1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given content. The report mainly offers data on the performance of various global asset markets. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: On July 24, 2025, yields varied across countries. For instance, the US was at 4.398%, and Japan at 3.917%. Yields showed different changes in the latest, weekly, monthly, and yearly periods. For example, the US had a latest change of 0.015, a weekly change of - 0.055, a monthly change of 0.155, and a yearly change of 0.239 [3]. - **2 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: Similar to the 10 - year yields, 2 - year yields were also presented for different economies on July 24, 2025. The US 2 - year yield was 3.830, with a latest change of - 0.020, a weekly change of - 0.120, a monthly change of - 0.070, and a yearly change of - 0.620 [3]. - **USD Exchange Rates Against Major Emerging - Market Currencies**: On July 24, 2025, the exchange rates and their changes were provided. For example, the USD - BRL rate was 5.520, with a latest change of 0.01%, a weekly change of - 0.46%, a monthly change of 0.57%, and a yearly change of 1.69% [3]. - **Stock Indices of Major Economies**: Stock indices of various economies were reported on July 24, 2025. The S&P 500 was at 6363.350, with a latest change of 0.07% and 1.05%, a weekly change of 3.62%, a monthly change of 3.01%, and a yearly change of 12.28% [3]. - **Credit Bond Indices**: Different credit bond indices were presented on July 24, 2025. The US investment - grade credit bond index was 3414.280, with a latest change of - 0.06%, a weekly change of 0.47%, a monthly change of - 0.06%, and a yearly change of 4.51% [3][4]. Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: A - shares closed at 3605.73 with a 0.65% increase. The CSI 300 closed at 4149.04 with a 0.71% increase, the SSE 50 at 2812.44 with a 0.40% increase, the ChiNext at 2345.37 with a 1.50% increase, and the CSI 500 at 6293.60 with a 1.56% increase [5]. - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of the CSI 300 was 13.59 with a 0.05环比 change, the SSE 50 was 11.48 with a - 0.01环比 change, the CSI 500 was 30.76 with a 0.43环比 change, the S&P 500 was 27.00 with a 0.02环比 change, and the German DAX was 20.78 with a 0.04环比 change [5]. - **Risk Premium**: The risk premium of the S&P 500 was - 0.69 with a - 0.01环比 change, and the German DAX was 2.11 with a - 0.07环比 change [5]. - **Fund Flows**: The latest values of fund flows for A - shares, the main board, the SME board, the ChiNext, and the CSI 300 were 542.05, 313.60, N/A, 174.27, and 204.32 respectively. The 5 - day average values were - 313.86, - 182.93, N/A, - 121.12, and 55.64 respectively [5]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, the CSI 300, the SSE 50, the SME board, and the ChiNext were 18447.06, 4870.00, 1181.38, 3524.88, and 4582.37 respectively. The环比 changes were - 198.94, 166.69, - 127.52, - 128.77, and 94.99 respectively [5]. - **Basis and Spread**: The basis of IF was - 7.84 with a - 0.19% spread, the SSE 50 was 4.16 with a 0.15% spread, and the CSI 500 was - 67.60 with a - 1.07% spread [5]. Treasury Futures Trading Data - Treasury futures T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 closed at 108.220, 105.585, 108.255, and 105.665 respectively, with changes of - 0.11%, - 0.09%, - 0.09%, and - 0.09% respectively [6]. - The money market rates R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M were 1.6924%, 1.6012%, and 1.5530% respectively, with daily changes of 19.00, 10.00, and 0.00 basis points respectively [6].

