Core Viewpoint - The largest green mining project in Hainan has officially commenced operations, with a total investment of 2.78 billion yuan and a designed annual production capacity of 9.9 million tons [2][3]. Investment and Capacity - The project has a total investment of 2.78 billion yuan and a recoverable reserve of 45.78 million cubic meters [2]. - The designed annual production capacity is set at 9.9 million tons, with an operational period of 20 years [2]. Project Collaboration and Structure - The project is a collaboration between Hainan Agricultural Reclamation, Sanya State-owned Assets Management Company, Tianjin Navigation Bureau, and China Electric Power Construction Group [2]. - It is categorized as a key project in Hainan Province and employs an EPC+O model, integrating design, procurement, construction, and operation [2]. Environmental and Operational Standards - The project adheres to principles of "green, intelligent, and standardized" development, featuring a fully enclosed production line to significantly reduce dust and wastewater emissions [2]. - Smart mining equipment is utilized to achieve precise extraction and minimize resource waste, while ecological restoration efforts are simultaneously advanced [2]. Market Impact and Sales - The project aims to provide high-quality and stable-priced sand and gravel aggregates, supporting the high-quality development of Hainan's modern industry [3]. - A product launch event resulted in the signing of sales contracts worth 250 million yuan for sand and gravel aggregates with multiple enterprises [3]. Resource Development Strategy - Hainan Agricultural Reclamation is expanding green mining initiatives across various locations, forming a resource cluster with a total reserve exceeding 180 million cubic meters and an annual production capacity surpassing 28 million tons [3]. - This strategy aims to continuously supply high-quality sand and gravel resources for major infrastructure projects, including port upgrades and road network construction [3].

Group 1 - The Platts iron ore price index has been on a downward trend, with average prices expected to decline from $120 per ton in 2022 and 2023 to $95 per ton by 2025 [2] - The average Platts iron ore price index from January 1 to June 15 this year was $101.36 per ton, with a peak of $109.5 per ton and a low of $94.6 per ton [2] - Futures market saw the main contract for iron ore reach a high of 844 yuan per ton on February 21, followed by a continuous decline [2] Group 2 - Major mining companies are releasing new capacities, but the actual production increase is limited, with Vale and Rio Tinto's combined production for 2024 expected to be 65.565 million tons, only a slight increase from 2023 [3] - In contrast, BHP and FMG's combined production for the 2024 fiscal year is projected to be 45.376 million tons, with a decrease in guidance for 2025 [3] - There is a significant divergence between the planned new capacity and production guidance among these companies, indicating potential supply issues [3] Group 3 - The main reason for the limited production increase is the decline in ore recovery rates, with a combined decline rate of 3.9% for the four major mining companies [4] - The estimated decline in ore recovery for Vale and Rio Tinto by 2025 is approximately 2.576 million tons [4] - Steel production cuts are anticipated, with an estimated reduction of around 30 million tons, but the execution timeline remains uncertain [4] Group 4 - Current steel consumption and high furnace iron output are declining, suggesting that iron ore prices may further decrease in the second half of the year [5] - Despite the anticipated price drop, factors such as remaining profits for high furnaces and the yet-to-be-implemented steel production cuts may limit the downside for prices [5] - The forecast for the Platts iron ore price index for the year is expected to fluctuate between $85 and $110 per ton [5]

