Core Insights - The report maintains a "recommended" investment rating for the coal mining industry, highlighting a tightening supply and expected demand release during winter, which is anticipated to stabilize coal prices within a reasonable range [1][2]. Policy Impact - The 2025 coal industry policies focus on "ensuring supply and stabilizing prices" and "controlling production and improving quality," with measures to enhance supply resilience and promote industry transformation towards carbon neutrality [6][11]. - The implementation of the overproduction inspection policy in July 2025 aims to curb excessive competition and stabilize coal prices, which had been under pressure earlier in the year [12][11]. Supply and Demand Analysis - For thermal coal, supply is expected to contract while demand is projected to grow, with coal production growth slowing down and imports anticipated to decline by about 10% in 2025 [6][35]. - The demand for thermal coal is expected to remain stable, supported by a potential cold winter and increased electricity consumption during peak seasons [38][39]. Price Dynamics - The report indicates that the price of thermal coal is likely to recover due to a combination of supply constraints and seasonal demand increases, with the price expected to rise from approximately 620 CNY/ton in July 2025 to around 820 CNY/ton by November 2025 [18][6]. Coking Coal Outlook - Coking coal, being a scarce resource, is expected to see limited supply growth, but demand may rebound due to recovery in the real estate and infrastructure sectors, which could stimulate steel production and, consequently, coking coal consumption [6][42]. - The report emphasizes that coking coal prices are more elastic and could see significant growth potential in response to demand recovery [6][7]. Investment Strategy - The coal sector is viewed as having long-term investment value, driven by both dividend and cyclical factors, with recommendations to focus on leading companies with strong dividend yields and potential for growth [7][6]. - Key companies to watch include China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry for stable dividends, and Yanzhou Coal Mining, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Huaibei Mining for their market-driven growth potential [7][6].

证券之星消息，12月15日煤炭开采板块较上一交易日下跌0.08%，新大洲A领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3867.92，下跌0.55%。深证成指报收于13112.09，下跌1.1%。煤炭开采板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日煤炭开采板块主力资金净流出4162.76万元，游资资金净流入4516.98万元，散 户资金净流出354.22万元。煤炭开采板块个股资金流向见下表： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the subsidiary "Coal Mine Major Intelligent Complete Equipment R&D Center Project" by Tiandi Technology aims to enhance the coal mining industry's intelligent solutions and address existing technological gaps in hydraulic support equipment [1][2]. Group 1: Company Strategy - The new subsidiary, Coal Mine Complete Equipment Company, will focus on integrated solutions for intelligent coal mining, filling a significant gap in the industry regarding comprehensive service offerings [2][3]. - The company will leverage its strong shareholder structure, with Tiandi Technology holding 60% and other partners each holding 10%, to enhance its research and design capabilities in intelligent coal mining [2][3]. Group 2: Technological Development - The company aims to strengthen its hydraulic support manufacturing capabilities and enhance its complete equipment production and delivery chain, improving the competitiveness of its intelligent mining solutions [3][4]. - Key technological focuses include the development of new materials and processes, the establishment of testing platforms for equipment validation, and the integration of advanced intelligent technologies [4]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - The total investment for the R&D center project is planned at 3.545 billion yuan, with a registered capital of 2 billion yuan, and the remaining funds to be contributed by investors based on their shareholding [5]. - The company has a strong cash position, with net cash estimated at 17.6 billion yuan, allowing for stable dividend maintenance despite the new investment [5]. - Future profit forecasts for the company indicate a steady growth trajectory, with net profits projected at 2.837 billion yuan, 2.98 billion yuan, and 3.212 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In November, the growth rates of fixed - asset investment and social consumer goods retail总额 were lower than market expectations, while the export growth rate exceeded expectations [4][23]. - The year - on - year decline of real estate sales volume and price continued in November, and the data in early December also showed the same trend [4][23]. - As of the end of October, 5000 billion yuan of new policy - based financial instruments had been fully invested, but the investment data in October and November did not show obvious improvement [4][23]. - The relatively stable international environment after the China - US summit at the end of October is beneficial to China's exports, and stable export confidence is conducive to the growth of private