证券研究报告 大炼化周报：长丝价格增加，产销明显上升 能源化工首席证券分析师：陈淑娴，CFA 执业证书编号：S0600523020004 联系方式：chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理：周少玟 执业证书编号：S0600123070007 联系方式：zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2 2025年6月29日 ◼ 【国内外重点炼化项目价差跟踪】国内重点大炼化项目本周价差为2673元/吨，环比+377元/吨（环比+16%）； 国外重点大炼化项目本周价差为1241元/吨，环比+258元/吨（环比+26%）。 ◼ 【聚酯板块】本周POY/FDY/DTY行业均价分别为7193/7496/8446元/吨，环比分别+146/+179/+186元/吨， POY/FDY/DTY行业周均利润为74/10/44元/吨，环比分别+88/+109/+114元/吨，POY/FDY/DTY行业库存为 17.2/18.9/25.3天，环比分别+0.9/-0.9/-0.3天，长丝开工率为90.6%，环比+0.3pct。下游方面，本周织机开工率 为59.0%，环比-1.7pct，织造企业原料库存为11.4天，环比+0.2天 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Shandong Port Crude Oil Tank Capacity Digital Trading Platform" developed by Qingdao International Energy Exchange Center has been recognized as a "Digital Financial Typical Product" in the recently announced 2025 "Good Financial Products" list, highlighting the importance of digital transformation in the energy sector [1] Group 1: Digital Transformation in Energy - The Shandong Provincial Government is advancing the construction of a unified national energy market system and exploring new paths for digital transformation in the energy sector [1] - The platform addresses industry pain points such as low digital management levels, inefficient resource allocation, and lack of pricing mechanisms in traditional crude oil tank leasing models [1] Group 2: Benefits of the "Easy Tank Capacity" Service - A leading refinery, referred to as Refinery A, imports nearly 800,000 tons of raw materials monthly through Shandong Port, making tank capacity a critical resource for stable raw material imports [2] - The "Easy Tank Capacity" service allows Refinery A to secure tank capacity online with a deposit, significantly reducing the time and cost associated with traditional offline leasing methods [2] - The service has enabled Refinery A to minimize ship waiting times and save nearly 1 million RMB in demurrage costs [2] Group 3: Achievements of Qingdao International Energy Exchange Center - The center has launched the world's first crude oil tank capacity digital trading product and established a cross-border payment system for the province [3] - It has served over 600 industry clients, with a market capacity of 34.88 million cubic meters and a transaction volume exceeding 340 billion RMB [3] - The platform contributes to the stability of the energy supply chain and promotes the digital transformation of finance, providing a replicable "Shandong Port Solution" [3]

Core Insights - The company has developed over 10 chemical products in the first five months of the year, with a high-end chemical product rate exceeding 70% [1][3] - The company has implemented 47 energy-saving measures, resulting in a cost reduction of over 1 billion yuan [6][7] - The company focuses on technological innovation to enhance quality and efficiency, integrating new product development and digital transformation [2][5] Energy Efficiency and Production Optimization - The company has optimized processes to reduce logistics inefficiencies and improve energy utilization, leading to increased production of ethylene and propylene [1][3] - Adjustments in operational modes have resulted in significant increases in production efficiency, such as a 0.43-ton increase in ethylene processing load per hour [4][6] Technological Innovation and Product Development - The company has successfully produced a new polyethylene product using domestic catalysts, enhancing market competitiveness [2] - The company has developed 14 types of metallocene polyethylene products since 2015, becoming a leader in this segment in China [2] Cost Control and Financial Performance - The company has established a comprehensive cost control system, achieving significant savings through optimized operational practices [6][7] - The company has ranked first in profitability and new material output among its peers in the refining sector as of May [5] Digital Transformation and Smart Management - The company has implemented a smart management system that allows for real-time production adjustments, significantly improving operational efficiency [5] - The introduction of intelligent inspection robots has enhanced maintenance quality and operational stability [5]

