Core Viewpoint - Binhua Co., Ltd. has shown a positive stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 17.52% and a recent net inflow of funds, indicating investor confidence in the company's growth potential [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Binhua Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 11.148 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 47.35% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 192 million yuan, reflecting a modest year-on-year increase of 1.63% [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 5, the stock price of Binhua Co., Ltd. was 4.36 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 89.0641 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.02% [1]. - The company experienced a net inflow of main funds amounting to 8.237 million yuan, with significant buying activity from large orders [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Binhua Co., Ltd. was 76,400, a decrease of 4.13% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 4.31% to 26,575 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Binhua Co., Ltd. has distributed a total of 2.358 billion yuan in dividends, with 465 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholding Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh largest circulating shareholder, holding 23.3822 million shares as a new shareholder [3]. - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) was the ninth largest circulating shareholder, holding 18.806 million shares, which is a decrease of 185,500 shares from the previous period [3].

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views Polyolefin Industry - Supply: PP supply recovery slowed due to more unplanned maintenance, while PE supply is expected to increase as maintenance nears its peak. Overseas inventory clearance at the end of the year may impact the market [2]. - Demand: Demand has improved with increased downstream开工率, but the peak season for agricultural film is approaching, and demand is expected to decline [2]. - Strategy: The 01 contract faces inventory pressure, while the 05 contract may present long - term low - buying opportunities. A reverse spread strategy for the monthly spread is recommended [2]. Methanol Industry - Supply: The port methanol market is under pressure due to high inventory, postponed Iranian gas restrictions, and increased imports. The restart of domestic devices and overseas device shutdowns also affect the supply [5][6]. - Demand: Multiple MTO units reduced their loads due to profit issues, and subsequent maintenance is expected to increase [6]. - Strategy: The 01 contract will continue to trade the "weak reality" logic until Iranian gas restrictions take effect [6]. Polyester Industry Chain - PX: Supply is stable despite some plant maintenance, and demand has support in the short term. However, the November supply - demand is expected to be loose, and oil price support is limited. Strategies include reducing long positions above 6600 and short - selling on rallies, and narrowing the PX - SC spread [9]. - PTA: There are many planned maintenance in November, and demand is relatively high. But supply - demand is slightly loose, and oil price support is weak. Strategies include reducing long positions above 4600, short - selling on rallies, and a rolling reverse spread for TA1 - 5 [9]. - Ethylene Glycol: Overseas supply is high in November, and inventory accumulation is expected. Strategies include selling out - of - the - money call options on rallies and a reverse spread for EG1 - 5 [9]. - Short - fiber: Supply is high in the short term, but demand may decline seasonally. Cost support is limited. Strategies are similar to PTA, and narrowing the processing margin on rallies [9]. - Bottle - chip: Supply changes little, and demand is weak in the off - season. The market is in a loose supply - demand pattern, and the price follows the cost. Strategies are similar to PTA, and the processing margin is expected to fluctuate between 300 - 450 yuan/ton [9]. Pure Benzene - Styrene Industry - Pure Benzene: Supply is expected to be