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伍德麦肯锡能源专家:今年全球上游油气投资将再度下滑
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2026-01-20 02:42
油气企业普遍将保障盈利能力、充裕自由现金流与削减债务置于优先位置,而非盲目追求产量增长,宏 观经济的不确定性进一步强化了这一趋势。 伍德麦肯锡与惠誉评级等机构的分析师普遍认为,受油价波动与供应过剩担忧影响,2026年全球油气企 业将维持资金纪律,甚至可能进一步缩减整体支出。七大国际石油公司的上游投资总额预计将与往年基 本持平。(庞晓华) 中化新网讯 1月11日,据美国油价网显示,2025年受低油价冲击,油气企业放缓扩张步伐,全球上游油 气投资同比下降2.5%,降至4200亿美元。伍德麦肯锡能源专家预测,2026年上游油气投资将持续这一 趋势,预计同比至少下降2%-3%,下滑的主要原因是美国独立致密油与页岩油生产商缩减支出。 分析师指出,在油价低于60美元/桶的背景下,油气行业在聚焦长期抗风险能力的同时,上游投资将连 续迎来第二年的缩减。2026年油气上游资本支出预计同比至少下降2%-3%,较2024年水平降幅则超过 5%。其中,北美与欧洲地区的投资缩减,将抵消非洲、拉丁美洲和中东地区的支出增长。 ...
能源供应保障有力
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-19 22:17
Group 1: Energy Production Growth - In 2025, coal production reached a historical high of 4.83 billion tons, an increase of 1.2% from the previous year [1] - Crude oil production was 216 million tons, marking a 1.5% increase, maintaining over 200 million tons for four consecutive years [1] - Natural gas production reached 261.9 billion cubic meters, a 6.2% increase, with nine consecutive years of production growth exceeding 10 billion cubic meters [1] - Total electricity generation was 97,159 billion kilowatt-hours, a 2.2% increase, with specific growth in nuclear (7.7%), wind (9.7%), and solar (24.4%) energy [1] Group 2: Clean Energy Development - The construction of clean energy accelerated in 2025, with installed capacity for wind and solar power surpassing that of coal power for the first time [2] - The "West-to-East Power Transmission" project achieved a transmission capacity of 340 million kilowatts, enhancing the flexibility of the power system [2] - Clean energy generation reached 34,213 billion kilowatt-hours, an 8.8% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3: Green Transition and Energy Efficiency - The proportion of non-fossil energy in total energy consumption increased by approximately 2 percentage points, surpassing oil to become the second-largest energy type [3] - Total energy consumption grew by 3.5%, with a reduction of over 5% in energy consumption per unit of GDP [3] - Industrial energy consumption per unit of added value has decreased for two consecutive years, indicating progress in energy conservation [3]
“十五五”能源强国专家谈 | 吕建中:以改革创新魄力推进能源强国建设
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 09:47
Core Viewpoint - The construction of an energy power must adapt to the new changes and requirements brought by the cultivation of new productive forces, emphasizing the importance of open cooperation and international competition in achieving energy security and global competitiveness [1] Group 1: Reform and Opening Up - Reform and opening up are crucial for advancing the construction of an energy power, with significant production capacity increases since 1978, where primary energy production rose from 628 million tons of standard coal to 4.98 billion tons in 2024, a growth of approximately 6.9 times, with an average annual growth rate of about 4.5% [2] - The energy self-sufficiency rate has reached 84%, laying a solid material foundation for the construction of a strong nation [2] - Key reforms in the oil and gas industry, such as the "1 million tons of crude oil production quota" and the separation of power generation and grid management in the electricity sector, have effectively released market vitality [2] Group 2: Innovation as a Driving Force - Innovation is identified as the driving force for building an energy power, emphasizing the need for technological, industrial, and institutional innovations to resolve multiple contradictions in energy supply and demand [3] - Future competitiveness in the energy sector will increasingly depend on innovation capabilities, with a focus on clean and efficient use of fossil energy, large-scale development of renewable energy, and safety in nuclear energy [3] - Increased R&D investment is necessary to tackle critical technological challenges and promote digital and intelligent management models [3] Group 3: International Engagement - Balancing "bringing in" and "going out" is an effective way to enhance international competitiveness, with a focus on expanding high-level openness and absorbing global advanced technologies [4] - The export of new energy products, including photovoltaic, wind turbines, and lithium batteries, has become a significant driver of foreign trade growth, with exports of these "new three items" exceeding 1 trillion yuan in 2024, a 2.6 times increase compared to 2020 [4] - Central enterprises have invested in approximately 360 wind and photovoltaic projects across nearly 50 countries, showcasing China's technological strength and responsibility [4] Group 4: Global Energy Governance - Deep participation in global energy governance is essential for enhancing international discourse power, with a need for a fair and balanced global energy governance system [5] - As the largest energy producer and consumer, China should actively participate in the formulation of international energy rules and advocate for multilateral cooperation [5] - Strengthening international cooperation in energy transition and clean energy can contribute to global climate governance and promote a new energy governance framework that benefits all [5]
国家统计局:新型储能装机全球占比超40%、居世界首位!
