记者丨 赵云帆 编辑丨朱益民 在2025年下半年"化工反内卷"声浪之中，"化工茅"万华化学（600309.SH）的涨价显得有些姗 姗来迟，但在影响范围上却有横扫全球之势头。 自2025年12月以来，万华化学接连发布多份调价函，涉及（二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯）和TDI （甲苯二异氰酸酯）等公司核心产品。在全球范围内、巴斯夫、陶氏、亨斯迈等也频频同步上 调MDI/TDI价格，聚氨酯价格迎来了近三年来难得一见的强势表现。 这也是继2025年年中科思创TDI装置遭遇火灾不可抗力停产之后，聚氨酯行业在一年内再度迎 来一轮涨价契机。 "聚氨酯的行业集中度很高，除万华化学之外的企业均是全球性化工巨头。因此国内的反内卷 对聚氨酯行业其实并没有太多直接的影响"，有聚氨酯行业人士告诉21世纪经济报道记 者。"（本次调价）这个事还是属于一个正常的市场调整行为。" 二级市场上，近期万华化学股价呈上涨趋势，近20日累计涨超12%，2025年12月31日股价微 跌0.42%，市值为2400亿元。 意外检修涨价潮 21世纪经济报道记者获悉，此轮MDI/TDI涨价首先由巴斯夫发起，包括万华化学在内的其它厂 商开始跟进。 其中，巴斯夫于去年11月 ...

更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 机器人 TPU 材料交流 20260104 摘要 Q&A 争 狗 - TPU 因其优异的耐磨性(比天然橡胶高 3-10 倍)、抗撕裂性及在-40°C 至 120°C 范围内的稳定性能,在机器人安全防护、轻量化结构、传动密 封和传感器保护等领域具有广泛应用,每台机器人价值量约为 6,000元人 民币。 TPU 根据成分可分为聚酯型、聚醚型和己内酯型,分别适用于耐油溶剂、 ● 低温水解和高端部件等不同场景。2025年全球 TPU 产能预计达 130 万吨, 中国占比 46.2%,主要国际生产商包括巴斯夫和科思创。 国内 TPU 企业如万华化学(生物基 TPL 技术领先)、华峰化学(产能最大)、 ● 美瑞新材(机器人改性 TPU 投入多)和伊诺威(产品特色鲜明)等,在机 器人制造领域占据重要地位,并积极与特斯拉、小鹏机器人等厂商合作。 机器人用 TPU 材料均价太致处于 23,000 至 28,000元/吨之间,高于普通 用途的 IPU_原材料均价 ( 约为 15, 000 元/吨 )，主要由于其特殊的聚酯蛋;n\' shui mu2026 聚醚型或色肉酰胺 ...

"化工茅"涨价了，但行业距离复苏还有距离。 21世纪经济报道记者获悉，此轮MDI/TDI涨价首先由巴斯夫发起，包括万华化学在内的其它厂商开始跟进。 其中，巴斯夫于去年11月20日起上调南亚地区MDI基础产品价格200美元/吨；随后，万华化学开始跟进涨价，宣布12月1日起东南亚及南亚地 区聚合与纯MDI上调200美元/吨，欧洲全系MDI产品上涨300欧元/吨。 紧接着，12月中旬，万华化学再度进一步调价，其中中东、非洲、土耳其所有MDI产品提价350元/吨，拉丁美洲全系MDI/TDI价格上涨200美 元/吨。 其他聚氨酯核心厂商方面，亨斯迈12月2日宣布对欧洲、非洲和中东地区全系MDI涨价350欧元/吨；陶氏化学12月3日宣布对同地区全系MDI上 调300欧元/吨。 在2025年下半年"化工反内卷"声浪之中，"化工茅"万华化学（600309）(600309.SH)的涨价显得有些姗姗来迟，但在影响范围上却有横扫全球之 势头。 自2025年12月以来，万华化学接连发布多份调价函，涉及(二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯)和TDI(甲苯二异氰酸酯)等公司核心产品。在全球范围内、巴 斯夫、陶氏、亨斯迈等也频频同步上调MDI/TDI价 ...

