三元正极
Search documents
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持华友钴业“买入”评级,Q4价格全面向上,业绩超预期
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-07 05:39
东吴证券研报指出,华友钴业预计25年归母净利58.5~64.5亿元,同比+40.8%~55.2%,其中25Q4归母净 利16.3~22.3亿元,同比+44%~97%,环比+9%~48%;25Q4业绩亮眼、超市场预期。价格方面,25Q4镍 均价1.5万美金,环比持平,但印尼政府计划26年减少采矿配额发放,以此挺价,12月镍价从底部1.45万 美金已提升至1.68万美金,若价格维持,26年公司镍单吨利润可增厚0.1万美金至0.4万美金,对应镍可 贡献40亿+利润。三元正极方面,预计25年近10万吨,同比翻番,三元前驱体近11万吨,26年预计平稳 增长。考虑到公司受益于价格全面上涨,该行上修25-27年归母净利润由60/90/109亿元至62/107/124亿 元,同增50%/72%/15%,对应PE为22x/13x/11x,给予26年20xPE,目标价113元,维持"买入"评级。 ...
贝特瑞:拟参与杉杉集团及其全资子公司实质合并重整投资人招募
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-13 08:38
中证报中证网讯(王珞)贝特瑞12月12日晚间公告,贝特瑞大股东宝安集团拟作为重整投资联合体牵头 人,联合公司及其他潜在投资人参与杉杉集团及其全资子公司宁波朋泽的实质合并重整投资人招募。 公开资料显示,贝特瑞多年来深耕于锂离子电池负极材料、正极材料及先进新材料的研发创新与产业化 应用,构建了天然石墨负极、人造石墨负极、硅基负极、三元正极等产品矩阵,覆盖了动力电池、储能 电池、消费类电池三大核心领域,为全球头部电池厂商提供专业化和高性能材料解决方案。 转自:中国证券报·中证网 ...
中金2026年展望 | 电力设备新能源:筑基待势,万象启新(要点版)
中金点睛· 2025-11-07 00:09
Group 1: New Energy Vehicles - The new energy vehicle sector is expected to enter a new upward cycle starting in 2025, driven by improvements in supply-demand structure and price stabilization within the industry chain [6][7] - Key drivers include changes in demand structure, diversification of application scenarios, and the release of a new vehicle cycle overseas [6] - The introduction of high-voltage fast-charging and extended-range models is expected to increase the battery capacity per vehicle, expanding applications beyond passenger cars to include heavy trucks, engineering machinery, and electric ships [6][7] Group 2: Energy Storage - The energy storage market is anticipated to grow significantly due to declining prices of lithium batteries, inverters, and photovoltaic components, making "photovoltaic + energy storage" economically viable in many countries [4][10] - The global energy storage market is projected to maintain an upward trend, with expected annual shipments surpassing 600 GWh and growth rates exceeding 20% by 2026 [10] - The domestic energy storage market is expected to reach an economic turning point following policy reforms, while emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are becoming new growth areas [10][11] Group 3: Industrial Automation - The industrial automation sector is experiencing stable growth, with structural opportunities arising from the recovery of the new energy sector since 2025 [14][15] - The demand for high-performance power supply for AI data centers is driving growth in AIDC (Automated Identification and Data Capture) and robotics [15] - Companies are extending their existing technology into robotics, with a focus on humanoid robots and advanced motor technologies such as axial flux motors [15][16] Group 4: Power Equipment - The investment climate for domestic power grids is expected to remain positive, with a projected CAGR of around 7% for grid investment from 2026 to 2027 [17][19] - The focus on high-voltage direct current (HVDC) and flexible direct current transmission is expected to drive significant investment in the power grid [17] - The export potential for power equipment remains strong, with a 23% year-on-year increase in exports from January to August 2025, driven by global demand for renewable energy and grid modernization [19]
新能源车ETF(159806)盘中回调超1.8%,锂电需求持续向好,回调或可布局
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-03 07:49
Core Viewpoint - The demand for lithium batteries continues to improve, with significant increases in long-term contracts and cooperation across the supply chain, positively impacting the export environment due to a consensus reached between China and the U.S. to suspend lithium export controls for one year [1] Industry Summary - The price of lithium salts has risen, leading to an increase in battery cell prices, with lithium carbonate prices rising by 7,200 yuan/ton to 80,600 yuan/ton compared to two weeks ago [1] - Prices for materials such as ternary cathodes and lithium iron phosphate cathodes have also increased in tandem with lithium carbonate [1] Company Summary - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (159806) tracks the CS New Energy Vehicle Index (399976), which selects 50 listed companies involved in lithium batteries, charging piles, and new energy vehicles from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets as index samples [1] - The index's component weight is concentrated in three core areas: batteries, passenger vehicles, and energy metals, providing a comprehensive reflection of the overall market performance of the new energy vehicle supply chain [1]
中国宝安前三季度营收增超14%,核心子公司贝特瑞表现亮眼
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-10-31 05:13
Core Viewpoint - China Baowu Steel Group reported a steady revenue growth of 14.87% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 16.812 billion yuan, despite industry adjustments [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of 283 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 26.51% compared to the same period last year [2][5]. - The basic earnings per share were 0.0153 yuan, down 79.18% year-on-year [2][3]. - The total assets increased by 5.22% year-on-year, reaching approximately 56.579 billion yuan [2][3]. Subsidiary Performance - The core subsidiary, Betterray, achieved a remarkable revenue of 4.547 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 40.70, with a net profit of 768 million yuan for the first three quarters [4][5]. - Betterray's growth is attributed to its comprehensive product matrix and breakthroughs in solid-state battery materials, which have led to significant order deliveries [4][5]. Market Position and Strategy - Betterray's advancements in technology and global capacity expansion are expected to enhance the profit contribution from the new energy sector for China Baowu [5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the accelerating commercialization of silicon-based anode materials, with projected market demand reaching 80,000 tons by 2030 [4][5].