loose with many device restarts and new capacity. Demand support is limited as downstream products are mostly in losses. Inventory in East China ports is increasing. Strategies include short - selling on rallies following oil price movements [10]. - Styrene: Supply may slightly decrease, and demand is expected to remain stable. Cost support is weakening. The market is currently in a loose supply - demand situation, and the price drive is limited. Strategies include short - selling on price rebounds for the EB12 contract [10]. PVC - Caustic Soda Industry - Caustic Soda: Supply is expected to increase in November with few maintenance enterprises. Demand support is weak as the alumina price is falling and downstream enterprises are consuming their own inventories. The price is expected to be weakly stable, and the overall trend is bearish [11]. - PVC: The supply - demand surplus situation persists. Demand from real estate and other downstream industries is weak, and new capacity will increase supply in November - December. The price is expected to continue to oscillate weakly at the bottom, and a short - selling strategy on rebounds is recommended [11]. Summary by Directory Polyolefin Industry - **Prices and Spreads**: L2601, L2509, PP2601, and PP2509 futures prices decreased on November 4 compared to November 3. Spot prices of PP and PE also showed changes, with some increasing and some decreasing. The price differences between different contracts and between spot and futures also changed [2]. - **Inventory**: Both PE and PP inventories showed a de - stocking trend [2]. - **开工率**: PE device开工率 decreased slightly, while PP device and powder开工率 increased. Downstream weighted开工率 of both increased [2]. Methanol Industry - **Prices and Spreads**: MA2601 and MA2605 futures prices decreased on November 4. Spot prices in different regions also decreased, and price differences and basis changed [5]. - **Inventory**: Methanol enterprise inventory increased, while port inventory decreased slightly, and social inventory increased [5]. - **开工率**: Domestic upstream enterprise开工率 decreased slightly, overseas upstream enterprise开工率 decreased significantly, and some downstream enterprise开工率 increased [6]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Upstream Prices**: Brent and WTI crude oil prices decreased, and other upstream raw material prices also showed different degrees of change [9]. - **Downstream Product Prices and Cash Flows**: Prices of some polyester products changed slightly, and cash flows also showed different trends [9]. - **PX - related**: PX prices and spreads changed, and the开工率 of Asian and Chinese PX decreased slightly [9]. - **PTA - related**: PTA prices, processing fees, and开工率 changed, and the market is expected to be slightly loose in terms of supply - demand [9]. - **MEG - related**: MEG prices, spreads, and开工率 changed, and the market is expected to accumulate inventory [9]. Pure Benzene - Styrene Industry - **Upstream Prices and Spreads**: Crude oil and raw material prices decreased, and pure benzene prices and spreads changed [10]. - **Styrene - related Prices and Spreads**: Styrene prices and spreads decreased, and cash flows also declined [10]. - **Inventory**: Pure benzene inventory in Jiangsu ports increased, while styrene inventory decreased [10]. - **开工率**: The开工率 of some pure benzene and styrene - related industries changed, with some increasing and some decreasing [10]. PVC - Caustic Soda Industry - **Prices and Spreads**: PVC and caustic soda prices and spreads changed on November 4 compared to November 3 [11]. - **Overseas Quotes and Export Profits**: Overseas quotes for caustic soda and PVC remained stable, but export profits changed [11]. - **Supply - related**: The开工率 of the caustic soda and PVC industries increased, and the profit of PVC production methods also changed [11]. - **Demand - related**: The开工率 of caustic soda and PVC downstream industries changed, and PVC pre - sales volume increased [11]. - **Inventory**: Liquid caustic soda inventory in some regions increased, while PVC total social inventory decreased slightly [11].