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2026-01-19 07:53
Group 1 - In 2025, China's energy supply continues to grow steadily, supporting stable economic and social operations, with record production levels in coal, oil, gas, and electricity [1][2] - The energy supply security foundation is being strengthened, with coal production reaching 4.83 billion tons, an increase of 1.2% year-on-year, and oil production at 21.6 million tons, up 1.5% [2] - Natural gas production also increased to 261.9 billion cubic meters, marking a 6.2% year-on-year growth [2] Group 2 - Electricity generation in 2025 reached 97,159 billion kilowatt-hours, a 2.2% increase from the previous year, with significant growth in renewable energy sources [3] - Wind power generation grew by 9.7% to 10,531 billion kilowatt-hours, while solar power saw a remarkable increase of 24.4% to 5,726 billion kilowatt-hours [3] Group 3 - The construction of clean energy is accelerating, with renewable energy capacity surpassing that of coal-fired power for the first time, and new energy storage capacity exceeding 100 million kilowatts [4] - Clean energy sources accounted for 35.2% of total industrial electricity generation, an increase of 2.1 percentage points year-on-year [4] Group 4 - Under the "dual carbon" goals, China's energy structure is optimizing, with non-fossil energy consumption rising to become the second-largest energy type, surpassing oil [5] - Total energy consumption is projected to grow by 3.5% in 2025, with a reduction of over 5% in energy consumption per unit of GDP [5]
中国石油集团董事长戴厚良会见蒙古国工业与矿产资源部部长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 07:05
1月16日,中国石油集团董事长戴厚良会见蒙古国工业与矿产资源部部长达木丁尼亚木。双方就油气领 域合作深入交换意见。中国石油集团副总经理张道伟以及总经理助理、管理层成员等参加。 ...
国家统计局:2025年规模以上工业发电量97159亿千瓦时,比上年增长2.2%
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2026-01-19 04:33
Group 1: Energy Production and Supply - In 2025, energy production in China continues to grow steadily, with major energy products such as coal, oil, gas, and electricity reaching historical highs, enhancing energy supply security [1] - The industrial raw coal output reached 4.83 billion tons, marking a 1.2% increase from the previous year [1] - The crude oil output from industrial enterprises reached 21.6 million tons, a 1.5% increase year-on-year, maintaining over 200 million tons for four consecutive years [2] Group 2: Clean Energy Development - The construction of clean energy is accelerating, with hydropower, nuclear, wind, and solar power installations continuously increasing, and coal-fired power units undergoing significant upgrades [2][3] - Renewable energy generation reached 34,213 billion kilowatt-hours, an 8.8% increase from the previous year, accounting for 35.2% of total industrial power generation, up 2.1 percentage points [3] Group 3: Green Transition and Energy Efficiency - Under the "dual carbon" goals, China is actively promoting a green and low-carbon energy transition, with the proportion of coal consumption continuing to decline and clean energy consumption steadily increasing [3] - By 2025, the share of non-fossil energy in total energy consumption increased by approximately 2 percentage points, surpassing oil to become the second-largest energy type [3] - The total energy consumption in society is projected to grow by 3.5% year-on-year, with energy consumption per unit of GDP expected to decrease by over 5% [3]
石油ETF(561360)涨超2%,原油供需格局具备景气基础
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 03:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that geopolitical uncertainties, particularly the situation in Iran, are driving significant fluctuations in oil prices, providing a favorable outlook for oil market conditions in the long term [1] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects global oil demand to increase by 860,000 barrels per day by 2026, with chemical feedstock demand expected to dominate this growth, rising from 40% of the incremental demand in 2025 to 60% [1] - On the supply side, the IEA anticipates a growth of 2.4 million barrels per day in global oil supply by 2026, with OPEC+ significantly expanding production in 2025 being a major factor for market volatility, although they have decided to pause production increases in Q1 2026, which may alleviate supply concerns [1] Group 2 - The oil ETF (561360) tracks the oil and gas industry index (H30198), focusing on exploration, extraction, production, and sales within the oil and gas sector, reflecting the overall performance of publicly listed companies in this industry [1] - The index is characterized by strong cyclicality and significant sensitivity to fluctuations in international oil prices [1]
胡汉舟:能源供应保障有力 绿色转型加速推进
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2026-01-19 03:35
2025年,我国经济延续稳中有进发展态势,能源供给稳定增长,有力支撑经济社会平稳健康运行。能源 供应保障能力持续增强,煤油气电产量均创历史新高,电力供应安全稳定,能源自给率稳步提升;绿色 低碳转型步伐不断加快,可再生能源跃升发展,非化石能源消费比重持续提高,为推进能源强国建设奠 定坚实基础。 一、能源生产稳步增长,保供基础不断夯实 原煤产量再创新高。2025年,煤炭先进产能有序释放,稳产稳供稳价措施深入实施,煤炭供应保持稳定 充裕。规模以上工业原煤产量48.3亿吨,创历史新高,比上年增长1.2%。 三、绿色转型步伐加快,能效水平不断提升 "双碳"目标下,我国积极推进能源绿色低碳转型,煤炭消费比重持续下降,清洁能源消费占比稳步攀 升,消费结构进一步优化。2025年,非化石能源占能源消费总量比重比上年提高约2个百分点,超过石 油成为第二大能源类型,成为能源增量主体。 油气增储上产持续推进。近年来,我国油气生产企业持续加强勘探开发和增储上产力度,增储上 产"七年计划"胜利收官,油气稳产增产势头良好,油气供应保障能力持续提升。2025年,规模以上工业 原油产量2.16亿吨,创历史新高,比上年增长1.5%,连续四年稳产 ...
