Market Strategy Overview - The report indicates that the second phase of the bull market is underway, driven by strong domestic demand and policy support in the AI and semiconductor sectors [2][3]. Domestic Market Insights - The domestic computing power chain is experiencing a comprehensive cyclical resonance, with significant policy and market demand acceleration, exemplified by the successful listing of Moer Thread on September 26 [3]. - AI-driven storage sector prices are expected to see double-digit growth, with TrendForce predicting substantial increases in DDR4/DDR5 contract and spot prices, leading to a price-volume resonance in wafer manufacturing and semiconductor production equipment [3]. Future Outlook - Over the next three months, global computing power investment is expected to maintain high levels of prosperity, with capital expenditures in AI infrastructure still in the expansion phase [4]. - Companies such as Broadcom and AMD are rapidly emerging outside of Nvidia's dominance, while domestic computing power chains are entering a realization phase with high certainty in growth across GPU, storage, wafer manufacturing, and equipment sectors [4]. - AI inference demand is extending to end-user applications, with smart driving and AI terminal applications becoming key growth drivers [4]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several stocks for investment, including: - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 CH, Buy) - Shengyi Technology (600183 CH, Buy) - Horizon Robotics (9660 HK, Buy) - Shenzhen South Circuit (002916 CH, Buy) - Beike Micro (2149 HK, Buy) - Northern Huachuang (002371 CH, Buy) [4]. Macro Economic Context - The report notes a slowdown in the Chinese economy, with GDP growth expected to decline from 5.2% in Q2 to 4.9% in Q3 and 4.6% in Q4, with an annual forecast of 5% [11]. - The report highlights that the macroeconomic environment is likely to see a renewed push for fiscal policy in Q4, with potential interest rate cuts and increased government spending to stimulate consumption [14]. Sector-Specific Insights - In the technology sector, optimism is noted for Q3, with strong sales expected for the iPhone 17 and continued growth in AI server deployments [5]. - The semiconductor sector is also viewed positively, with significant investments in AI infrastructure and partnerships between major players like OpenAI and Broadcom [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI in driving growth across various sectors, including healthcare, industrials, and consumer staples, with specific recommendations for stocks in these areas [5][6]. Consumer Behavior Trends - The report identifies a cautious but improving consumer sentiment, with expectations for increased spending in essential consumer goods and sectors benefiting from domestic brand replacements [7]. - The report suggests that consumer behavior is gradually adapting to economic pressures, leading to potential growth in sectors like snacks, soft drinks, and beer [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [4][19] Core Views - The telecommunications industry is benefiting from the ongoing Digital China strategy, leading to stable growth in overall business for operators, with innovative services experiencing higher growth rates and increasing proportions [2] - The AI computing power sector continues to thrive globally, with significant investments from major companies, indicating a rapid growth period for domestic computing power targets [4] - New growth drivers such as satellite internet are injecting new momentum into the industry, providing additional performance elasticity [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Telecom Operators - China Mobile is expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 245.1 billion to CNY 246 billion, a year-on-year growth of 0.2% to 0.5%, with net profit of CNY 32.1 billion to CNY 32.4 billion, a growth of 4.6% to 5.6% [2][16] - China Telecom is projected to achieve Q3 revenue of CNY 127.2 billion to CNY 128.5 billion, a growth of 1% to 2%, with net profit of CNY 7.75 billion to CNY 8.05 billion, a growth of 3.5% to 7.5% [2][16] - China Unicom's Q3 revenue is expected to be CNY 93.7 billion to CNY 94.6 billion, with a growth of 1% to 2%, and net profit of CNY 2.41 billion to CNY 2.49 billion, a growth of 4.8% to 8.3% [3][16] - China Tower is anticipated to report Q3 revenue of CNY 24.9 billion to CNY 25.2 billion, a growth of 2.9% to 4.1%, with net profit of CNY 2.97 billion to CNY 3.05 billion, a growth of 5.2% to 8% [3][16] AI and Network Connectivity - The AI optical module sector is experiencing significant growth, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 8.9 billion to CNY 9.6 billion, a growth of 37% to 47%, and net profit of CNY 2.9 billion to CNY 3.2 billion, a growth of 108% to 130% [4][16] - Tianfu Communication is projected to achieve Q3 revenue of CNY 1.8 billion to CNY 2.1 billion, a growth of 115% to 150%, with net profit of CNY 650 million to CNY 750 million, a growth of 102% to 133% [5][16] AI Applications and Data Centers - AI server demand is rapidly increasing, with ZTE expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 31 billion to CNY 32 billion, a growth of 12% to 16%, and net profit of CNY 1.95 billion to CNY 2.1 billion, a decrease of 3% to 10% [7][16] - The AIDC sector is also growing, with Keda Data expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 24 billion to CNY 27 billion, a growth of 44% to 62%, and net profit of CNY 180 million to CNY 230 million, a growth of 1347% to 1748% [8][16] Satellite Internet and Military Communication - The military communication sector is expected to see increased investment due to regional tensions, with companies like Zhenlei Technology projected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 150 million to CNY 160 million, a growth of 125% to 141%, and net profit of CNY 45 million to CNY 50 million, a growth of 409% to 466% [10][16]

