Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant stock price movements in the chemical fiber sector, particularly the surge in shares of Youfu Co., which hit the daily limit up again [1] - Other companies in the sector, such as Suzhou Longjie, Jilin Chemical Fiber, and Jilin Carbon Valley, also experienced notable increases, with Jilin Chemical Fiber and Jilin Carbon Valley rising over 5% [1] - The recent developments in the industry are linked to a seminar organized by the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, focusing on the "14th Five-Year" development plan for the chemical fiber industry [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document Group 2: Core Views of the Report - For PTA, polyester production has declined, bottle - chip processing fees remain low, TA has sufficient maintenance in the first half of the year and new production plans, and attention should be paid to the opportunity of narrowing the processing fees of far - month TA [1] - For MEG, there are unexpected device problems in the near term, oil - based supply is reduced more than expected while demand has short - term resilience, and port inventory is expected to decrease significantly. Attention should be paid to the phased positive spread opportunity [1] - For polyester staple fiber, the efficiency is low, the supply is high, and the downstream profit is under pressure. The fundamental situation is difficult to improve significantly, but the processing fees on the disk have been compressed to a low level and are expected to remain weak. Attention should be paid to subsequent production reduction actions [1] - For natural rubber, the national explicit inventory has slightly decreased, the absolute level is not high, the price of Thai cup rubber has rebounded slightly, and the current strategy is to wait and see [1] Group 3: Summaries by Related Catalogs PTA - **Market data**: From May 19 - 23, 2025, the average daily trading basis of PTA spot was 2509(+154). The price of crude oil changed by 0.4, PX CFR by - 3, etc. [1] - **Device changes**: Zhongtai's 1.2 million - ton device restarted, Tongkun's 3 million - ton device was under maintenance, and Honggang's 2.5 million - ton device restarted [1] - **Market situation**: PTA plant operation rate increased, polyester operation rate decreased from a high level, inventory continued to decline, basis strengthened, and spot processing fees decreased but remained at a relatively high level; domestic PX operation rate increased, there were unexpected overseas maintenance, PXN slightly decreased, and the isomerization and disproportionation benefits weakened slightly, while the aromatics price difference between the US and Asia increased [1] MEG - **Market data**: From May 19 - 23, 2025, the negotiation price was around 4515 - 4532, and the basis was around 09(+110) [1] - **Device changes**: Sanjiang's 1 million - ton device restarted [1] - **Market situation**: The domestic oil - based operation rate decreased slightly, coal - based devices had both maintenance and restart, the operation rate decreased slightly, port inventory continued to decline due to less arrival, downstream inventory levels decreased, basis strengthened, and profits continued to increase [1] Polyester Staple Fiber - **Market data**: The spot price was around 6571, and the market basis was around 06 - 20 [1] - **Device changes**: Fujian Jinlun was under maintenance, and the operation rate decreased to 93.2% [1] - **Market situation**: Production and sales decreased month - on - month, inventory increased slightly, the operation rate of the polyester yarn end increased, raw material inventory decreased, finished product inventory increased month - on - month, and efficiency continued to weaken [1] Natural Rubber - **Market data**: From May 1 - 2, 2025, the prices of various types of natural rubber such as 20 - number rubber, US - dollar Thai mixed rubber, etc. showed different degrees of change [1] - **Market situation**: The national explicit inventory slightly decreased, the price of Thai cup rubber rebounded slightly, and the current strategy is to wait and see [1] Other Chemical Products (Ethylene, Pure Benzene, etc.) - **Market data**: From May 19 - 23, 2025, the prices of ethylene, pure benzene, styrene, etc. changed to different extents, and the domestic profits of ABS, EPS, PS, etc. also changed [1] - **Market situation**: The prices and profits of various chemical products fluctuated, and the operation rates of EPS, ABS, and PS also showed different trends [1]

