1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold: Downward revision of non - farm payrolls [2] - Silver: Breakout upward [2] - Copper: Driven by multiple logics, price increases [2] - Zinc: Maintains a sideways trend [2] - Lead: Reduced inventory supports the price [2] - Tin: Ranges sideways [2] - Aluminum: Ranges sideways; Alumina: Rebounds upward; Cast aluminum alloy: Follows electrolytic aluminum [2] - Nickel: Contradictions in the smelting end are not prominent, focus on news - related risks at the ore end [2] - Stainless steel: Long - and short - term logics compete, steel prices may fluctuate [2] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Gold and Silver - **Fundamental Data**: Yesterday, the closing prices of various gold and silver products showed different degrees of increase, such as the daily increase of Shanghai Gold 2510 being 0.41%. The trading volume and positions of some contracts also changed. For example, the trading volume of Shanghai Silver 2510 increased by 326,453 compared with the previous day. The inventory of some products also changed, like the Shanghai Gold inventory increased by 2,799 kilograms [5]. - **Macro and Industry News**: There are various news including Sino - US reaching a basic framework consensus on resolving the TikTok issue, China's market regulatory authority investigating NVIDIA for anti - monopoly, and China's economic data in August showing characteristics of "slow industry, weak investment, and light consumption" [5][7][8]. - **Trend Intensity**: Gold trend intensity is 0, silver trend intensity is 0 [9]. Copper - **Fundamental Data**: The closing price of the Shanghai copper main contract decreased by 0.15% during the day and increased by 0.54% during the night session. The trading volume and positions of futures contracts changed, and the inventory of Shanghai copper increased by 5,083 tons [11]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Investors almost consider the Fed's interest rate cut this week a certainty. The Trump administration announced a reduction in the import tariff on Japanese cars to 15%. Anglo American and Teck Resources agreed to merge, and Peru's copper production in July increased by 2% year - on - year [11][13]. - **Trend Intensity**: Copper trend intensity is 1 [13]. Zinc - **Fundamental Data**: The closing price of the Shanghai zinc main contract increased by 0.02%, and the trading volume and positions of futures contracts changed. The inventory of Shanghai zinc increased by 5,466 tons [14]. - **News**: The market regulatory authority investigated NVIDIA for anti - monopoly, and major car companies responded to the "60 - day payment term" initiative [15]. - **Trend Intensity**: Zinc trend intensity is 0 [16]. Lead - **Fundamental Data**: The closing price of the Shanghai lead main contract increased by 0.70%, and the trading volume and positions of futures contracts changed. The inventory of Shanghai lead decreased by 68 tons, and the LME lead inventory decreased by 3,950 tons [17]. - **News**: Investors almost consider the Fed's interest rate cut this week a certainty, and the Trump administration reduced the import tariff on Japanese cars [18]. - **Trend Intensity**: Lead trend intensity is 0 [18]. Tin - **Fundamental Data**: The closing price of the Shanghai tin main contract increased by 0.99% during the day and 0.48% during the night session. The trading volume and positions of futures contracts changed, and the Shanghai tin inventory decreased by 178 tons [21]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Similar to the gold and silver section, there are multiple macro - level news [22]. - **Trend Intensity**: Tin trend intensity is 0 [23]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Fundamental Data**: The closing price of the Shanghai aluminum main contract decreased by 100 compared with T - 1. The trading volume and positions of futures contracts changed. The inventory of domestic aluminum ingots increased by 1.10 million tons. The closing price of the Shanghai alumina main contract increased by 21 compared with T - 1 [24]. - **Comprehensive News**: An important article by General Secretary Xi Jinping was published in Qiushi Journal [26]. - **Trend Intensity**: Aluminum trend intensity is 0, alumina trend intensity is 0, and aluminum alloy trend intensity is 0 [26]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Fundamental Data**: The closing price of the Shanghai nickel main contract increased by 1,360 compared with T - 1. The trading volume and positions of futures contracts changed. The price of some nickel - related products and the spread between contracts also changed [27]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The Indonesian CNI nickel - iron project entered the trial - production stage, environmental violations were found in the IMIP, and Indonesia planned to shorten the mining quota period [27][28][30]. - **Trend Intensity**: Nickel trend intensity is 0, stainless steel trend intensity is 0 [33].

