格隆汇2月3日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年1月28日，洛阳钼业(03993.HK)获JPMorgan Chase & Co.以每股均价23.8255港元增持好仓806.06万 股，涉资约1.92亿港元。 | 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的日期相 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 股份數目 | 三大 | | | (請參閱 | 有投票權股(日/月/年) 精 | | | | | | | 出 | 份自分比 | | . CS20260202E00380 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1101(L) | 8,060,604(L) | HKD 23.8255 | 279.500.219(L) | 7.10(L)28/01/2026 | | | | | | | 68.109.744(S) | 1.73(S) | | | | | | | 126.957.814(P) | 3.22(P) | 增持后，JP ...

| | | | Millio | E No in the | 黑色金属日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2026年02月03日 | | 螺纹 | ☆☆☆ | 曹颖 首席分析师 | | 热着 | な女女 | F3003925 Z0012043 | | 铁矿 | ☆☆☆ | 何建辉 高级分析师 | | 焦炭 | ★☆☆ | F0242190 Z0000586 | | 焦煤 | ★☆★ | | | 證硅 | ★★☆ | 韩惊 高级分析师 | | 硅铁 | ★★☆ | F03086835 Z0016553 | | | | 李啸尘 高级分析师 | | | | F3054140 Z0016022 | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【钢材】 今日盘面弱势震荡。淡季螺纹表需环比下滑，产量短期趋稳，库存继续累积。热卷需求、产量均小幅上升，库存继续下降，压 力逐步缓解。钢厂利润欠佳、下游承接能力不足，高炉复产放缓，铁水产量趋稳。从下游行业看，地产投资降幅继续扩大，基 建、制造业投资增速持续回落，1月PMI回 ...

供需宽松，盘面震荡整理 铁矿石周报 20260203 博士后工作站 | 宏观研究 | 大宗商品 周贵升 从业资格证：F3036194 投资咨询证：Z0015986 交易逻辑：供需宽松，盘面震荡整理 供应：外矿方面，1月26日-2月1日，全球铁矿石发运总量3094.6万吨，环比增加116.2万吨；澳洲发运量1820.4万吨，环比减 少17万吨；巴西发运量692.2万吨，环比增加147.4万吨，非主流矿发运量1063.4万吨，环比增加44.5万吨。中国45港到港总量 2484.7万吨，环比减少45.3万吨。内矿方面，截至1月30日，全国186家矿山铁精粉日均产量46.87万吨，环比降0.08万吨，产能 利用率59.98%，环比降0.11%；矿山精粉库存87.25万吨，环比降1.65万吨。 需求：1月30日当周，日均铁水产量227.98万吨，环比-0.12万吨。终端需求淡季，利润压缩叠加环保限产，钢厂提产意愿不足， 铁水产量持稳，补库支撑相对趋弱。 库存：本期进口矿库存持续回升，在港船舶数量减少12艘至106艘。本期压港明显下降，到港量小幅回落仍维持高位，疏港量 止跌回升，港口库存持续累积，对矿价上方空间有所压制， ...

Group 1 - The core concept of the article emphasizes the dual drive of AI and policy in the development of the intelligent mining industry, which is projected to be a trillion-dollar market opportunity [1][2] - Intelligent mining is defined as a comprehensive system that integrates IoT, cloud computing, big data, AI, and smart equipment to achieve safe, efficient, green, and economical resource extraction [1][2] - The industry has been elevated to a national strategy since the 14th Five-Year Plan, with policies focusing on mandatory timelines and standards for intelligent construction, particularly in coal mining [2][5] Group 2 - The technological framework of intelligent mining features a "cloud-edge-end" collaboration, where sensors and smart equipment are deployed at the mining site for real-time data processing and decision-making [3][25] - Current technology is at a stage of "intermediate breakthroughs and dual-end development," with communication and data collection being relatively mature, while AI applications are still in exploratory phases [4][26] - The industry is driven by strong regulatory pressures, economic efficiency demands, technological advancements, and long-term structural changes in society [27][28][30][31] Group 3 - Future trends indicate that the integration of AI large models and digital twins will become central to mining operations, enhancing decision-making and operational efficiency [9][31] - The shift towards fully automated operations is expected to expand from localized applications to systemic implementations, with significant advancements in autonomous transportation and remote-controlled operations [10][32] - The industry is moving towards service-oriented and green transformations, with business models evolving from one-time product sales to ongoing service offerings [11][33][34] Group 4 - The barriers to entry in the intelligent mining sector include technological, financial, and regulatory challenges, which must be navigated for successful market participation [35][36] - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the intelligent mining industry, including market size, supply-demand dynamics, and competitive landscape, highlighting key players and their strategies [38][39]