Report Overview - Report Name: Yangtze River Futures PTA Industry Weekly Report - Report Date: May 26, 2025 - Research Team: Cotton Spinning Team - Analysts: Hong Runxia, Huang Shanghai - Contacts: Zhong Zhou, Gu Zhenxiang 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The short - term supply and demand of the PTA industry are acceptable, and prices will fluctuate within a range [25]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - PX: Last week, domestic PX production was 644,300 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.31%, and the weekly average capacity utilization rate was 76.83%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.24%. Due to the continuous decline in downstream polyester start - up, PX destocking slowed down. With the weakening support from the cost - end crude oil, PX prices gradually declined [2]. - PTA: Last week, PTA prices fluctuated and declined. The cost - end international oil prices weakened due to the expected increase in production. On the supply side, PTA start - up increased slightly, while downstream polyester load decreased slightly. PTA destocking continued, and the short - term fundamentals still had some support [2]. - Ethylene Glycol: Last week, ethylene glycol prices fluctuated and declined. At the beginning, due to the decrease in domestic production and imported arrivals, domestic ethylene glycol prices continued to rise. However, due to downstream enterprises' resistance to high - priced goods and the expected decline in cost - end oil prices, the short - term price maintained a volatile operation [2]. - Short - fiber: Last week, short - fiber prices fluctuated following the raw material prices. At the beginning, affected by the decline in the raw material end, short - fiber prices declined. Then, due to producers and traders being bearish on the future market and willing to sell at low prices, the spot and futures prices were dragged down. However, due to the tight liquidity of some goods, the decline was limited [2]. 3.2 Spot Analysis - As of May 22, the PTA spot price was 4,922 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 2 yuan or 0.04%. As of the 23rd, the PTA spot price increased by 20 to 4,880 yuan/ton. There was a game between cost and demand, and the market was re - balancing future supply and demand. The absolute price fluctuated at the lower end, the spot basis was relatively strong, and the trading on the trading side was active, with overall quiet trading [4][6]. 3.3 PTA Upstream - Crude oil: As of May 21, the WTI price was $61.57 per barrel, a decrease of 0.08% from May 15; the Brent price was $64.91 per barrel, an increase of 0.59% from May 15. The main influencing factors were the ongoing differences in the US - Iran nuclear negotiations, the possible Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, the improved market expectations for demand prospects, as well as the easing of the Russia - Ukraine situation and the increase in US commercial crude oil inventories [7]. - PX: The domestic PX production last week was 644,300 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.31%. The domestic PX weekly average capacity utilization rate was 76.83%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.24%. The spread between PX and naphtha and the spread between PX and MX increased. Due to the unplanned load reduction or shutdown of some enterprises, the spot tightness of PX continued, and the spot purchasing power increased. As of May 21, the average PX - N was $268.47 per ton, a week - on - week increase of $22.05 per ton, and the average PX - M was $110.37 per ton, a week - on - week increase of $8.95 per ton [9]. 3.4 PTA Supply - Last week, the domestic PTA weekly average capacity utilization rate reached 77.22%, a week - on - week increase of 1.49% and a year - on - year increase of 5.39%. Zhongtai Chemical restarted, and Jiayun's No. 2 line was shut down for maintenance near the weekend. Overall, the domestic capacity utilization rate increased slightly [15]. 3.5 Ethylene Glycol Supply - China's total ethylene glycol capacity utilization rate was 55.38%, a week - on - week decrease of 5.66%. Among them, the capacity utilization rate of integrated plants was 55.59%, a week - on - week decrease of 6.39%; the capacity utilization rate of coal - based ethylene glycol was 55%, a week - on - week decrease of 4.42%. China's weekly ethylene glycol production was 332,900 tons, a decrease of 9.28% from the previous week [17]. 3.6 Downstream Demand - Last week, China's polyester industry's weekly production was 1,584,900 tons, an increase of 160 tons or 0.1% from the previous week. The weekly average capacity utilization rate of the polyester industry was 90.63%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.3%. The different trends of production and capacity utilization were mainly due to the maintenance of some polyester factories during the week, but the inclusion of Xin Fengming's new plant at the end of last week and the increased load of Xin Fengming and Hengyi's new plants this week [22]. 