Summary of Market Transactions on September 12, 2025 Core Insights - The overall market transactions showed a mixed performance across different sectors, with significant variations in both transaction volumes and holding amounts [1]. Group 1: Stock Index Sector - Stock index sector transactions amounted to 860.73 billion, reflecting a decrease of 15.38% compared to the previous period [1]. - The holding amount in this sector was 1381.94 billion, down by 1.89% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio stood at 61.92% [1]. Group 2: Government Bonds Sector - Government bonds transactions totaled 458.80 billion, a decline of 20.23% [1]. - The holding amount reached 723.76 billion, decreasing by 1.75% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 64.11% [1]. Group 3: Base Metals Sector - Base metals transactions were recorded at 358.52 billion, an increase of 27.67% [1]. - The holding amount in this sector was 523.79 billion, up by 3.58% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 74.07% [1]. Group 4: Precious Metals Sector - Precious metals transactions amounted to 477.79 billion, showing a significant increase of 34.69% [1]. - The holding amount was 504.51 billion, with a slight increase of 2.04% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was notably high at 131.45% [1]. Group 5: Energy and Chemicals Sector - Energy and chemicals transactions reached 389.62 billion, reflecting a growth of 7.51% [1]. - The holding amount was 446.53 billion, with a marginal increase of 0.44% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 67.68% [1]. Group 6: Agricultural Products Sector - Agricultural products transactions totaled 278.19 billion, down by 4.69% [1]. - The holding amount was 553.24 billion, showing a negligible change of 0.02% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 42.87% [1]. Group 7: Black Building Materials Sector - Black building materials transactions amounted to 283.25 billion, an increase of 5.40% [1]. - The holding amount was 372.92 billion, down by 1.70% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 77.39% [1].

Summary of Market Transactions and Positions Core Insights - The overall market transactions across various sectors showed a mixed performance, with significant fluctuations in both transaction volumes and positions compared to previous periods [1]. Sector-wise Summary - **Stock Index Sector**: - Transaction volume reached 860.73 billion, down by 15.38% from the previous period - Position amount was 1,381.94 billion, down by 1.89% - Transaction-to-position ratio stood at 61.92% [1] - **Government Bonds Sector**: - Transaction volume was 458.80 billion, down by 20.23% - Position amount was 723.76 billion, down by 1.75% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 64.11% [1] - **Base Metals Sector**: - Transaction volume increased to 358.52 billion, up by 27.67% - Position amount was 523.79 billion, up by 3.58% - Transaction-to-position ratio reached 74.07% [1] - **Precious Metals Sector**: - Transaction volume surged to 477.79 billion, up by 34.69% - Position amount was 504.51 billion, up by 2.04% - Transaction-to-position ratio was notably high at 131.45% [1] - **Energy and Chemicals Sector**: - Transaction volume was 389.62 billion, up by 7.51% - Position amount was 446.53 billion, up by 0.44% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 67.68% [1] - **Agricultural Products Sector**: - Transaction volume decreased to 278.19 billion, down by 4.69% - Position amount was 553.24 billion, up by 0.02% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 42.87% [1] - **Black Building Materials Sector**: - Transaction volume increased to 283.25 billion, up by 5.40% - Position amount was 372.92 billion, down by 1.70% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 77.39% [1]

Core Viewpoint - London base metals experienced a broad increase on September 12, with significant weekly gains across various metals [1] Summary by Category Price Movements - LME zinc rose by 1.93% to $2,956.00 per ton, with a weekly increase of 3.32% [1] - LME nickel increased by 1.52% to $15,380.00 per ton, with a weekly rise of 0.95% [1] - LME lead saw a 1.13% increase to $2,019.00 per ton, accumulating a weekly gain of 1.71% [1] - LME aluminum climbed by 1.03% to $2,701.00 per ton, with a weekly increase of 3.86% [1] - LME tin rose by 0.74% to $34,955.00 per ton, with a weekly gain of 1.87% [1] - LME copper experienced a slight increase of 0.13% to $10,064.50 per ton, accumulating a weekly rise of 1.69% [1]