investment [4][23]. - The Central Economic Work Conference in December proposed to implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy next year to promote investment to stop falling and rebound and boost consumption [23]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fixed - Asset Investment - From January to November, the national fixed - asset investment decreased by 2.6% year - on - year, worse than the market expectation of a 2.2% decline [1][5]. - From January to November, the broad infrastructure investment (including electricity) increased by 0.1% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 1.5% [1][5]. - From January to November, the manufacturing investment increased by 1.9% year - on - year, higher than the market expectation of 0.6% [1][5]. - From January to November, the national real estate development investment decreased by 15.9% year - on - year, worse than the market expectation of a 15.4% decline [1][5]. - From January to November, private fixed - asset investment decreased by 5.3% year - on - year [5]. - In November, manufacturing investment decreased by 4.5% year - on - year, and narrow - sense infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) decreased by 9.7% year - on - year [5]. - In November, the national fixed - asset investment decreased by 1.03% month - on - month, showing a continuous decline for ten consecutive months [5]. 3.2 Real Estate - From January to November, the sales area of new commercial housing decreased by 7.8% year - on - year, and the sales volume decreased by 11.1% year - on - year [2][9]. - In the fourth quarter, the daily average transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities decreased significantly year - on - year, and the national real estate sales were still at the bottom [10]. - In November, the second - hand housing prices in first - tier cities decreased by 1.1% month - on - month, with the decline expanding [2][10]. - In November, the real estate development enterprise's available funds decreased by 32.6% year - on - year [11]. - In November, the new housing start - up area decreased by 28% year - on - year, and the housing completion area decreased by 25% year - on - year [11]. 3.3 Industrial Added Value - In November, the value - added of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.8% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 5.0% [2][12]. - In November, the value - added of high - tech manufacturing increased by 8.4% year - on - year, maintaining rapid growth [2][12]. 3.4 Foreign Trade - In November, China's exports denominated in US dollars increased by 5.9% year - on - year, exceeding expectations, and imports increased by 1.9% year - on - year [2][14]. - From January to November, China's cumulative export amount increased by 5.4% year - on - year, and the cumulative import amount decreased by 0.6% year - on - year [14]. 3.5 Consumption - In November, the total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by 1.3% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 2.9% [3][18]. - In November, among the retail sales of consumer goods by units above the quota, categories with relatively fast year - on - year growth included communication equipment, cultural and office supplies, etc. Categories with relatively fast year - on - year decline included household appliances and audio - visual equipment, building and decoration materials, etc. [19]. 3.6 Service Industry and Employment - In November, the national service industry production index increased by 4.2% year - on - year, hitting a new low for the year [3][21]. - In November, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.1%, remaining the same as the previous month and 0.1 percentage point higher than the same month of the previous year [3][21].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianma Zhikong (688570) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The strategic investment in the joint venture "Kegong Chengtai Company" aims to enhance long-term high-quality development through collaboration and resource complementarity, focusing on the development of intelligent mining equipment [2][3] - The partnership is expected to significantly expand market space by leveraging synergies between Tianma Zhikong's core products and Kegong Chengtai's focus on high-end hydraulic supports [2] - The joint venture will also facilitate technological innovation and address existing bottlenecks in key technology areas, enhancing Tianma Zhikong's competitive edge in the intelligent mining sector [2][3] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,206 million, with a year-on-year growth of 12.1%. However, a decline of 15.7% is expected in 2024, followed by a significant drop of 45.5% in 2025 [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 425 million in 2023, decreasing to 340 million in 2024, and further to 107 million in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 20.0% and 68.4% respectively [4] - The gross margin is expected to decrease from 45.1% in 2023 to 36.3% in 2025, indicating potential pressure on profitability [4] - The company maintains a solid financial position with cash reserves of 2.33 billion as of September 2025, allowing for strategic investments without impacting short-term dividend capabilities [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to decline from 0.98 in 2023 to 0.25 in 2025, with a gradual recovery expected thereafter [4][6] Strategic Initiatives - The investment in Kegong Chengtai Company is seen as a key move to optimize capital allocation and tap into the intelligent mining equipment sector, potentially leading to stable returns and growth in core business areas [6] - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing transformation and high-quality development of the coal industry, with significant opportunities in intelligent mining solutions driven by national policies and market demand [6]

