Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implementation of the Ecological Environment-Oriented Development (EOD) model in Sanming City, Fujian Province, focusing on integrating ecological advantages with economic development through innovative practices in livestock pollution management and the cultivation of fast-growing Paulownia trees [1][2][3]. Group 1: EOD Model Implementation - The Sanming City Ecological Environment Bureau is promoting the EOD model to address livestock pollution, particularly in the Hu Fang Town pilot project, aiming to combine livestock waste management with the development of a new Paulownia industry [1][2]. - The EOD model emphasizes a collaborative approach involving government, enterprises, banks, and insurance to ensure project success and risk management [2][4]. Group 2: Ecological and Economic Benefits - The new Paulownia trees have a waste absorption capacity approximately five times greater than that of rice paddies, significantly improving pollution management and enhancing ecological quality [3]. - The project has a bid price of 5.77 billion yuan, with plans to establish a 40,000-acre Paulownia base, potentially generating annual profits of 30 million yuan, indicating strong economic viability [3][4]. Group 3: Social and Environmental Impact - The project aims to enhance local ecological quality, creating a more attractive living environment and boosting local employment opportunities, thereby improving the overall quality of life for residents [3][4]. - The initiative serves as a model for other regions, demonstrating how to effectively utilize livestock waste and promote green transformation in the livestock industry [4].

行政去产能增强行业盈利能力，减少二次育肥将有效降低猪价波动幅度。 新的周期中，更应关注个股自身的盈利能力和分红比例，而不是短期的 价格波动。 当前环境下，应重点关注个股的成本竞争力。牧原股份和温氏股份成本 最低且投均市值较低。根据不同假设下的分红率测算，牧原和温氏股息 率可观。 新希望收购派思通猪场预计增厚市值，并带来饲料用量增加。新希望整 体市值空间可达到 55-60 亿元，相对于当前仍有增长潜力，是生猪板块 中最具推荐价值的一只股票。 本轮生猪政策调控手段及其影响是什么？ 本轮生猪政策调控手段包括去产能、降体重、禁二次育肥等具体措施。这些措 施已通过发改委和农业部会议信息披露非常清晰。目标是稳住 CPI 并保持猪价 在合理范围内，例如阶段性可以忍受低于 14 元，但不能长期低于 13.5 元每公 斤。目前行业成本较低，自繁自养成本约为 13.1 至 13.2 元每公斤，因此短期 跌破 13.5 元可能，但长期不可能。这意味着通过亏损去产能路径不成立，只 能依靠行政手段。此外，政府已经开始约谈前十大企业要求减少能繁母猪，并 定下调减 100 万头母猪的 KPI，这些任务将逐步落实到各个省份及具体养殖场。 生 ...

农林牧渔行业 2025 年中期策略：宠物消费高景气，关注 周期底部抬升 20250617 摘要 中国宠物市场持续增长，2024 年整体消费增长 7.5%，猫用产品增速尤 为显著。食品作为刚需占据主导地位，主粮和营养品占比提升，健康化 和专宠专用趋势明显，推动新型主粮的接受度。 宠物食品出口受关税影响，对美出口面临挑战，企业通过海外建厂应对。 乖宝宠物泰国工厂预计年中投产，中宠加拿大产线扩建计划下半年完成， 佩蒂股份新增越南产能预计 2026 年投产，降低关税风险。 国内电商平台国产品牌表现强劲，618 购物节天猫平台成交额前五均为 国产品牌，如仙朗、兰仕、弗列加特、城市一口和麦富迪，部分品牌销 售额增速显著，如爵宴 Mediaway 同比增长 450%。 宠物动保领域呈现大单品密集上市趋势，猫三联疫苗逐步实现进口替代。 老龄化宠物增多及渗透率提升推动医药需求，诊疗药品、疫苗和驱虫药 市场规模持续扩张，复合增速可观。 生猪养殖行业政策监管趋严，供需格局向好，产能去化预期提升。2025 年 4 月能繁母猪存栏量同比微降，头部企业暂停扩产并控制出栏体重， 短期供应压力有所缓解，行业集中度提高，生产效率稳步提升。 Q ...