氯碱日报 | 2025-11-05 华东下游11月液碱采购价下调 市场要闻与重要数据 PVC: 期货价格及基差：PVC主力收盘价4670元/吨（-10）；华东基差-70元/吨（+10）;华南基差-10元/吨（-10）。 现货价格：华东电石法报价4600元/吨（+0）；华南电石法报价4660元/吨（-20）。 上游生产利润：兰炭价格740元/吨（+0）；电石价格2830元/吨（+0）；电石利润-52元/吨（+0）；PVC电石法生产毛 利-763元/吨（-40）；PVC乙烯法生产毛利-545元/吨（+16）；PVC出口利润0.5美元/吨（+4.2）。 PVC库存与开工：PVC厂内库存33.8万吨（+0.4）；PVC社会库存54.5万吨（-1.0）；PVC电石法开工率76.47%（+4.82%）； PVC乙烯法开工率78.50%（-0.06%）；PVC开工率77.09%（+3.35%）。 下游订单情况：生产企业预售量77.4万吨（+13.9）。 烧碱： 期货价格及基差：SH主力收盘价2336元/吨（-14）；山东32%液碱基差164元/吨（+14）。 现货价格：山东32%液碱报价800元/吨（+0）；山东50%液碱 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The trend strength of caustic soda is -1, indicating a weak bearish view [4]. 2. Core View of the Report - The caustic soda market is under pressure in the short - term after a valuation repair, and in the long - term, the negative feedback in the industrial chain may occur due to alumina production cuts. The situation can only be changed by supply - side production cuts [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - On November 5, 2025, the 01 - contract futures price of caustic soda was 2336, the cheapest deliverable 32% caustic soda spot price in Shandong was 780, the Shandong spot 32% caustic soda converted to the futures price was 2438, and the basis was 102 [2]. - On November 5, in Shandong, individual enterprises in southwestern and southern Shandong lowered their prices. Due to increased supply in the west, high - price products had poor sales, so they were sold at reduced prices [2]. Market Condition Analysis - The sharp decline in liquid chlorine prices over the weekend increased the cost of caustic soda significantly. However, caustic soda enterprises did not cut production, resulting in insufficient upward drivers [3]. - The pattern of high production and high inventory of caustic soda continues, and the market is continuously shorting the chlor - alkali profit. The impact of alumina's production - start and production - cut expectations on caustic soda basically offsets each other. The winter is a low - maintenance season for chlor - alkali enterprises, and the supply - demand gap caused by stockpiling may be limited. Non - aluminum downstream support is limited, and exports are under pressure, increasing domestic supply pressure [3]. - In the long run, alumina production cuts will lead to negative feedback in the industrial chain, and only supply - side production cuts can change the situation. So, pay attention to the supply changes under the background of liquid chlorine and low profits [3].

氯碱日报 | 2025-11-04 液氯价格大幅下调 市场要闻与重要数据 PVC: 期货价格及基差：PVC主力收盘价4680元/吨（-21）；华东基差-80元/吨（-9）;华南基差0元/吨（+1）。 现货价格：华东电石法报价4600元/吨（-30）；华南电石法报价4680元/吨（-20）。 上游生产利润：兰炭价格740元/吨（+0）；电石价格2830元/吨（+0）；电石利润-52元/吨（+0）；PVC电石法生产毛 利-763元/吨（-40）；PVC乙烯法生产毛利-545元/吨（+16）；PVC出口利润-3.7美元/吨（+7.2）。 PVC库存与开工：PVC厂内库存33.8万吨（+0.4）；PVC社会库存54.5万吨（-1.0）；PVC电石法开工率76.47%（+4.82%）； PVC乙烯法开工率78.50%（-0.06%）；PVC开工率77.09%（+3.35%）。 下游订单情况：生产企业预售量77.4万吨（+13.9）。 烧碱： 期货价格及基差：SH主力收盘价2350元/吨（+40）；山东32%液碱基差150元/吨（-40）。 现货价格：山东32%液碱报价800元/吨（+0）；山东50%液碱报价1250元/ ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Short - term,烧碱 has cost support and may have a valuation repair market due to the significant drop in weekend liquid chlorine prices leading to a sharp rise in caustic soda costs and the current 01 contract price being in a loss state [3] - Long - term, the alumina production cut will cause negative feedback in the industrial chain, and the pattern can only be changed by supply - side production cuts, so attention should be paid to the supply changes under the background of liquid chlorine and low profits [3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - 01 contract futures price is 2350, Shandong's cheapest deliverable spot 32% caustic soda price is 780, Shandong spot 32% caustic soda converted to the futures price is 2438, and the basis is 88 [1] Spot News - On November 3, the Shandong liquid caustic soda market was mostly stable. Individual enterprises in southwestern and southern Shandong lowered their prices. Due to increased supply in the west, high - price products had poor sales, so they were sold at reduced prices [2] Market Situation Analysis - Weekend liquid chlorine prices dropped significantly to about - 100 yuan/ton in Shandong, causing a sharp increase in caustic soda costs. The 01 contract is in a loss state, so its valuation is low [3] - The pattern of high production and high inventory of caustic soda continues, and the market has been short - selling chlor - alkali profits [3] - The impact of alumina's production launch and reduction expectations on caustic soda can basically offset each other. The winter is the off - season for chlor - alkali enterprise maintenance, and the