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中金:维持保利物业(06049)跑赢行业评级 目标价42.7港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 02:41
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the earnings forecast for Poly Property (06049) and keeps the "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 42.7, corresponding to a 13x P/E for 2026 and a 22% upside potential [1] Group 1: Strategic Layout and Growth - The "big property" strategic layout has achieved breadth, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" focusing on operational focus and industrial upgrades [2] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," the company has proactively laid out the "big property" strategy, achieving over 25% compound growth in property management revenue from public services and commercial office sectors from 2021 to 2024 [2] - By 2024, the managed area for non-residential properties is expected to reach 510 million square meters, with non-residential property management revenue accounting for over 40% of total property management revenue [2] - The company's market-oriented external expansion capability and industry coverage are leading, with an annualized contract amount for non-residential external expansion expected to be RMB 2.75 billion in 2024, covering over 40 non-residential sectors [2] - The company has essentially achieved the layout and external expansion capability at the "big property" level, with future development transitioning from breadth and width to deep operations, aiming for further elevation in revenue structure, profitability, and operational capability [2] Group 2: Scenic Area Operations - Scenic area operations present good growth potential and financial models, with property management companies expected to upgrade from traditional management fees to operational revenue sharing through integrated management and operations [2] - The tourism industry is expected to continue its strong growth, with the China Tourism Research Institute predicting that cultural and tourism-related consumption will exceed RMB 10 trillion by 2030, with an average annual growth rate of 8%-10% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2] - For example, in the Shenzhen Xichong project, property management fee revenue is around RMB 10 million, with relatively low gross margins; however, integrating ticket revenue sharing and secondary consumption from tourists is expected to significantly enhance project gross margins [2] - By the end of 2024, Poly Property is expected to have served over 100 A-level scenic area projects, including three operational management projects, with ongoing development of benchmark projects providing a solid foundation for further acquisition of scenic area operation projects and creating an integrated service system for scenic area operations and urban management [2]
中泰证券:维持中海物业(02669)“买入”评级 业绩稳步增长 外拓能力优秀
智通财经网· 2025-12-01 02:36
业绩小幅增长,费用管控能力提升 智通财经APP获悉,中泰证券发布研报称,维持中海物业(02669)"买入"评级,公司2025年上半年核心物 业管理业务实现稳健增长,外拓业态持续丰富,毛利率改善,展现出了较强的韧性能力,该行预计公司 未来仍可以维持一定增速的规模与业绩增长,持续看好公司能够实现长期高质量发展。 中泰证券主要观点如下: 中海物业发布2025年半年报 公司上半年实现营收70.9亿,同比增长3.7%,权益股东应占净利润7.7亿,同比增长4.3%。 2025年上半年公司实现营收70.9亿,同比+3.7%,权益股东应占净利润为7.7亿元,同比+4.3%,净利润 增速高于营收增速。公司总体毛利率17.0%,同比上升0.2pct。核心业务物业管理服务营收较2024年同 期增加8.3%,毛利率15.5%,同比上升0.1pct。销售及行政费用同比下降18.6%,总体费用下降17.8%, 费用率2.2%,同比下降0.6pct,费用管控能力有所提升,公司整体盈利能力有所提升。 外拓能力优秀,新合约构成合理 2025年上半年,公司新增订单0.3亿平方米,当中84.0%来自第三方。公司新签合约总额约达人民币22.6 亿元 ...
