Group 1: Report's Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report Group 2: Core Views - Supply side: This week, China's lithium carbonate production increased by 2,288 tons to 19,600 tons week-on-week, with a slight increase in the production of spodumene and mica. In July, Chile exported 13,600 tons of lithium carbonate to China, a 33% increase month-on-month and a 13% decrease year-on-year. This week, China's social inventory of lithium carbonate increased by 692 tons to 142,400 tons. The Ningde Jianxiawo Mine has stopped production, creating a short - term supply - demand gap [6]. - Demand side: In August, downstream production scheduling increased by 4% - 5% month-on-month, with good performance on the energy storage side. In July, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles in the terminal market were 987,000 units, a 12.0% increase year-on-year and an 11.2% decrease month-on-month [6]. - Cost side: This week, the price of spodumene concentrate increased by 5.4% week-on-week, and the price of lepidolite concentrate increased by 5.3% week-on-week. Overseas mines continue to hold firm on prices, and it is expected that the price of lithium ore will fluctuate with the price of lithium salt [6]. - Strategy: In the short term, the shutdown of the Jianxiawo Mine will create a supply - demand gap of thousands of tons, and it is expected that the lithium price will be strong. If the mine resumes production quickly, the lithium price may fall. If the scope of mine shutdowns expands, the lithium price center will further increase [6]. Group 3: Summary by Catalog Supply Side - **Lithium spodumene imports**: From January to May, China imported 2.92 million tons of lithium spodumene. In June, the import volume was 576,000 tons, a 4.8% decrease month-on-month. In May, imports from Australia decreased by 31% month-on-month, from South Africa increased by 87% month-on-month, and from Zimbabwe increased by 3% month-on-month [10]. - **Lithium concentrate price**: This week, the price of spodumene concentrate increased by 5.4% week-on-week, and the price of lepidolite concentrate increased by 5.3% week-on-week. Overseas mines continue to hold firm on prices, and it is expected that the price of lithium ore will fluctuate with the price of lithium salt [13]. - **Domestic lithium carbonate production**: In July, China's monthly total production of lithium carbonate exceeded 80,000 tons for the first time, a 4% increase month-on-month and a 26% increase year-on-year. The production of lithium carbonate from spodumene and recycling increased by 14% and 10% respectively month-on-month, while that from lepidolite and salt lakes decreased by 8% and 2% respectively [16]. - **Chile's lithium carbonate exports to China**: From January to June, China's cumulative import of lithium carbonate was 118,000 tons, a 11.3% increase year-on-year. In June, Chile exported 10,200 tons of lithium carbonate to China, a 41% decrease year-on-year and a 6% increase month-on-month [20]. - **Spot price**: This week, the spot price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 71,900 yuan/ton, with a slight week-on-week increase. The price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 69,800 yuan/ton, also with a slight week-on-week increase [23]. Demand Side - **Positive electrode factory capacity utilization**: From January to June, China's cumulative production of lithium iron phosphate positive electrodes was 1.48 million tons, a 47.8% increase year-on-year. From January to May, the cumulative production of ternary positive electrodes was 278,000 tons, a 9.9% increase year-on-year. In May, the capacity utilization rate of lithium iron phosphate was 58.8%, and that of ternary materials was 49.5% [30]. - **Global new energy vehicle market**: From January to May this year, global new energy vehicle sales were 5.564 million units, a 25.5% increase year-on-year. In the same period, European new energy vehicle sales were 1.311 million units, a 23.3% increase year-on-year, and US sales were 517,000 units, a 9.9% increase year-on-year [34]. - **China's new energy vehicle market**: From January to June, China's new energy vehicle market had cumulative sales of 6.934 million units, a 40.3% increase year-on-year. From July 1st to July 20th, the retail sales of the national new energy passenger vehicle market were 537,000 units, a 23% increase year-on-year and a 12% decrease month-on-month [37]. - **Power battery production**: In June, China's total production of power and other batteries was 129.2 GWh, a 4.6% increase month-on-month and a 51.4% increase year-on-year. From January to June, the cumulative production was 697.3 GWh, a 60.4% increase year-on-year [42]. - **Domestic mobile phone shipments**: In the first quarter of 2025, China's smartphone market shipments were 71.6 million units, a 3.3% increase year-on-year [47]. - **New energy storage installation**: From January to May this year, the total installed capacity of newly commissioned new - type energy storage projects was 18.62 GW/47.57 GWh, with a 110% increase in power and a 112.94% increase in capacity year-on-year. In June, the installed capacity was 2.33 GW/5.63 GWh, a significant decrease year-on-year and month-on-month [50]. - **August downstream production scheduling**: In August, downstream production scheduling increased by 4% - 5% month-on-month, with good performance on the energy storage side [56]. Other Indicators - **Non - integrated lithium salt factory cost**: The theoretical production cost of manufacturers processing with purchased spodumene is 79,770 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4,201 yuan/ton week-on-week. The theoretical production profit is - 11,770 yuan/ton, an increase of 201 yuan/ton week-on-week [53]. - **Basis**: This week, the lithium carbonate basis was - 5,060, with the spot price higher than the futures price. The basis of the contract turned negative [59]. - **Contract spread**: This week, the term structure of lithium carbonate contracts was a horizontal structure, and the spread between the first - nearby contract and the nearby contract turned positive, with the spread increasing by 920 compared to last week [64].

Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of lithium mining operations in Yichun has raised market concerns, particularly regarding the supply chain and potential impacts on lithium prices and availability [2][3]. Group 1: Event Background - On July 7, Yichun Natural Resources Bureau announced issues with mining rights for eight lithium resource mines, indicating potential delays in reclassification from "ceramic clay" to "lithium mine" [2]. - The mining license for Ningde Times' Jiangxiawo mine is set to expire on August 9, 2025, with other mines' licenses expiring as late as 2027 [2]. - Following the announcement, Ningde Times confirmed the suspension of operations at Jiangxiawo mine, which has a mining capacity of 45 million tons, translating to approximately 100,000 tons of lithium carbonate, accounting for about 10% of domestic demand [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Analysis - The suspension of Jiangxiawo mine will reduce monthly supply by 0.9 million tons, coinciding with a period when downstream markets are entering a replenishment phase, shifting the supply-demand balance from surplus to shortage [3]. - In August, demand for lithium carbonate is expected to increase by 6%, driven by strong energy storage orders, while supply is anticipated to remain stable or slightly decrease due to the mine's suspension [9]. Group 3: Market Impact Assessment - The current suspension differs from the 2024 production cuts due to heightened market sentiment and increased funding attention, with many investors referencing the price surge in polysilicon [5]. - The new Mineral Resources Law, effective July 1, has classified lithium as an independent mineral, leading to expectations of a chain reaction affecting other mines as their licenses expire [7]. - Compared to the 2024 suspension, current inventory levels are higher by 20,000 tons, indicating a different preparedness level in the downstream market [8]. Group 4: Long-term Supply Outlook - Despite short-term supply disruptions, the long-term outlook suggests a continued oversupply in the lithium market from 2025 to 2028, driven by significant planned production capacity and declining costs [20]. - The potential for increased lithium supply remains, with the market expected to see a rise in imports from South America and stable production from spodumene [17]. Group 5: Price Forecast - The recent supply disruptions and recovering demand are expected to lead to a price increase for lithium carbonate, with projections suggesting a price range of 84,000 to 90,000 yuan per ton [23]. - Market sentiment is bullish, with expectations for lithium prices to rise above 100,000 yuan per ton, although caution is advised due to potential supply increases from other regions [25].

宁德时代8月11日在互动平台表示,公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已 暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢 复生产、该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 机下窝采矿规模4500万吨/年,平均品位(氧化锂含量)0.27%,满产状态下年 产碳酸锂 6 万吨,每月产量可达 5000-6000吨,占去年全国总产量的9.4%。2024年 生产碳酸锂生产现金成本8.77万,叠加锂资源税,完全成本超10万,成本明显偏高, 市场竞争力较低。 本次视下窝停产,市场已有预期,上周四、五两个交易日,碳酸锂主力合约价 对宜春其他锂矿而言,由于其余矿山采矿证到期时间均在2027年之后,短期并 综合来看,短期情绪掉下碳酸锂价格价格偏强运行,但需警惕高价不可持续 格已上涨10.54%,现消息落地后预期兑现,价格继续上涨至8.1万元/吨。一方面, 目前下游大量备库意愿较低,多以刚需为主,难以接受如此高价位原料;另一方面, 若长时间维持该价格,其余碳酸锂厂家盈利空间恢复,供给将迅速得到补充,综合 来看,目前基本面供过于求情况下,短期超涨概率较大,之后价格仍将面临回调。 无到期重新审批问题。而新《矿产资源法》 ...

证券日报网讯金圆股份（000546）8月11日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司捌千错盐湖提锂项 目处于试生产阶段，海外阿根廷卡罗盐湖锂矿项目已完成了3个钻井的勘探工作，同时公司积极寻找非 洲地区锂矿资源，开展项目筛选评价。后续项目的进展情况，公司将严格遵循信息披露规定，及时履行 信息披露义务。 ...