3.7 Terminal Weaving - Last week, the comprehensive start - up rate of major domestic weaving production bases was 57.65%, the same as the previous week. The start - up rates of different types of looms varied. Currently, the tail orders of domestic summer clothing fabrics are being gradually delivered, and subsequent orders are declining. With unclear new foreign trade orders, the off - season atmosphere in the market is becoming more obvious, and the inventory of grey fabrics has slightly increased. The local market still mainly consists of small - batch orders, and the sustainability of the overall order quantity remains to be observed [24]. 3.8 Market Outlook - PX: Affected by the expected increase in crude oil production, the cost support weakened. With the continued maintenance of domestic and overseas plants, it is expected that the weekly PX production will increase slightly, and PX prices will continue to fluctuate strongly [25]. - PTA: With the weak support from crude oil at the cost end, although some plants are planned to restart, overall production will increase. Downstream polyester load decreases slightly, and the destocking of supply and demand slows down. It is expected that PTA prices will fluctuate in the range of 4,650 - 4,900 yuan/ton [25]. - Ethylene Glycol: With the weak international crude oil prices and weak cost support, and considering the supply - demand pattern, it is expected that ethylene glycol prices will fluctuate in the range of 4,350 - 4,500 yuan/ton [25]. - Short - fiber: With the decline in PTA prices at the raw material end and the narrowing of processing fees, and the weak terminal demand, it is expected that short - fiber market prices will fluctuate and consolidate within a range [25]. 3.9 Strategy Suggestion - Enterprises should conduct hedging based on costs.

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development and application of recycled nylon materials, particularly focusing on the recycling of waste PA6 (Nylon 6) and the advancements in high-strength nylon 66 fibers for aviation tires, highlighting the environmental benefits and market potential of these innovations [8][14][25]. Group 1: Recycled Nylon Development - The annual production of waste PA6 in China is approximately 4 million tons, with a low recycling rate leading to significant environmental pollution and resource waste [8]. - Chemical recycling methods are being developed to convert waste PA6 into high-quality regenerated PA6 products, addressing environmental issues and enhancing resource utilization [10][14]. - If all waste PA6 were recycled, it could reduce land pollution by 12 million cubic meters, cut carbon emissions by 28.8 million tons, and save 12 million tons of crude oil annually [14]. Group 2: Market Potential and Technological Advancements - The global market for regenerated PA6 fibers is projected to reach approximately 20 billion by 2035, with a potential 10% market share translating to an additional foreign exchange income of 2 billion [14]. - The development of high-strength nylon 66 fibers for aircraft tires is crucial for enhancing safety and reliability, as current domestic products do not meet international strength standards [25][28]. - The establishment of a domestic production line for regenerated PA6 has been initiated, achieving significant strength metrics for regenerated fibers used in various applications, including automotive and sportswear [19]. Group 3: Research and Development Initiatives - Key projects include the development of efficient recycling technologies for waste nylon and the establishment of collaborative research teams across multiple institutions to enhance material performance [15][29]. - The focus on breaking international monopolies in high-strength nylon production is emphasized as a critical task for improving material safety in civil and military aviation [25][28].

国泰君安期货·能源化工 短纤、瓶片周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所 陈鑫超 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020238 贺晓勤 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0017709 钱嘉寅（联系人）期货从业资格号：F03124480 日期：2025年5月25日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 观点小结 上游观点汇总 短纤：短期震荡市，中期偏弱 瓶片：震荡偏弱 供需平衡表 CONTENTS 02 瓶片（PR） 估值与利润 基本面运行情况 短纤（PF） 估值与利润 基本面运行情况 2 01 03 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 观点小结 01 观点总结 瓶片观点总结 短纤观点总结 瓶片：基本面支撑弱，逢低做扩加工费 （1） 高开工累库，基本面支撑弱。新装置投产兑现，工厂开工 94.3%。工厂小幅累库静态库存维持较低约15天，下游开工顶部维持， 内需进一步增量有限，社会总库存累库的趋势仍然保持。工厂总体在 前期低价下大量接单和锁定原料的前提下总体仍保持高开工，短期减 产概率不大，或在6月有所兑现。 （ ...