Group 1 - The liquidity easing may not be sustainable, with a gradual entry into semi-annual funding assessments starting in late June, leading to weaker fluctuations in on-site liquidity [1][14] - The U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 44.14 points, or 0.10%, while the Nasdaq rose by 0.13% [4] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.8%, with notable declines in major Chinese tech stocks such as JD.com, Baidu, Alibaba, and NetEase [5] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate range at 4.25%-4.50%, aligning with market expectations, while also lowering economic growth forecasts and raising inflation predictions [6] - The Central Financial Committee issued opinions to support the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center, focusing on high-quality development of multi-level equity markets and enhancing the competitiveness of the Shanghai financial center [7] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced that starting from October 9, 2025, qualified foreign investors will be allowed to participate in on-site ETF options trading, aimed at expanding investment opportunities for foreign institutions [9] Group 3 - Yinstar plans to invest 650 million yuan in a rare earth permanent magnet materials integrated application project in Baotou, which will enhance the company's market position in various motor applications [11][12] - Dazhong Mining intends to invest 1 billion yuan in a project to produce 3,000 tons of lithium battery materials annually, aligning with the trends in the new energy industry [13] - Wolong Electric Drive is planning to issue shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy and competitiveness, with specific details yet to be determined [14]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [6] Core Insights - The report highlights a 2% year-on-year increase in alumina production to 1.265 million tons and a 7% increase in electrolytic aluminum production to 298,000 tons in Q1 2025 [1] - The Worsley alumina plant produced 941,000 tons in Q1 2025, a 1.5% increase year-on-year, while Brazilian alumina production reached 324,000 tons, up 3.5% year-on-year [2][3] - The report indicates that the production targets for the fiscal year 2025 remain unchanged across various segments, including alumina and electrolytic aluminum [1][3][4] Production and Sales Summary - Worsley alumina sales were 910,000 tons, a 2% increase year-on-year, while Brazilian alumina sales were 323,000 tons, a 17% increase year-on-year [2][3] - Brazilian electrolytic aluminum production was 36,000 tons, a 38.5% increase year-on-year, while sales were 31,000 tons, a 3% decrease year-on-year [3] - Hillside electrolytic aluminum production decreased by 3.3% year-on-year to 175,000 tons, with sales down 18% year-on-year to 171,000 tons [4][5] - Mozal electrolytic aluminum production increased by 22.5% year-on-year to 87,000 tons, with sales down 18% to 72,000 tons [5][9] Financial Performance - The company reported a net cash increase of $299 million, reaching $252 million, attributed to strong operational performance and the release of working capital [16] - The company received $100 million from a subsidiary of Newmont related to an agreement with Worsley Alumina, which is expected to contribute approximately $94 million in pre-tax earnings for the fiscal year 2025 [16][17] - The company has completed 94% of its $2.5 billion capital management plan, with $158 million expected to be returned to shareholders by September 12, 2025 [18][19] Project Development Updates - The Hermosa project saw an investment of $355 million in growth capital expenditures to advance the Taylor zinc-lead-silver project and Clark battery-grade manganese exploration [20] - The company invested $26 million in greenfield exploration opportunities across multiple countries, including Australia, the U.S., Canada, Argentina, Namibia, and Ireland [21] - An additional $48 million was invested in existing business and development exploration projects, with significant capital allocated to the Hermosa project [22]

| | | | SDIC FUTURES | | 2025年06月18日 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | | | 螺纹 | な女女 | 曹颖 首席分析师 | | 热着 | な女女 | F3003925 Z0012043 | | 铁矿 | ★☆☆ | 何建辉 高级分析师 | | 焦炭 | な女女 | F0242190 Z0000586 | | 焦煤 | ☆☆☆ | | | 證硅 | な女女 | 韩惊 高级分析师 | | 硅铁 | 女女女 | F03086835 Z0016553 | | | | 李啸尘 高级分析师 | | | | F3054140 Z0016022 | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【钢材】 今日盘面继续震荡。 淡季螺纹表需环比下滑，产量同步回落，去库节奏放缓。热卷需求仍有韧性，产量依然偏高，库存继续累 积。铁水产量逐步回落，整体仍处于相对高位，负反馈预期仍反复发酵。从1-5月数据看，基建回暖缺乏持续性，制造业投资增 速继续放缓，地产销售低位徘徊，投资、新开工等指标继续大幅下滑 ...

Group 1: Business Operations - The company has a broad geographical distribution of engineering projects, focusing on key markets in Kazakhstan, Congo (DRC), India, Indonesia, Vietnam, and surrounding countries [2] - In 2024, the company's engineering contracting business revenue reached 16.49 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 43.01% [2] - The company is strategically focusing on overseas engineering markets and resource acquisitions to enhance competitiveness [2] Group 2: Project Highlights - Significant projects include a copper smelting plant in Kazakhstan valued at over 1.4 billion USD and an Indonesian copper smelting project worth 429 million USD [2] - The company has established a strong client base through high-quality project management and execution capabilities [2] Group 3: Rare Earth Business - The company holds a 23.81% stake in Zhongxi Southern Rare Earth (Xinfeng) Co., Ltd., which specializes in rare earth metal smelting and geological exploration [3] - In 2024, the company signed new contracts worth 7.39 billion CNY, further solidifying its market position in Central Asia and Southeast Asia [2] Group 4: Value Management and Future Strategy - The company emphasizes value creation and technology innovation, integrating value management into strategic planning [3] - The group plans to increase its shareholding in the company by approximately 2% in 2025, reflecting confidence in future growth [3] - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness by developing a comprehensive EPC engineering contracting platform and expanding into other precious metal resources [3]