supply - demand gap caused by stockpiling may be limited [3] - Non - aluminum downstream support is limited, and exports are under pressure, increasing domestic supply pressure [3] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of caustic soda is 0, with a range of [- 2,2] and classifications including weak,偏弱, neutral, 偏强, and strong, where - 2 means most bearish and 2 means most bullish [3][4]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Propylene: ★★★ [1] - Polypropylene: ★★★ [1] - Plastic: ★★☆ [1] - Pure Benzene: ★★☆ [1] - Styrene: ★★☆ [1] - PX: ★★☆ [1] - PTA: ★★☆ [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★★☆ [1] - Short Fiber: ★★☆ [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★☆ [1] - Methanol: ★★☆ [1] - Urea: ★★☆ [1] - PVC: ★☆☆ [1] - Caustic Soda: ★★☆ [1] - Soda Ash: ★☆☆ [1] - Glass: ★★☆ [1] 2. Core Views - The chemical market is generally under pressure from demand, with different products facing various supply - demand situations. Positive and negative factors coexist, and investors need to pay attention to specific product trends and relevant influencing factors [2][3][5][6][7][8] 3. Summaries by Directory Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures had narrow intraday fluctuations. The demand is weak, but the maintenance of Binzhou PDH device may support price stabilization [2] - Plastic and polypropylene futures declined. The supply of polyethylene increased due to reduced maintenance and new production, while demand weakened. Polypropylene faced supply pressure from new capacity and reduced maintenance, and demand was limited by low profit [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene futures oscillated around 5,500 yuan/ton. The port inventory increased, and there are medium - term negatives. The strategy is mainly month - spread reverse arbitrage [3] - Styrene futures were weak. The cost support was insufficient, and the high inventory pressure continued [3] Polyester - PX and PTA prices fluctuated. Supply increased, and there was a risk of inventory accumulation. The strategy is reverse arbitrage [5] - Ethylene glycol production decreased slightly, but inventory increased. The supply pressure is high, and the strategy is reverse arbitrage [5] - Short fiber had a good spot pattern but may face inventory accumulation in mid - to late November. Bottle chip demand weakened, and the cost was the main driver [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol prices fell sharply. High inventory and weak demand persisted, waiting for supply reduction and demand improvement [6] - Urea prices oscillated narrowly. Downstream demand increased, and inventory decreased, but the market may continue to oscillate at a low level [6] Chlor - Alkali - PVC was at a low level due to weak cost support, high supply, and weak demand [7] - Caustic soda prices were slightly stronger, but high inventory and weak demand may keep prices low. Attention should be paid to liquid chlorine prices [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash prices declined due to increased supply and reduced demand. Consider the strategy of long glass and short soda ash [8] - Glass prices rose. Inventory is expected to decrease, but cost increase and insufficient orders may limit the rise [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant decline in performance for Q3 2025, with a 12% year-on-year decrease in revenue and a 69% drop in net profit attributable to shareholders [1][4]. - The company is actively pursuing the establishment of a joint venture to develop a sodium battery industry project, which is expected to enhance its product offerings and market position [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 141.64 billion yuan, down 12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.22 billion yuan, down 69% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 46.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.5% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 0.48 billion yuan, down 28% year-on-year and 48% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Market Conditions - The company's main product sector, soda ash, is facing challenges due to oversupply and insufficient demand, leading to a decline in profitability. The average selling prices for key products in Q3 2025 were 1,100 yuan/ton for soda ash (down 32% year-on-year), 12,200 yuan/ton for viscose staple fiber (down 3% year-on-year), 2,671 yuan/ton for caustic soda (down 1% year-on-year), and 4,473 yuan/ton for PVC (down 13% year-on-year) [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its "Three Chains and One Cluster" project, focusing on high-end electronic chemicals and fine