Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in stocks related to the "horse" concept reflects a speculative trend driven by emotions, with significant risks involved. Long-term stock prices are expected to revert to their intrinsic value, and investors may miss out on genuinely promising assets by chasing such themes [3][9][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Since July, 29 stocks with "horse" in their names have shown a notable increase, with an average rise of 59.85% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the A-share market's average increase of 33.51% [4][5]. - Seven stocks have more than doubled in value this year, with Jinma Amusement leading at a 267% increase [5][6]. - In July alone, Jinma Amusement saw a rise of over 90%, while several other "horse" stocks also experienced substantial gains [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market capitalization of "horse" related stocks ranges from 3.5 billion to 37.6 billion yuan, with 13 companies exceeding 10 billion yuan in market value [6]. - Despite the impressive stock performance, many of these companies have reported declining revenues or losses, indicating a disparity in the underlying business fundamentals [6][7]. Group 3: Speculative Behavior - The phenomenon of "zodiac stock" speculation is characterized by irrational market behavior and information asymmetry, leading to a bubble-like environment where prices deviate from fundamental values [9][10]. - The rise of social media and financial self-media has amplified the emotional contagion effect, making simplistic narratives like "buying horse stocks in the year of the horse" more prevalent [10][11].

Market Overview - On October 23, the textile manufacturing sector rose by 0.96% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhejiang Wenying leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3922.41, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13025.45, also up 0.22% [1] Key Performers - Zhejiang Wenying (stock code: 665109) closed at 3.80, with a gain of 4.68% and a trading volume of 726,400 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 276 million yuan [1] - Huali Group (300979) closed at 54.85, up 2.54%, with a trading volume of 41,200 shares and a transaction value of 225 million yuan [1] - Weixing Co., Ltd. (002003) closed at 10.57, up 2.52%, with a trading volume of 100,800 shares and a transaction value of 106 million yuan [1] Decliners - Yunzhongma (603130) saw a significant decline of 9.36%, closing at 40.00, with a trading volume of 58,200 shares and a transaction value of 236 million yuan [2] - Yingfeng Co., Ltd. (605055) decreased by 2.90%, closing at 10.03, with a trading volume of 111,800 shares and a transaction value of 113 million yuan [2] - Jinchun Co., Ltd. (300877) fell by 2.41%, closing at 29.97, with a trading volume of 30,500 shares and a transaction value of 91.18 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The textile manufacturing sector experienced a net outflow of 66.38 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 113 million yuan [2] - The main capital flow data indicates that Zhejiang Wenying had a net inflow of 54.42 million yuan from institutional investors, despite a net outflow from retail investors [3] - Other notable stocks like Tongmu Co., Ltd. (002083) and Weixing Co., Ltd. (002003) also showed significant net inflows from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The Q3 performance of brand apparel and textile manufacturing continues to show a trend of differentiation, with a focus on companies with improving performance metrics. LVMH's Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, leading to a rebound in the luxury goods sector [1][3][48] - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying strong alpha investment opportunities, particularly in the brand and manufacturing segments, amidst tariff disturbances affecting demand [3][48] Summary by Sections Q3 Performance Preview - Brand apparel is expected to see sequential revenue improvement, with profit growth remaining divergent. Men's wear brands like HLA Group and Biem.L.Fdlkk are projected to achieve stable revenue growth, while women's wear leader Shenzhen Ellassay Fashion is anticipated to continue its strong performance [5][6][48] - Home textiles, particularly Shanghai Shuixing Home Textile, are expected to achieve double-digit revenue and profit growth, while Samsonite International's revenue is projected to decline slightly year-over-year [5][6][48] Market Review - The textile and apparel sector saw a slight decline of 0.31% in the A-share market, outperforming the broader market by 1.91 percentage points. The textile manufacturing segment fell by 2.73%, while the apparel and home textile segment rose by 0.41% [8][11] Industry Data Tracking - Retail sales in August 2025 for clothing, shoes, and textiles grew by 3.1%, while textile and apparel exports in September 2025 decreased by 1.45% year-over-year. The overall retail sales growth for social consumer goods was 3.4% [20][23] - Cotton prices have shown a slight decline, with the China 3128B cotton price index dropping by 0.74% to 14,679 RMB per ton [24][27]

Core Insights - The company, Jujie Microfiber, reported that as of October 10, 2025, the number of shareholders is 12,066 [2] Company Summary - Jujie Microfiber has engaged with investors through an interactive platform, providing updates on shareholder numbers [2] - The company is actively communicating with its investors, indicating a focus on transparency and shareholder engagement [2]

Core Viewpoint - The textile manufacturing sector experienced a notable increase of 2.18% on October 21, with Lu Tai A leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.33, up 1.36%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13077.32, up 2.06% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The textile manufacturing sector rose by 2.18% compared to the previous trading day [1]. - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.36% [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index saw an increase of 2.06% [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The textile manufacturing sector experienced a net outflow of 188 million yuan from main funds [2]. - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 197 million yuan into the textile manufacturing sector [2]. - Speculative funds saw a net outflow of 9.56 million yuan [2].