访华第三天,中加发表联合声明,卡尼对华许下的承诺,美国不爱听
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-17 22:22
Core Viewpoint - The joint statement between China and Canada, announced during Carney's visit, signifies a major shift in Canada's economic policy, particularly regarding tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, which have been reduced from 100% to 6.1% [3][4][6]. Economic Agreements - Eight cooperation agreements were signed, including a significant reduction in tariffs on Canadian canola exports to China from 75.8% to 15% [6][8]. - The agreements are expected to provide substantial economic benefits, with Canadian farmers having suffered significant losses in recent months, and Chinese automakers gaining access to 49,000 entry quotas, potentially generating at least CAD 2 billion in market revenue [8][12]. Strategic Implications - Carney's visit and the resulting agreements are seen as a strong signal to Washington, indicating Canada's intention to assert its economic sovereignty and explore new development paths [4][11][36]. - The agreements also reflect a broader strategy to diversify Canada's economic partnerships, reducing reliance on the U.S. market, which currently accounts for 70% of Canadian exports [26][28]. Energy and Mineral Cooperation - Canada and China agreed to enhance cooperation in energy, finance, public safety, and cultural exchanges, with a focus on traditional and clean energy sectors [12][14]. - The collaboration in key minerals is particularly noteworthy, as Canadian mining companies have seen a significant increase in investments from Chinese investors, rising from CAD 62 million in 2022 to CAD 2.2 billion in 2023 [16][18]. Political Context - The timing of the agreements is critical, coming shortly after the U.S. imposed tariffs on Canadian lumber and aluminum, suggesting a strategic pivot by Canada in response to U.S. trade policies [11][21]. - Carney's statements during the visit indicate a desire to build a new relationship that adapts to the changing global landscape, potentially forming alliances with like-minded countries to bypass U.S. dominance in certain areas [22][24][36]. Domestic Reactions - There are mixed reactions within Canada regarding the shift in trade policy, with concerns about potential backlash from the U.S. affecting local manufacturing jobs [24][34]. - The Canadian government appears to be weighing the benefits of deepening ties with China against the risks of straining relations with the U.S. [34][36].
我国去年全社会用电量超10万亿千瓦时
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-17 19:45
2025年,我国能源安全保障有力有效,保供成效是"十四五"以来最好的一年。实现煤炭稳产稳供稳价, 有力有效应对迎峰度夏电力负荷20次超2024年峰值考验,电力系统安全形势保持稳定。能源绿色低碳转 型步伐加快,能源投资增势强劲向绿向新,新能源实现更高质量跃升式发展,重大水电核电项目加快建 设,新型电力系统建设稳步推进。 日前举行的2026年全国能源工作会议提出,今年将推动实现更高水平能源安全保障。夯实煤炭供应保障 基础,提升电力保供水平,增强油气生产供应能力,优化能源骨干通道布局,提升能源基础设施本质安 全水平。同时,扎实推进能源绿色低碳转型,持续提高新能源供给比重,全年新增风电、太阳能发电装 机2亿千瓦以上,有序推进重大水电项目,积极安全有序发展核电,加强化石能源清洁高效利用。 [ 责编:李伯玺 ] 光明日报北京1月17日电(记者张翼)国家能源局17日发布的数据显示,2025年,我国全社会用电量累 计103682亿千瓦时,同比增长5.0%,历史性突破10万亿千瓦时,这一数字在全球单一国家中尚属首 次。 2025年,从分产业用电看,第一产业用电量1494亿千瓦时,同比增长9.9%;第二产业用电量66366亿千 ...