Summary of Key Points from the FX Strategy Presentation Industry Overview - The document focuses on the foreign exchange (FX) market, particularly the outlook for the US dollar (USD) and other major currencies, as well as the impact of tariffs and macroeconomic factors on currency valuations [1][5][6]. Core Views and Arguments - **Bearish USD Outlook**: The expectation of further USD weakness is based on cyclical factors (US economic moderation, tariffs) and structural factors (valuations, fiscal dynamics, policy uncertainty) [6][11]. - **Short-term Consolidation Signals**: Some indicators have turned less bearish for the USD, suggesting potential short-term consolidation, but this is deemed less relevant for the medium-term outlook [6][11]. - **EUR/USD and G10 FX**: A bullish stance is maintained on EUR/USD with a target of 1.19 for Q3 and a peak target of 1.22. The outlook for cyclical G10 currencies remains positive [6][21]. - **Emerging Markets (EM) FX**: A neutral tactical stance is taken on EM FX, with a more constructive medium-term view. Specific targets include USD/CNY at 7.10 and USD/BRL at 5.75 [6][12]. - **Tariff Risks**: The risk of broad tariffs has resurfaced, which could pose unpriced global growth risks. If implemented, defensive currencies like CHF and JPY are expected to outperform [6][12][14]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Historical Context**: Historical data indicates that periods of 10% weakness in the DXY index are typically followed by consolidation or partial reversals, necessitating lower Federal Reserve rates to weaken the dollar further [9][11]. - **Tariff Announcements**: Upcoming tariff announcements could significantly impact the FX market, with potential increases in effective tariff rates that exceed market expectations [15][14]. - **FX Hedging Flows**: Several developed market (DM) countries have been reducing their hedge ratios, indicating potential for increased hedging activity in the future [16][20]. - **Regional Growth Risks**: There are evolving risks related to regional growth, particularly in the Eurozone, which could affect the bullish outlook on EUR/USD [25][27]. Currency-Specific Insights - **JPY**: A bullish view on JPY is maintained, with targets of 140 for USD/JPY in Q4. However, uncertainties surrounding tariff negotiations and domestic politics are noted [32][34]. - **GBP**: A bearish outlook on GBP is emphasized due to evident growth slowdowns and fiscal concerns, with targets set at 1.36 for GBP/USD in Q4 [35][37]. - **CHF**: A bullish view on CHF against both USD and EUR is maintained, with targets of 0.75 for USD/CHF and 0.92 for EUR/CHF [44][51]. - **NOK and SEK**: Both currencies are viewed positively, with NOK benefiting from regional growth resilience and SEK from lower yields due to US moderation [54][63]. Forecasts and Projections - **Exchange Rate Projections**: Specific forecasts for major currencies against the USD include EUR at 1.19, JPY at 140, and GBP at 1.36 for Q4 [136]. - **Market Dynamics**: The document highlights the importance of separating G10 and EM drivers in 2025, with G10 currencies showing a carry-to-value rotation while EM currencies are wrapping up their cutting cycles [125][128]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections from the FX Strategy Presentation, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of the foreign exchange market.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that anzocapital plays a significant role in the foreign exchange market by providing insights for price direction predictions despite the complexities and uncertainties of the market [1][3] - Understanding the trading decisions of all market participants is crucial for accurate price predictions, as external factors like natural disasters and political decisions can drastically alter trader intentions [3] - Anzocapital utilizes a professional analysis team and advanced technology to deeply analyze market data, considering various factors including participant tendencies and potential sudden events, thereby enhancing the accuracy of price predictions [3] Group 2 - The foreign exchange market is characterized by its vast scale and numerous participants, making it challenging to predict sudden changes due to unforeseen events [3] - Anzocapital provides reliable support and reference for traders, helping them make informed decisions in a complex market environment filled with uncertainties [3]

Core Points - The central bank's foreign exchange market has reported the RMB exchange rate against various currencies, indicating fluctuations in the value of the RMB [1] Group 1: Exchange Rate Changes - The USD/RMB rate is reported at 7.1461, showing a depreciation of 65 points, indicating an appreciation of the RMB [1] - The EUR/RMB rate is at 8.3207, reflecting an increase of 50 points [1] - The HKD/RMB rate is at 0.91035, down by 8.6 points [1] - The GBP/RMB rate is at 9.5953, up by 5 points [1] - The AUD/RMB rate is at 4.6658, down by 75 points [1] - The CAD/RMB rate is at 5.2274, up by 32 points [1] - The JPY/RMB rate is at 4.8406, up by 272 points [1] - The RMB/RUB rate is at 10.9057, up by 400 points [1] - The NZD/RMB rate is at 4.2525, down by 196 points [1] - The RMB/MYR rate is at 0.59314, up by 3.9 points [1] - The CHF/RMB rate is at 8.9314, down by 59 points [1] - The SGD/RMB rate is at 5.5802, up by 45 points [1]

