赤峰黄金预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润30亿元至32亿元，同比增加约70%至81%。业 绩增长主要因2025年度主营黄金产量约14.4吨，且主营黄金产品销售价格同比上升约49%，境内外矿山 企业盈利能力增强。 洛阳钼业预计2025年度实现归属净利润200亿元到208亿元，同比增长47.8%到53.71%，主要源于公司主 要产品量价齐升，叠加运营成本有效管控。 2026年伊始，港股市场2025财年业绩预告披露进入高峰期，截至1月5日，已有超过280家港股上市公司 发布年度业绩预告，有色金属行业凭借亮眼的盈利表现成为港股市场"盈利担当"。 除有色金属行业外，创新药、消费电子等行业公司也实现业绩大幅增长。百奥赛图预计2025年归母净利 润1.35亿元，同比增长303.57%，业绩增长主要得益于海外市场的成功拓展以及国内生物医药研发需求 的逐步释放。丘钛科技预期2025年度综合溢利较2024年增长约400%至450%，主要因非手机领域智能视 觉产品业务发展，与全球领先智能驾驶方案商和物联网智能终端品牌商的合作推动摄像头模组需求增 长，同时潜望式摄像头模组等高附加值产品销量同比大幅提升。 紫金矿业发布的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a recent rebound in lithium prices driven by strong demand from energy storage and stable growth in the electric vehicle sector, indicating high certainty and growth potential for lithium resources [1] - The West Securities report anticipates that the small metals sector will benefit from new opportunities due to the rise of AI industry demand, with three core logical drivers: rigid supply-side policies, export recovery on the demand side, and long-term growth momentum [1] - The tungsten market has moved away from traditional cyclical fluctuations, entering a new price cycle and value reassessment phase driven by supply constraints and emerging demand [1] Group 2 - The antimony industry is entering a sustained realization period of strategic allocation value due to the interplay of resource depletion, continuous demand expansion, and policy benefits [1] - The tin industry is characterized by a resilient supply-demand balance, with long-term allocation value becoming increasingly prominent due to reduced reserves and emerging demand [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.54% of the index, with key players including Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium [2] Group 3 - Investors can also explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector through the Rare Metals ETF linked fund [3]

场内ETF方面，截至2026年1月22日 10:14，中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)上涨0.08%，成分股西部材 料10cm涨停，盛新锂能上涨5.97%，西部超导上涨5.43%，中稀有色上涨3.68%，中钨高新上涨3.14%。 稀有金属ETF基金(561800)盘中换手5.33%，成交1206.79万元。 消息面上，稀有金属板块迎来产业需求与供给的多重利好共振。产业端，供需缺口持续扩大，据国际能 源署（IEA）2025年12月发布的《全球关键矿产展望》，在能源转型驱动下，2040年锂需求将较当前增 长五倍，钴、稀土需求增长50%-60%，且铜、锂2035年供需缺口或分别达30%、40%，长期供给压力显 著。需求端，新能源与新质生产力需求双线发力，全球AI算力基建拉动PCB用钨制微型钻针需求，光伏 硅片薄片化推动钨丝金刚线替代传统钢丝线，且美国锂电储能站、中国电网消纳需求提振锂消费。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)前十大权重股分别为洛阳钼业、北方 稀土、华友钴业、盐湖股份、赣锋锂业、天齐锂业、中矿资源、厦门钨业、中国稀土、西部超导，前十 大权重股合计占比59.5 ...

Group 1: Chemical and Metal Industries - Several chemical companies, including Xinong Co. and Dayang Bio, are showing continuous improvement in their operations [1] - The non-ferrous metal sector benefits from high prices and capacity release, with Zijin Mining expected to achieve a net profit of 51 billion to 52 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% [1] - Zijin Mining's growth is driven by increased production and higher sales prices of gold, copper, and silver [1] - The high-end manufacturing sector shows resilience, with Okoyi's net profit projected to grow by 67.53% to 91.96% in 2025, despite rising raw material costs [1] - The new materials industry is also performing well, with China National Materials Technology expected to achieve a net profit of 1.55 billion to 1.95 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 73.79% to 118.64% [1] Group 2: International Market Growth - The overseas market is becoming a new growth engine for many listed companies [2] - Siyuan Electric is expected to achieve total revenue of 21.205 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 37.18%, and a net profit of 3.163 billion yuan, up 54.35% [2] - Absen, a leading global LED display provider, anticipates a net profit of 240 million to 290 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 105.32% to 148.09% [2] - Absen's overseas revenue reached approximately 3.193 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 8.94% [2] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Chutian Technology expects a net profit of 235 million to 300 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround to profitability driven by strong international market breakthroughs [3] - The company has made significant progress in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and the Americas, with overseas sales revenue steadily increasing [3] - Hangcha Group is also expanding into emerging markets while consolidating its traditional markets, indicating the effectiveness of its globalization strategy [3]