Core Viewpoint - Company Bangji Technology (603151.SH) is planning a large-scale acquisition to enter the pig farming sector by acquiring seven companies, marking a significant asset restructuring [1][2][3] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition involves purchasing 100% of the shares of six companies and 80% of one company, with the payment structure combining share issuance and cash [4] - The targeted companies primarily engage in pig breeding and sales, while one company provides technical management services for pig farming [4][5] - The acquisition aims to create a vertically integrated industry chain from feed production to pig farming and sales [5][8] Group 2: Financial Performance - Bangji Technology's net profit has been declining from 2022 to 2024, with figures of 1.20 billion, 0.84 billion, and 0.50 billion respectively [7] - In the first quarter of this year, the company reported a revenue of 10.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 160.84%, and a net profit of 0.28 billion, up 37.71% [7] - The seven targeted companies collectively generated a net profit of approximately 48 million in the first four months of this year, with five of them being profitable [9][10] Group 3: Market Context - The pig farming market is experiencing a recovery, and the demand for high-quality pork products is increasing, which may provide a new profit growth point for the company [8] - The move to expand downstream is seen as a strategy to mitigate the limited profit margins and intense price competition in the feed industry [8][10] - The company has established a strong market position in the feed industry but faces challenges in the unfamiliar pig farming sector [10]

今年以来猪价持续下跌，养殖利润已逐月收窄。值得注意的 是，德康农牧股价逆势暴涨，其市场表现已显著超越行业整体 水平。随着生猪价格重心不断下移，叠加"供强需弱"格局的延 续，养猪行业降低成本成竞争关键，行业微利或仍将是常态。 作者：陈姗 封图：图虫创意 从每股26港元涨至每股96港元，港股市场上，近日德康农牧股价年内超260%的惊人涨幅，将生猪 养殖行业拉回公众视野。 截至6月16日下午收盘，德康农牧股价报88.4港元/股，虽由近期高点有所回落，但年内累计涨幅依 旧高达224%；6月11日，德康农牧股价最高冲至96港元/股，创历史新高，较年内低点累计上涨 269%。 6月11日，德康农牧股价最高达96港元/股，创历史新高，收盘报91.75港元/股，涨幅15.34%。今年 年初，德康农牧股价还"匍匐"在26港元上下，仅半年时间，股价飙升了2倍多。 德康农牧主营生猪及黄羽肉鸡的育种和养殖。其官网显示，该集团公司为"中国生猪规模化养殖企 业复合年增长率排名第一""生猪销量全国第6""黄羽肉鸡销量全国第3"。财报数据显示，2024年， 德康农牧全年实现营收约224.63亿元人民币，同比增长39%，归母净利润约41.02 ...

Core Viewpoint - Company Bangji Technology is planning to diversify into pig farming by acquiring 100% stakes in six companies and 80% of another, aiming to transform from a feed production company to an integrated feed and pig farming enterprise [1][2][3] Group 1: Acquisition Details - Bangji Technology intends to purchase 100% stakes in six companies, including Beixi Agriculture and others, and 80% of Shanghai Paistong [2][3] - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's supply chain integration and improve operational synergies [2][3] - The specific transaction price for the acquisition has not yet been determined, pending completion of audits and evaluations [4][5] Group 2: Financial Performance - Bangji Technology has experienced declining profits, with net profits of 109.93 million yuan in 2022, projected to drop to 50.53 million yuan in 2024 [3] - The company has faced challenges such as underutilization of new project capacities and long accounts receivable aging [3] - The company's cash reserves have significantly decreased from 747 million yuan in 2022 to 168 million yuan by the end of 2024 [5] Group 3: Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the acquisition plan, Bangji Technology's stock price surged to the daily limit on June 17, indicating positive market sentiment [1][5] - The stock has seen an increase of over 80% year-to-date, outperforming other companies in the same industry [5] Group 4: Stakeholder Insights - The controlling shareholder, Shandong Bangji Group, has shown confidence in the company's future by planning to increase its stake by 40 to 80 million yuan [6] - The acquisition partner, Riverstone, is backed by significant investment funds and has experience in modern pig farming practices [8][10] Group 5: Operational Challenges - Two of the target companies have reported losses since 2023, raising concerns about the financial health of the acquired entities [11] - The transition from a traditional feed production business to pig farming may present management challenges and operational risks [11]

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the pig farming industry in China is experiencing a significant increase in supply, leading to a decline in pig prices, which have fallen below the breakeven point for many companies [1][3][7]. Supply and Price Dynamics - In May, the total output of listed pig companies increased by 30% year-on-year, resulting in a surplus supply amid weak consumer demand, which caused pig prices to remain low [1][3]. - As of June 17, the national pig price was reported at 14.24 yuan/kg, down 24.13% year-on-year and 2.8% month-on-month, indicating a continued struggle below the breakeven price of 14 yuan/kg [1][3]. - The increase in supply is attributed to the seasonal decline in pork consumption during the second quarter, compounded by a lack of holiday demand [3][6]. Company Performance - Major companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs reported significant sales figures despite the price drop. Muyuan sold 777,000 pigs in May, a 9% increase from the previous year, while Wens sold 315,540 pigs, a 32.64% increase [4][5]. - Smaller companies have also seen rapid growth in output, with companies like Zhengbang Technology and Dongrui achieving year-on-year growth rates of 158% and 122%, respectively [5]. Future Supply Expectations - The stock of breeding sows, which is crucial for future pig supply, stood at 40.38 million heads as of the end of April, with expectations for a reduction of about 1 million heads to alleviate oversupply [2][7]. - Analysts suggest that reducing the breeding sow stock will impact pig supply in the next 10 months, potentially stabilizing prices if demand does not improve [7]. Cost Management and Profitability - Companies are focusing on cost management as a key to profitability in a low-price environment. Muyuan's breeding cost has decreased to approximately 12.2 yuan/kg, allowing for a profit margin of about 3.3 yuan/kg at current sales prices [8]. - Wens also reported a decrease in breeding costs, which is crucial for maintaining profitability amid falling prices [8]. Market Outlook - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with expectations of limited price recovery due to persistent oversupply and weak demand. The focus is shifting towards cost control and operational efficiency as key competitive factors in the industry [7][8].