chemicals. It is also working on a seawater desalination project and a battery-grade sodium carbonate project, which is currently in trial production [3]. - A joint venture is planned with a total investment of 2.7 billion yuan to develop a sodium battery materials and systems integration project, with the company holding a 37.04% stake. The first phase of the project is expected to generate an annual revenue of 1.08 billion yuan and a profit of 167 million yuan upon reaching full capacity [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report has revised the profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 182 million yuan (down 73%), 368 million yuan (down 57%), and 495 million yuan (down 59%) respectively. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for these years are 0.09 yuan, 0.18 yuan, and 0.24 yuan [4][5].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - In November, the caustic soda industry still faces certain supply - demand pressures. With fewer maintenance enterprises, the supply is expected to increase. The price is weakly stable, and the overall trend is bearish. For PVC, from November to December, the supply pressure will continue due to new production capacity, and the demand is in the off - season. The price is expected to continue the bottom - oscillating pattern [2][3]. - Futures trading for both caustic soda and PVC should adopt a bearish approach, and options trading should be on the sidelines [4][5]. Summary by Related Catalogs Caustic Soda - **Price and Market Situation**: The price of caustic soda futures has fluctuated due to various factors such as macro - environment, supply - demand changes, and cost shifts. The spot price has also been affected by factors like downstream demand and inventory. In November, the price is expected to be weakly stable [2][8]. - **Supply**: In October, the industry's operation was at a high - level with fluctuations, and the inventory of caustic soda plants first decreased and then increased. The national average weekly weighted operating load rate was 85.55%, a 0.1 - percentage - point increase from the previous week. The caustic soda production in terms of 100% purity was 82.53 tons, a 0.12% increase from the previous week [21][27]. - **Demand**: The main downstream, alumina, has a weakening demand for caustic soda. From the end of 2024 to 2025, the planned new alumina production capacity is 1230 tons, which is expected to increase the demand for caustic soda by about 80 tons per year [32]. - **Export**: In September, the export profit of caustic soda increased, and the export volume rebounded significantly. In October, the estimated export profit declined [56]. Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) - **Price and Market Situation**: In October, the PVC spot price decline accelerated. The core contradiction is that the supply - demand situation has not been substantially improved. The futures price has also been affected by factors such as supply - demand, macro - environment, and cost [63][64]. - **Supply**: In October, there were 20 PVC maintenance enterprises, 3 fewer than in September. The utilization rate of calcium - carbide - based PVC production capacity was 78.10%, a 0.49 - percentage - point decrease from September. The utilization rate of ethylene - based PVC production capacity was 81.48%, a 2.46 - percentage - point increase from September [79][85]. - **Demand**: The two major downstream industries of PVC, profiles and pipes, face great pressure. The real - estate sector continues to have a negative impact on demand. The downstream orders are significantly lower than the average of the past five years, and the raw material and finished - product inventories are at high levels [94]. - **Inventory**: The PVC inventory has been continuously increasing, and the total inventory is at the highest level in recent years compared year - on - year [102]. - **Export**: In September 2025, the PVC import volume was 1.44 tons, with a single - month import increase of 16.08% month - on - month and 7.73% year - on - year. The export volume was 34.64 tons, with a single - month export increase of 21.945% month - on - month and 24.53% year - on - year [120].