汇得科技8月26日发布的2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票募集说明书(申报稿)显示，本次向特定对象发 行A股股票募集资金总额不超过(含)人民币58,000.00万元，在扣除相关发行费用后的募集资金净额将全 部用于聚氨酯新材料募投项目。 中国经济网北京12月30日讯汇得科技（603192）(603192.SH)昨晚发布关于向特定对象发行股票申请获 得上海证券交易所审核通过的公告。 汇得科技于12月29日收到上交所出具的《关于上海汇得科技股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票的交易所 审核意见》，具体审核意见如下："上海汇得科技股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票申请符合发行条 件、上市条件和信息披露要求。本所将在收到你公司申请文件后提交中国证监会注册。" 汇得科技表示，公司2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票事项尚需获得中国证监会作出同意注册的决定后 方可实施，最终能否获得中国证监会同意注册的决定尚存在不确定性。公司将根据进展情况，严格按照 上市公司向特定对象发行股票相关法律法规的要求及时履行信息披露义务，敬请广大投资者注意投资风 险。 本次发行对象为不超过35名符合中国证监会规定条件的证券投资基金管理公司、证券公司、信托投资 ...

每经AI快讯，ST联创（SZ 300343，收盘价：5.96元）12月29日晚间发布公告称，本激励计划拟授予的 激励对象总人数共计107人，采用的激励工具为限制性股票，涉及的标的股票来源为公司回购专用证券 账户回购的公司A 股普通股股票；拟向激励对象授予限制性股票总量合计1110.49万股，约占本激励计 划草案公告时公司股本总额约10.69亿股的1.04%；限制性股票的授予价格为每股3.5元，即满足归属条 件后，激励对象可以每股3.5元的价格购买公司向激励对象增发的公司A股普通股股票，有效期自限制性 股票授予之日起至激励对象获授的限制性股票全部归属或作废失效之日止，最长不超过36个月。 2025年1至6月份，ST联创的营业收入构成为：含氟新材料占比73.6%，聚氨酯新材料占比25.86%，互联 网板块占比0.54%。 截至发稿，ST联创市值为64亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——绕开光刻机"卡脖子"，中国新型芯片问世！专访北大孙仲：支撑AI训练和 具身智能，可在28纳米及以上成熟工艺量产 （记者 曾健辉） ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the price of photovoltaic silicon wafers, indicating a positive trend in the solar energy sector. Additionally, major companies such as Mitsui Chemicals are consolidating their ethylene businesses, which may enhance operational efficiencies [1][34]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical sector ranked 7th in overall performance for the week of December 22-26, 2025, with a gain of 4.23%. This performance outpaced the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.35 percentage points [3][20]. Key Industry Trends - The report notes a continued divergence in the chemical industry’s prosperity, with recommendations to focus on synthetic biology, pesticides, chromatography media, sweeteners, vitamins, light hydrocarbon chemicals, COC polymers, and MDI [4][5]. Synthetic Biology - The report emphasizes the arrival of a pivotal moment for synthetic biology, driven by energy structure adjustments. Traditional chemical companies are expected to face competition based on energy consumption and carbon tax costs. Companies that leverage green energy and scale advantages are likely to thrive [5]. Refrigerants - The upcoming quota policy for third-generation refrigerants is expected to lead to a high-growth cycle. The supply of second-generation refrigerants is being reduced, while demand remains stable due to market expansions in heat pumps and cold chains [6]. Electronic Specialty Gases - The electronic specialty gas market is characterized by high technical barriers and value addition. The domestic market is facing a mismatch between rapid upgrades in wafer manufacturing and insufficient high-end electronic specialty gas capacity, presenting opportunities for domestic replacements [7][8]. Light Hydrocarbon Chemicals - The trend towards light raw materials in the global olefin industry is highlighted, with a shift from heavy naphtha to lighter alkanes like ethane and propane. This transition is expected to enhance production efficiency and align with global carbon neutrality goals [8]. COC Polymers - The report discusses the accelerated industrialization of COC/COP materials in China, driven by domestic companies achieving breakthroughs and the increasing demand from downstream industries [9]. Potash Fertilizers - Potash fertilizer prices are anticipated to rebound as major producers reduce output, alleviating inventory pressures. The report suggests that the market is entering a destocking phase, which could lead to price stabilization [10]. MDI Market - The MDI market is characterized by oligopolistic supply dynamics, with major players controlling over 90% of global capacity. Despite current price pressures, the long-term outlook remains positive as demand recovers [11].