当升科技(300073):正极材料出货持续提升 固态电池材料布局快速推进
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 00:40
Core Insights - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 192 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year increase [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.399 billion yuan, a 34% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 503 million yuan, also up 8% year-on-year [1] - The company’s ternary cathode sales increased significantly, with an estimated sales volume of nearly 15,000 tons in Q3 2025, reflecting over a 50% year-on-year growth [1] Group 1: Ternary Cathode Performance - In Q3 2025, the company’s ternary cathode revenue reached 2.967 billion yuan, a 50% year-on-year increase and an 18% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The net profit per ton for ternary cathodes was approximately 10,000 yuan, showing a decline due to changes in domestic and international shipment structures [1] - The company has signed supply agreements with clients such as SK On and LG Energy, indicating deepening customer relationships [1] Group 2: Phosphate Cathode Growth - The company’s phosphate cathode sales reached nearly 23,000 tons in Q3 2025, with a 14% quarter-on-quarter growth, marking a turnaround to profitability [2] - High capacity utilization and cost control have contributed to the business scale advantages in phosphate cathodes [2] - The company is expanding its production capacity, with the first phase of the Panzhihua project expected to produce 120,000 tons annually, enhancing customer assurance capabilities [2] Group 3: Solid-State Battery Materials - The company is actively developing solid-state battery materials, having shipped over 1,000 tons of semi-solid battery cathode materials [2] - The company has achieved batch supply of over 20 tons for ultra-high nickel multi-materials and ultra-high capacity lithium-rich manganese-based materials for all-solid-state batteries [2] - A new type of solid-state electrolyte has been developed, which significantly reduces the pressure on all-solid-state batteries and addresses solid-solid interface contact issues [2]
华友钴业(603799):Q3镍利润稳定,看好后续钴涨价利润弹性
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-20 06:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huayou Cobalt (603799) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights stable nickel profits in Q3 and anticipates significant profit elasticity from rising cobalt prices in the future [7] - The company is expected to achieve a total revenue of 81.86 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 34.32% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 6.03 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 45.17% [1] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 58.94 billion yuan, up 29.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.22 billion yuan, up 39.6% year-on-year [7] - Q3 2025 revenue was 21.74 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 40.9% and a year-on-year increase of 12.3% [7] - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 16.7%, slightly down from the previous quarter [7] Nickel and Cobalt Production Insights - Nickel is the main profit contributor, with expected nickel product shipments of 240,000 tons for the year [7] - Cobalt shipments are projected at approximately 35,000 tons for the first three quarters of 2025, with Q3 shipments increasing by 40% [7] - The report anticipates cobalt prices to rise to 400,000 yuan/ton, significantly boosting profit contributions in 2026 [7] Financial Forecasts - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 6.0 billion, 9.0 billion, and 10.9 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19x, 13x, and 11x [7] - The target price is set at 95 yuan, based on a 20x P/E for 2026 [7] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 4.18 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year [7] - Capital expenditure for the same period was 7.88 billion yuan, reflecting a 53.3% increase year-on-year [7]
锂电10月排产
数说新能源· 2025-09-29 07:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the production statistics of various battery components, indicating significant growth in both lithium iron phosphate (LFP) and ternary battery production [1] - Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cell production reached 113.6 GWh, with a month-on-month increase of 9% and a year-on-year increase of 49% [1] - Ternary cell production was recorded at 22.2 GWh, showing a month-on-month increase of 1% and a year-on-year increase of 12% [1] - The leading companies in the sector produced a total of 73.5 GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 6% and a year-on-year increase of 41% [1] Group 2 - For cathodes, four companies in the ternary segment produced 26,000 tons, with a month-on-month increase of 2% and a year-on-year increase of 15% [1] - Four companies in the LFP cathode segment produced 130,000 tons, maintaining a month-on-month increase of 0% and a year-on-year increase of 19% [1] - Anode production from four companies reached 163,000 tons, with a month-on-month increase of 6% and a year-on-year increase of 50% [1] - Three companies produced 1.72 billion square meters of separators, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 4% and a year-on-year increase of 31% [1] - Two companies produced 100,000 tons of electrolyte, with a month-on-month increase of 4% and a year-on-year increase of 46% [1]
