智通财经APP获悉，2025年12月10日，全球权威碳排放评级机构——全球环境信息研究中心(CDP)公布了全球企业最新一期评级结 果。现代牧业(01117)凭借在温室气体减排、水资源及森林保护三大核心领域的卓越实践，三度荣获CDP管理级别评级，充分彰显了公 司作为全球牧业领军者，以卓越ESG治理能力践行可持续发展战略的坚定决心与标杆担当。 全球非营利性环境组织CDP自2000年成立以来，通过问卷推动温室气体、用水和森林等环境信息披露，并已将 ISSB 的气候相关披露 标准纳入其系统。截至2025年，CDP已汇聚全球超过640家资本市场签署方，其代表资产规模约127万亿美元。近2.5万家、覆盖全球 总市值三分之二的企业通过CDP平台披露环境影响数据，印证了CDP在全球环境信息披露领域的标杆地位与权威影响。 CDP评级体系以严谨性著称，采用从D-(披露级别)至 A(领导力级别)的评分体系，全面衡量企业在环境治理方面的成熟度与行动力。 在本次评级中，现代牧业在气候变化、水安全、森林风险三大关键维度继续保持"B"评级(管理级别)。这一成果不仅体现了公司在可 持续发展领域的深厚积淀与扎实成果，也进一步巩固了其在全球牧业 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a neutral investment rating for the agricultural sector, with expectations of limited price fluctuations in the near term [2][13]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector is currently experiencing a mixed performance, with the agricultural index underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [2][13]. - The pig farming industry is facing a downward price trend, with the average pig price at 11.48 yuan/kg, indicating a continued loss across the sector [21][22]. - Poultry farming shows signs of stabilization, with white feather chicken prices at 7.33 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase, while yellow feather chicken prices are improving due to better demand [28][31]. - The beef market is expected to see price increases as it enters the consumption peak season, with live cattle prices at 26.68 yuan/kg [33]. - The planting sector is experiencing tight supply conditions, with corn prices rising to 2238.57 yuan/ton, indicating potential for price increases if crop yields decline [37][38]. - Feed prices are stabilizing, with pig feed prices at 3.32 yuan/kg, while aquatic product prices are showing upward trends [51][55]. Summary by Sections 1. Swine Farming - The average weight of pigs at market is 129.63 kg, with prices expected to continue declining due to excess supply and ongoing losses in the industry [22][21]. - The report suggests focusing on low-cost, high-quality enterprises such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [22][24]. 2. Poultry Farming - The white feather chicken market is under pressure, but yellow feather chicken prices are improving due to better demand and reduced supply [28][31]. - The overall profitability in poultry farming is expected to improve if consumer demand recovers [28][31]. 3. Livestock - The beef market is anticipated to rise as it enters the peak consumption season, with live cattle prices showing a year-on-year increase [33]. - The dairy sector is experiencing a reduction in stock, with raw milk prices expected to stabilize in the coming year [33]. 4. Planting Chain - Corn prices are on the rise, with a current price of 2238.57 yuan/ton, indicating a tightening supply situation [37][38]. - The planting sector is expected to improve if there are significant reductions in crop yields due to adverse weather conditions [37][38]. 5. Feed & Aquatic Products - Feed prices are stabilizing, with pig feed prices at 3.32 yuan/kg, while aquatic product prices are showing positive trends [51][55]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring price movements in the feed and aquatic sectors for investment opportunities [51][55].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector, particularly focusing on livestock and feed companies [7]. Core Insights - The USDA's December supply and demand report indicates a tightening supply-demand balance for corn, with prices expected to maintain a moderate upward trend [15][18]. - For soybeans, the report suggests a recovery in U.S. imports, which is likely to support price recovery [33][35]. - The beef market is projected to see a price increase in 2026, driven by reduced production and strong domestic demand [3][6]. - The dairy sector is expected to experience a price reversal due to a combination of reduced supply and increased demand for both meat and milk [4][6]. - The pork market is anticipated to face a decline in prices in the latter half of 2026, despite a positive outlook for the first half [6][7]. Summary by Sections Corn - The USDA report predicts a reduction in global corn production by 3.27 million tons, leading to a decrease in global ending stocks and a tightening supply-demand ratio [15][16]. - Domestic corn prices are currently at a historical low, with expectations for a gradual recovery supported by low trader inventories [18][19]. Soybeans - The global soybean ending stocks are expected to increase slightly, with a projected rise in U.S. imports and a positive outlook for domestic soybean meal prices [33][35]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring U.S.