【导读】宁德时代（300750）枧下窝锂矿停产，锂矿概念股集体大涨；中慧生物-B港股上市首日大涨157.98% 8月11日，港股三大指数涨跌不一。其中，恒生指数收涨0.19%，恒生科技指数微跌0.01%，恒生中国企业指数微跌0.08%。全日大市成交额为2009亿港 元，南向资金净买入金额为3834.40万港元。 | 主板 | 涨 886 | 平 642 | 跌 759 | | 恒生指数期货 | 24892 | 58 0.23% | 恒生科指期货 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 年初至今 序号 | | 1 | HSI | 恒生指数 | | 24906.81c | 47.99 | 0.19% | 2009亿 | 24.16% 1 | | 2 | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | | 5460.02c | -0.28 | -0.01% | 524亿 | 22.20% 2 | | 3 | HSHKBIO | 恒生生物科技 | | 16236.68c | 1 ...

过去一个月，围绕着江西宜春8家涉锂矿山企业需要在9月底前完成储量核实报告编制的消息，一直扰动着碳酸锂价格走向。 宁德时代旗下宜春时代新能源矿业有限公司在8家涉锂矿山企业之列，其拥有的宜丰县圳口里—奉新县枧下窝矿区陶瓷土（下称"枧下窝矿区"）（含锂） 的采矿权始于2022年8月9日，将于2025年8月9日到期，且产能规模较大。因此，是否停产最为受人关注。 围绕着枧下窝矿区采矿权问题，在到期前的最后一个工作日（即8月8日），证券时报记者曾多次致电宁德时代证券部，但电话一直无人接通。 面对市场种种猜测，宁德时代近期多次对外称枧下窝矿区仍在正常开工，采矿权续期也已提交了申请材料，并对续签持乐观态度。8月11日早间，宁德时 代在投资者互动平台表示，公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已暂停了开采作业，正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请，待获得批复后将尽早恢 复生产，该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 8月10日，即枧下窝矿区采矿权到期的次日，围绕该矿是否停产，证券时报记者前往进行了实地探访。 the state the st 市能展 宜春时代 低碳生活 新能源矿业有限公司 打造生态 ... 你想您 F 深夜掐点准时停产 ...

Market Overview - On August 11, the A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index reaching new highs for the year. The total trading volume for the day was 1.85 trillion yuan, an increase of 113.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. Market Trends - Market hotspots included PEEK materials, lithium mining, PCB, and consumer electronics concepts, while precious metals, gold, and sectors like railways, highways, and banks experienced declines [1]. - A total of 78 stocks hit the daily limit up, with 17 stocks achieving consecutive limit-ups. The limit-up rate was 73% (excluding ST and delisted stocks) [3]. Key Stocks - Notable stocks included: - Great Wall Military Industry: 10% increase, 6 limit-ups in 8 days, driven by military equipment restructuring [4]. - North Latitude Technology: 10.04% increase, 5 limit-ups in 6 days, linked to robotics and vehicle networking [4]. - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials: 10% increase, 4 limit-ups in 5 days, associated with PEEK materials and fluorine chemicals [4]. - Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium were highlighted due to the suspension of lithium mining operations, potentially affecting supply [13]. Institutional Activity - The top three net purchases on the Dragon and Tiger list were Dazhu Laser (net purchase of 452 million yuan), Tianqi Lithium (381 million yuan), and Ganfeng Lithium (306 million yuan) [5]. - Conversely, the top three net sales were Ningbo Yunsheng (224 million yuan), Deen Precision (144 million yuan), and Furi Electronics (112 million yuan) [7]. Sector Insights - The lithium sector is under pressure due to the suspension of operations at the Yichun project, which could impact the monthly supply of lithium carbonate by 7,000 to 8,000 tons [13]. - The PCB equipment market is rebounding due to increased demand from AI servers and consumer electronics, with Dazhu Laser benefiting from collaborations with major clients in the lithium battery sector [10]. Future Projections - Companies like Furi Electronics expect significant profit growth in the coming years, with projections indicating a net profit increase of 133.55% to 250.33% by mid-2025 [20]. - The light and heavy rare earth sectors are anticipated to see price increases due to supply tightening and growing demand [20].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments surrounding the lithium mining operations of Ningde Times in the Jiangxi Yichun region, particularly focusing on the status of the Jiangxia Wokeng mining area and its impact on lithium carbonate prices. Group 1: Mining Operations and Regulatory Issues - Eight lithium mining companies in Jiangxi Yichun are required to complete reserve verification reports by the end of September, which has created market speculation affecting lithium carbonate prices [3][25]. - Ningde Times' Jiangxia Wokeng mining rights, which began on August 9, 2022, are set to expire on August 9, 2025, and the company has submitted renewal application materials [3][5]. - Despite market concerns, Ningde Times has stated that operations at the Jiangxia Wokeng mining area are normal and that they are optimistic about the renewal of their mining rights [5][19]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Price Fluctuations - The mining area is one of the largest lithium mica mines in the Yichun region, with a recoverable reserve of 77,492 million tons and a production capacity of 20,000 tons of lithium carbonate per year [13][14]. - Recent fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices have been significant, with prices rising from 58,400 yuan/ton to 80,500 yuan/ton between June 23 and July 25, marking a 36.71% increase, followed by a drop back to approximately 68,000 yuan/ton by August 5 [26]. - The market reacted strongly to the news of the mining area’s potential shutdown, with a notable increase in lithium carbonate futures prices following the announcement of the mining halt [29]. Group 3: Operational Insights and Future Prospects - The Jiangxia Wokeng mining area has a significant investment of 2.158 billion yuan and is expected to have a service life of approximately 25.83 years based on a production scale of 30 million tons per year [13]. - Ningde Times has established a comprehensive lithium supply chain in Yichun, including mining, flotation, and smelting facilities, with a total investment of around 13.5 billion yuan for a new lithium battery production base [28]. - The company has faced challenges due to fluctuating lithium prices, with production costs estimated at around 100,000 yuan/ton, leading to temporary shutdowns in the past when prices fell significantly [29].

