延迟公布的消费者支出与PCE通胀数据显示经济温和降温。 *PCE通胀符合预期，降息概率升至87.2% *奈飞拟斥资720亿美元收购华纳影视资产 *小盘股涨势降温，国债收益率上行 周五，美国股市温和收高，最新一批经济数据强化了市场对美联储下周降息的高度预期。 截至收盘，标普500指数上涨13.28点，涨幅0.19%，报6870.40点；道琼斯指数上涨104.05点，涨幅 0.22%，报47954.99点；纳斯达克指数涨72.99点，涨幅0.31%，报23578.13点。其中，标普500和纳斯达 克连续第四个交易日上涨。 通信服务板块在标普500的11个板块中表现最佳，涨幅近1%，并创下收盘纪录高位；医疗保健板块走 弱，此前疫苗顾问小组放弃建议所有新生儿在出生时接种乙肝疫苗。 本周标准普尔500指数累计上涨0.31%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.91%，道琼斯指数上涨0.5%。 【热门股表现】 美国科技七巨头走势分化。微软上涨0.48%，亚马逊涨0.18%，谷歌A上涨1.15%，Meta上涨1.80%；特 斯拉小幅走高0.11%。另一方面，苹果下跌0.68%，英伟达冲高回落0.53%。 华纳兄弟探索公司股价上涨6.3%， ...

It's time now for [music] the big picture. So, let's welcome in Michelle Gibli, director of international equity research and strategy, Schwan Center for Financial Research. Thanks so much for your time this morning, Michelle.It's so nice to see you. Happy Friday. Look, we started this week off with a more hawkish tone coming from the governor of the BOJ and that put very much the carry trade back in the spotlight.We've seen the higher yield state side being pressured by those JGBs. I'm seeing that the expe ...

周五，专注于电子游戏与娱乐内容发行/分发/运营的GCL Global(GCL.US)股价走高，截至发稿，该股涨 超2.8%，报1.245美元。消息面上，该公司今日宣布其出版子公司4Divinity Pte.Ltd.已获得来自威刚科技 (ADATA)的300万美元战略投资。根据公告，威刚将取得4Divinity约1.2%的股权。本次投资被视为双方 在游戏与科技生态圈深化合作的重要一步，为4Divinity的游戏发行与内容布局提供额外支持，也进一步 巩固GCL Global在全球娱乐产业中的扩张战略。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a structural bull market, characterized by significant gains in specific sectors while others lag behind, indicating potential investment opportunities in undervalued stocks [10][11][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market opened lower but closed higher, returning to a rating of 4.2 stars [1]. - All market caps, including large, mid, and small caps, saw increases, with small caps outperforming slightly [2]. - Both value and growth styles experienced upward movement [3]. Group 2: Positive Market Drivers - Positive news circulated during the trading day, contributing to market gains [4]. - Insurance institutions lowered risk factors for indices like the CSI 300 and the Low Volatility Dividend 100, allowing for increased allocation to these stocks [5][6]. - This adjustment led to significant increases in sectors such as securities, insurance, and value stocks [7]. Group 3: Structural Bull Market Characteristics - Structural bull markets often see certain categories of stocks rise significantly while others may not reach high valuations [10][12]. - Historical examples include the small-cap growth bull market in 2015 and the large-cap value bull market from 2016 to 2017 [13][14]. Group 4: Current Market Trends - The main drivers of this year's market increase are small-cap and growth styles, with indices like the CSI 2000 and tech-focused boards showing gains exceeding the market average [15]. - Many stocks in these categories have strong fundamentals, with tech companies in A-shares and Hong Kong showing over 30% year-on-year profit growth [18]. - Some sectors, such as consumer and healthcare, have seen moderate profit growth, while others like consumption have experienced declines [21][25]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Stocks that are currently underperforming may become leaders in future market cycles, emphasizing the need for patience among investors [27][32]. - Even undervalued indices can yield returns over time, as seen with dividend and low-volatility indices that have appreciated by 50-70% since 2018 despite not reaching high valuations [40][41]. Group 6: Valuation Insights - The article provides a valuation table for Hong Kong indices, indicating that the market has already returned to a rating of over 3 stars due to earlier gains compared to A-shares [42]. - The valuation metrics for various indices, including PE ratios and dividend yields, are summarized for investor reference [43].