Core Viewpoint - On September 11, 2023, London base metals experienced a broad increase in prices, indicating a positive trend in the commodities market [1] Group 1: Price Movements - LME aluminum rose by 2.06% to $2679.00 per ton [1] - LME zinc increased by 0.64% to $2905.00 per ton [1] - LME nickel saw a rise of 0.49% to $15220.00 per ton [1] - LME copper climbed by 0.44% to $10057.00 per ton [1] - LME lead gained 0.43% to $1995.50 per ton [1] - LME tin increased by 0.27% to $34700.00 per ton [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.29%, down 75 points, closing at 26,124 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.09%. The early trading volume in Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 176.3 billion [1]. Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical sector experienced a significant decline, with multiple stocks opening down over 10%. Reports indicate that the Trump administration is considering restrictions on Chinese pharmaceuticals. Notable declines include Hansoh Pharmaceutical down 9%, CSPC Pharmaceutical down 7.5%, and Innovent Biologics down 3.3% [1]. Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector saw gains, driven by a quarter-on-quarter increase in basic metal performance. Companies such as China Hongqiao rose by 3.97%, Jiangxi Copper by 3.2%, and China Aluminum by 3.64% [1]. Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its "AI-driven + self-controlled" dual development trend in the second half of the year. Semiconductor stocks collectively rose, with Hua Hong Semiconductor and SMIC both increasing by over 5% [1]. Telecommunications - ZTE Corporation saw a rise of 7.62%, as the company accelerates its expansion from connectivity to computing power, with institutions optimistic about its stable performance [1]. Virtual Asset Trading - Yunfeng Financial surged over 18%, following a nearly 28% increase the previous day, after receiving approval to provide virtual asset trading services [2]. Fiber Optics - Longi Fiber Optics experienced a rise of over 14%, driven by increased demand for AI-driven data center interconnectivity, with institutions viewing the company as a core beneficiary [2]. Biotechnology - Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals increased by over 5%, as its drug Taitasip became the first biopharmaceutical to apply for listing in the field of Sjögren's syndrome globally [3]. Clinical Trials - Yaojie Ankang-B saw an increase of over 11%, with its market capitalization surpassing HKD 40 billion after receiving approval to conduct Phase II clinical trials for its drug Tienogitini [4]. Technology Sector - Huiju Technology rose over 10% after entering the Hong Kong Stock Connect list, with expectations of rapid growth in its MPO business over the coming years [5]. Strategic Partnerships - Charoen Pokphand International rose by 3% following a strategic partnership with Muyuan Group, as the company is a producer of the antibiotic goldmine under Charoen's umbrella [5]. Market Trends - Shenzhou Holdings increased by over 8%, driven by hot concepts and performance growth propelling its stock price [5].

Group 1 - Non-ferrous stocks are rising against the market trend, with China Hongqiao up 4.96% to HKD 25.4, Jiangxi Copper up 4.43% to HKD 25.46, China Aluminum up 3.49% to HKD 7.11, and Luoyang Molybdenum up 3.14% to HKD 12.49 [1] - Changjiang Securities reports that the net profit of the base metals sector is expected to grow by 27% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of CNY 37.644 billion in Q2 2025, reflecting a 14% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The growth in the first half of 2025 is attributed to a phase of upward resonance in the manufacturing sectors of China and the US, along with expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to an increase in base metal prices [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities indicates that the significant underperformance of the US non-farm payroll data ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting makes a rate cut announcement almost certain, with an 80% probability of three rate cuts within the year [2] - The prices of industrial metals are influenced by both financial and commodity attributes, with the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle and global copper and aluminum inventories at relatively low levels [2] - The recovery of the Chinese economy, combined with the demand boost from the renewable energy sector, is expected to improve the demand for copper and aluminum [2]