值得注意的是，由于该案裁决博源化工与上海证大承担连带责任，而此次是由博源化工先行履行全部支 付义务。公司表示，后续将依据相关法律法规，择机向上海证大启动相应追偿程序，但具体可追偿金额 尚存在不确定性。仲裁始末：源于蒙大矿业探矿权转让合同纠纷 2024年2月23日晚间，博源化工（当时证券简称为远兴能源）发布公告称，公司近日收到中国国际经济 贸易仲裁委员会的仲裁通知书，中煤能源因一笔历史遗留的矿权价款问题，向博源化工及另一家公司提 起仲裁，索赔金额合计高达23.31亿元。 一桩持续近两年的重大仲裁案迎来最终解决方案。 2月4日，博源化工（000683.SZ）发布公告称，公司于2月2日召开董事会会议，审议通过了《关于签订 <和解协议> 的议案》，将与 中国中煤能源股份有限公司（以下简称中煤能源）和乌审旗蒙大 矿业有限 责任公司（以下简称蒙大矿业）签订和解协议，以解决一宗涉及金额高达18.89亿元的仲裁裁决执行问 题。 和解达成，以分红代替支付 该仲裁案源于2024年2月。当时，中煤能源因蒙大矿业增资扩股协议纠纷提起仲裁。2025年12月，中国 国际经济贸易仲裁委员会作出裁决，要求博源化工及上海证大投资发展股份有限公 ...

从上周三开始，印尼股市出现极端剧烈波动，市场恐慌情绪集中释放，发生史诗级股灾惨案。 雅加达综合指数（JKSE）在1月28日至29日累计跌幅逼近16%，市场总市值累计蒸发超800亿美元，创下1998年亚洲金融危机以来的最大两日跌幅，引发 全球金融市场关注。 市场调整态势并未即时缓解，昨天，受全球"黑色星期一"影响，雅加达综合指数再度下挫近5%，收报7922点，市场呈现普跌格局。当日下跌个股达715 只，上涨个股仅65只，各行业板块全面承压。其中，基础材料板块跌幅达11.19%，能源板块与可选消费板块跌幅均接近8%，权重板块的大幅调整进一步 拖累指数表现。 此次股灾不仅引发市场剧烈波动，更导致印尼金融监管高层出现密集人事变动。印尼证券交易所（IDX）首席执行官伊曼・拉赫曼（Iman Rachman）和印 尼金融服务管理局（OJK）主席马亨德拉・西雷加尔（Mahendra Siregar）先后宣布引咎辞职，印尼金融监管体系面临阶段性调整。 作为东南亚最大经济体，印尼是全球新兴市场的重要组成部分，亦是金砖合作机制的核心成员之一。此次股灾不仅对印尼国内金融体系稳定性构成冲击， 更引发国际投资者对新兴市场投资价值与抗风险 ...

证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 3 日 [Table_Title] MIN 2025Q4 锂精矿权益产量环比增长 1%至 13.8 万吨，权益锂精矿出货量环比增长 1%至 14.3 万吨 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ►锂矿 1）整体 本季度两处运营基地的锂辉石折 SC6 的总产量为 13.8 万 吨（16.6 万吨混合品位），折 SC6 的销量为 14.3 万吨（17.3 万吨混合品位）。 两处矿区本季度加权平均实际售价为 1094 美元/吨 （CIF，SC6），环比增长 29%。 MinRes 正在评估 Bald Hill 重启的各种方案和当前市场 状况，该设施于 2024 年 11 月进入维护保养状态。 2）MT MARION（100%基础） 2025Q4，由于 C3 矿坑最后平台开采期间天气潮湿，以及 N4 矿坑开工初期需要额外排水，导致矿石开采量减少，进料 总运输量环比下降 19%。N9 矿区仍然是主要开采矿石来源。 2026 财年矿石产量预期已上调至 19 万至 21 万吨（此前预 期为 ...