碳酸锂:进口矿放量,碳酸锂去库放缓,区间震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-28 09:34
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Report's Core View - This week, the price of lithium carbonate futures contracts showed a range-bound trend. The 2511 contract closed at 72,880 yuan/ton, down 1,080 yuan/ton week-on-week, and the 2601 contract closed at 72,820 yuan/ton, down 1,220 yuan/ton week-on-week. The spot price increased by 100 yuan/ton to 73,600 yuan/ton [1]. - The supply of lithium ore increased, with the weekly output reaching a new high of 20,516 tons. The demand from the domestic energy storage market exceeded expectations, but the cathode materials maintained inventory accumulation. The weekly lithium carbonate inventory decreased to 136,800 tons, and the de-stocking speed slowed down for three consecutive weeks [2]. - In the future, it is expected that the price will maintain a range-bound trend. The de-stocking speed of lithium carbonate has slowed down, and the downstream inventory preparation for the National Day is almost over. However, the demand on the consumer electronics and energy storage sides is expected to remain strong [3]. - For single - sided trading, the price of the futures main contract is expected to run in the range of 70,000 - 76,000 yuan/ton. For cross - period trading, due to strong demand but increasing warehouse receipts, arbitrage is not recommended. For hedging, considering the significant price fluctuations caused by the change of lithium ore mining rights, it is recommended to increase the hedging ratio and use options for hedging [4][5][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Data - The report presents various price data of lithium - related products, including the prices of lithium ore, lithium salts, electrolytes, positive electrode materials, and lithium batteries, as well as their week - on - week changes [9]. 3.2 Lithium Salt Upstream Supply - Side (Lithium Ore) - The shipment volume of Australian lithium ore increased significantly, with 230,000/441,000 tons shipped in the first four weeks of August and September respectively. The price of lithium ore was firm but not significantly stronger [2]. - The weekly production of lithium carbonate reached a new high of 20,516 tons. The disk profit and spot profit weakened, but the spot price remained strong. The shipment volume of lithium salts from Chile was 25,600/27,400 tons in August and September [2]. 3.3 Lithium Salt Mid - stream Consumption - Side (Lithium Salt Products) - The report provides multiple charts showing the price trends, production, inventory, and import - export volume of lithium carbonate, including battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, as well as the price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate [10][11][12]. 3.4 Lithium Salt Downstream Consumption - Side (Lithium Batteries and Materials) - The report shows the apparent consumption, inventory available days, monthly production, and monthly operating rates of lithium - battery - related products such as lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, and various types of lithium batteries through multiple charts [15][16][17].
电芯9月排产
数说新能源· 2025-09-01 09:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the production data of various battery components, indicating a positive growth trend in both lithium-ion battery cells and their components [1] - The production of ternary battery cells reached 21.9 GWh, showing a month-on-month increase of 6% and a year-on-year increase of 13% [1] - The production of lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) cells was 102.9 GWh, with a month-on-month increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 56% [1] - Leading companies in the sector produced a total of 69.5 GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 43% [1] Group 2 - The production of ternary cathodes from four companies reached 25,000 tons, with a month-on-month decrease of 1% but a year-on-year increase of 20% [1] - The production of lithium iron phosphate cathodes from four companies was 127,000 tons, showing a month-on-month increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 28% [1] - The production of anodes from four companies reached 152,000 tons, with a month-on-month increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 44% [1] - The production of separators from three companies was 1.64 billion square meters, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 32% [1] - The production of electrolytes from two companies reached 97,000 tons, with a month-on-month increase of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 44% [1]