晨报 铁矿石 铁矿石：供需阶段性宽松 矿价短期偏弱运行 整理 投资咨询业务资格： 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 逻辑：昨日黑色系窄幅震荡，铁矿石价格表现相对偏弱，成材端供需双弱的淡季特征明显， 成材库存保持低位去库，后期需关注美国家电关税对板材需求影响。铁矿石供给端保持季节性 增量特征，碳元素不断让利于铁元素，高炉利润并未因价格下跌而出现利润大幅压缩，国内铁 矿石需求持续微幅下滑但保持相对高位。 证监许可【2011】1452 号 负责人：赵 毅 供应方面：本期外矿发运环比小幅增加，澳洲铁矿石发往中国量大幅增加，澳洲发运增加 明显，而巴西发运高位回落，非主流国家发运小幅波动。6 月份是外矿发运旺季，叠加澳洲 BHP、 FMG 矿山财年冲量，预计外矿发运保持平稳回升态势，供给端支撑力度边际减弱。 成 材：武秋婷 需求方面：国内需求高位回落但仍处于高位水平，铁水连续五周回落 ...

| 日期 | 当日涨跌幅（%） | 换手率（%） | 主力资金净流入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.06.17 | -4.54 | 17.65 | -3066.58 | | 2025.06.16 | 9.98 | 24.31 | -2908.46 | | 2025.06.13 | 9.96 | 7.54 | 5719.37 | | 2025.06.12 | -0.36 | 2.76 | -401.05 | | 2025.06.11 | 1.95 | 3.73 | -445.70 | | 2025.06.10 | 0.65 | 2.74 | -614.95 | | 2025.06.09 | 1.13 | 1.56 | 93.43 | | 2025.06.06 | 1.44 | 1.85 | 228.21 | | 2025.06.05 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 8.25 | | 2025.06.04 | 1.96 | 1.52 | -237.06 | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 金瑞矿业再度涨停，4个交易日内录得3个涨停，累计 ...

黑色建材日报 | 2025-06-18 市场情绪一般，钢价震荡运行 钢材：市场情绪一般，钢价震荡运行 市场分析 昨日，螺纹钢期货主力合约收于2981元/吨，热卷主力合约收于3093元/吨。现货方面，昨日全国建材成交一般偏弱， 全国建材成交9.25万吨。 综合来看：螺纹方面，随着建材进入消费淡季，建材产销存持续回落，由于目前市场缺乏投机性需求，淡季弱需 求将持续压制钢材价格；热卷方面，目前板材利润优于建材，产销表现出较强韧性，市场担忧后期抢出口情绪退 坡后影响板材消费，虽然出口略有下滑，但是短期仍保持高位。整体来看，钢材目前供需矛盾不大，后期关注中 美关税谈判和内需刺激政策。 策略 单边：震荡 跨期：无 跨品种：无 期现：无 期权：无 风险 宏观政策、关税政策、成材需求情况、钢材出口、钢厂利润、成本支撑等。 铁矿：消费进入淡季，矿价震荡运行 市场分析 期现货方面：昨日铁矿石期货价格震荡运行。现货方面，进口铁矿主流品种价格小幅下跌，贸易商报价积极性一 般，报价多随行就市，市场交投情绪一般，钢厂采购多以按需补库为主。昨日全国主港铁矿累计成交99.6万吨，环 比上涨2.36%；远期现货累计成交147.0万吨，环比上涨 ...

投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可[2015]84 号 商品日报 20250618 联系人 李婷、黄蕾、高慧、王工建、赵凯熙 电子邮箱 jytzzx@jyqh.com.cn 电话 021-68555105 主要品种观点 宏观：海外聚焦今晚 FOMC，国内债市博弈央行购债 海外方面，美国 5 月零售销售环比录得-0.9%，弱于预期并创下两年最大跌幅，主要汽 车、加油站、杂货和建材类拖累，表明此前关税预期引发的提前消费热潮消退，关注薪资对 消费的支撑力度。以伊战争进入第五天，特朗普敦促伊朗"无条件投降"、警告美国"耐心 将尽"，市场风险偏好遭受打击，美股下挫，美元指数回升至 98.8，10Y 美债利率回落至 4.37%，金价窄幅波动走平，油价涨超 4%，铜价小幅收跌。GDPNow 最新预测显示，美国 二季度 GDP 环比折年率或达 3.5%，显示经济在关税扰动下仍具韧性，关注今晚 FOMC 会 议的经济预测摘要（SEP）及利率点阵图。 国内方面，A 股震荡收低，两市成交额维持在 1.2 万亿上，红利风格相对抗跌，科创 50、 微盘股、北证 50 跌幅较大，稳定币、能源、海运等板块领涨，在内生修复动能偏弱、短期 宽松政策 ...