Group 1 - Tungsten prices have reached historical highs, with 65% black tungsten concentrate priced at 528,000 yuan/ton, and 65% white tungsten concentrate at 527,000 yuan/ton, both up 14.8% since the beginning of the year [1] - The market for tungsten is characterized by tight supply and high prices, with downstream users adjusting product prices to transfer cost pressures, maintaining a strong upward trend in tungsten prices [1] - The increase in tungsten prices is attributed to insufficient supply, confirmed demand growth, and low social inventory levels, suggesting that the upward trend will continue [1] Group 2 - Tungsten is a strategic metal resource essential for the national economy and defense, known for its high melting point, density, and hardness, widely used in various industries [2] - The outlook for tungsten prices in 2026 indicates a likely continuation of high prices and strong fluctuations, with supply and demand remaining in tight balance [2] - Companies in the tungsten industry are expected to benefit from rising prices, as seen in Xianglu Tungsten's forecast of a net profit of 12.5 million to 18 million yuan for 2025, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [2] Group 3 - Xianglu Tungsten reports that the continuous rise in tungsten prices in 2025 has improved the supply-demand situation, enhancing its pricing power and leading to significant growth in gross margins and profits [3] - Xiamen Tungsten is expanding its applications in new fields, such as photovoltaic tungsten wire, and is experiencing a demand surge that has not yet been met by supply, contributing to the ongoing price increase [3] - The supply side of tungsten mining is constrained by quota systems, limiting rapid capacity growth, while the market outlook remains positive due to limited new mining projects [3] Group 4 - Zhongtung High-tech announced that its subsidiary has verified an additional tungsten resource of 91,700 tons, with an annual processing capacity of 2.354 million tons, and is working on a project to increase capacity to 3.5 million tons per year [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rare metal tungsten, referred to as "industrial teeth," is expected to be the standout performer in the non-ferrous metal market in 2025, with tungsten prices skyrocketing from 200,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 600,000 yuan/ton by year-end, marking a staggering 300% increase and setting a historical high [1][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The surge in tungsten prices is driven by a combination of rigid supply constraints and explosive demand growth, with APT (the core product of tungsten smelting) social inventory plummeting from a normal level of 600 tons to below 200 tons, and hard alloy companies having only 12 days of raw material inventory left, significantly below the 30-day safety line [3][4]. - The supply side is constrained by three main factors: policy control, resource depletion, and difficulty in increasing overseas production. The annual mining quota for tungsten in China has been reduced by 8.3% to 56,800 tons for 2025, limiting production even as prices rise [4][5]. Demand Explosion - The demand structure for tungsten has fundamentally changed in 2025, with the share of demand from new energy and high-end manufacturing rising from 15% in 2024 to 30%, moving away from traditional steel industry reliance [6][8]. - The photovoltaic industry is a major source of demand growth, with tungsten wire replacing carbon steel wire in silicon wafer cutting due to its superior strength and wear resistance [8]. - The demand from the electric vehicle sector is also rapidly increasing, with each vehicle requiring approximately 2-8 kg of tungsten, and global EV sales expected to grow by 20% in 2025, adding 10,500 tons of tungsten demand [8]. Profit Distribution - The profits from the surge in tungsten prices are not evenly distributed across the industry chain, with upstream resource companies being the biggest winners. For instance, a 10,000 yuan/ton increase in tungsten prices can boost net profits significantly for companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhongtung High-tech [9][10]. - Midstream smelting companies face challenges due to rising raw material costs and tight supply, leading to reduced profit margins for smaller firms [10]. Future Outlook - The consensus in the industry is that the supply-demand gap will remain unbridgeable, with tungsten prices expected to stay high for the next 3-5 years. The global primary tungsten supply growth rate is projected to be only 2%-3% from 2026 to 2030, significantly lower than demand growth [11][12]. - Analysts predict that black tungsten concentrate prices will fluctuate between 460,000 and 520,000 yuan/ton in 2026, with potential for prices to exceed 500,000 yuan/ton if China tightens exports further [12]. Investment Opportunities - Investors are advised to focus on three key areas: upstream resource leaders like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten, high-end manufacturing leaders like Zhongtung High-tech, and niche players in high-value sectors such as tungsten-based new materials and military-grade tungsten alloys [13][14]. - The demand growth for tungsten is closely tied to the most promising growth sectors over the next 5-10 years, providing long-term support for tungsten prices and enhancing the investment value of leading companies in the industry [14].

