期 货 研 究 PX：尾盘石脑油价格上涨，3 月 MOPJ 目前估价在 620 美元/吨 CFR。2 月 26 日 PX 价格小幅反弹，两 单 4 月亚洲现货均在 929 成交。尾盘实货 4 月在 929/931 商谈，5 月在 928/937 商谈。2 月 26 日 PX 估价在 931 美元/吨，较 2 月 25 日上涨 2 美金。 2026 年 02 月 27 日 对二甲苯：跟随成本波动，区间震荡市 PTA：跟随成本波动，区间震荡市 MEG：区间震荡市，多 PTA 空 MEG 贺晓勤 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0017709 hexiaoqin@gtht.com | 期货 | PX 主力 | PTA 主力 | MEG 主力 | PF 主力 | SC 主力 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨日收盘价 | 7382 | 5260 | 3700 | 6658 | 483.6 | | 涨跌 | -50 | -52 | -47 | -64 | -4.7 | | 涨跌幅 | -0.67% | -0.98% | -1.25% | -0.95% | -0.96% | | ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - PX: Cost support is strong, and PX is expected to rise after the holiday. Go long on PXN and engage in 5 - 9 calendar spread trading. The PX - naphtha spread has recovered to $327/ton. The PX operating rate remains high, and the polyester operating rate is gradually recovering. The industry may enter a positive feedback pattern [1][7]. - PTA: Supported by costs, the short - term trend is strong. The PTA futures opened with a catch - up increase on the first day. It accumulates inventory from January to February and enters a de - stocking pattern from March. Pay attention to the 5 - 9 calendar spread. The downstream polyester price has increased by 50 yuan/ton, and the industry may enter a positive feedback pattern [1][7]. - MEG: It is in a range - bound market. Go long on PTA and short on MEG. The domestic ethylene glycol operating rate remains high, and it is in a significant inventory accumulation pattern from February to March. The price has limited downside but the upside is not yet open, so maintain range - bound operations [1][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Data - **Futures Prices**: The closing prices of PX, PTA, MEG, PF, and SC futures on the previous day were 7432, 5312, 3747, 6722, and 488.3 respectively, with changes of - 46, - 40, 10, - 68, and - 5, and percentage changes of - 0.62%, - 0.75%, 0.27%, - 1.00%, and - 1.01% [2]. - **Calendar Spreads**: The closing prices of PX5 - 9, PTA5 - 9, MEG5 - 9, PF3 - 4, and SC2 - 3 calendar spreads on the previous day were 20, 14, - 118, - 98, and 5 respectively, with changes of - 6, - 18, - 6, - 32, and 5.6 compared to the day before [2]. - **Spot Prices**: The spot prices of PX CFR China, PTA in East China, MEG, naphtha MOPJ, and Dated Brent on the previous day were $928.67/ton, 5285 yuan/ton, 3658 yuan/ton, $616/ton, and $70.78/barrel respectively, with changes of - 4, 0, 10, 2.5, and - 0.55 [2]. - **Spot Processing Margins**: The spot processing margins of PX - naphtha, PTA, short - fiber, bottle - chip, and MOPJ naphtha - Dubai crude oil on the previous day were $297.55/ton, 412.68 yuan/ton, 106.87 yuan/ton, 240.63 yuan/ton, and - $4.34/ton respectively, with changes of - 2.66, - 17.01, 81.21, 40.06, and 0 [2]. 3.2 Market Trends - **PX**: On February 25, the PX price declined, and the raw material trend was generally weak. The negotiation and transaction level of PX also fell after rising. The spot transaction atmosphere was okay, and the 4 - and 5 - month spot maintained a - 2 C structure. The floating price fluctuated within a narrow range [3]. - **Polyester**: A 500,000 - ton polyester plant in Ningbo is being heated up and is planned to restart tomorrow, with products expected around the Lantern Festival. Another 250,000 - ton polyester plant in Ningbo is planned to start heating up on March 1 and feed on March 4. A large - scale polyester industrial yarn plant in Huzhou is restarting, and a 200,000 - ton polyester plant in Huzhou restarted on February 24. The sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang on February 25 were sluggish, with an average sales rate of about 20% by 3:30 p.m. The sales rate of direct - spinning polyester staple fiber plants was highly differentiated, with an average sales rate of 51% by 3:00 p.m [5][6]. 3.3 Supply and Demand Analysis - **PX**: The supply side has a high operating rate, with the Asian PX operating rate at around 84%. South Korea's PX exports increased significantly in the first 20 days of February. The demand side has a PTA operating rate of around 75%, and the polyester operating rate is gradually recovering [7]. - **PTA**: It accumulates inventory from January to February and enters a de - stocking pattern from March. The downstream polyester price has increased, and the industry may enter a positive feedback pattern [7]. - **MEG**: The domestic ethylene glycol operating rate remains high, with the coal - based plant operating rate reaching 83%. It accumulates inventory during the Spring Festival, and is in a significant inventory accumulation pattern from February to March [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company is committed to the real economy, focusing on its existing industries and forming a business structure centered around two main fields: chemicals and transportation [2] Group 1: Chemical Industry - The new materials chemical business has a production base located in Wuhai City, Inner Mongolia, with established capacities of 300,000 tons/year for BDO and 360,000 tons/year for calcium carbide [2] - Future