Group 1 - The report from Dongfang Securities highlights that process technology upgrades drive chip performance improvements, while advanced packaging serves as another key driver for enhancing chip capabilities [1] - In the context of slowing process technology upgrades, increasing the die area can enhance transistor count and computational power, with Nvidia's H100 die area nearing the reticle limit of approximately 800-900 mm² [1] - Nvidia's B200 adopts advanced packaging with dual die integration, achieving 208 billion transistors in a single package, which is more than double the 80 billion transistors in the H100 [1] - According to Nvidia's roadmap, the Rubin Ultra will integrate four dies in a single package, targeting a computational power of 100PF FP4 per card [1] Group 2 - System assembly is emerging as a new driver for AI server performance enhancement, as wafer manufacturing and advanced packaging may not keep pace with the growing demand for AI computing power [2] - The number of GPUs in AI servers is expected to increase from 8 per server to 72 per cabinet, with projections for the VR Ultra NVL576 cabinet in 2027 to support 144 GPUs, each with four die, totaling 576 die [2] - The increase in GPU count raises cooling requirements and complicates system assembly, exemplified by the production ramp-up challenges faced by GB200 NVL72 due to assembly difficulties [2] - Leading companies in the industry are likely to benefit from the rising technical barriers and improved competitive environment in system assembly [2] Group 3 - In terms of investment targets, companies related to AI server system assembly are maintained, including Industrial Fulian, which has significantly optimized GB200 series product testing and reduced cabinet debugging time [3] - Industrial Fulian has expanded capacity globally and introduced fully automated assembly lines, expecting strong growth in GB200 shipments, primarily driven by large North American cloud service providers [3] - Haiguang Information's merger with Zhongke Shuguang is anticipated to create vertical integration capabilities encompassing CPU, DCU, and system assembly [4] - Lenovo is expected to launch various servers based on Blackwell Ultra starting in the second half of 2025, as indicated by Nvidia [4] - Huaqin Technology, a core ODM supplier for domestic internet firms' AI servers, benefits from the capital expenditure expansion of downstream cloud companies [4]

Market Overview - On September 25, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.67%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.58%, reaching a three-year high [1] - The total market turnover was 2.39 trillion yuan, with over 3,800 stocks declining [1] Key Stocks Performance - Huarsoft Technology achieved a limit-up with a 5-day consecutive rise, while other notable stocks included Lianmei Holdings and Seven Wolves with 4 and 2 consecutive rises respectively [3] - TCL Zhonghuan and other stocks in the silicon wafer sector also showed strong performance with consecutive gains [3] Top Gainers - The top gainers included: - Huarsoft Technology: +20.01% with a turnover of 313 million yuan [2] - Shangwei New Materials: +20.00% with a turnover of 978 million yuan [2] - Hart Walkway: +19.99% with a turnover of 739 million yuan [2] - Nepe Mining Machinery: +19.99% with a turnover of 396 million yuan [2] Top Net Buy and Sell - The top net buy stocks included: - Shanghai Electric: 759 million yuan [5] - Inspur Information: 686 million yuan [5] - Huarong Technology: 270 million yuan [5] - The top net sell stocks included: - Zhongdian Xilong: 132 million yuan [6] - Yongding Shares: 116 million yuan [6] - Fulongma: 90 million yuan [6] Institutional Activity - Institutional net buying was significant in Shanghai Electric, Inspur Information, and Huarong Technology, indicating strong interest from institutional investors [5][7] - Conversely, Huarong Technology saw a net sell from institutions, suggesting mixed sentiment [18] Sector Highlights - The AI server and liquid cooling server sectors are experiencing high demand, with Inspur Information reporting a 90.05% increase in revenue year-on-year [15] - Huarong Technology is advancing in the semiconductor equipment sector, with a focus on domestic production and innovation [18] Conclusion - The market shows a mixed sentiment with certain sectors like AI and semiconductor equipment gaining traction, while overall market performance remains cautious with significant turnover and stock volatility [1][5][15]