证券研究报告 2025 年 06 月 24 日 湘财证券研究所 策略研究 策略月报 预期 7 月市场继续震荡上行，红利、科技或是主力 ——2025 年 7 月 A 股策略 核心要点： 相关研究： 2025 年以来 A 股主要指数宽幅震荡，万得全 A 略强 行，看好红利和下游方向》 究-预期5月政策面转强，关注红利 和消费》 2025.04.23 利、消费和科技共振》 2025.05.25 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼 基本面，7 月份将公布上半年经济数据，但预期难有惊喜。据 Wind 数据， 工业增加值 5 月累计同比维持在 6%之上，工业企业利润总额同比转正，但 绝对值不大，预期工业企业利润总额同比上半年将继续保持在 0 轴附近，波 动幅度不大。 综合而言，7 月份处于中美贸易冲突缓和、国内宏观政策有望加码、而上市 公司业绩披露空窗期等因素共振状态，但预期会受海外美元降息推迟、中东 冲突升级等因素影响，市场大概率保持小幅震荡上行态势。 投资建议 长维度来看，目前 A 股市场处于新"国九条"行情+类"四万亿"投资的重 叠趋势中，在稳住股市的政策指导下，2025 年 A 股市场大概率 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, with a price forecast of $66 per barrel for 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The report indicates a trend towards a looser supply-demand balance for crude oil in 2025, with the EIA projecting a global oil supply surplus of approximately 820,000 barrels per day this year [4][19]. - The report highlights that the upstream sector is showing signs of recovery, with drilling day rates expected to increase as global capital expenditures rise [4][21]. - The refining sector is experiencing improved profitability due to rising product price spreads, although current levels remain low [4][21]. - The polyester sector is underperforming, with PTA and polyester filament profits declining, but a gradual improvement is anticipated as new capacities come online [4][21]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil futures closed at $77.01 per barrel, a 3.75% increase week-on-week, while WTI futures rose by 1.18% to $73.84 per barrel [4][25]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased to 421 million barrels, down 11.47 million barrels from the previous week, marking a 10% decline compared to the same period last year [4][27]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products increased to $11.58 per barrel, up $6.18 from the previous week [4]. - The report notes that while refining product spreads have improved, they remain at low levels, with expectations for gradual enhancement as economic recovery progresses [4][21]. Polyester Sector - The report states that PTA prices have turned from decline to increase, with the average price in East China reaching 5,084 RMB per ton, a 4.69% increase week-on-week [4]. - The overall performance of the polyester industry is described as average, with a need to monitor demand changes closely [4][21]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Sinopec, as well as upstream service companies like CNOOC Services and Haiyou Engineering [4][21][22]. - It also suggests that the polyester sector may see long-term improvements, advocating for investments in leading companies like Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials [4][21][22].

证券研究报告 大炼化周报：长丝价格回暖，产销明显下降 能源化工首席证券分析师：陈淑娴，CFA 执业证书编号：S0600523020004 联系方式：chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理：周少玟 执业证书编号：S0600123070007 联系方式：zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年6月22日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 2 ◼ 【国内外重点炼化项目价差跟踪】国内重点大炼化项目本周价差为2295元/吨，环比-135元/吨（环比-6%）；国外 重点大炼化项目本周价差为983元/吨，环比+14元/吨（环比+1%）。 ◼ 【 聚酯板块 】本周POY/FDY/DTY行业均价分别为7079/7357/8300元/吨，环比分别+193/+168/+161元/吨， POY/FDY/DTY行业周均利润为8/-73/-44元/吨，环比分别-34/-51/-56元/吨，POY/FDY/DTY行业库存为 16.3/19.8/25.6天，环比分别-1.6/-1.9/-2.9天，长丝开工率为90.3%，环比+0.6pct。下游方面，本周织机开工率 为60.7%，环比-0.4pct，织造企 ...