Core Insights - The textile manufacturing sector experienced a rise of 0.93% on October 20, with Furui Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3863.89, up 0.63%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12813.21, up 0.98% [1] Textile Manufacturing Sector Performance - The top-performing stocks in the textile manufacturing sector included: - Chui Mu Co., Ltd. (002083) with a closing price of 6.16, up 10.00% and a trading volume of 481,000 shares, totaling a transaction value of 296 million [1] - Xinlong Holdings (000955) closed at 5.81, up 5.06% with a transaction value of 230 million [1] - Gu Mo Rong Material (001390) closed at 26.79, up 3.92% with a transaction value of 348 million [1] - The sector saw a net inflow of 74.52 million in main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 12.20 million [2][3] Fund Flow Analysis - Main funds showed significant net inflow in: - Chui Mu Co., Ltd. with 72.05 million, accounting for 24.32% of the total [3] - Gu Mo Rong Material with 42.92 million, representing 12.32% [3] - Retail investors showed a net outflow in several stocks, including: - Hangmin Co., Ltd. with a net outflow of 22.23 million, representing 19.70% [3] - Yinfeng Co., Ltd. with a net outflow of 3.21 million, accounting for 1.80% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of valuation switching logic in the new consumption sector, highlighting stable operational performance in the sports brand sector for Q3 [6][4] - It suggests a focus on high-growth tracks in new consumption and the valuation switching logic within the sector, particularly in the collectible toy segment [6][4] - The report identifies several companies with strong growth potential and suggests monitoring their performance closely [6][4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industry consists of 175 listed companies with a total market value of 10,672.79 billion and a circulating market value of 8,623.31 billion [2] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.47%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 4.99% during the week of October 13-17, 2025 [6][11] - The light industry manufacturing index dropped by 2.22%, ranking 13th among 28 Shenwan industries, while the textile and apparel index decreased by 0.31%, ranking 5th [6][11] Key Company Insights - Companies such as Bubble Mart are expected to release Q3 operational data, with new product launches anticipated to drive performance in Q4 [6] - 361 Degrees reported a stable performance with a 10% increase in offline and children's clothing sales, and a 20% increase in e-commerce sales [6] - Anta Sports, Li Ning, and other functional apparel brands are highlighted for their growth potential [6] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on the acceleration of the Chinese consumption supply chain going overseas, particularly in non-woven fabric manufacturing [6][7] - Companies like Yanjiang Co. are recommended for their advanced production techniques and global supply chain capabilities [7] - The pet supplies sector is also highlighted, with companies like Yuanfei Pet expected to benefit from growth in both OEM and OBM businesses [6][7] Sector Recommendations - The report recommends monitoring companies in the home furnishing sector, such as Xilinmen and Gujia Home, for potential recovery in performance and valuation [6] - In the paper industry, Sun Paper is recommended due to its integrated advantages and expected improvement in profitability [6][7] - The textile manufacturing sector suggests a focus on companies like Jingyuan International for their market share growth potential [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "A" for the textile and apparel industry [1]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry has shown a mixed performance in exports, with China's textile and apparel exports for January to September 2025 amounting to $106.48 billion and $115.21 billion respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.1% and a decline of 2.5% [3][19]. - Vietnam's textile and apparel exports for the same period have shown a cumulative year-on-year growth of 8.77% [4][19]. - The report highlights strong retail performance for brands like 361 Degrees and Tebu International, with 361 Degrees achieving healthy growth in retail sales [2][12]. Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - Major Taiwanese textile manufacturers reported September 2025 revenue data, with notable performances including: - Yuanyuan Group: September revenue down 3.8%, but a 2.3% increase year-to-date [20]. - Fengtai Enterprises: September revenue down 0.87%, with a 4.29% decline year-to-date [5]. - Laiyi Industry: September revenue up 0.65%, with an 8.16% increase year-to-date [6]. - Juyang Industrial: September revenue down 28.22%, with a 0.99% decline year-to-date [7]. - Ruhong: September revenue up 1.59%, with a 5.39% increase year-to-date [8]. Market Performance - The SW textile and apparel sector saw a decline of 0.31% in the week, while the SW light industry sector fell by 2.22% [11][23]. - The SW textile manufacturing sub-sector dropped by 2.73%, while the SW apparel and home textile sector rose by 0.41% [11][23]. Industry Data Tracking - China's textile and apparel exports for January to September 2025 were $106.48 billion and $115.21 billion, with year-on-year changes of 2.1% and -2.5% respectively [19][48]. - Vietnam's textile and apparel exports showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 8.77% for the same period [4][19]. Industry News - MUJI's parent company reported a global revenue increase of 18.6% for the last fiscal year, with significant growth in the Chinese market [63][64]. - LVMH reported a 4% decline in total revenue for the first nine months of 2025, but noted a return to growth in the Chinese market [68][69]. - Lao Feng Xiang announced a $24 million investment to acquire a 20% stake in Maybach Luxury Asia Pacific, aiming to enhance its high-end product offerings [70][71].