Core Insights - CWG Markets utilizes an efficient global clearing system to ensure secure and smooth trading experiences for users [1][13] - The integration of modern technology, including blockchain and artificial intelligence, enhances transaction speed and security [4][13] Group 1: CWG Markets' Clearing System - CWG Markets' clearing system operates through advanced technology and networks, ensuring the safety and timeliness of transactions [1] - The automated clearing process reduces human errors, leading to lower transaction costs and optimized investment returns [2][13] Group 2: Impact of Modern Technology - The application of modern technology in clearing processes allows for faster and safer transactions, with blockchain technology significantly reducing transaction times [4] - Artificial intelligence aids in identifying and preventing potential fraud, enhancing user confidence [4] Group 3: Security Measures - CWG Markets employs multiple encryption technologies to safeguard transaction security, alongside robust firewalls and security protocols [6] - The implementation of two-factor authentication ensures that only authorized users can access their accounts, while real-time monitoring detects any unusual activities [6] Group 4: Advantages of Efficient Fund Flow - Efficient fund flow provides a significant competitive advantage in the market, allowing for quick responses to market changes and better risk management [7] - This agility maximizes the potential for returns on investments [7] Group 5: Customer Support and Dispute Resolution - CWG Markets offers 24/7 customer support in multiple languages, ensuring timely assistance regardless of the user's location [10] - The company has a transparent and fair process for handling trading disputes, prioritizing user rights and providing further appeal channels if necessary [11] Group 6: Partnerships with International Banks - CWG Markets collaborates with reputable international banks to enhance transaction efficiency and fund security [12] - These partnerships facilitate competitive exchange rates and lower transaction costs for users [12]

Investment Rating - The report provides a detailed forecast for various asset classes, indicating a bearish outlook for equities and a mixed sentiment for fixed income and commodities [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant declines in equity indices, with the S&P 500 expected to drop by 20.7% in a bear scenario, while the MSCI Europe is projected to decline by 22.3% [2]. - The report notes that the AAII survey for Net Bulls has reached a six-month high, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [6]. - US Quality metrics have fallen to their lowest levels since 2001, suggesting deteriorating market conditions [6][9]. Summary by Sections Equities - S&P 500 forecasted returns range from 4,900 to 7,200, with a base case return of 4.7% [2]. - MSCI Europe shows a similar trend with a forecast range of 1,610 to 2,620 and a base case return of 7.3% [2]. - Topix is projected to decline by 23.3% in a bear scenario, with a base case return of 5.0% [2]. Fixed Income - UST 10-year yields are forecasted to range from 2.85% to 4.35%, with a base case return of 12.1% [2]. - US Investment Grade (IG) credit is expected to yield excess returns of -0.1% in a bear scenario [2]. Commodities - Brent crude oil is projected to have a bear case return of -23.6%, with a base case return of -8.3% [2]. - Gold is expected to decline by 20.6% in a bear scenario, with a base case return of -6.5% [2]. Market Sentiment - The Market Sentiment Indicator (MSI) reflects a negative sentiment shift, with various indicators showing increased volatility and negative positioning [55][62]. - The report indicates a significant divergence in positioning among asset managers, hedge funds, and dealers across different markets [62]. Cross-Asset Correlations - The report notes that cross-asset correlations have increased, with equities showing a correlation of 71% and credit at 82% [73]. - The correlation between equity and rates is notably negative at -7%, indicating a potential decoupling of these asset classes [73].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a high conviction level on several currency pairs, including short CNH against an equal-weighted basket (EUR, AUD, KRW) at 4/5, long EUR/INR at 4/5, and long USD/HKD outright at 4/5 [6][10][16] Core Insights - The report suggests a bias towards a weaker USD, despite some short-term headwinds from stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payroll data [8][12] - Key focus points include potential changes in US trade agreements and the influence of Fed Chair Powell's position on USD strength [11][20] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring developments in US tariffs, particularly concerning Japan and other major trading partners [19][20] Summary by Sections Asia FX Strategy - The conviction level on short CNH against an equal-weighted basket has been raised to 4/5, targeting a 4% return by the