Core Insights - The performance of equity funds has significantly improved in 2023, with 96.58% of 7982 equity funds achieving net value growth, compared to only 18.63% in the same period last year [1] - A total of 46 equity funds have seen their net value double, with notable contributions from various fund management companies focusing on technology and healthcare sectors [1][2] Group 1: Fund Performance - As of September 23, 2023, 7709 out of 7982 equity funds have reported net value growth, marking a substantial increase in performance compared to the previous year [1] - The number of "doubling funds" with over 100% net value growth has reached 46, indicating strong market interest and investment returns [1] Group 2: Sector Focus - Several funds have achieved remarkable results by investing in the technology sector, particularly in AI and cloud computing, with the top-performing fund showing a 201.63% net value growth [1] - Funds such as Huatai-PB Quality Selected Mixed and Xinao Performance Driven Mixed are also focusing on AI, while others like Bank of China Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical Mixed are targeting innovative pharmaceuticals [2] Group 3: Industry Trends - The rapid development of technologies such as AI, biomedicine, and blockchain is reshaping the integration of technology, industry, and finance, as highlighted by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2] - Fund managers express confidence in the ongoing transformation driven by AI and the potential for growth in China's manufacturing and new consumption sectors due to structural changes in the economy and population [2] Group 4: Innovation in Pharmaceuticals - The innovation drug sector is expected to perform well due to a combination of fundamental breakthroughs, policy support, and valuation recovery, according to industry experts [3] - Domestic innovative drug companies are seen to have advantages in clinical research speed and R&D costs, which are expected to drive rapid development in the sector [3]

Group 1 - The company held an online investor interaction session on September 19, 2025, where key executives addressed various investor inquiries regarding restricted stock release, business layout, asset acquisitions, shareholder numbers, and stock price stability [1][2][3] - Regarding the restricted stock release, the company stated that according to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's regulations, there are restrictions on the transfer of shares by directors and senior management during their term and for six months after [1] - The company has launched its Xinjiang factory and strategically entered the AI server business, achieving revenue of 53.98 million yuan from AI server operations during the reporting period, aiming to become a provider of integrated solutions for high-performance AI servers [1] Group 2 - The company currently has no plans for issuing shares to purchase assets, major asset restructuring, or acquisitions, and will disclose any future developments in a timely manner [2] - To ensure fair information disclosure, the company will report shareholder numbers in its regular reports, and it is focused on improving its main business and creating new profit growth points to address stock price declines [3] - The board of directors has approved a proposal to amend the company's articles of association to add the position of vice chairman, which still requires shareholder meeting approval [3]

Group 1 - Hongteng Precision (06088) saw its stock price increase by over 25%, currently trading at 5.74 HKD with a transaction volume of 20.63 billion HKD [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts that Industrial Fulian (601138) will enter a strong profit growth cycle starting from Q3 2025, driven by significant revenue growth from rack-level AI servers [1] - CITIC Securities reports that the efficiency and yield metrics of Industrial Fulian's GB200 series products have significantly improved, and the launch of the GB300 new products is expected to further enhance the company's revenue and profit growth potential [1] Group 2 - Hongteng Precision is a leading global manufacturer of server connectors, with its parent company Hon Hai closely collaborating with NVIDIA in the AI sector [1] - The group is actively developing new products in the AI service sector, including connectors, cables, and memory slots [1] - Changjiang Securities indicates that Hongteng Precision is transforming the immense potential of AI into solid growth momentum, with sustained profit growth expected [1]