-China trade relations and South American weather conditions for future price movements [38]. Wheat - The global wheat supply remains ample, with an increase in production forecasts from major exporting countries, leading to a slight rise in the global ending stocks ratio [2][45]. - Domestic wheat prices are expected to stabilize, influenced by the overall supply situation and potential government storage interventions [48][52]. Beef - The USDA forecasts a decrease in U.S. beef production, with prices expected to rise due to strong domestic demand and reduced imports [3][6]. - The report anticipates a turning point in the domestic beef cycle by 2025, with prices likely to trend upwards [3][6]. Dairy - The report indicates a potential reversal in the dairy market, driven by reduced cow inventories and a tightening supply-demand balance [4][6]. - Domestic raw milk prices are expected to rise as a result of these factors [4][6]. Pork - The U.S. pork market is projected to see a decline in prices in the latter half of 2026, despite a positive outlook for the first half of the year [6][7]. - Domestic breeding sow inventories are stabilizing, which may help support industry profitability [6][7]. Poultry - The U.S. poultry market is expected to recover, with increased production and consumption anticipated as avian influenza impacts diminish [6][7]. - Domestic chicken supply is projected to stabilize, with a focus on internal demand recovery [6][7].

Group 1: Food and Beverage Industry - The report emphasizes prioritizing growth while focusing on undervalued traditional consumer leaders with strong long-term growth certainty, particularly in the soft drink sector, where companies like Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Beverage show increased valuation attractiveness [1][4] - Recommendations include growth-oriented and stable targets in the liquor sector, such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai, alongside structural high-growth beverage companies like Dongpeng Beverage and Nongfu Spring [2] - The snack and food raw material sectors are highlighted for growth opportunities, with companies like Bailing Chuangyuan and Three Squirrels recommended for investment [2] Group 2: Strategy and Market Trends - The AI industry continues to show high prosperity, with demand for high-end storage devices like DRAM DDR4 increasing, driven by ongoing AI infrastructure investments [5][7] - Service consumption has seen a significant year-on-year increase, with notable improvements in tourism and entertainment sectors, indicating a shift towards light consumption types [6] - The real estate and durable goods sectors are experiencing a marginal decline in prosperity, with industrial metal prices rising significantly due to global supply dynamics [5][6] Group 3: Biopharmaceuticals - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kefu Medical, highlighting a strong revenue growth of 30.72% in Q3 2025, with a focus on improving operational efficiency in its hearing aid business [9][10]

关于全资子公司破产清算的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、国太牧业破产清算情况概述 证券代码：600129 证券简称：太极集团 公告编号：2025-088 重庆太极实业（集团）股份有限公司 由于国太牧业已停业，本次破产清算不会对公司持续经营产生重大影响。 本次指定管理人接管后，公司将丧失对国太牧业的控制权，其将不再纳入公司合并财务报表范围。本次 破产清算事项对公司本年度损益的影响最终以审计机构年度审计结果为准。 公司将持续关注该事项的后续进展情况，及时履行披露义务。敬请广大投资者谨慎决策，注意投资风 险。 四、备查文件 内蒙古自治区阿鲁科尔沁旗人民法院《决定书》（（2025）内0421破1号）。 重庆太极实业（集团）股份有限公司 重庆太极实业（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称：公司）于2025年10月23日召开第十届董事会第三十二 次会议，审议通过《关于全资子公司拟申请破产清算的议案》。由于市场竞争及外部环境变化等因素， 公司全资子公司内蒙古阿鲁科尔沁旗国太牧业有限公司（以下简称：国太牧业）经营业绩持续 ...