投 农林牧渔行业 超配（维持） 关注养殖周期底部回升，看景气赛道成长性变化 2025 年 6 月 17 日 S0340513040002 电话：0769-22119462 邮箱：whm2@dgzq.com.cn 资料来源 iFinD，东莞证券研究所 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 农林牧渔行业 2025 年中期投资策略 推荐 分析师：魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号： 行情回顾。2025年1-5月，SW农林牧渔行业整体上涨5.02%，跑赢 同期沪深300指数约7.43个百分点。分季度来看，SW农林牧渔行业 Q1下跌0.87%，4-5月上涨5.95%。估值方面，2025年1-5月，SW农 林牧渔行业整体PB（整体法，最新报告期，剔除负值）由年初的 低点2.31倍最高回升至2.68倍。截至6月13日，SW农林牧渔行业整 体PB约2.66倍，较年初低点回升了15%；估值处于行业2006年以来 的估值中枢约58.4%分位位置，处于相对较低的位置。 资 策 略 农林牧渔（申万）指数走势 相关报告 ...

Core Viewpoint - The significant rise in the stock price of Dekang Agriculture has brought the pig farming industry back into public focus, with a year-to-date increase of over 260% [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Dekang Agriculture's stock price surged from HKD 26 to a peak of HKD 96, marking a historical high and a year-to-date increase of 269% from its low [1][3]. - As of June 16, the stock closed at HKD 88.4, reflecting a cumulative increase of 224% for the year [1][2]. - The company reported a projected revenue of approximately RMB 22.463 billion for 2024, a year-on-year growth of 39%, and a net profit of about RMB 4.102 billion, reversing a loss of RMB 1.775 billion in 2023 [3]. Group 2: Industry Context - The pig farming industry has maintained profitability for 13 consecutive months, primarily due to a significant reduction in production costs for leading enterprises [2]. - Despite overall profitability, pig prices have been declining this year, leading to shrinking margins for farmers [2][5]. - The industry is characterized by a "strong supply and weak demand" dynamic, making cost reduction a key competitive factor [2][8]. Group 3: Competitive Position - Dekang Agriculture has established itself as a leading player in the pig farming sector, ranking first in the compound annual growth rate of large-scale pig farming enterprises in China and sixth in national pig sales [3]. - The company has implemented an innovative "company + sow breeding and fattening farm" model, which enhances asset efficiency and stability in farmer cooperation [4]. - Analysts predict that Dekang Agriculture's net profit per pig will be significantly higher than the industry average, with estimates of RMB 350-370 per pig compared to RMB 161 for scattered farming and RMB 302 for large-scale farming [4]. Group 4: Market Trends - The stock performance of Dekang Agriculture contrasts sharply with other listed pig farming companies, many of which have seen declines in stock prices this year [5]. - The average pig price has been fluctuating around RMB 14 per kilogram, with significant year-on-year declines observed [5][6]. - Analysts suggest that the current market conditions may lead to a stable development phase for the pig farming industry, with potential for price recovery in the second half of the year if supply capacity is managed effectively [7][8].

证券研究报告：农林牧渔|行业周报 发布时间：2025-06-17 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 2704.99 | | 52 | 周最高 | 2838.04 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最低 | 2110.64 | 行业相对指数表现 -19% -15% -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 2024-06 2024-08 2024-11 2025-01 2025-04 2025-06 农林牧渔 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:王琦 SAC 登记编号:S1340522100001 Email:wangqi2022@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《生猪供应压力大，价格继续调整》 - 2025.06.10 农林牧渔行业报告 （2025.6.8-2025.6.15） 生猪供应压力大，5 月产能惯性增加 ⚫ 行情回顾：反弹上涨 农林牧渔（申万）行业指数涨 1.62%，在申万 31 个一级行业中涨 幅排名第 3 位。因中美关系波折，农业板块防御性体现，农业行业指 ...