Group 1 - The article highlights that 39 out of 360 industry/theme ETFs reached new highs in December, with established sectors like telecommunications and non-ferrous metals reflecting North American AI infrastructure and resource logic, while new sectors like commercial aerospace ETFs are gaining attention during market fluctuations [2] - The focus on sectors such as chemicals and engineering machinery indicates a shift in China's manufacturing competitiveness towards pricing power, while sectors related to anti-involution, like new energy and steel, are also showing signs of recovery [2] - The investment strategy suggests a preference for sectors with low heat and concentration but potential for long-term ROE improvement, such as chemicals, engineering machinery, and new energy, alongside a keen observation of the trend of RMB appreciation [3] Group 2 - The article discusses the favorable conditions for the spring market rally, emphasizing liquidity-driven characteristics in the A-share market, with expectations for a surge in the CSI A500 ETF towards year-end [3] - It notes that the spring market is supported by loose liquidity, with private equity making concentrated purchases and the RMB's appreciation benefiting market liquidity [3] - The potential for a spring rally is further supported by upcoming events like the Spring Festival and the Two Sessions, which may enhance risk appetite [3] Group 3 - The article indicates that the RMB's appreciation post "breaking 7" is expected to have a positive impact on both the currency and capital markets, with a potential for a spring rally [4][5] - It outlines four key logic points regarding the impact of RMB appreciation on industry allocation, including benefits for industries with high import reliance, those with significant foreign currency liabilities, and domestic demand-driven sectors [5] - The article suggests that the current market conditions do not show clear signs of a bull market peak, with internal policies remaining supportive and external risks easing [6] Group 4 - The article identifies new investment themes emerging in the commodity market and real industry chains, highlighting the increasing consumption of physical goods in manufacturing sectors and the strengthening of China's manufacturing advantages [7] - It recommends focusing on industrial resource products that resonate with AI investment and global manufacturing recovery, as well as sectors like equipment exports and domestic manufacturing recovery [7] - The article emphasizes the importance of capital market expansion and the potential for non-bank financial sectors to benefit from improving asset returns [7] Group 5 - The article states that the A-share market's cross-year rally has begun, driven by positive signals from the Shanghai Composite Index and optimistic institutional investor expectations [8] - It highlights the importance of sectors like non-ferrous metals and AI computing, with commercial aerospace being a primary market focus [8] - The article suggests that the spring market may see a structural and rapid rotation of sectors, with a recommendation for investors to adopt a low-buying strategy [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market is experiencing a cross-year rally, driven by liquidity and positive policy expectations, with a focus on sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and materials [9][10][11] - 39 out of 360 industry/theme ETFs reached new highs in December, with established sectors like telecommunications and non-ferrous metals leading, while new sectors like commercial aerospace are gaining traction [1] - The market consensus is shifting towards sectors representing competition in next-generation infrastructure between China and the US, with a focus on manufacturing and pricing power in the global market [1][2] Group 2 - The strategy emphasizes structural opportunities in a volatile market, with a preference for sectors with low concentration but rising attention and long-term ROE potential, such as chemicals and engineering machinery [2] - The outlook for the RMB is positive, with expectations of appreciation driven by improved domestic conditions and external factors, which could lead to significant capital inflows and asset revaluation [4][5] - The spring market is expected to benefit from favorable conditions, including liquidity support and upcoming policy events, with a focus on technology and cyclical sectors [3][10][12] Group 3 - The investment focus is on sectors that benefit from RMB appreciation, such as those with high import material dependency and those that can leverage increased domestic purchasing power [5] - The market is characterized by a structural rotation, with a focus on technology themes and sectors like commercial aerospace, nuclear power, and robotics [12][14] - The overall