统筹：刘佩 汪伟 记者：杜笑微、张子琪 配音：胡函博 摄制：卡着本、赛伟 塔拉滩，蒙古语意为"荒滩"，这里风沙肆虐、草木难生。当地政府将目光锁定这片不毛之地——高 海拔、长日照的特质，2012年，一排排光伏板在戈壁扎根，未曾想，意外之景也随之出现。光伏电站的 大面积建设挡住了一些风沙，地表的蒸发量进一步减少，导致了草长得越来越旺盛。 正当众人一筹莫展时，羊群竟把杂草吃得干干净净，比人工清理更彻底，这一幕瞬间点醒众人：与 其雇人除草，不如请"羊师傅"出山。2015年，园区开放免费放牧，这群穿梭于光伏板间的羊，也有了个 新名号："光伏羊"。 短短几年间，海南州已在光伏园区建成32个光伏生态牧场和56个集中放牧点，塔拉滩的光伏羊从 600只增至2万余只。 从"风吹石头跑"到"风吹草低见牛羊"，塔拉滩"光伏+生态+牧业"模式，为多地发展提供新路径，为 荒漠化治理与清洁能源发展破题。 塔拉滩光伏产业园区位于青海省海南藏族自治州共和县境内，通过"牧光互补"等新发展模式，实现 荒漠化和沙化土地面积"双减少"，植被覆盖度三年间达到80%，风速降低50%。 新华社音视频部制作 【纠错】 【责任编辑:刘阳】 ...

Macro and Strategy - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is facing a personnel change that will influence future policy direction and independence boundaries, with a key focus on the upcoming 2026 board member replacements [7][8] - The current structure of the FOMC, with a mix of "core dependent" and "institutional defense" members, will determine the continuation of its independence, with potential shifts in policy power dynamics anticipated [8] - The report predicts that the Federal Reserve is likely to enter a phase of "political rate cuts," with increased uncertainty in decision-making frameworks [9] Industry and Company Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The investment strategy for December 2025 highlights an expected reversal in the livestock cycle, recommending key stocks in the dairy farming sector such as Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming [13] - The report emphasizes the potential for a rebound in meat and milk prices, driven by a synchronized recovery in the livestock sector, with leading companies expected to experience significant earnings recovery [13][14] - Recommendations include leading companies in various segments: livestock (Yuran Agriculture, Modern Farming), pork (Hua Tong, De Kang), and pet food (Guaibao Pet) [15][17] Food and Beverage - The food and beverage sector has seen a decline of 1.80% recently, with A-share food and beverage indices underperforming the broader market [18][19] - The report identifies a divergence in performance across categories, with alcoholic beverages facing supply-demand imbalances, while dairy products are expected to see gradual recovery [19][20] - Investment recommendations focus on high-potential companies in the beverage sector, such as Nongfu Spring and East Peak Beverage, as well as premium liquor brands like Luzhou Laojiao and Moutai [19][20] Real Estate - The real estate market is experiencing significant pressure, with a 9.6% year-on-year decline in sales volume and a 6.8% drop in sales area from January to October 2025 [25][26] - The report notes