2025 年 12 月 16 日 开源晨会 1216 ——晨会纪要 数据来源：聚源 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 非银金融 | 1.594 | | 商贸零售 | 1.489 | | 农林牧渔 | 1.240 | | 钢铁 | 0.911 | | 建筑材料 | 0.907 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 电子 | -2.423 | | 通信 | -1.891 | | 传媒 | -1.633 | | 机械设备 | -1.363 | | 计算机 | -1.266 | 观点精粹 总量视角 【固定收益】社融新增超市场预期，信贷数据结构分化——2025 年 11 月金融数 据点评-20251215 行业公司 【电子】半导体设备自主可控是当下强确定性和弹性兼备科技主线——行业周报 -20251215 【商贸零售】11 月社零同比+1.3%，整体增速有所承压——行 ...

自12月上旬开始，新能源产业链迎来价格波动，其中磷酸铁锂正极材料生产厂商掀起集体提价潮。近 日，记者从部分磷酸铁锂头部企业、中国化学与物理电源行业协会、行业分析师等多个渠道了解到，在 即将迎来2026年之际，多家磷酸铁锂企业开始和客户商谈价格，一些头部企业提出了提价诉求，涨幅集 中在2000~3000 元 / 吨之间。部分企业甚至表示，涨价趋势预计将持续至明年第四季度。记者发现，本 轮磷酸铁锂提价除了储能等需求拉动外，还有碳酸锂等原材料成本上涨的驱动。有分析师表示，碳酸锂 作为磷酸铁锂正极材料的关键原料，其价格每上涨1万元/吨，就会直接推高正极材料成本约2300~2500 元/吨。 (每日经济新闻) ...

| 2026未来产业新材料博览会 | （FINE），围绕机器人、汽车、无人机、数据中心、航空航天、AI、新能源等未 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 来产业共性需求特设6大展区， | N3 先进电池与能源材料展区 聚焦 | 固态 | | 电池 | 、钠电池、钙钛矿、液流电池、电容器 等 | | | ， | 欢迎咨询：18957804107 | | 新材料科技创新与成果交易展区 未来产业创新企业展区 先进电池与能源材料展区 热管理技术与材料展区 N 5 l 先进半导体展区 N4 N3 N2 N1 F NE 2026 ■丁 新加料 参展联系 袁经理 Tel: 180 4209 9505 (微信同号) E-mail: yuanzm@polydt.com 市场合作 日经理 Tel: 189 5780 4107 (微信同号) E-mail: skysea@polydt.com 【DT新材料】 获悉，12月5日，全球特种材料龙头企业 阿科玛 与国内锂电池隔膜领军厂商 恩捷股份 正式敲定电池隔膜领域的深度战略合作。 隔膜作为锂电池的核心组件，其性能直接决定电池的安全性、能效与使用寿命。 从技术协同层面来看 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the recovery of PPI as a significant macroeconomic theme for 2026, which is expected to strengthen corporate profitability and provide solid fundamental support compared to 2025 [7][19][20] - The report predicts that the net profit growth rate for the non-financial sector of the entire A-share market is expected to exceed 10% in 2026, driven by the recovery of PPI [20][22] - The report highlights that the recovery slope of PPI will depend on the degree of fiscal expansion, with a steeper recovery indicating stronger market performance [26][32] Group 2 - The report identifies key industry configurations for 2026, including sectors benefiting from U.S. interest rate cuts, external demand, AI, price increases, and an active capital market [8][19] - Specific sectors such as industrial metals, electric grid equipment, energy storage, battery materials, and certain chemicals are expected to benefit from increased external demand and U.S. capital expenditure expansion [8][19] - The report suggests that the technology sector, particularly in AI and robotics, will continue to see high demand and potential growth, with a focus on software, media, and innovative pharmaceuticals [8][19][40] Group 3 - The report anticipates that the first half of 2026 will present a favorable time window for growth performance, driven by domestic policy initiatives and external interest rate cuts [7][44] - The potential for a "spring rally" is highlighted, with expectations that it may occur earlier than usual due to clearer interest rate cut expectations and favorable market conditions [7][49] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the pace of resident deposit migration and foreign capital inflow as critical variables influencing market dynamics [7][36][41]

