Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the significant progress in the Protac self-immune track, particularly with Kymera's STAT6 degrader molecule KT-621, which has shown complete degradation of the STAT6 target in both blood and skin at doses of ≥50mg. This molecule has the potential to treat Th2 inflammatory diseases and has demonstrated safety and efficacy comparable or superior to Dupilumab [4][11] - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw a 1.13% increase in the first week of June 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.25 percentage points, ranking 17th among 31 sub-industries [5][14] Summary by Relevant Sections Protac Self-Immune Track Progress - Kymera's KT-621 has achieved complete degradation of the STAT6 target, which is crucial for treating Th2 type inflammatory diseases. The early efficacy and safety data are promising, and further data from patient populations are expected in the next 6-12 months [4][11][12] Market Performance - In the first week of June 2025, the pharmaceutical sector increased by 1.13%, with the raw material drug sector showing the highest growth at 2.89%. Other sectors such as blood products and in vitro diagnostics also performed well, while other biological products experienced a slight decline [5][18][20] - The report indicates that the overall market has been on a downward trend since the beginning of 2025, but the pharmaceutical sector has managed to maintain a positive trajectory [14][22] Recommended and Benefiting Stocks - Recommended stocks in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors include: Heng Rui Medicine, East China Medicine, Sanofi Pharmaceutical, and others. In the CXO category, companies like WuXi AppTec and Tigermed are highlighted. The report also lists various companies across different sub-sectors such as traditional Chinese medicine, raw materials, medical devices, and retail pharmacies [5][24]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the significant progress in the Protac self-immune track, particularly with Kymera's STAT6 degrader molecule KT-621, which has shown complete degradation of the STAT6 target in both blood and skin at doses of ≥50mg. This molecule has the potential to treat Th2 inflammatory diseases and has demonstrated safety and efficacy comparable or superior to Dupilumab [4][11] - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw a 1.13% increase in the first week of June 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.25 percentage points, ranking 17th among 31 sub-industries [5][14] Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Protac Self-Immune Track Progress - Kymera's KT-621 has achieved complete degradation of the STAT6 target, which is crucial for treating Th2 type inflammatory diseases. The early efficacy and safety data are promising, with further data expected in the coming 6-12 months [4][11][12] 2. Market Performance - In the first week of June 2025, the pharmaceutical sector rose by 1.13%, with the raw material drug sector showing the highest increase of 2.89%. Other sectors such as blood products and in vitro diagnostics also performed well, while other biological products saw a slight decline [5][18][20] 3. Recommended and Benefiting Stocks - Recommended stocks include major pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies such as Heng Rui Medicine, Huadong Medicine, and others across various segments including CXO, research services, traditional Chinese medicine, raw materials, medical devices, and retail pharmacies [5][24]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the healthcare sector in China, but it indicates a positive sentiment towards the sector due to recent stock price increases and license-out deals [1][2]. Core Insights - The surge in China biotech and pharma stock prices, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index (HSHI) rising approximately 40% year-to-date, is attributed to significant license-out deals and external macroeconomic factors rather than internal improvements [1][2]. - Investors have polarized views on the sustainability of the recent rally, with some attributing it to external changes in the macro environment, particularly in the US healthcare policy landscape [2][3]. - There is a divergence in investor sentiment regarding license-out deals, with some viewing them as one-off events while others are optimistic about continuous outbound deals from Chinese biotech and pharma companies [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The healthcare sector in China has experienced a notable increase in stock prices since the beginning of 2025, driven by significant license-out deals and macroeconomic shifts [1]. Investor Sentiment - Investors are divided on the reasons behind the stock price rally, with many attributing it to external macroeconomic factors rather than improvements within the Chinese healthcare sector [2]. - Concerns exist regarding the sustainability of license-out deals, with some investors cautious about potential equity financing and the consistency of license income [3]. Fund Manager Perspectives - Generalist fund managers who missed the recent rally are now looking to participate, viewing biotech and pharma firms as a safe haven amid changing macro dynamics [4]. - There is a contrast between bullish investors, who are not concerned about current elevated valuations, and bearish investors, who prefer healthcare laggards with stable revenue growth and dividend payouts [4].