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "buy" rating due to significant recovery in the price spread of polyester industrial yarn and positive performance from its Vietnam operations [1][2]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company maintains a "buy" rating, projecting EPS for 2025, 2026, and newly added 2027 to be 0.44, 0.47, and 0.52 yuan respectively [2]. - The target price has been raised to 6.59 yuan from the previous 4.61 yuan, based on a 15 times PE ratio for 2025 [2]. - The average price of polyester industrial yarn reached 8400 yuan/ton as of May 23, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.44% [2]. - The gross profit for polyester industrial yarn in April was 538 yuan/ton, a year-on-year increase of 185.46%, with a gross margin of 6.15%, marking the highest monthly gross profit in the past year [2]. - The company holds a significant market share and brand influence in the polyester filament industry, with a production capacity of 320,000 tons expected in 2024, benefiting from the recovery in product price spreads [2]. - The company’s polyester filament products include non-automotive yarns and automotive yarns, with the latter being recognized for their superior performance compared to domestic peers [2]. Vietnam Operations - The Vietnam subsidiary is operating at full capacity, projecting a net profit of 100 million yuan for 2024 [3]. - In Q1 2025, the sales structure of the Vietnam subsidiary improved, leading to a significant increase in profitability compared to the same period last year [3]. - The company aims to leverage the "Belt and Road" initiative to enhance its "technology + capacity + market" strategy, focusing on global expansion to mitigate external risks and capture high-end market opportunities [3]. - The construction of a high-performance tire cord fabric project with an annual capacity of 18,000 tons in Vietnam is progressing smoothly [3]. Product Development - The company is committed to developing new products based on customer needs, aiming for industry-leading innovations [3]. - The company has established production capabilities for LCP fibers, while PEEK fibers are in the sample testing phase, targeting applications in environmental materials and clean energy [3]. - The company's seawater polyester industrial yarn products are widely used in marine applications and have passed ABS testing certification [3].

28个下跌行业中，大部分行业跌逾1%，其中计算机行业跌幅居首，为1.97%；综合行业跌1.84%，居次 席；传媒、美容护理、交通运输和商贸零售等行业跌幅也居前。 从资金流向来看，申万一级有6个行业主力资金净流入，汽车、医药生物行业净流入金额居前，均超6亿 元；此外，银行、石油石化、建筑材料和煤炭行业主力资金也呈现净流入状态。 25个主力资金净流出的行业中，计算机行业净流出金额居首，达50.08亿元；电子、通信、机械设备、 电力设备和国防军工等行业主力资金净流出均超15亿元。 10股主力资金净流入超2亿元 从个股来看，今日37股主力资金净流入超1亿元，其中10股净流入超2亿元。 新能源汽车热门股赛力斯（601127）主力资金净流入5.05亿元，居首。该股今日涨停，报收145.87元/ 股。消息面上，近期汽车销售数据向好，一系列利好因素汇聚，包括"以旧换新"补贴政策等多重因素驱 动，汽车市场热度不减。 华创证券在研报中表示，对全年汽车销量维持乐观预期，后续随经济预期稳定、政策发力、新车上市， 销量水平有望维持在较好水平，尤其20万元以上高端品牌需求有望恢复，预估全年新能源乘用车批发增 速31%，为板块整车、零部件 ...