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment view is "oscillating", indicating that the short - term market has no obvious driving force, and the price is expected to mainly fluctuate [3]. Core View of the Report - The spot price of caustic soda is stable with a slight decline, and the futures market is oscillating weakly. The supply has increased due to reduced maintenance and higher production. The demand is mixed, with alumina开工 declining and non - aluminum demand weak in some aspects, while other downstream industries show some improvements. Inventory has accumulated, and profits have decreased. The overall market is expected to be in a state of oscillation [3][6]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Part One: Main Views and Strategy Overview - **Supply**: It is neutral. This week, maintenance decreased, and production increased. The weekly domestic caustic soda production rose by 24,000 tons to 830,000 tons. The average capacity utilization rate of sample enterprises with 200,000 tons or more of caustic soda was 84.3%, a week - on - week increase of 3.5%. Most regions saw an increase in load, except for Central China [3]. - **Demand**: It is neutral. Alumina开工 decreased, and non - aluminum demand was weak. The capacity utilization rate of the viscose staple fiber industry was 89.64%, a week - on - week increase of 1.03%. The comprehensive startup rate in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions was 68.32%, a week - on - week increase of 1.01%. The monthly开工 rate of lithium hydroxide in China in June 2025 was about 49.27%, and the overall output was basically flat after offsetting increases and decreases [3]. - **Inventory**: It is bearish. Recently, the shipment pressure increased, and caustic soda inventory accumulated. The factory inventory of fixed liquid caustic soda sample enterprises with 200,000 tons or more was 442,600 tons (wet tons), a week - on - week increase of 6.84% and a year - on - year increase of 52.42%. The national liquid caustic soda sample enterprise storage capacity ratio was 25.75%, a week - on - week increase of 1.56% [3]. - **Basis**: It is neutral. The current basis of the main contract is around 95, and the futures price is at a discount [3]. - **Profit**: It is bearish. The weekly average gross profit of chlor - alkali enterprises in Shandong was 292 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 17%. Liquid chlorine prices rose, and caustic soda prices fell, leading to a decline in overall chlor - alkali profits [3]. - **Valuation**: It is bearish. The spot price is neutral, and the absolute futures price is low. The near - month contract is at a discount [3]. - **Macro Policy**: It is neutral. The anti - involution sentiment in the energy and chemical sector has subsided, and the futures market trades based on fundamentals [3]. - **Investment View**: The short - term futures market has no obvious driving force, and it is expected to mainly oscillate [3]. - **Trading Strategy**: There are no unilateral or arbitrage strategies at present. Attention should be paid to changes in liquid chlorine prices, rotation storage policies, and the global economic recession [3]. Part Two: Futures and Spot Market Review - The futures market oscillated within a range. This week, the spot price in Shandong was stable with a slight increase, while the futures price hit a new low. The liquid chlorine subsidy was less, and the liquid chlorine price rose to 350 yuan/ton. Chlor - alkali profits remained high, and factory开工 loads remained high. Demand reached the turning point between peak and off - peak seasons. In the future, the new maintenance intensity of alumina will increase, and the supply and demand of caustic soda will turn to be loose. The spot price is expected to be stable with a slight decline. Future attention should be paid to changes in liquid chlorine and the alumina production start - up rhythm [6]. Part Three: Caustic Soda Supply and Demand Fundamental Data - **Electricity Price**: Coal supply was tight, and electricity prices rose [29]. - **Device Loss and Production**: In the main production areas, maintenance in North China decreased, and production increased [34]. - **Chlor - Alkali Profit**: Chlor - alkali comprehensive profits decreased [42]. - **Downstream Price**: Alumina prices declined, and non - aluminum prices were weak [45]. - **Alumina**: Alumina开工 recovered, and inventory accumulated. Due to the end of maintenance and the commissioning of new devices, the alumina开工 rate in Henan increased significantly. Alumina supply - demand balance was restored, inventory accumulated, port bauxite inventory decreased, and alumina profits were good and remained stable year - on - year [57][68]. - **Non - Aluminum Demand**: Non - aluminum开工 remained stable but was lower than the same period last year. Non - aluminum demand entered the seasonal off - peak season, and开工 began to decline [69]. - **Liquid Chlorine Downstream**: The开工 rate rebounded [78]. - **Subsequent Maintenance Information**: Multiple enterprises in different regions have planned or are expected to carry out maintenance in October and November [82].