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting potential growth opportunities in the textile and apparel sector [20][25]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has shown resilience, with the SW textile and apparel index outperforming the SW All A index by 3.3 percentage points during the period from October 13 to October 17, 2025 [3]. - Domestic demand is gradually recovering, while external demand remains volatile, emphasizing the value of globalized production capacity [10][11]. - The report suggests that companies with mature overseas capabilities and the ability to allocate production globally will benefit from the ongoing shifts in the supply chain due to U.S. tariff policies [8][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The SW textile and apparel index decreased by 0.3%, while the SW apparel and home textiles index increased by 0.4%, outperforming the SW All A index by 4.0 percentage points [3]. - Retail sales in the clothing, shoes, and textiles category reached 940 billion yuan from January to August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [10]. Export Data - In September, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to $24.42 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1.0%. However, textile yarn, fabric, and products saw an increase of 6.4% [10][44]. - Vietnam's textile exports grew by 9.1% in the same period, indicating a shift in production orders and competitive advantages for overseas production [8][11]. Cotton and Wool Prices - As of October 17, the national cotton price B index was reported at 14,683 yuan per ton, down 0.6% from the previous week [46]. - The Australian wool index showed a significant year-on-year increase of 30.7%, indicating strong demand in the wool market [10]. Company Performance - 361 Degrees reported a 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for its main brand and children's line, while e-commerce sales grew by approximately 20% [16]. - Xtep International's main brand saw a low single-digit growth in retail sales, with online sales outperforming offline [22]. - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Bosideng, Anta, and Li Ning, suggesting they are well-positioned to capitalize on the upcoming winter season [9][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality domestic brands that are beginning to reverse their challenges, particularly in the sports and outdoor segments [14]. - Specific companies highlighted for investment include Bosideng, Anta, and 361 Degrees, with a suggestion to monitor Xtep and other emerging brands [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Shenzhou International, Huayi Group, and Anta Sports [9][27]. Core Insights - Fast Retailing reported strong performance for FY2025, with revenue increasing by 9.6% to 3,400.5 billion JPY, operating profit rising by 13.6% to 551.1 billion JPY, and net profit growing by 16.4% to 433.0 billion JPY [1][14]. - The company anticipates a revenue growth of 10.3% for FY2026, projecting revenue to reach 3,750.0 billion JPY and operating profit to increase by 10.7% to 610.0 billion JPY [1][14]. - Inventory levels increased by 8% to 510.9 billion JPY, attributed to higher stock of core items and expansion efforts in North America, Europe, and Southeast Asia [1][14]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - Uniqlo Japan's revenue grew by 10.1% to 1,026.0 billion JPY, with operating profit up by 17.5% to 181.3 billion JPY, and same-store sales increasing by 8.1% [20]. - Overseas Uniqlo business saw a revenue increase of 11.6% to 1,910.2 billion JPY, with operating profit rising by 10.6% to 305.3 billion JPY, despite a 4% decline in Greater China [20]. - GU business revenue grew by 3.6% to 330.7 billion JPY, but operating profit decreased by 12.6% to 28.3 billion JPY due to rising personnel costs [21]. Market Trends - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the textile manufacturing sector down by 1.46% and brand apparel down by 0.11% [32]. - Key stocks such as Shenzhou International and Anta Sports are highlighted for their strong fundamentals and growth potential [25][27]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong performance and growth potential, such as Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, with respective PE ratios of 16x, 17x, and 11x for 2025 [25][26]. - It also suggests monitoring companies like Hailan Home and Luolai Lifestyle for their business expansion and resilience in the current market environment [26].