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 12 月 05 日 策略点评 证券分析师 程强 资格编号：S0120524010005 邮箱：chengqiang＠tebon.com.cn 翟堃 资格编号：s0120523050002 邮箱：zhaikun＠tebon.com.cn 高嘉麒 资格编号：S0120523070003 邮箱：gaojq＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 相关研究 大金融强势领涨 [Table_Summary] 投资要点： 摘要。2025 年 12 月 5 日周五，A 股市场午后在大金融带领下强势上涨，成交额 放量至 1.7 万亿以上；国债期货市场震荡回暖；商品指数微涨，工业品延续偏弱。 一、市场行情分析 1）股票市场：放量上涨，大金融领涨 午后拉升，主要指数全线上行。今日 A 股核心指数集体走强，金融、成长与周期 板块形成合力，推动市场情绪持续回暖。上证指数低开高走后震荡回升，午后在金 融带动下突破 3900 点整数关口，收盘报 3902.81 点，涨幅 0.70%；深证成指表现 更强，全天维持上行态势，收报 13147.68 点，涨幅 1.08%；创业板指收 ...

【导读】大金融板块助力港股上涨，中国太平涨超7%，中国平安（601318）涨6.71%，金融监管总局发布利好消息 港股市场今日午后拉升，保险、科技股齐转涨。中国太平涨超7%，中国平安涨6.71%，百度涨超5%。 今日港股市场全天成交额为2105亿港元，南向资金净买入额为13亿港元。午后，大金融板块拉升，助力市场上行；科技股同时拉升，有色金属股继续活 跃，上涨的还有新消费、锂电池、钢铁等板块。此外，今日两只新股上市破发，遇见小面跌近28%，天域半导体跌超30%。 | 恒生指数 | 恒生国企 | 恒生科技 | | --- | --- | --- | | 26085.08 | 9198.30 | 5662.46 | | +149.18 +0.58% | +91.82 +1.01% | +47.03 +0.84% | | 恒指期货 | 港股通50 | 恒生生物科技 | | 26134 | 3918.28 | 15552.95 | | +183 +0.71% | +14.40 +0.37% | -22.96 -0.15% | | 式 オスタ の 1 0 6 / 7 | | 高白次全经贸 1 12/7 | 保险股集体拉升 ...

【导读】大金融板块助力港股上涨，中国太平涨超 7% ，中国平安涨 6.71%，金融监管总局发布利好消息 中国基金报记者 储是 港股市场今日午后拉升，保险、科技股齐转涨。中国太平涨超 7% ，中国平安涨 6.71% ，百度涨超 5% 。 消息面上，国家金融监管总局发布关于调整保险公司投资相关股票的风险因子的通知。市场认为，此举有利于推动保险资金入市。 港股午后拉升 恒生指数收复 26000 点 12 月 5 日，港股三大指数午后持续拉升转涨，全天呈现低开高走行情。截至收盘，恒生指数上涨 0.58% ，再度站上 26000 点；恒生国 企指数、恒生科技指数分别上涨 1.01% 、 0.84% 。 | W | | 恒生中国企业指数(HSCEI) 12-05 16:09:30 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9198.30 | | 昨收 | 9106.48 | 成交额 | 890.17亿 | | +91.82 | +1.01% | 今开 | 9077.14 | 成交量 | 25.92亿 | | 上涨 | 35 | 平盘 | TH | 下跌 | 14 | ...