plans include expanding production capacities for lanthanum carbon and green electricity, as well as developing new material capacities for PBAT [2] - The company aims to become a leading integrated enterprise in BDO and biodegradable plastics on a global scale [2] Group 2: Transportation Industry - The rail transportation business focuses on key regions such as the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta, and provinces along the Belt and Road Initiative, including Yunnan and Sichuan [2] - The company is dedicated to the development of high-speed rail construction and urban subway projects [2] Group 3: Rubber and Chemical Fiber Industries - The rubber products and chemical fiber production bases are located in Sanmen County, with main products including rubber conveyor belts, V-belts, polyester chips, and polyester industrial yarns [2] - The company is recognized as one of the leading enterprises in the rubber conveyor belt and V-belt sectors in China [2]

Group 1 - Huafeng Chemical (002064) is a global leader in the spandex industry, with strong technical advantages in differentiated spandex and early investments in bio-based and recycled spandex, benefiting from the growing demand for green fibers [2][34] - Tongkun Co., Ltd. (601233) is a domestic leader in the polyester filament industry, with strong technical and capacity advantages in differentiated and high-end products, and is expected to benefit from the recovery of downstream textile demand and policies promoting recycled fibers [3][35] - New Fengming (603225) is a core player in the polyester filament industry, with a strong position in differentiated and high-end products, and is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery of textile demand and the promotion of recycled fibers [4][36] Group 2 - Shuangxin Environmental Protection (001369) is a core enterprise in the PVA industry, with strong technical and capacity advantages, and is expanding into biodegradable and bio-based materials, expected to benefit from the growing demand for biodegradable materials [5][38] - Tianfulong (603406) is a core player in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [6][39] - Wanwei High-tech (600063) is a leading company in the PVA industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into biodegradable materials, expected to benefit from the growing demand for biodegradable materials [7][40] Group 3 - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (000949) is a core enterprise in the viscose staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled viscose and bio-based viscose, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [8][41] - Taihe New Materials (002254) is a leader in the aramid industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and bio-based aramid, expected to benefit from the growth in high-end fields [9][42] - Jilin Chemical Fiber (000420) is a core player in the viscose staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance carbon fiber, expected to benefit from the growth in aerospace and new energy sectors [10][44] Group 4 - Sanfangxiang (600370) is a core enterprise in the PTA industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled PTA and bio-based PTA, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [11][45] - Shenma Co., Ltd. (600810) is a leader in the nylon 66 industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled nylon, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [12][46] - Hailide (002206) is a leader in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [13][47] Group 5 - Youfu Co., Ltd. (002427) is a core player in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [14][48] - Huaxi Co., Ltd. (000936) is a core enterprise in the polyester staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled and bio-based polyester, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [15][49] - Baolidi (300905) is a leader in the chemical fiber color masterbatch industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into biodegradable color masterbatches, expected to benefit from the green transformation of the chemical fiber industry [16][51] Group 6 - Nanjing Chemical Fiber (600889) is a core player in the viscose staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled viscose and bio-based viscose, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [17][52] - Haiyang Technology (603382) is a core enterprise in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [18][53]