中泰证券:维持中海物业“买入”评级 业绩稳步增长 外拓能力优秀
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 02:34
中泰证券主要观点如下: 2025年上半年公司实现营收70.9亿,同比+3.7%,权益股东应占净利润为7.7亿元,同比+4.3%,净利润 增速高于营收增速。公司总体毛利率17.0%,同比上升0.2pct。核心业务物业管理服务营收较2024年同 期增加8.3%,毛利率15.5%,同比上升0.1pct。销售及行政费用同比下降18.6%,总体费用下降17.8%, 费用率2.2%,同比下降0.6pct,费用管控能力有所提升,公司整体盈利能力有所提升。 外拓能力优秀,新合约构成合理 2025年上半年,公司新增订单0.3亿平方米,当中84.0%来自第三方。公司新签合约总额约达人民币22.6 亿元,同时公司优化业务结构及项目治理,对部分项目进行退盘,在管面积较2024年末小幅增加至4.4 亿平方米。新签合约中住宅项目和非住宅项目面积占比分别为41.0%及59.0%,结构合理,不同类型的 新项目可以增加公司抗风险能力。 中泰证券(600918)发布研报称,维持中海物业(02669)"买入"评级,公司2025年上半年核心物业管理 业务实现稳健增长,外拓业态持续丰富,毛利率改善,展现出了较强的韧性能力,该行预计公司未来仍 可以维持 ...
东方证券:维持碧桂园服务(06098)“增持”评级 数智化转型提升运营效率
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 01:51
智通财经APP获悉,东方证券发布研报称,维持碧桂园服务(06098)"增持"评级与目标价6.83港元,公司 正积极拓展社区增值服务,通过与科大能通合作布局新能源汽车充电业务,并加速推广自主研发的清洁 机器人,旨在利用其广泛的社区场景和用户基础,培育新的业绩增长点,同时通过科技赋能实现降本增 效,增强未来竞争力。 东方证券主要观点如下: 关联方交付风险。毛利率超预期下行。新增值服务业务增长不及预期。 此次公司与安徽科大能通科技有限公司(科大能通)合作旨在将服务对象拓展至新能源汽车,将其充电桩 及储能技术嫁接到公司广泛的社区场景和庞大客群基础中。 有望为未来新能源业务带来可观的业绩增长 清洁机器人加速落地,目前已初具规模,科技赋能助力降本增效。截至今年10月,公司自主研发的"零 号居民"清洁机器人已在广州、北京、上海、大连等全国17个项目中投入运营,累计部署超过130台,覆 盖住宅、公寓、写字楼等多种业态。据公司披露,年内计划将落地规模扩大至1000台,进一步推动机器 人在物业场景中的标准化、规模化应用,实现显著的效率提升和成本节约。公司表示将加大研发投入, 深化机器人在复杂场景下的应用能力,该行认为未来公司有望 ...
东方证券:维持碧桂园服务“增持”评级 数智化转型提升运营效率
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 01:45
Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 6.83 for Country Garden Services (06098), highlighting the company's active expansion into community value-added services and its collaboration with Keda Nengtong in the electric vehicle charging business, aiming to cultivate new growth points and enhance future competitiveness through technology empowerment [1][2]. Group 1: Community Value-Added Services - The company is focusing on developing community value-added services, particularly in sectors such as automotive, home, retail, and services, with notable growth in community wine culture, achieving over 88% year-on-year growth in six trial regions, generating revenue of CNY 190 million [2]. - The company is advancing its community charging business, providing a one-stop service for charging station equipment and an independently developed operational management platform, with over 5000 communities operating approximately 600,000 charging sockets and a registered user base exceeding 5.5 million [2]. Group 2: Clean Robot Deployment - The company has accelerated the deployment of its self-developed "Zero Resident" cleaning robots, with over 130 units operational across 17 projects in cities like Guangzhou, Beijing, and Shanghai, and plans to expand to 1000 units within the year, aiming for standardized and large-scale applications in property management [3]. - Increased R&D investment is planned to enhance the robots' capabilities in complex scenarios, potentially creating new competitive advantages in efficiency, quality, and cost control [3].
物业费没收齐,物业公司要照常申报缴纳增值税吗?