sentiment is optimistic, with expectations of a continued upward trend in the market leading up to the Spring Festival, supported by strong institutional buying and favorable policy expectations [11][13][14]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the basic chemical industry, with significant growth in specific sub-sectors such as TDI and synthetic resins [1][2]. Core Insights - The TDI export volume reached a historical high in November, with 56,500 tons exported, significantly exceeding previous years' totals, and is projected to continue growing [2]. - The China Synthetic Resin Association has called for the regulation of the polyoxymethylene industry to address structural supply-demand imbalances, with projected production capacity reaching 1.51 million tons per year against a demand of only 950,000 tons by 2025 [2]. - The chemical sector overall has shown strong performance, with the CITIC Basic Chemical Index rising by 5.41% this week, outperforming other indices [1][10]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.88%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 3.9%, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1][10]. - The top-performing sub-sectors in the chemical industry this week included membrane materials (12.18%), synthetic resins (8.23%), and phosphate fertilizers (6.5%) [1][13]. Sub-sector Summaries TDI - November TDI exports reached 56,500 tons, with a cumulative export of 506,300 tons from January to November, marking a 56.2% year-on-year increase [2]. - The average export price for TDI in October was $1,527 per ton, with a total export value of $67.1 million [2]. Polyoxymethylene - The industry faces challenges due to a projected capacity of 1.51 million tons against a demand of only 950,000 tons, leading to potential oversupply issues [2]. Tires - Domestic tire manufacturers are becoming increasingly competitive, with a focus on growth opportunities in the tire sector [2]. Phosphate Chemicals - The phosphate chemical sector is expected to benefit from environmental policies limiting supply, coupled with increasing demand from the new energy sector [4]. Vitamins - The market for vitamins is experiencing supply disruptions, particularly for Vitamin A and E, due to unforeseen circumstances affecting production [5].

Core Viewpoint - The thermoplastic polyurethane (TPU) industry for consumer electronics is at a critical turning point, facing short-term price pressures but long-term opportunities driven by trends towards green, high-performance, and intelligent materials [7]. Group 1: Current Industry Status - TPU is a high-performance polymer material used in consumer electronics for protective cases, functional components, and structural parts, with specific mechanical and environmental properties [2][5]. - The global TPU market for consumer electronics is projected to grow from $547.50 million in 2024 to $1,025.35 million by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.60% [16]. - The Chinese market is rapidly evolving, expected to account for approximately 49.87% of the global market by 2031, growing from $252.96 million in 2024 [16]. Group 2: Market Growth Drivers - The demand for TPU in consumer electronics is driven by the need for lightweight, durable materials in smartphones, wearables, and flexible displays, with increasing penetration in protective cases and smart device applications [20][22]. - Innovations in TPU manufacturing are leading to customized products with unique properties such as flame retardancy, UV resistance, and antibacterial features, expanding applications across various industries [9][10]. Group 3: Technological and Environmental Trends - The industry is witnessing a shift towards bio-based and biodegradable TPU products, with companies like BASF and Wanhua Chemical introducing bio-based TPU with 30%-70% bio-content [11]. - The development of recycling technologies is expected to enhance TPU waste recycling rates, aligning with global carbon neutrality goals [11]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The top three global manufacturers, BASF, Covestro, and Huntsman, hold over 41% market share, indicating a highly competitive environment, particularly in China [17][19]. - The market is characterized by a "two super, many strong" structure, with leading companies like Huafeng Group and Wanhua Chemical dominating the high-end market, while smaller firms operate in the low-end market [19]. Group 5: Policy and Regulatory Environment - Government policies such as "Made in China 2025" and the "Internet Plus" initiative are promoting high-end and intelligent development in the TPU sector, encouraging its application in electronic products [24]. - Environmental regulations are driving the development of green TPU materials, reducing reliance on traditional petroleum-based materials [24].