Group 1 - Non-ferrous stocks are rising against the market trend, with China Hongqiao up 4.96% to HKD 25.4, Jiangxi Copper up 4.43% to HKD 25.46, China Aluminum up 3.49% to HKD 7.11, and Luoyang Molybdenum up 3.14% to HKD 12.49 [1] - Changjiang Securities reports that the net profit of the base metals sector is expected to grow by 27% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of CNY 37.644 billion in Q2 2025, reflecting a 14% year-on-year increase and a 15% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The growth in the first half of 2025 is attributed to a phase of upward resonance in the manufacturing sectors of China and the US, along with expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which will elevate the price center of base metal commodities [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities indicates that the significant underperformance of the US non-farm payroll data ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting makes a rate cut announcement almost certain, with an 80% probability of three rate cuts within the year [2] - The prices of industrial metals are influenced by both financial and commodity attributes, with the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle and global copper and aluminum inventories being relatively low [2] - The recovery of the Chinese economy, coupled with the demand growth driven by the renewable energy sector, is expected to improve the demand for copper and aluminum [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [10] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to show strong performance, with basic metals experiencing a net profit growth of 27% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by a rebound in manufacturing and expectations of interest rate cuts [4][19] - Gold maintains a bullish market trend, with significant profit elasticity due to rising production capacity and price increases [5][19] - Energy metals show mixed performance, with lithium prices under pressure while cobalt prices improve, leading to better profitability for cobalt-related companies [6][19] - Rare earth materials are recovering as export controls enhance their strategic value, with prices stabilizing after previous declines [7][19] - Titanium materials are gradually improving in profitability, awaiting a recovery in high-end demand [8][19] Summary by Sections Basic Metals - In the first half of 2025, the basic metals sector achieved a net profit of 703.79 billion yuan, a 26.67% increase year-on-year, with a revenue growth of 4.24% [21][30] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a net profit of 376.44 billion yuan, up 14% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter, attributed to easing tariff pressures and strong industrial performance [4][37] Gold - The gold sector experienced a revenue increase of 25.94% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with net profit soaring by 58.95% [14][19] - In Q2 2025, gold prices reached new highs, driven by trade conflicts and recession expectations, leading to significant profit elasticity for gold mining companies [5][19] Energy Metals - The energy metals sector faced a decline in lithium prices, with a year-on-year revenue decrease of 4.76% in the first half of 2025, while cobalt prices improved significantly [6][19] - Cobalt prices are recovering due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has implemented export bans [6][19] Rare Earth Materials - The rare earth sector saw a revenue increase of 12.74% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with net profit growth of 260.72% [19][21] - Export controls and new regulations are expected to enhance the strategic value of rare earth materials, supporting price recovery [7][19] Titanium Materials - The titanium sector reported a slight revenue decrease of 0.90% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with net profit down by 4.04% [19][21] - There is an expectation of improved profitability as high-end demand begins to recover [8][19]

Group 1: Oil Market - Oil prices have risen for three consecutive days, driven by market speculation regarding Trump's potential actions on Russian energy [3] - Concerns over Russian energy sanctions have led traders to cover short positions, increasing supply worries [3] - The U.S. PPI decline in August has intensified expectations for Fed rate cuts, supporting energy demand [3] - As of the latest report, WTI crude oil rose by 1.7% to $63.67 per barrel, while Brent crude oil also increased by 1.7% to $67.49 per barrel [3] Group 2: Precious Metals - Gold prices have increased, benefiting from the recent U.S. inflation data, with August PPI showing its first decline in four months [4] - Market expectations now lean towards three rate cuts by the Fed for the remainder of the year [4] - ANZ analysts have raised their year-end gold price forecast by $200 to $3,800 per ounce, citing increased gold holdings in China and India [4] - Palladium prices surged by 4.7% due to supply concerns linked to potential tariffs on Indian imports, as Russia is the largest supplier of palladium [4] - As of the latest report, spot gold rose by 0.5% to $3,644.74 per ounce [4] Group 3: Base Metals - Copper prices have surpassed $10,000 per ton, primarily due to supply risks from Indonesia's Freeport McMoRan Grasberg mine, which has halted operations following an accident [5] - Other base metals also experienced slight increases, with LME aluminum up by 0.1%, nickel by 0.27%, and zinc by 1.07% [5] - The movements in commodity prices are closely linked to geopolitical events and supply chain changes, as well as Fed policy expectations [5]