Core Insights - The CXO industry appears to have emerged from a downturn in 2025, with notable profit growth among key players such as WuXi AppTec (89.06%), Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (32.54%), and Kelun Pharmaceutical (15.83%) [2] - However, Tigermed stands out as the only major player in the CXO sector experiencing a decline, with a 29.61% year-on-year drop in Q1 2025 following a 79.99% decline in 2024 [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tigermed reported revenue of 1.564 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 165 million yuan, down 29.61% [3] - The gross margin fell from 37.83% in Q1 2024 to 30.03% in Q1 2025, indicating significant challenges in profitability [3] - For the full year 2024, Tigermed's revenue was 6.603 billion yuan, a decline of 10.58%, with net profit plummeting to 405 million yuan, a drop of 79.99% [4][7] Profitability Metrics - Tigermed's profitability has sharply declined, with gross margin decreasing from 47.43% in 2020 to 33.95% in 2024, and further to 30.03% in Q1 2025 [5] - The net profit margin also fell from 63.56% in 2020 to 6.78% in 2024, highlighting a severe reduction in profitability [5] Market Dynamics - The decline in Tigermed's performance is attributed to increased competition and a reduction in financing for innovative drug companies, which impacts order volumes [8][9] - In 2024, the domestic innovative drug financing dropped to approximately 4.2 billion USD, a nearly 20% decrease, affecting cash flow for many companies [9] Strategic Positioning - Tigermed operates as both a CRO service provider and an investment entity, which has created challenges during industry downturns [10] - As of the end of 2024, Tigermed held non-current financial assets worth 10.1 billion yuan, including equity investments in several medical companies [10] - The company reported a significant loss of 502 million yuan in fair value changes in 2024, which heavily impacted its net profit [10] Contractual Developments - Despite the challenges, Tigermed secured new contracts worth 10.12 billion yuan in 2024, with a net increase of 8.42 billion yuan after cancellations, indicating some resilience [10] - In Q1 2025, the net new contract amount exceeded 2 billion yuan, reflecting a 20% year-on-year growth, primarily driven by demand from multinational pharmaceutical companies [11] Expansion Efforts - Tigermed has also completed the acquisition of Japanese CRO Medical Edge to accelerate its overseas expansion [12] - The effectiveness of these measures in mitigating the impact of investment volatility remains uncertain [12]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly in the innovative drug sector, is attributed to significant inflows of capital and positive developments in clinical research, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the industry [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed slight gains, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug ETF (159570) rising by 3.88% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 5 billion yuan [1]. - The ETF experienced a net inflow of over 21 million yuan during the trading session, following a substantial inflow of over 91 million yuan the previous day [1]. Group 2: Company Developments - The constituent stocks of the Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug ETF saw collective gains, with notable increases such as over 15% for Innovent Biologics and over 3% for both CSPC Pharmaceutical Group and CanSino Biologics [3]. - Innovent Biologics presented promising clinical data at the 2025 ASCO annual meeting, showcasing its first-in-class PD-1/IL-2α-bias bispecific antibody IBI363 for treating advanced non-small cell lung cancer [3]. - Morgan Stanley has raised its sales forecasts for Innovent's products, indicating strong potential for IBI363 and IBI343 in both domestic and international markets [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The current wave of innovation in the pharmaceutical sector is seen as a natural progression of China's pharmaceutical industry, with a significant increase in the number of innovative drugs entering the market [4]. - The period from 2025 to 2028 is projected to be critical for Chinese innovative drug companies as they are expected to collectively enter a profitability phase, marking a significant shift in the industry [4]. - The ASCO conference highlighted a record number of 73 oral presentations for Chinese innovative drug assets, reflecting the growing international recognition and demand for these products [5]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug ETF (159570) is noted for its high concentration in innovative drug companies, with over 72% of its top ten holdings in leading firms [9]. - The ETF is characterized by a high weight of innovative drugs (up to 85%) and a relatively low valuation compared to the market, making it an attractive investment option [9]. - The Chinese innovative drug sector is experiencing a surge in business development (BD) activities, with increasing recognition and transaction values for innovative drug assets [6][7].