end of July [11] - Long EUR/INR is favored with a conviction level of 4/5, driven by RBI's bias to maintain FX reserves and local growth slowdown [17] - Short USD/TWD is maintained at a high conviction level of 4/5, with expectations of continued foreign equity inflows and robust local fundamentals [15] G10 FX Strategy - Long EUR/GBP is retained at a conviction level of 4/5 due to fiscal pressures on GBP and potential for further deterioration in economic data [21] - Short USD/JPY recommendations are maintained, with expectations of downward pressure on USD against JPY amid rising tariff risks [19][20] - The report indicates a modestly positive outlook for AUD, with expectations of a rate cut from the RBA [22] Asia Rates Strategy - Conviction on pay 10y HK IRS is raised to 4/5 due to increased HKMA intervention and expectations of upward pressure on USD/HKD forwards [25] - The conviction on pay 5y outright in China is maintained at 4/5, while the conviction on 2s5s steepener is reduced to 3/5 [26] - In India, a 2y NDOIS receive position is maintained, with limited near-term catalysts expected [27]

Investment Ratings - USD: Bearish [2][12][17] - EUR: Bullish [3][18][19] - JPY: Bullish [4][20][21] - GBP: Neutral [5][22] - CHF: Neutral [6][23] - CAD: Neutral [7][24] - AUD: Neutral [8][25] - NZD: Neutral [9][13] - SEK: Neutral [14][24] - NOK: Neutral [16][24] Core Insights - The report indicates a bearish outlook for the USD, driven by technical factors and expectations of weak growth alongside sticky inflation [2][12][17] - A bullish sentiment is maintained for the EUR, supported by technical momentum and FX hedging, with a significant amount of European holdings in US assets being unhedged [3][19] - The JPY is expected to outperform due to lower US terminal rate pricing and uncertainty regarding tariffs, which may enhance its appeal as a safe haven [4][20][21] - The GBP is viewed neutrally, with potential upside risks depending on local rate movements and fiscal concerns [5][22] - The CHF outlook remains neutral but with a bullish skew, contingent on inflation trends [6][23] - The CAD is expected to face downward pressure due to a bearish outlook on North American growth [7][24] - The AUD's direction is contingent on the RBA's upcoming rate decisions, with a potential rate cut anticipated [8][25] - The NZD outlook is neutral, with risks tied to RBNZ rate decisions [9][13] - The SEK and NOK are both viewed neutrally, with bearish skews due to economic data and oil price pressures [14][16][24] Summary by Currency - **USD**: Bearish due to technical forces and inflation concerns [2][12][17] - **EUR**: Bullish with strong technical support and FX hedging [3][19] - **JPY**: Bullish, benefiting from US data softness and tariff uncertainties [4][20][21] - **GBP**: Neutral with bullish risks based on rate movements [5][22] - **CHF**: Neutral but bullish skew based on inflation data [6][23] - **CAD**: Neutral with bearish risks from economic outlook [7][24] - **AUD**: Neutral with bullish risks depending on RBA decisions [8][25] - **NZD**: Neutral with downside risks from RBNZ [9][13] - **SEK**: Neutral with bearish risks from retail sales data [14][24] - **NOK**: Neutral with bearish risks from oil prices [16][24]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides the interbank foreign exchange market's RMB exchange rate midpoint for July 1, 2025, highlighting fluctuations against various currencies, indicating a mixed trend in currency valuation [1] Currency Exchange Rate Summary - USD/RMB is reported at 7.1534, a decrease (RMB appreciation) of 52 points [1] - EUR/RMB is reported at 8.4305, an increase of 281 points [1] - HKD/RMB is reported at 0.91126, a decrease of 6.9 points [1] - GBP/RMB is reported at 9.8197, a decrease of 103 points [1] - AUD/RMB is reported at 4.7036, an increase of 219 points [1] - CAD/RMB is reported at 5.2557, an increase of 199 points [1] - 100 JPY/RMB is reported at 4.9738, an increase of 144 points [1] - RMB/RUB is reported at 10.9342, a decrease of 216 points [1] - NZD/RMB is reported at 4.3568, an increase of 93 points [1] - RMB/MYR is reported at 0.58727, a decrease of 26.9 points [1] - CHF/RMB is reported at 9.0181, an increase of 460 points [1] - SGD/RMB is reported at 5.6287, an increase of 108 points [1]

Exchange Rate Summary - The central parity rate of the RMB against the USD is reported at 7.1695, indicating a depreciation of the RMB by 34 points [1] - The EUR/RMB exchange rate is at 8.2603, with an increase of 208 points [1] - The HKD/RMB rate is at 0.91333, showing a decrease of 4.5 points [1] - The GBP/RMB rate stands at 9.6701, reflecting an increase of 386 points [1] - The AUD/RMB exchange rate is reported at 4.6529, down by 188 points [1] - The CAD/RMB rate is at 5.2392, decreasing by 46 points [1] - The JPY/RMB exchange rate is at 4.9402, down by 145 points [1] - The RMB/RUB rate is at 10.9105, showing a decrease of 28 points [1] - The NZD/RMB exchange rate is at 4.3054, down by 245 points [1] - The RMB/MYR rate is at 0.5930, with an increase of 15 points [1] - The CHF/RMB exchange rate is at 8.7887, reflecting an increase of 192 points [1] - The SGD/RMB rate is at 5.5835, down by 54 points [1]