Group 1 - Zhongjin Gold plans to inject four companies, including Inner Mongolia Jintao, into the company to resolve competition issues, acquiring stakes of 49.34%, 80%, 70%, and 70% respectively [3] - Keli Yuan intends to invest an additional 500 million yuan in a storage industry fund, increasing its total commitment from 200 million yuan to 700 million yuan, holding 49.93% of the fund [4] - China Shenhua plans to acquire a 7.43% stake in the National Energy Group Financial Company for 2.929 billion yuan, which is expected to increase its net profit by 97 million yuan [5] Group 2 - Weier Co. plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, considering the interests of existing shareholders [6] - China Communication Signal plans to invest approximately 3.789 billion yuan in 11 major rail transit projects, accounting for 11.67% of its audited revenue for 2024 [8] - Intercontinental Oil and Gas intends to invest approximately 848 million USD in the Iraq South Basra Integrated Project, with a total investment of about 1.266 billion USD [9] Group 3 - Jiaying Pharmaceutical's subsidiary signed a technology development contract with Hunan University of Chinese Medicine to develop a new traditional Chinese medicine [10] - Ruide Intelligent signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Shunde Vocational and Technical College to enhance collaboration in technology and talent development [11] - Jiaojian Co. and its partners won a bid for a drainage project worth 225 million yuan, with an expected contribution of 101 million yuan to the company's revenue [12] Group 4 - Hengshun Vinegar's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by investing between 50 million and 100 million yuan [14] - Changhua Group's shareholder platform intends to reduce its stake by up to 3%, amounting to a maximum of 14.1 million shares [15] Group 5 - Yunzhongma plans to raise no more than 640 million yuan through a private placement to fund projects for producing DTY yarn and high-performance leather base fabric [17]

音紧像胶呈报 图1 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/23 P 不 A A POY 1 PTA加 仓单+有 PX CFR PTA内盘现 PTA平衡 PTA负 石脑油 石脑油裂 聚酯毛利 TA基美 50D/4 日期 原油 PX加工美 产销 台湾 工差 效预报 日本 न्ह 解价差 负荷 荷 8F rest 2025/0 4990 7050 70046 0.25 65.4 ୧୧୧ 839 85.92 274.0 386 103 87.9 76.9 200 5/16 2025/0 65.5 569 841 4995 7025 88.97 272.0 380 75 87.9 76.9 68831 200 0.35 5/19 l RiH 2025/0 65.4 827 7025 205 87.9 0.25 570 4860 90.39 257.0 320 76.9 67816 165 5/20 2025/0 577 835 258.0 321 67714 64.9 4895 7015 100.84 170 87.9 76.9 125 0.40 5/21 2025/0 图H 64.4 563 823 87.9 0.30 ...

Market Overview - A total of 41 stocks hit the daily limit up, with 10 stocks on consecutive limit up days, and 25 stocks failed to close at the limit, resulting in a limit up rate of 62% (excluding ST and delisted stocks) [1] - Focus stocks include significant gains in controllable nuclear fusion concept stocks, with Zhongchao Holdings achieving 9 limit ups in 15 days and Wangzi New Materials achieving 6 limit ups in 10 days [1][17] Chemical and Fiber Sector - The chemical and fiber sector showed strong performance, with Suzhou Longjie achieving 7 limit ups in 11 days and Yong'an Pharmaceutical achieving 6 limit ups in 8 days [2][17] - Recent price fluctuations in certain chemical products have drawn market attention [2] Nuclear Power Sector - The international ITER organization announced the completion of the world's largest and strongest pulsed superconducting magnet system, marking a significant milestone in nuclear fusion research [4] - Stocks related to nuclear power, such as Wangzi New Materials and Shangwei Co., have seen notable increases due to their association with nuclear fusion [5][17] Solid-State Battery Sector - The China Automotive Engineering Society released a group standard for solid-state batteries, defining the technology for the first time [8] - Binhai Energy achieved 5 consecutive limit ups, driven by solid-state battery and merger and acquisition concepts [1][8] Robotics Sector - The CMG World Robot Competition series will take place on May 25 in Hangzhou, with Yushu Technology participating as a partner [9] - Zhongchao Holdings has seen significant stock performance, achieving 9 limit ups in 15 days, attributed to its involvement in robotics and nuclear power [10][17] Pharmaceutical Sector - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical plans to issue 225 million shares in Hong Kong, with its stock rising over 30% upon listing [7] - Stocks like Haishen Pharmaceutical and Haixiang Pharmaceutical have also shown strong performance, driven by their focus on raw materials and CRO services [7][17] Other Notable Stocks - Stocks in the beauty and healthcare sectors, such as Liren Lizhuang and Yixin Hall, have also performed well, with multiple limit ups attributed to their respective market strategies [14][17]