Group 1 - The company is a global leader in the one-stop CRDMO service platform, providing comprehensive services for drug discovery, preclinical and clinical development, and commercial production for various therapies since its IPO in 2019 [1] - The company's revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 27.13% from 2018 to 2024, while net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow at a CAGR of 32.39% during the same period [1] - The number of projects and new order amounts continue to increase, with new orders expected to grow over 20% year-on-year in 2024, ensuring stable performance for the company [1] Group 2 - The global pharmaceutical R&D market remains robust, with strong outsourcing demand for CXO services [1] - According to Frost & Sullivan, the global market sizes for drug discovery CRO, clinical CRO, and CDMO in 2022 were $180 billion, $547 billion, and $749 billion, respectively, and are projected to grow to $359 billion, $818 billion, and $1,573 billion by 2027, with respective 5-year CAGRs of 14.8%, 8.4%, and 16.0% [1] - China's CXO companies are expected to increase their market share in global drug discovery CRO, clinical CRO, and CDMO from 17.7%, 10.8%, and 13.2% in 2022 to 25.3%, 22.2%, and 21.2% by 2027 [1] Group 3 - The company maintains a customer-oriented approach, with 74.84% of revenue in 2024 coming from clients using multiple services [2] - The company introduced over 900 new clients in 2024, contributing to 5.34% of revenue [2] - The company has established 21 operational entities globally, including 11 overseas, enhancing customer communication and reducing geopolitical risks [2] Group 4 - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 136.38 billion, 154.47 billion, and 176.27 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 11.10%, 13.26%, and 14.12% respectively [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 18.15 billion, 21.18 billion, and 25.41 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 1.20%, 16.69%, and 19.98% respectively [2] - The company is rated as a "buy" due to its unique integrated CRDMO capabilities and sufficient order backlog [2]

2024年，全球资产价格主要受地缘政治、美国大选、大国博弈以及经济下行等多重不确定因素影响。国内9月份以 来出台一系列政策组合拳，拉升消费内需，提振资本市场，缓和中美关系或是未来一年的市场焦点。 展望2025年的报告有很多，外资行当下比较一致的不确定是经济是否可以企稳，而比较确定的是全球利率会在未 来一年持续走低，尽管美国数据强劲，但降息周期基本是确定的，而医药行业也将迎来新的拐点。 如果拉长时间周期，医药几乎是长牛，全球医疗也一直在长牛，纳斯达克生物指数从2009年的650点，上涨至最新 4310点，期间涨幅度5.6倍，只不过近三年一直处于调整期，包括全球医疗指数。 申万医药指数近三年最高点回撤超过50%，XBI-标普生物指数高点回撤也接近50%，也就是说全球医疗过去三年 都在经历回撤，XBI和纳指生物几乎覆盖了全球顶级的生物科技型企业。 再叠加美联储加息，Biotech产业的负面反馈，也直接影响到一级市场估值，而一级市场的估值又直接决定了研发 的资本开支，所以过去这两年，有大量投资者抄底医药，最终都铩羽而归。 尽管部分噪声仍对葛兰的交易颇有微词，但从最新的业绩上来看，近六个月中欧医疗健康的收益已经表现出一 ...