Group 1 - Strong sectors today include non-ferrous metals, energy chemicals (some varieties), and shipping sectors [3][16] - Weakest sectors are black metals (iron ore) and agricultural products (live pigs) [3][16] - Core long positions are in copper, PVC, and alumina, while core short positions are in live pigs and iron ore [3][16] Group 2 - The global situation shows a sharp reversal in Federal Reserve policy expectations, with Trump's nomination of Waller as Fed Chair causing market turbulence [3][16] - The core advocacy of "rate cuts + aggressive balance sheet reduction" strengthens the dollar, leading to significant market differentiation [3][16] - The market has shifted from being "financially driven" to "fundamentally priced," with increased volatility and a failure of single trend logic [3][16] Group 3 - Domestic recovery and production pace exceed expectations, supporting demand for industrial metals and some energy chemicals [3][16] - High inventory levels in black metals and persistent overcapacity in agricultural products create a foundation for long-short hedging strategies [3][16] Group 4 - Long strategy for PVC includes a low-entry position with a maximum of 6% of total equity, targeting a price range of 4780-4820 points [5][18] - Long strategy for copper involves a strong bullish stance with a maximum of 10% of total equity, targeting a price range of 101000-101800 points [6][19] - Long strategy for alumina suggests a left-side layout with a maximum of 5% of total equity, targeting a price range of 2580-2600 points [7][20] Group 5 - Short strategy for live pigs involves a rebound short with a maximum of 7% of total equity, targeting a price range of 11200-11250 points [8][21] - Short strategy for iron ore suggests a high short position with a maximum of 8% of total equity, targeting a price range of 785-790 points [9][22] Group 6 - The effectiveness of strategies shows a precise match with fundamentals, focusing on "supply-demand gaps + demand recovery" for long positions and "high inventory + supply increase" for short positions [10][23] - The overall position balance is reasonable, with long positions at 21% and short positions at 15%, allowing for hedging space [10][23] Group 7 - Macro variables such as the progress of Waller's nomination, domestic recovery data, and overseas manufacturing recovery will influence long-short logic [12][25] - Potential opportunities for long positions include lithium carbonate and European shipping line pullback, while short positions should be cautious of supply contractions in coking coal and coke [12][25]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：金十数据 瑞银全球股票策略团队近期发布了一份清单，列出了10个挑战市场共识的观点，并指出核心预测可能在 哪些方面偏离轨道。 在2025年，市场的共识被证明在"美国例外论"、中国股票、美元表现，以及人工智能（AI）对软件等行 业的颠覆性影响上表现得"非常错误"。现在，该团队概述了今年可能颠覆投资者预期的10个新情景—— 从潜在的市场泡沫到主权债务危机。 意外1：市场先暴涨后暴跌 虽然瑞银的核心观点是将年底的MSCI AC世界指数目标定在1130点，但该行警告称，形成泡沫的全部7 个先决条件现在都已经具备。 根据瑞银的报告，生成式AI的迅速普及已将季度年化生产率增长推高至4.9%。如果生产率从2028年起 增长2%，标普500指数的公允价值可能达到8600点。 然而，最终的崩溃可能由科技过度投资、财政担忧导致的债券收益率飙升，或移民减少导致的美国工资 增长加速触发。 意外2：主权债务危机与债券收益率再创新高 瑞银预计，到年底美国10年期国债收益率将处于4%的水平，但在意外情景中，收益率可能超过上一个 周期5.04%的高点。 报告指出， ...

Market Overview - The market has experienced increased volatility this week, with sectors such as liquor and food and beverage showing signs of rebound from low levels. The net inflow of 180 million yuan into the CSI Dividend ETF (515080) indicates a potential increase in market risk aversion [1] - As of the latest data, the CSI Dividend ETF (515080) has risen by 0.39% during the trading session, with several constituent stocks, including Zoomlion Heavy Industry and Conch Cement, seeing gains of over 3% [1] Dividend Strategy Insights - The latest dividend yield for the CSI Dividend Index is 5.02%, significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield of 1.82%, highlighting the relative attractiveness of high dividend investments [2] - According to Guotai Junan Securities, the dividend strategy has underperformed the market due to a shift in investor focus towards growth sectors, particularly in AI-related industries. This trend is expected to continue into 2026, where dividend strategies will still serve as a stabilizing component in investment portfolios [3][21] Investment Recommendations - Long-term investment in high-dividend stocks is recommended, particularly those with a strong history of dividend payments and solid cash flow. The CSI Dividend ETF (515080) has outperformed its benchmark index by 71.28% since its inception, making it a viable option for investors seeking stable returns [5] - The focus of dividend investment should shift from merely seeking high dividend yields to ensuring sustainable dividend-paying capabilities, as this is crucial for long-term value [24] Performance Metrics - The CSI Dividend Index has shown a 40-day return difference of -7.04% compared to the Wind All A Index, indicating a recent recovery but still underperforming relative to the broader market [1][13] - Historical performance data shows that the CSI Dividend Index has delivered returns of 5.60% over the past year and 66.14% over the past decade, while the CSI Dividend Total Return Index has achieved 159.95% over the same period [8]