Group 1 - The report discusses the high volatility of Japanese government bonds (JGBs) due to a shift in monetary policy and concerns over long-term debt sustainability, leading to a rapid increase in JGB yields since early 2024 [3][4] - The report highlights the divergence between the rising JGB yields and the depreciation of the Japanese yen, attributing this to market concerns over fiscal health and capital outflows driven by trade agreements [3][4] - The outlook suggests continued upward pressure on JGB yields, while the divergence between the yen and interest rate differentials may not persist long-term, potentially leading to yen appreciation as market concerns ease [4] Group 2 - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of a proactive fiscal policy, maintaining a fiscal deficit around 4% for 2025, which is higher than previous years, to support economic stability [5][8][9] - The report indicates that China's government debt ratio remains significantly lower than that of major economies, providing ample fiscal space for expansionary policies [8][9] - The focus on optimizing fiscal expenditure structure aims to transition from production-oriented to welfare-oriented spending, with significant allocations for education, social security, and healthcare [10] Group 3 - The report outlines the commitment to expanding domestic demand as a primary driver of economic growth, with a focus on increasing consumption and investment to stabilize the economy [13][14] - It highlights the need to boost consumer spending, noting that the contribution of final consumption to GDP growth was 53.5% in the first three quarters of 2025 [14][15] - The investment strategy includes increasing central budget investments and optimizing local government special bond usage to stimulate effective investment [15][26] Group 4 - The report discusses the establishment of a unified national market to combat "involution" in competition, emphasizing the need for standardized regulations and improved resource allocation [16][17] - It notes the progress in reducing logistics costs and increasing inter-provincial trade, indicating a move towards a more integrated market [16][17] - The focus on creating a competitive market order aims to enhance efficiency and support high-quality development across various industries [17] Group 5 - The chemical industry is identified as entering a favorable phase driven by global supply dynamics and increasing demand for AI technologies [30][31] - The report lists key players in various segments of the chemical industry, including gas turbines, refrigerants, and energy storage, highlighting potential investment opportunities [31][32] - It emphasizes the importance of value-driven strategies in the chemical sector, with a focus on enhancing dividend yields and addressing supply-side challenges [32] Group 6 - The report on credit bonds indicates a need for strategies that focus on attracting incremental funds and adapting to market conditions, with a recommendation for short-term and mid-to-long-term strategies [34][35] - It highlights the ongoing challenges in the municipal bond market, suggesting a cautious approach to investment in lower-rated bonds while seeking opportunities in higher-quality assets [36] - The financial bond market is expected to face limited supply pressures, with a focus on maintaining asset quality amid changing market dynamics [37] Group 7 - The report on social financing data indicates a stable growth rate in loans, primarily driven by corporate lending, while consumer borrowing remains cautious [38][39] - It notes a significant increase in direct financing, reflecting a positive trend in market development, despite a decline in household leverage [39][40] - The overall financial environment suggests continued support for fiscal and monetary policies to sustain economic growth [39]

2025.12.15 本文字数：1158，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 安卓 深圳证券交易所及深圳证券信息有限公司此前曾发布公告称，根据指数编制规则，将对深证成指、创业 板指、深证100、创业板50等深市指数实施样本定期调整。 深证100更换7只样本股，天山股份（000877.SZ）、山西焦煤（000983.SZ）等被调出；调入了主板公司 4家，创业板公司3家，如藏格矿业（000408.SZ）、胜宏科技（300476.SZ）、安克创新（300866.SZ） 等； 创业板50更换了5只样本股，调出了特锐德（300001.SZ）、芒果超媒（300413.SZ）等；调入长芯博创 （300548.SZ）、协创数据（300857.SZ）等。 整体来看，本次调整体现了推动新质生产力发展、筑牢实体经济基本盘以及引领长期价值投资的核心理 念。 在推动新质生产力发展方面，本次调整后，创业板指战略性新兴产业权重占比93%，新一期样本公司前 三季度研发费用同比增速为13%，研发费用占营业收入比重为5%，其中30家公司研发强度超10%。深证 100新质蓝筹属性更加突出，战略性新兴产业权重提升至81%，先进制造、数字经济、绿色 ...