期 货 研 究 2026 年 02 月 06 日 对二甲苯：成本坍塌，价格跟随回调，月差偏 弱 PTA：区间震荡市 MEG：区间操作 贺晓勤 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0017709 hexiaoqin@gtht.com | 期货 | PX 主力 | PTA 主力 | MEG 主力 | PF 主力 | SC 主力 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨日收盘价 | 7200 | 5144 | 3745 | 6564 | 467.2 | | 涨跌 | -96 | -74 | -43 | -66 | 4.8 | | 涨跌幅 | -1.32% | -1.42% | -1.14% | -1.00% | 1.04% | | 月差 | PX5-9 | PTA5-9 | MEG5-9 | PF3-4 | SC2-3 | | 昨日收盘价 | 14 | -4 | -112 | -80 | -7.5 | | 前日收盘价 | 4 | 6 | -111 | -70 | -4.5 | | 涨跌 | 10 | -10 | -1 | -10 | -3 | | 现货 | PX CFR 中国（美 | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the polyester industrial filament industry is expected to show an upward trend in prosperity by 2025, driven by national policy guidance, industry association leadership, and corporate self-discipline through measures like "production limits to maintain prices" and "coordinated operating rates" [1] - The company has reported a significant reduction in losses in its polyester industrial yarn business, suggesting an improvement in financial performance [1] - Future profitability is anticipated to improve further as the company shifts towards high-threshold, high-tech, and high-value-added automotive yarn sectors, alongside the ongoing implementation of anti-involution policies and improvements in supply-demand dynamics [1]

Summary of Zhejiang Hailide New Materials Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Zhejiang Hailide New Materials Co., Ltd. was established in 2001 and is a national key high-tech enterprise integrating research, production, and sales. The company specializes in products such as polyester chips, polyester industrial yarns, tire cord fabrics, digital printing materials, coating materials, decorative materials, and stone-plastic flooring, exporting to over 80 countries and regions worldwide. Hailide has become one of the leading providers of products and services globally, supported by a strong team of mid-to-high-end talents and a provincial-level "Key Enterprise Research Institute" for outstanding performance in technology research and development [3][10][11]. Key Points from the Conference Call Strategic Focus and Transformation - Hailide is transitioning from "manufacturing" to "intelligent manufacturing," emphasizing innovation and technology as the foundation for sustainable development. The company is committed to continuous evolution and aims to establish a solid technological foundation through research and development [10][12]. - The company plans to align its development with national strategic needs, setting clear goals for a five-year strategic cycle to promote technological iteration and accelerate industrial upgrades [12]. New Materials Development - Hailide is advancing its new materials projects, focusing on high-performance fibers for applications in composite materials and hydrogen energy. Key developments include: - PPS long fibers achieving mass sales and testing in hydrogen membrane applications - LCP fibers receiving multiple small batch orders - PEEK fibers in the customer sampling stage - Completion of production lines for LCP films and FCCL [14][15]. Competitive Advantages - Hailide's competitive advantages in high-performance fibers include: - Deep technical accumulation with over 20 years of experience in fiber spinning and modification, particularly in high-end automotive and industrial yarns - Full supply chain capabilities from raw material processing to finished product production, ensuring cost control and quality stability - Strong customer certification, with products certified by numerous high-end clients, securing a place in core supply chains - A well-established R&D system with a professional team and pilot testing bases for rapid market response [16]. Industry Trends and Market Position - The tire cord fabric industry is expected to see increased concentration, with high technical and customer certification barriers. Hailide's two-decade technical accumulation provides a first-mover advantage in high-end products, fostering strong partnerships with major tire manufacturers [21]. - The rise of domestic new energy vehicles is anticipated to create growth opportunities for Hailide's automotive yarns, particularly in safety belt and airbag yarns, as these vehicles prefer high-end, lightweight products [22][23]. Capacity Expansion and Global Strategy - Hailide's Vietnam base is focused on expanding production capacity for polyester industrial yarns and tire cord fabrics, with plans to meet global enterprise demands. The dual-base strategy of "domestic + Vietnam" aims to enhance global supply chain responsiveness [24]. - The Vietnam base serves as a hedge against trade tensions, allowing Hailide to mitigate tariff impacts through product exports to markets like Europe and the U.S. [26]. Future Investments and Capital Expenditure - Hailide is pursuing external investments through an industrial fund, focusing on high-performance fibers and life sciences, while planning to allocate resources for capacity expansion in overseas production bases and the industrialization of new materials developed by its research institute [28][30]. Collaboration and Innovation - Hailide has established a joint innovation center with Donghua University, integrating academic research with practical enterprise capabilities to enhance competitiveness in high-end new materials and address domestic substitution challenges [19]. Conclusion - Hailide is strategically positioned for growth through innovation, capacity expansion, and collaboration, with a clear focus on high-performance materials and a robust response to market demands and industry trends. The company's commitment to technology and strategic alignment with national policies will be crucial for its future success.