Group 1: AI Infrastructure and Market Potential - Bernstein's report highlights the massive potential of AI inference systems, predicting a trillion-dollar "super blue ocean" market by 2030, benefiting major tech companies focused on IT hardware and consumer electronics [1][2] - The global AI infrastructure investment wave is expected to reach up to $2 trillion, with Nvidia's CEO forecasting spending on AI infrastructure to hit $3 trillion to $4 trillion before 2030, presenting significant long-term growth opportunities [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Apple is identified as the "best entry point for the AI inference revolution," with strong pre-order demand for the iPhone 17, particularly in China, indicating robust market interest despite initial criticisms [3][4] - Dell and HPE are expected to benefit from the significant growth in AI server shipments, which should lead to substantial increases in profitability and free cash flow [4][5] Group 3: Storage Demand and Market Dynamics - The surge in AI inference demand is anticipated to drive long-term growth in data storage needs, with Seagate and SanDisk positioned to benefit significantly from this trend [6][8] - NAND flash leader SanDisk has seen a remarkable 500% stock price increase this year, while Seagate and Western Digital have also experienced substantial gains, reflecting the booming storage market driven by AI infrastructure [6][8] Group 4: Future Growth Projections - Data center storage is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 23% until 2030, with HDD and NAND manufacturers poised to benefit from the ongoing surge in storage demand driven by AI inference [8] - The emergence of AI agents is transforming AI from an information tool to a highly intelligent productivity tool, enhancing operational efficiency across various sectors [7]

记者丨倪雨晴 实习生苏梓丹 业绩和股价齐飞 编辑丨包芳鸣 AI浪潮下的算力竞赛，正在改写全球科技产业的节奏。大模型推理与训练需求急速膨胀，让AI算力一 跃成为基础设施中的"硬通货"。 在英伟达市值冲上4万亿美元之后，这场算力周期的红利，正沿着产业链层层释放。过去一年，从存 储、封装到通信连接，资本市场已经经历过数轮追逐。进入2025年，A股的英伟达产业链热度继续攀 升，AI服务器、光模块、液冷、高端PCB与高速连接等环节全面点燃，龙头公司半年报普遍超预期。 工业富联市值突破万亿，新易盛股价三年累计飙升逾28倍，胜宏科技股价今年以来涨幅超过500%，多 家公司纷纷交出亮眼成绩单。在英伟达转向AI基建企业的过程中，资本与产业共振效应进一步放大， 算力赛道已成为资本市场炙手可热的主线之一。 | 356.20 +1.25 +0.35% | | | | | | 新易盛 立即 300502 交易 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SZSE CNY 15:30:06 闭市 | | | | | | 通 融 / △ + | | 麦比 | 46.67% 委差 | 31 ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI computing power competition is reshaping the global technology industry, with AI computing power becoming a "hard currency" in infrastructure as demand for large model inference and training surges [1] Group 1: AI Server Market - AI servers are the core revenue segment, with Industrial Fulian achieving record high revenue and profit in the first half of the year, with Q2 revenue surpassing 200 billion yuan and AI server revenue increasing over 60% year-on-year [2] - Inspur Information reported a revenue of 801.92 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 90.05%, with net profit rising by 34.87% [2] Group 2: Optical Module Market - Optical modules are crucial in AI investments, with leading companies like New Yisheng and Zhongji Xuchuang showing strong growth; Zhongji Xuchuang's revenue reached 147.89 billion yuan, up 36.95% year-on-year, and net profit increased by 69.40% [2] - Tianfu Communication also reported significant growth, with revenue of 24.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.84%, and net profit rising by 37.46% [2] Group 3: Liquid Cooling and PCB Market - Liquid cooling penetration is expected to rise significantly, with a projected 33% penetration rate in AI data centers by 2025; companies like Yingwei Ke achieved a revenue of 25.73 billion yuan, up 50.25% year-on-year [3] - PCB manufacturers are also experiencing growth, with Shenghong Technology's revenue increasing by 86% to 90.31 billion yuan and net profit soaring by 366.89% [4] Group 4: Supply Chain Developments - BYD Electronics entered the NVIDIA GB300 liquid cooling supply chain, leading to a 7.3% stock price increase; the company reported a revenue of 806.1 billion yuan, up 2.58% year-on-year [4] - Luxshare Precision's communication data center business grew nearly 50%, with overall revenue reaching 1245.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.18% [5] Group 5: Capital Expenditure Trends - Major cloud service providers are significantly increasing capital expenditures, with a 69% year-on-year increase to 87.4 billion USD in Q2 2025; combined capital expenditures for Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google are expected to grow by 50% to 333.8 billion USD [7] - Domestic internet companies in China are also ramping up investments in AI-related businesses, with a combined capital expenditure of 55.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 99.38% [7] Group 6: Future Market Outlook - NVIDIA anticipates a capital expenditure of approximately 600 billion USD this year, projecting global AI infrastructure spending to reach 3 to 4 trillion USD by the end of the decade; China's market is expected to be around 50 billion USD with a CAGR of about 50% [8] - Investment opportunities are suggested in various components related to server hardware, including system assembly, GPU, CPU, storage, high-speed connectors, and PCB/IC substrates [8]