Group 1: Fixed Income and Macro Insights - The report discusses the rapid rise in Japanese government bond yields since early 2024, attributed to the end of negative interest rates and the abandonment of the Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy, alongside concerns over long-term debt sustainability and structural demand shrinkage [3][4] - The Central Economic Work Conference highlighted the need for a more proactive fiscal policy, maintaining a fiscal deficit around 4% for 2025, which is higher than previous years, indicating a focus on constructive fiscal expansion [5][8][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand as a key driver for economic growth, with consumer spending contributing significantly to GDP growth [13][14][15] Group 2: Industry and Sector Analysis - The chemical industry is entering a favorable phase, driven by global supply dynamics and increasing demand for AI technologies, with specific companies identified as key players in various segments such as gas turbines and refrigerants [30][31] - The report outlines the ongoing transformation in the real estate sector, focusing on controlling supply, reducing inventory, and improving the quality of housing, with a significant emphasis on affordable housing initiatives [20][21][27] - The robotics sector is experiencing accelerated financing and innovation, with several companies completing significant funding rounds to enhance R&D and commercialize advanced robotic solutions [41][42][44]

煤层越薄，煤体通常越硬韧。采两米多厚的煤层，只需200千瓦总功率；可极薄煤层开采，装机功 率达500—900千瓦。 "作业空间就那么点儿，设备高了会被卡住，厚了挡煤流，薄了又扛不住大功率。"吴卫东向科技日 报记者解释，"这就是横在我们面前的第一道坎。" 12月的黑龙江双鸭山寒风凛冽，双阳煤矿千米井下作业不停：0.8米高的极薄煤层工作面里，一台 短矮机身采煤机正精准地"啃噬"煤层。 它的"触角"实时捕捉地质数据，经5G信号以毫秒级速度传至地面调度中心，液压支架随之智能推 移。地面调度室里，技术人员轻点鼠标，井下全景同步呈现。这是如今极薄煤层智能开采的日常，而3 年前，这里还是"连转身都困难"的艰苦作业区。 我国薄煤层储量占总储量的20%，产量却只占煤炭总产量的10%左右。厚度小于1.3米的薄煤层，尤 其是0.7—1.0米极薄煤层，因开采难度极大，长期"沉睡"，但其中蕴含的"工业精粉"——被誉为煤炭"稀 土"的焦煤，是钢铁企业不可或缺的重要原料。 2021年，由黑龙江科技大学牵头的研发团队，在千米井下打响极薄煤层"夹缝掘金"智能开采攻坚 战。 煤机"瘦身战" "薄煤层采煤，最难解的就是'小空间'和'大功率'这俩' ...

12月的黑龙江双鸭山寒风凛冽，双阳煤矿千米井下作业不停：0.8米高的极薄煤层工作面里，一台短矮 机身采煤机正精准地"啃噬"煤层。 它的"触角"实时捕捉地质数据，经5G信号以毫秒级速度传至地面调度中心，液压支架随之智能推移。 地面调度室里，技术人员轻点鼠标，井下全景同步呈现。这是如今极薄煤层智能开采的日常，而3年 前，这里还是"连转身都困难"的艰苦作业区。 我国薄煤层储量占总储量的20%，产量却只占煤炭总产量的10%左右。厚度小于1.3米的薄煤层，尤其是 0.7—1.0米极薄煤层，因开采难度极大，长期"沉睡"，但其中蕴含的"工业精粉"——被誉为煤炭"稀 土"的焦煤，是钢铁企业不可或缺的重要原料。 2021年，由黑龙江科技大学牵头的研发团队，在千米井下打响极薄煤层"夹缝掘金"智能开采攻坚战。 煤机"瘦身战" "薄煤层采煤，最难解的就是'小空间'和'大功率'这俩'死对头'。"在黑龙江科技大学实验室，吴卫东教授 一语道破关键矛盾。 煤层越薄，煤体通常越硬韧。采两米多厚的煤层，只需200千瓦总功率；可极薄煤层开采，装机功率达 500—900千瓦。 "作业空间就那么点儿，设备高了会被卡住，厚了挡煤流，薄了又扛不住大功率。 ...