Core Viewpoint - The rare metal tungsten, referred to as the "industrial tooth," is expected to be the standout performer in the non-ferrous metals market in 2025, with prices skyrocketing from 200,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 600,000 yuan/ton by year-end, marking a staggering 300% increase and setting a historical high [4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The surge in tungsten prices is driven by a combination of rigid supply constraints and structural demand explosions, with APT (the core product of tungsten smelting) social inventory dropping from a normal level of 600 tons to below 200 tons, and hard alloy companies having only 12 days of raw material inventory, significantly below the 30-day safety line [7][11]. - The supply side is constrained by three main factors: policy control, resource depletion, and the difficulty of increasing overseas production. The annual mining quota for tungsten in China was set at 56,800 tons for 2025, an 8.3% decrease from the previous year, limiting production even as prices rise [10][11]. Demand Explosion - Demand for tungsten has fundamentally shifted, with the share from new energy and high-end manufacturing rising from 15% in 2024 to 30% in 2025, moving away from traditional steel industry reliance [13]. - The photovoltaic industry is a major growth driver, with tungsten wire replacing carbon steel wire in silicon wafer cutting due to its superior strength and wear resistance. The demand from the new energy vehicle sector is also rapidly increasing, with each vehicle requiring 2-8 kg of tungsten [15]. Profit Distribution in the Industry - The profit from rising tungsten prices is unevenly distributed across the industry, favoring upstream resource companies. For instance, a 10,000 yuan/ton increase in tungsten prices can boost net profits significantly for companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhongtung High-tech [17]. - Midstream smelting companies face challenges due to rising raw material costs and tight supply, with some small firms experiencing profit margins dropping below 10% [18]. Future Outlook - The consensus for the tungsten industry in 2026 and beyond is that the supply-demand gap will remain unbridgeable, with prices expected to stay high for the next 3-5 years. The global primary tungsten supply growth rate is projected to be only 2-3% annually from 2026 to 2030, significantly lower than demand growth [20][21]. - Analysts predict that the price of black tungsten concentrate will fluctuate between 460,000 and 520,000 yuan/ton in 2026, with potential to exceed 500,000 yuan/ton if China tightens exports further [21]. Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in the tungsten industry should focus on three key areas: upstream resource leaders like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten, high-end manufacturing leaders like Zhongtung High-tech, and niche players in high-value segments such as tungsten-based new materials and military-grade tungsten alloys [22][23].

Group 1 - Rare metal concept stocks have strengthened, with Zhongmin Resources rising over 7%, and Salt Lake Co., Ganfeng Lithium, and Tianqi Lithium each increasing over 2% [1] - The rare metal ETF has also seen a rise of over 2% [1] Group 2 - The strategic small metal reserves are limited, extraction is difficult, and supply elasticity is insufficient, while downstream demand from sectors like new energy, semiconductors, and military industry is growing rapidly, exacerbating supply-demand conflicts [2] - Under the ongoing scarcity of resources, upgrading demand structure, and policy regulation, rare metal prices are expected to continue an upward trend, benefiting companies with resource reserve advantages, technical barriers, and compliant export channels [2]

场内ETF方面，截至2026年1月21日 13:02，中证稀有金属主题指数强势上涨2.42%，稀有金属 ETF(159608)上涨2.52%。成分股盛新锂能10cm涨停，中钨高新上涨9.79%，永兴材料上涨7.09%。前十 大权重股合计占比59.54%，其中权重股中矿资源上涨7.04%，赣锋锂业、盐湖股份等个股跟涨。 截至2026年1月20日，稀有金属ETF最新规模达38.55亿元，最新份额达32.40亿份，均创成立以来新高。 从资金净流入方面来看，稀有金属ETF近18天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得8.91亿元净流入，合 计"吸金"29.23亿元。 稀有金属ETF(159608)，紧密跟踪中证稀有金属主题指数，锂矿、稀土含量均超14%，钴含量近8%，钨 含量超6%，一键布局稀土+有色。Wind数据显示，按照申万三级行业分类，指数锂、钴、钨合计权重 占比近30%，同类最高！掌握全球战略资源自主安全，场外联接(A：019874；C：019875)。 消息面方面，德国政府宣布从2026年1月起对新注册电动汽车提供最高6000欧元补贴，重点支持纯电车 型及中低收入家庭，此举有望带动80万辆新增电动车需求，对应约4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals theme index in China has shown a strong upward trend, with significant price increases in tungsten and other strategic metals due to rising demand and supply chain disruptions [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 21, 2026, the China Rare Metals Theme Index rose by 2.75%, with notable increases in component stocks such as Shengxin Lithium Energy (up 9.99%), Zhongtung High-tech (up 9.42%), and Zhongmin Resources (up 7.89%) [1] - The prices of 65% black tungsten concentrate and 65% white tungsten concentrate have increased by 13.0% and 13.1% respectively since the beginning of the year, reaching 520,000 yuan and 519,000 yuan per standard ton [1] Group 2: Demand and Supply Dynamics - Rapid growth in downstream demand from sectors like new energy and semiconductors has intensified supply-demand conflicts, leading to significant price increases in tungsten, molybdenum, tin, and other minor metals [1] - The global supply chain disruptions continue to affect the market, drawing widespread attention to core strategic resources such as lithium and rare earths [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Everbright Securities emphasizes the investment opportunities arising from the strategic metal stockpiling initiatives by various countries, particularly in the U.S. and Australia, which have announced significant procurement plans for critical minerals [1] - The cumulative procurement volume for cobalt, tantalum, antimony, and gallium from the U.S. and Australia is projected to account for 3%, 12%, 8%, and 14% of global production in 2024, respectively [1] - A comprehensive positive outlook is presented for the revaluation of strategic metals including copper, aluminum, cobalt, nickel, tin, antimony, tungsten, and rare earths [1] Group 4: ETF and Investment Tools - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) tracks the China Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to gain exposure to the rare metals sector [3] - Investors can also consider the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) to explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector [3]