12月5日，香港恒生指数收涨0.58%，恒生科技指数涨0.84%。 有色金属、国防军工、电气设备、传媒等板块涨幅居前，纺织服装、半导体、食品饮料等板块下跌。 保险板块午后涨幅扩大，中国太平涨超7%，中国平安涨超6%，中国太保、中国人寿涨超5%。 | < W | 恒生科技(HSTECH) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 5662.46 47.03 0.84% | | | | 友就 成分 | 资讯 | 相关基金 | 月度收益 | | 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌 -- | | 百度集团-SW | | 121.600 | 5.01% | | 9888.HK | | | | | 金蝶国际 | | 13.870 | 3.43% | | 0268.HK | | | | | 快手-W | | 69.200 | 2.52% | | 1024.HK | | | | | 小鹏汽车-W | | 77.950 | 2.30% | | 9868.HK | | | | | 蔚来-SW | | 40.220 | 2.13% | | 9866.HK | | | | | 小米集团-W | | 42.78 ...

12月5日，香港恒生指数收涨0.58%，恒生科技指数涨0.84%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | HSI | 恒生指数 | 26085.08 149.18 0.58% | | HSTECH 恒生科技 | | 5662.46 47.03 0.84% | | HSBIO | 恒生生物科技 | 15552.95 -22.96 -0.15% | | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 1.01% 9198.30 91.82 | | HSCI | 恒生综合指数 | 3991.13 18.82 - 0.47% | 有色金属、国防军工、电气设备、传媒等板块涨幅居前，纺织服装、半导体、食品饮料等板块下跌。 保险板块午后涨幅扩大，中国太平涨超7%，中国平安涨超6%，中国太保、中国人寿涨超5%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0966 | 中国太平 | 18.710c | 7.10% | | 2318 | 中国平安 | 60.450 c | 6.71% | | 2628 | 中国人寿 | 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of building a robust social credit system in Xiamen, which has become a model for integrating credit data into economic and social development, enhancing the city's soft power and business environment [1][2]. Group 1: Credit System Development - Xiamen has maintained the highest average comprehensive credit index among 36 provincial capitals and sub-provincial cities over the past 12 months, showcasing the effectiveness of its "Credit Luyuan" initiative [1]. - The city has implemented various innovative credit applications, such as "Credit Medical Services" and "Credit Loans," which have transformed abstract credit concepts into tangible benefits for citizens and businesses [1][3]. Group 2: Data Utilization - Xiamen has created a public credit information platform that integrates data from 68 departments, totaling 1.903 billion records, to enhance the accessibility and utility of credit data [2]. - The city aims to empower economic and social value from credit data, moving beyond mere collection to active utilization [2]. Group 3: Innovative Applications - The "Personal Credit White Egret Points" system allows citizens to access medical services without upfront payments, benefiting over 940,000 residents through 62 public medical institutions [4][5]. - Xiamen has launched over 120 credit-based convenience services, including credit parking and borrowing, to create a comprehensive credit ecosystem [5]. Group 4: Financial Support for Enterprises - The "Port and Shipping Credit Easy Loan 3.0" program has enabled companies like Xiamen Zhonghong Shipping Co. to secure significant loans, demonstrating how good credit can be leveraged for financial support [6][7]. - The "Torch Park Loan" product, developed in collaboration with local banks, helps technology-based SMEs access credit by utilizing public credit data [7][8]. Group 5: Regulatory Innovations - Xiamen has introduced a "Commitment-Based Market Entry" system, significantly reducing the documentation required for business permits and streamlining the approval process [9][10]. - The city employs a differentiated regulatory approach based on credit ratings, allowing for reduced oversight for trustworthy businesses while maintaining strict scrutiny for those with poor credit [13]. Group 6: Credit Repair Mechanisms - Xiamen has established a "Credit Repair One-Stop" service, enabling businesses to rectify credit issues efficiently, with over 5,500 entities benefiting from this initiative [14][15]. - The city emphasizes a proactive approach to credit repair, providing tailored support to businesses facing credit challenges [15].