蓝色柳林财税室· 2025-12-01 01:36
欢迎扫描下方二维码关注: 政策依据 《财政部 国家税务总局关于全面推开营业税改 征增值税试点的通知》(财税〔2016〕36号 ) 第四十五条第四项规定 : 增值税纳税义务、扣缴义务发生时间 为:纳税人发生应税行为并收讫销售款项 或者取得索取销售款项凭据的当天;先开 具发票的,为开具发票的当天。 物业公司财务室 一般情况下,我们应该在 每月10日前收到业主缴纳 的物业费(销售款项 ), 然后缴纳增值税。 坡 yy 缴费日 包目 e 10E u 物业公司财务室 如果在当月10日之前还没收到物业 费,但只要到了合同约定该交费的 日子,我们就已经拥有了收款的权 利( 取得索取销售款项凭据的当 天 ),增值税纳税义务就发生了! 物 缴费日 业 复月 每月 总 10日 L NM 物业公司财务室 那规定中" 取得索取销售 款项凭据 " ,这个" 凭 据 " 指的就是书面合同约 定的付款日期对吧! 物业公司财务室 FITAL PART AF ' TA 对的。同时这个" 凭据" 还指应 税服务完成后约定的结算时间 因此,即使没有签订了目里主 天付款,只要物业完成了发生 务,增值税纳税义务就已发生 需要缴纳增值税。 7 NY/Z ...
地产及物管行业周报(2025/11/22-2025/11/28):证监会启动商业不动产REITs试点,新城发行首单消费类私募REITs-20251130
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-30 05:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [4][38]. Core Views - The report highlights two major opportunities: the rise of favorable policies for quality housing and the potential revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets due to the current monetary easing cycle [4][38]. - It suggests that while the real estate market continues to stabilize, core cities are expected to recover sooner [4][38]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transaction Volume - In the week of November 22-28, 2025, 34 key cities saw a total new housing transaction volume of 2.52 million square meters, a decrease of 1.7% week-on-week [6][9]. - Year-on-year, November transactions in these cities dropped by 35%, with first and second-tier cities down by 33.4% and third and fourth-tier cities down by 51.4% [9][10]. Second-hand Housing Transaction Volume - In the same week, 13 cities recorded a total second-hand housing transaction volume of 1.16 million square meters, an increase of 4.2% week-on-week [14][15]. - Year-to-date, the total transaction volume for second-hand housing is 5.37 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [14][15]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of November 22-28, 2025, 15 cities had a total of 1.37 million square meters of new housing launched, with a transaction volume of 1.03 million square meters, resulting in a transaction-to-launch ratio of 0.75 [24][30]. - The total available residential area in these cities was 89.846 million square meters, a 0.4% increase week-on-week [24][30]. Policy and News Tracking Real Estate Industry - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the expansion of REITs to include hotels and commercial offices [33][34]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has initiated a pilot program for commercial real estate REITs [33][35]. Company Announcements - New City Holdings successfully issued a private REIT with a scale of 616 million yuan [38][41]. - China Jinmao announced plans to sell 100% equity of its Sanya tourism business for 2.27 billion yuan [38][41].
地产及物管行业周报:证监会启动商业不动产REITs试点,新城发行首单消费类私募REITs-20251130
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-30 03:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [5]. Core Viewpoints - The real estate market in China is expected to continue bottoming out, with core cities likely to stabilize sooner. Two major opportunities are highlighted: the elevation of housing policies and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which may lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [5]. Industry Data Summary - **New Housing Transactions**: In the week of November 22-28, 2025, 34 key cities saw a total new housing transaction of 2.52 million square meters, a decrease of 1.7% week-on-week. Year-on-year, new housing transactions in November dropped by 35% [6][9]. - **Second-Hand Housing Transactions**: In the same week, 13 cities recorded a total of 1.16 million square meters in second-hand housing transactions, an increase of 4.2% week-on-week. Year-to-date, second-hand housing transactions have increased by 0.7% [14]. - **Inventory Levels**: As of November 28, 2025, the total available residential area in 15 cities was 89.846 million square meters, with a week-on-week increase of 0.4%. The average months of inventory depletion was 23.3 months, a slight decrease [25]. Policy and News Tracking - **REITs Development**: The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the expansion of public REITs to include hotels and commercial offices. The China Securities Regulatory Commission has initiated a pilot for commercial real estate REITs [34][36]. - **Local Housing Policies**: Qingdao has introduced housing subsidies for talent, offering up to 300,000 yuan for doctoral graduates. Fuzhou plans to provide subsidies for families with multiple children, while Beijing's "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes improving the housing supply system [34][35]. - **Land Market Activity**: In Shanghai, nine land parcels were sold for a total of 17.33 billion yuan, while Wuhan's land sales totaled approximately 3.97 billion yuan [34][39]. Company Dynamics - **New City Holdings**: Successfully issued private REITs with a scale of 616 million yuan, backed by the Wuyue Plaza asset [5]. - **Vanke**: Engaged in discussions regarding the extension of a bond due on December 15, 2025, with a remaining balance of 2 billion yuan [5][41]. - **China Jinmao**: Announced plans to sell 100% equity in Jinmao (Sanya) Tourism Co., Ltd. for 2.27 billion yuan [5][43].