Core Viewpoint - The company is expanding its production capacity in Vietnam, focusing on polyester industrial yarn and tire cord fabric, with plans to meet global demand from overseas factories [1] Group 1: Production Expansion - The Vietnam base is currently focused on expanding production capacity for polyester industrial yarn and tire cord fabric [1] - The capacity construction is progressing as planned, with new capacity aimed at matching the needs of global enterprises [1] - The company expects to gradually complete the capacity construction in the next 2-3 years, forming a dual-base capacity layout of "domestic + Vietnam" [1] Group 2: Supply Chain Enhancement - The new production capacity will also include supporting polyester chips, enhancing the global supply chain response capability [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company is actively expanding into new materials, and the price gap for polyester industrial yarn has significantly improved year-on-year [2] - The target price has been raised to 10.40 yuan based on the company's growth potential and comparable company valuations [12] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,622 million yuan in 2023 to 6,328 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.7% [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 349 million yuan in 2023 to 675 million yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 17.6% in 2024 and 27.0% in 2025 [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.30 yuan in 2023 to 0.58 yuan in 2027 [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to improve from 9.5% in 2023 to 14.6% in 2027 [4] Business Development - The company plans to establish a subsidiary to implement industrialization projects for spinning oil agents and LCP resins, with an annual production capacity of 6,000 tons of LCP and 10,000 tons of chemical fiber oil agents [12] - The company has successfully developed key preparation technologies for high-end LCP resins and has completed the full process development from small-scale to pilot testing [12] - The polyester industrial yarn price gap has shown significant recovery, with an average price of 8,900 yuan per ton as of January 26, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.30% and a year-on-year increase of 2718.49% [12] International Expansion - The company's Vietnam base is progressing well, with a project to produce 18,000 tons of high-performance tire cord fabric [12] - The company is also implementing a second phase of spinning yarn and supporting polyester chip projects in Vietnam, aiming for a total production scale of 100,000 tons of differentiated polyester fiber industrial yarn and 25,000 tons of polyester chips [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][12]. Core Insights - The company is actively expanding into new materials, and the price gap for polyester industrial yarn has significantly improved year-on-year [2][12]. - The target price has been raised to 10.40 yuan, based on an updated earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 [12][14]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,622 million yuan in 2023 to 6,328 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.7% [4][13]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 349 million yuan in 2023 to 675 million yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 17.6% in 2024 and 27.0% in 2025 [4][13]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.30 yuan in 2023 to 0.58 yuan in 2027 [4][13]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to improve from 9.5% in 2023 to 14.6% in 2027 [4][13]. Business Development - The company plans to establish a subsidiary to implement industrialization projects for spinning oil agents and LCP resin, with a production capacity of 6,000 tons of LCP and 10,000 tons of chemical fiber oil agents [12]. - The company has made significant advancements in the preparation technology for high-end LCP resin and has successfully developed formulations for five types of polyester industrial yarn oil agents [12]. - The company is also expanding its operations in Vietnam, with a project to produce 18,000 tons of high-performance tire cord fabric and additional polyester projects [12].