Report's Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Report's Core View - The short - term sentiment drives the lithium carbonate price to run strongly, but it is necessary to be vigilant that the high price is unsustainable. After a short - term over - increase, the price will face a callback, and it is necessary to be cautious about chasing long positions [3][4] Summary by Related Catalog News of Lithium Carbonate Production Suspension - Ningde Times' Shixiawo mining area in Yichun suspended production on August 10th with no short - term restart plan. The lithium carbonate futures contract price reached the daily limit of 81,000 yuan/ton at the opening on August 11th [3] - Ningde Times stated on the interactive platform on August 11th that the mining operation of its Yichun project was suspended after the mining license expired on August 9th, and it is applying for the renewal of the mining license as soon as possible [3] Production Capacity and Cost of Shixiawo Mining Area - The annual mining scale of Shixiawo is 45 million tons, with an average grade (lithium oxide content) of 0.27%. Under full - production status, the annual output of lithium carbonate is 60,000 tons, and the monthly output is 5,000 - 6,000 tons, accounting for 9.4% of the national total output last year [3] - The cash cost of lithium carbonate production in 2024 was 87,700 yuan, and the full cost exceeded 100,000 yuan after adding the lithium resource tax, with relatively low market competitiveness [3] Market Reaction and Price Trend - The market had anticipated the suspension of Shixiawo. The price of the lithium carbonate main contract had risen 10.54% in the two trading days last Thursday and Friday, and continued to rise to 81,000 yuan/ton after the news was confirmed [3] - Currently, downstream demanders have a low willingness to stock up in large quantities and mainly focus on rigid demand, and it is difficult to accept such high - priced raw materials. If the high price persists, the supply will quickly increase as other manufacturers' profit margins recover [3] Impact of New Mineral Resources Law - Other lithium mines in Yichun do not have the problem of immediate mining license expiration. The Yichun Natural Resources Bureau has required relevant mines to supplement resource reserve reports by the end of September, and will comprehensively consider whether to re - approve mining licenses according to the new mineral law [3] - The new mineral law increases the resource tax rate for low - grade lithium mines and has higher environmental protection requirements, which raises the production cost of mica - extracted lithium and provides some support for the lithium carbonate price [3]

责编:陈玉尧 | 审核:李震 | 监审:古筝 市场全天成交额1.85万亿元，较上个交易日放量1136亿元。 盘面上，市场热点良性轮动，个股涨多跌少，全市场超4100只个股上涨，逾百股涨超9%。从板块来看，PEEK材料概念股再度爆发，中欣氟材5天4板。算 力硬件股震荡走强，胜宏科技再创历史新高。锂矿股集体大涨，盛新锂能等多股涨停。板块方面，PEEK材料、锂矿、CPO、PCB等板块涨幅居前，银 行、黄金、影视、工程机械等板块跌幅居前。 相关报道： 【大河财立方消息】8月11日，A股全天震荡走高，大盘报收3647.55点，创年内新高，创业板指涨1.96％。 ...