保利物业(06049.HK):央企龙头向新求质 物管筑基稳健发展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-29 20:14
Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrates steady growth in managed area and property fees, with a strong performance in property management services contributing significantly to revenue growth [1][2] Group 1: Area and Revenue Growth - As of the first half of 2025, the company managed an area of 834 million square meters, representing a 10.1% increase from the beginning of the period [1] - The contracted area reached 996 million square meters, up 4.8% from the start of the period [1] - The average property fee increased from 2.23 RMB/sqm/month in 2020 to 2.47 RMB/sqm/month by the first half of 2025 [1] - Property management service revenue amounted to 6.32 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.1% [1] - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 8.39 billion RMB, a 6.6% increase year-on-year [2] Group 2: Revenue Structure and Profitability - The proportion of property management revenue increased to 75.4%, up 3.9 percentage points from the beginning of the period and 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company's gross margin was 19.4%, while the net margin rose to 10.8%, indicating strong profitability compared to peers [2] - The selling and administrative expense ratio was 5.3%, and accounts receivable turnover days were 72, showing stable performance in these areas [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a state-owned enterprise in property management, with strong internal and external growth prospects [2] - Projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 1.55 billion, 1.64 billion, and 1.72 billion RMB, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 11.4, 10.8, and 10.3 times [2]
证监会商业不动产 REITs 试点评:商业不动产 REITs 试点,助力优质商业资产价值重估
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-29 12:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The initiation of commercial real estate REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is expected to significantly enhance the development potential of commercial real estate in China, with a market space exceeding 10 trillion yuan [2]. - The planned commercial real estate REITs will complement existing infrastructure REITs, creating a comprehensive public REITs market in China, where the market capitalization of holding-type real estate and infrastructure assets accounts for approximately 60% and 40% globally [2]. - The pilot program for commercial real estate REITs aims to broaden the underlying asset base to include office buildings and hotels, thereby expanding the scope of asset revitalization [2]. - The establishment of a multi-tiered market for commercial real estate asset securitization will facilitate direct financing for enterprises, optimize capital structures, and provide new options for strategic transformation from developers to asset managers [2]. - The commercial real estate REITs are seen as a crucial vehicle for constructing a new development model in the real estate sector, emphasizing the operational and sustainable development of existing assets [2]. Summary by Sections Investment Opportunities - The report highlights two major opportunities: the elevation of housing policies and the favorable performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which may lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [2]. - Recommended companies include: 1. Commercial Real Estate: China Resources Land, New Town Holdings, Kerry Properties, Longfor Group, with a focus on Swire Properties and New Town Development 2. Quality Housing Enterprises: Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, China Jinmao, Greentown China 3. Undervalued Recovery Enterprises: Jianfa Shares, China Merchants Shekou, Yuexiu Property, China Overseas Development, Poly Developments 4. Property Management: China Resources Vientiane, Greentown Services, China Merchants Jinling, Poly Property, China Overseas Property 5. Second-hand Housing Agencies: Beike-W, with a focus on I Love My Home [2]. Market Context - The report notes that while the real estate sector in China is expected to continue facing challenges, core cities are likely to stabilize sooner, indicating a potential turning point for the market [2].