that while non-popular cities are seeing population outflows, local residents still have improvement-driven housing demands, which could stabilize the market [26][28] - Recommendations include focusing on companies that are well-positioned in non-popular cities, such as China Overseas Land & Investment, which can leverage local demand for housing improvements [28] Internet and AI - The report highlights advancements in AI technology, with significant product launches from companies like OpenAI and Tencent, indicating a growing trend in AI applications across various sectors [29][30] - Investment strategies suggest focusing on internet giants that are leveraging AI for growth, with recommendations for Alibaba and Tencent as key players benefiting from AI integration [30] - The report also notes the potential for AI to enhance advertising and cloud service revenues for these companies, suggesting a positive outlook for their financial performance [30]

行 农林牧渔 2025 年 12 月 08 日 业 研 究 农林牧渔 猪价弱势运行，11 月第三方能繁延续去化 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：猪价维持弱势，11 月第三方能繁延续去化。（1）月初缩 量拉涨有限，本周猪价窄幅回调。本月初集团场缩量拉涨猪价，但市场接 受度有限，散户大猪顺势出栏，供应压力持续，供大于求格局持续。12 月 5 日猪价 11.19 元/公斤，周环比-0.01 元/公斤。（2）本周屠宰量继续增长。 受降温天气带动，四川地区腌腊、灌肠活动陆续启动，对生猪屠宰量形成 支撑。本周样本屠宰企业日均屠宰量为 17.66 万头，周环比+1.83%。（3） 本周生猪出栏均重继续增长。本周集团出栏节奏收窄后放量，集团出栏均 重小幅增加；散户受制于资金和疫情影响，北方多地散户大猪出栏积极性 偏强，散户出栏均重增幅明显。截至 12 月 4 日当周，行业生猪出栏均重 129.82 公斤，周环比+0.60 公斤。展望后市，养殖已陷入亏损状态，叠加产 能调控政策推进，行业产能去化预计持续，有望推动长期猪价中枢上移， 低成本优质猪企将获得超额收益。根据农业农村部数据，10 月末全国能繁 母猪存栏量降 ...

农林牧渔 2025 年 12 月 08 日 业 研 究 农林牧渔 猪价弱势运行，11 月第三方能繁延续去化 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：猪价维持弱势，11 月第三方能繁延续去化。（1）月初缩 量拉涨有限，本周猪价窄幅回调。本月初集团场缩量拉涨猪价，但市场接 受度有限，散户大猪顺势出栏，供应压力持续，供大于求格局持续。12 月 5 日猪价 11.19 元/公斤，周环比-0.01 元/公斤。（2）本周屠宰量继续增长。 受降温天气带动，四川地区腌腊、灌肠活动陆续启动，对生猪屠宰量形成 支撑。本周样本屠宰企业日均屠宰量为 17.66 万头，周环比+1.83%。（3） 本周生猪出栏均重继续增长。本周集团出栏节奏收窄后放量，集团出栏均 重小幅增加；散户受制于资金和疫情影响，北方多地散户大猪出栏积极性 偏强，散户出栏均重增幅明显。截至 12 月 4 日当周，行业生猪出栏均重 129.82 公斤，周环比+0.60 公斤。展望后市，养殖已陷入亏损状态，叠加产 能调控政策推进，行业产能去化预计持续，有望推动长期猪价中枢上移， 低成本优质猪企将获得超额收益。根据农业农村部数据，10 月末全国能繁 母猪存栏量降至 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月07日 2025年12月08日 农林牧渔 2025 年 12 月投资策略 优于大市 牧业大周期反转预计在即，核心推荐港股奶牛养殖标的 月度重点推荐组合：优然牧业（牧业大周期受益龙头），现代牧业（国内牧 业龙头企业）、牧原股份（生猪养殖龙头）。 各细分板块推荐逻辑：1）肉牛及原奶：牧业大周期反转预计在即，看好国 内肉奶景气共振上行，牧业公司业绩有望迎来高弹性修复。2）生猪：头部 企业现金流快速好转，并有望转型为红利标的，在全行业产能收缩的背景下， 龙头的成本优势有望明显提高，强者恒强。3）宠物：宠物作为新消费优质 赛道，长期景气受益人口趋势，且国内自主品牌正快速崛起，头部宠食标的 中期业绩增长确定性仍较强。4）饲料：畜禽养殖工业化加深，产业分工明 确，饲料龙头凭借技术和服务优势，有望进一步拉大竞争优势。5）禽：供 给波动幅度有限，行情有望随需求复苏，龙头企业凭借单位超额收益优势有 望实现更高现金流分红回报。 农产品价格跟踪：1）生猪：11 月末生猪 11.25 元/公斤，月环比-10%，7kg 仔猪价格约 216 元/头，月环比+18%。2）禽：11 月末白鸡毛鸡价格 7.10 ...