication Industry Insights - A recent report from Western Securities highlighted that AMD and NVIDIA mentioned that agent-based AI is expected to drive exponential growth in inference workloads. Collaboration with leading AI companies and cloud providers is anticipated [2] - The report emphasizes that computing power remains a major bottleneck for AI innovation, and self-developed ASIC chips from large companies are becoming an important supplement to computing power supply [2] - Key areas to focus on include overseas computing chain growth, domestic computing demand, and the importance of self-controllable technology in the industry [2] Dividend Asset Allocation - Dividend-themed funds are gaining traction as core investment targets due to their stable cash flow and defensive attributes. Several dividend-themed ETFs have recently reached record high shares [3] - As of June 17, the E Fund CSI Dividend Low Volatility ETF reached 1.576 billion shares, up 85% year-to-date, while the Southern S&P China A-share Large Cap Dividend Low Volatility 50 ETF reached 6.564 billion shares, a 75% increase [4] Sci-Tech Board ETF Developments - Following the implementation of the "Sci-Tech Board Eight Measures," the number and scale of Sci-Tech Board ETFs have both seen significant growth, with a total of 88 ETFs and a combined scale exceeding 250 billion yuan [5] Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.04% to 3388.81 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.24% to 10175.59 points, and the ChiNext Index up 0.23% to 2054.73 points [6][7] - The electronic, communication, and defense industries performed well, with daily increases of 1.5%, 1.39%, and 0.95%, respectively [9] ETF Market Performance - Stock-style ETFs showed the best performance today, with an average increase of 0.27%, while cross-border ETFs had the worst performance with an average decrease of 0.57% [12] - The top-performing stock ETFs included 5G Communication ETF (515050.SH) with a 2.37% increase, 5GETF (159994.SZ) with a 2.22% increase, and Communication ETF (515880.SH) with a 2.08% increase [14][15] Trading Volume Insights - The top three stock ETFs by trading volume were A500 ETF (159351.SZ) with 2.862 billion yuan, A500 ETF Fund (512050.SH) with 2.770 billion yuan, and Sci-Tech 50 ETF (588000.SH) with 2.175 billion yuan [17][19]

Core Viewpoint - The company has approved a profit distribution plan for the year 2024, which includes a cash dividend distribution of 157,794,288.00 yuan to shareholders, with no stock dividends or capital increases from reserves [1][2]. Profit Distribution Plan - The profit distribution plan was approved at the shareholders' meeting held on May 16, 2025, and will be based on the total share capital as of December 31, 2024 [1]. - The cash dividend will be distributed at a rate of 1.125000 yuan for every 10 shares held, with specific tax treatments for different types of shareholders [2]. - The dividend distribution date is set for June 26, 2025, with the record date for shareholders being June 25, 2025 [2][3]. Dividend Payment Method - Dividends will be directly credited to the shareholders' accounts through their securities companies or other custodial institutions on the payment date [3]. Consultation Information - For inquiries regarding the profit distribution, shareholders can contact the company's board office located in Chengdu, Sichuan Province [4].

【博时市场点评6月18日】沪深两市反弹，电子涨幅领先 每日观点 6月18日，A股三大指数上涨。截至收盘，上证指数报3388.81点，上涨0.04%；深证成指报10175.59点， 上涨0.24%；创业板指报2054.73点，上涨0.23%；科创100报1026.85点，上涨0.87%。申万一级行业中， 电子、通信、国防军工涨幅靠前，分别上涨1.50%、1.39%、0.95%；美容护理、房地产、建筑材料跌幅 靠前，分别下跌1.73%、1.35%、1.22%。1758只个股上涨，3327只个股下跌。 资金追踪 市场成交额为12219.26亿元，较前一交易日下跌。两融余额昨日收报18273.39亿元，较前一交易日上 涨。 6月18日2025陆家嘴论坛上，中国人民银行行长潘功胜宣布8项重磅金融政策，包括：设立银行间市场交 易报告库、设立数字人民币国际运营中心、设立个人征信机构、在上海临港新片区开展离岸贸易金融服 务综合改革试点、发展自贸离岸债、优化升级自由贸易账户功能、在上海"先行先试"结构性货币政策工 具创新、会同证监会研究推进人民币外汇期货交易等。 简评：陆家嘴论坛已经成为国家金融管理部门释放重要信号、对外发声的 ...