中证报中证网讯（王珞）贝特瑞12月12日晚间公告，贝特瑞大股东宝安集团拟作为重整投资联合体牵头 人，联合公司及其他潜在投资人参与杉杉集团及其全资子公司宁波朋泽的实质合并重整投资人招募。 公开资料显示，贝特瑞多年来深耕于锂离子电池负极材料、正极材料及先进新材料的研发创新与产业化 应用，构建了天然石墨负极、人造石墨负极、硅基负极、三元正极等产品矩阵，覆盖了动力电池、储能 电池、消费类电池三大核心领域，为全球头部电池厂商提供专业化和高性能材料解决方案。 转自：中国证券报·中证网 ...

经济观察网容百科技公告称，公司拟使用自有资金3.42亿元收购贵州新仁部分股权，并使用自有资金1.4 亿元对贵州新仁进行增资。本次交易前，公司未持有贵州新仁股权，本次交易完成后，公司将持有贵州 新仁股权比例为93.2%，贵州新仁成为公司控股子公司，纳入公司合并报表范围内。 公司已具备创新性的磷酸铁锂量产技术与深厚的客户基础，而贵州新仁目前已拥有年产6万吨磷酸铁锂 产线且具备快速扩产潜力，公司将通过本次交易，将自身新型技术在标的公司产线上快速放大，迅速构 建具备竞争优势的磷酸铁锂规模化生产能力，将技术优势和产品优势迅速转化成产业化优势，把握市场 高速增长机遇。 ...

格隆汇12月12日丨圣阳股份(002580.SZ)公布，公司拟收购贵州新仁部分股权并对其增资。根据审计机 构对标的公司的审计结果，截至2025年8月31日(审计基准日)，标的公司审定净资产为5.73亿元 ， 经交 易双方协商一致确定标的公司股权整体估值为3.99亿元(即投前估值)。容百科技拟使用自有资金3.42亿 元收购贵州新仁部分股权，并使用自有资金1.4亿元对贵州新仁进行增资。本次交易前，公司未持有贵 州新仁股权，本次交易完成后，公司将持有贵州新仁股权比例为93.2034%，贵州新仁成为公司控股子 公司，纳入公司合并报表范围内。 公司已具备创新性的磷酸铁锂量产技术与深厚的客户基础，而贵州新仁目前已拥有年产6万吨磷酸铁锂 产线且具备快速扩产潜力，公司将通过本次交易，将自身新型技术在标的公司产线上快速放大，迅速构 建具备竞争优势的磷酸铁锂规模化生产能力，将技术优势和产品优势迅速转化成产业化优势，把握市场 高速增长机遇。本次交易将完善公司平台化布局，丰富现有产品矩阵与业务结构，进一步巩固公司作为 全球化正极材料产业整体解决方案提供者的领先地位。 ...