Core Insights - The CXO sector has shown significant improvement in Q1 2025, marking a recovery from the previous year's downturn [1] - WuXi AppTec (药明康德) reported a remarkable revenue increase of 21.0% year-on-year to 9.65 billion yuan, with net profit soaring by 89.1% to 3.67 billion yuan [1] - The order volume for CXO companies has rebounded, with WuXi AppTec's total orders reaching 52.33 billion yuan, up 47.1% year-on-year [1] Company Performance - WuXi AppTec's Q1 revenue and net profit growth highlights its strong market position and operational efficiency [1] - Kanglong Chemical (康龙化成) also performed well, with a revenue increase of 16.03% to 3.099 billion yuan and a net profit growth of 32.54% to 306 million yuan [1] - In contrast, Tigermed (泰格医药) faced a decline in revenue by 10.58% to 6.603 billion yuan and a significant drop in net profit by 42.13% to 855 million yuan in 2024 [2][3] Challenges Faced by Tigermed - Tigermed's clinical trial services segment saw a revenue decline of 23.75% to 3.178 billion yuan, primarily due to funding issues faced by clients [2] - The company experienced a drastic drop in gross margin, with Q4 gross margin plummeting to 17.7% [2] - Non-operating losses turned negative at -476 million yuan in 2024, reflecting the impact of a downturn in the biopharmaceutical investment environment [2] Regional Performance - Tigermed's domestic revenue fell by 17.11%, significantly outpacing the 3.29% decline in international markets [3] - Despite a slight revenue recovery in Q1 2025, the overall growth trend remains weak due to increased competition [3][5] Strategic Adjustments - Tigermed is attempting to streamline operations by cutting unprofitable business lines and focusing on core services, but these adjustments are seen as insufficient [3][4] - The company is exploring AI integration to enhance efficiency, but current efforts have not yet yielded significant improvements in profitability [3][7] Industry Trends - Leading CXO firms like WuXi AppTec and Kelaiying (凯莱英) are establishing competitive advantages through high-end service offerings and technological integration [6][8] - WuXi AppTec's TIDES business saw a staggering revenue increase of 187.6% to 2.24 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [6] - The overall pricing environment in the CXO industry has been under pressure, with service prices dropping to about 70% of 2022 levels [8] Market Outlook - The industry is experiencing a structural shift, with top firms leveraging high-value services and global expansion to maintain competitiveness [8] - Current market valuations have adjusted to a PE range of 10-20 times, reflecting a recalibration of profit growth expectations [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the continuous catalysis in the innovative drug sector of the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, with a focus on areas such as anti-tumor, autoimmune, GLP-1, stem cells, and gene therapy [1] - The CXO sector is expected to see a valuation recovery due to supportive policies for innovative drug development in China and a reduction in overseas geopolitical risks [1] - In the blood products sector, there is an increasing demand for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) in critical care, driven by an expanding market and a price increase in high-end chromatography IVIG, with a short-term shortage expected to persist [1] Group 2 - The vaccine sector is under pressure, but some key companies are showing marginal performance improvements, with attention on new areas such as shingles and the penetration potential of domestic high-cost performance HPV manufacturers [1] - In traditional Chinese medicine, it is recommended to focus on companies related to fertility subsidies [1] - The medical device sector is experiencing accelerated replacement due to centralized procurement, with a focus on the replacement potential in electrophysiology and neurointervention fields [1] Group 3 - The low-value consumables industry is gradually completing inventory destocking, with attention on cyclical upward opportunities and the potential of the GLP-1 industry chain [1] - The Vaccine ETF (159643) tracks the Vaccine Biotechnology Index (980015), which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting listed companies involved in vaccine research, production, and sales from the A-share market [1] - The Vaccine Biotechnology Index aims to reflect the overall performance of listed companies related to vaccines and biotechnology [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the innovative drug sector is experiencing a positive market response, with significant gains in related indices and ETFs, driven by optimism surrounding upcoming international conferences and research outcomes [1][2][3] - The 国证港股通创新药指数 saw a peak increase of 4.24%, while the 港股创新药ETF reached a peak increase of 3.89%, indicating strong investor interest [1] - Major domestic innovative drug companies, including 恒瑞医药, 信立泰, and 中国生物制药, have multiple research results selected for presentation at the upcoming ASCO annual meeting, highlighting the sector's growth potential [1][2] Group 2 - The optimization of centralized procurement policies is expected to benefit the supply and market competition of generic drugs, enhancing industry efficiency [2] - The upcoming 2025 medical insurance negotiations and adjustments to the Class B catalog are anticipated to shorten the R&D return cycle for companies, supporting the development of innovative drugs [2] - The innovative drug sector is receiving policy support, with an expected increase in success rates for medical insurance negotiations and potential for commercial insurance payment expansion [2][3] Group 3 - The pharmaceutical sector is seeing strong performance in innovative drugs, medical infrastructure, and pharmacies, with a focus on market pricing power and funding changes [3] - Domestic biotech companies are leading globally in areas such as dual-antibody ADCs, indicating a competitive edge in the innovative drug space [3] - The raw material drug industry is benefiting from patent expirations and improved demand, with a focus on companies expanding into formulations and CDMO [3]