Core Insights - Daqing Petrochemical has achieved the highest score in the 2024 procurement performance assessment by China National Petroleum Corporation, leading among 34 units in the refining and chemical materials sector, indicating a significant improvement in material supply management and supporting high-quality development [1] Group 1: Procurement Management - The company has implemented a performance assessment system that emphasizes meticulous management, focusing on five core indicators: centralized procurement rate, online procurement rate, procurement cost savings rate, catalog procurement rate, and direct manufacturer procurement rate [1] - Daqing Petrochemical aims to enhance procurement management through systematic optimization and benchmarking against industry leaders, ensuring a comprehensive upgrade in management practices [1] Group 2: Cost Reduction Strategies - A full-chain service system has been established for secondary material centralized procurement, which includes demand forecasting, resource integration, and bulk purchasing, allowing the company to leverage its purchasing power for better price negotiations [1] - The company has adopted a dynamic pricing management mechanism to track market variables and develop differentiated procurement strategies, effectively reducing procurement costs [2] Group 3: Supplier Management - Daqing Petrochemical is focused on optimizing the direct procurement ecosystem by enhancing supplier resource structure and implementing a dynamic management and multi-dimensional evaluation system for suppliers [2] - The company aims to significantly reduce intermediary trade links and shorten supply chains, achieving goals of "safe, timely, and economical" material supply through core manufacturer partnerships [2]

在37年的职业生涯中，中国石化信息化资深专家马明始终践行科技创新驱动发展理念，专注炼化工程领 域数字化技术研发与创新实践。他牵头编制的《石油化工工程数字化交付执行细则》被批准为国家标 准，带领团队成功实施50余个数字化交付项目，实现了从技术研发、工程设计到项目交付、数据治理的 全链条数智化转型。他还曾任中石化宁波工程有限公司信息化管理部总经理、数字技术分公司总经理， 获浙江省百佳企业科技工作者、中国石化信息工作先进个人等荣誉称号。 智能设计的筑基者 2003年，马明开始担任宁波工程公司信息化管理部负责人，创造性提出集成化设计是当前数字化转型关 键支撑的理念。"传统设计模式如同单兵作战，难以确保专业间数据一致性；而集成化设计则好比大兵 团协同作战，需要多专业配合才能实现共赢。"马明同志形象地阐释这一理念。 面对工程建设领域数字化技术不成熟、先行探索可能面临质疑等困难，马明不惧艰险，毅然带领团队投 入设计集成系统研发工作。经过7年持续攻关，2016年，他成功研发出设计集成系统(DIS)，实现了1000 余个专业设计文档的标准化整合，促进了专业间数据共享，大幅提升了跨专业协同效率。后来，该系统 荣获中国石化优秀工程 ...

油气和炼化及贸易板块 2024 和 2025Q1 综 述：油气板块仍将保持较高景气度，炼化 及贸易板块业绩承压期待改善 2025 年 6 月 19 日 看好/维持 石油石化 行业报告 分析师 莫文娟 电话：010-66555574 邮箱：mowj@dxzq.net.cn 执业证书编号：S1480524070001 投资摘要： 2024 年海外通胀有所减缓，国内经济有所修复，从而间接支撑大宗商品需求。2024 年以来，美国 CPI 同 比上涨幅度逐步下降，截至年底低于 3%。2025 年第一季度美国通胀压力继续减缓，始终维持在 3%以下， 2024 年国内制造业 PMI 为 49.78，2025 年 1 月至 4 月，国内制造业 PMI 分别为 49.1，50.2，50.5，49.0， 围绕荣枯线 50 上下波动，有助于缓解估值压力并稳定市场预期，从而间接支撑大宗商品（如原油）需求。 2024 年油价宽幅震荡，同比下降；2025 年一季度，Brent 现货均价环比上涨。2024 年 1-12 月，Brent 原油现货均价整体价格在 69.19-91.17 美元/桶宽幅震荡，全年来看油价中枢小幅下跌，月度均价为 ...

Group 1 - Valero Energy Corp's stock has gained nearly 40% since April, leading analysts to anticipate profit-taking due to overbought conditions [1] - The stock has faced resistance at the $142.50 level, which has historically led to sell-offs when reached [2][3] - Previous instances of reaching this resistance level resulted in traders placing sell orders, creating a pattern of selling pressure [4] Group 2 - The current overbought conditions at the resistance level suggest that a sell-off may occur soon, as traders anticipate a reversal [5]