证券日报网讯 12月12日，中伟股份在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司基于产业一体化战略需 求，自2022年起对上游镍、磷、锂等矿产资源在全球进行了战略投资，已取得印尼红土镍矿、阿根廷锂 盐湖、及贵州磷矿等矿产资源。同时在矿产冶炼端，公司已形成近20万金吨镍冶炼产能，并正在对磷矿 和锂矿冶炼进行布局。下游应用方面，公司基于技术多元化战略需求，积极构建镍系、磷系、钠系等多 元材料体系，相关材料在储能领域的应用有望进一步提升。通过加快推进纵向一体化和技术多元化战 略，公司将实现产业链价值最大化，实现高质量可持续发展，回报广大投资者。 （编辑 姚尧） ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The short - term fundamentals of lithium carbonate show strong supply and weak demand, and the lithium price is expected to fluctuate weakly under position limits. It is recommended to hold short positions [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Lithium Carbonate Futures Market - **Price**: On December 10, 2025, the closing price of the near - month contract was 93,640 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1,060 yuan compared to December 9; the trading volume of lithium carbonate futures was 620,935 hands, an increase of 108,720 hands; the open interest was 605,453 hands, an increase of 30,032 hands [1] - **Spread**: The spread between the near - month and the first - consecutive contract was - 440 yuan, the spread between the first - consecutive and the second - consecutive contract was - 80 yuan, and the spread between the second - consecutive and the third - consecutive contract was - 60 yuan [1] - **Inventory**: The registered inventory was 1,368 tons, an increase of 760 tons [1] 3.2 Lithium - Related Product Prices - **Lithium Ore**: The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 1,178 US dollars/ton; the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 1,640 yuan/ton [1] - **Lithium Compounds**: The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5% domestic) was 92,700 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan; the average price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (56.5% CIF China, Japan and South Korea) was 10.2 US dollars/kg [1] - **Other Products**: The average price of lithium hexafluorophosphate (99.95% domestic) was 171,000 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary precursor 523 (polycrystalline/consumer type) was 106,050 yuan/ton [1] 3.3 Lithium Supply and Demand - **Supply**: Last week, the output of lithium carbonate increased, with a decrease in the output of salt - lake lithium carbonate and an increase in the output of lithium carbonate from other raw materials [1] - **Demand**: Last week, the output of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials decreased; in December, the production scheduling of lithium iron phosphate and lithium manganate decreased; last week, the output of power batteries increased; in November, the month - on - month and year - on - year growth rates of new - energy vehicle production and sales slowed down; the 3C shipments weakened; the production scheduling growth of energy - storage batteries stagnated in December [1] 3.4 Lithium Inventory - The SMM lithium carbonate inventory: the inventory of smelters was 20,767 tons, the inventory of downstream was 41,984 tons, and the inventory of others was 49,140 tons. The total inventory decreased by 2,366 tons compared to the previous week [1] 3.5 Industry News - Standard Lithium and Equinor's joint - venture Smackover Lithium announced that its Arkansas Smackover project has attracted over $1.1 billion in financing intentions, covering 76% of the $1.45 billion construction cost of Phase I. The project uses uncommercialized direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology but faces challenges [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The short - term fundamentals of lithium carbonate show strong supply and weak demand, and the lithium price is expected to fluctuate weakly under position limits. It is recommended to hold short positions [1] Summary by Relevant Content Lithium Carbonate Futures Market - On December 10, 2025, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures oscillated upward. The trading volume was 620,935 hands (+108,720), and the open interest was 605,453 hands (+30,032) [1] - The prices of different contracts (near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, consecutive - three) all increased compared with previous data, with price increases ranging from 3,080 yuan/ton to 3,180 yuan/ton [1] Spot Market - The spot market trading was sluggish, and the basis discount widened. The price of spodumene concentrate increased, while the price of mica also rose [1] Supply and Demand - **Supply**: Last week, the production of lithium carbonate increased. The production of lithium carbonate from salt lakes decreased, while that from other raw materials increased [1] - **Demand**: Last week, the production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials decreased. In December, the production plan of lithium iron phosphate and lithium manganate decreased. Last week, the production of power batteries increased. In November, the month - on - month and year - on - year growth rates of new energy vehicle production and sales slowed down; the 3C shipments weakened; the growth of the production plan of energy - storage batteries in December stagnated [1] Inventory - The registered inventory was 13,680 tons (+760), and the social inventory decreased. Refineries and other sectors destocked, while downstream sectors also destocked [1] Industry News - Standard Lithium and Equinor's joint - venture Smackover Lithium project in Arkansas has attracted over $1.1 billion in financing intentions, covering 76% of the $1.45 - billion construction cost of Phase I. The project uses direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology but faces challenges such as the complexity of brine composition and the stability of recovery rates [1]