Core Viewpoint - The majority of base metals in London experienced price fluctuations, with some increasing while others decreased on November 6th [1] Price Movements - LME copper decreased by 0.1%, settling at $10,687 per ton [1] - LME zinc increased by 0.26%, reaching $3,051 per ton [1] - LME nickel saw a rise of 0.13%, priced at $15,055 per ton [1] - LME aluminum fell by 0.25%, now at $2,843 per ton [1] - LME tin rose by 0.31%, with a price of $35,760 per ton [1] - LME lead increased by 0.82%, priced at $2,036.5 per ton [1]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to the 4000-point mark, closing at 4004 points, up 0.97% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.84%, while the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index surged by 3.34% [1] Trading Volume and Market Activity - The total market turnover reached 2.08 trillion yuan, an increase of 181.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 2900 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - Fertilizer and phosphorus chemical sectors saw significant gains, with stocks like Yuntianhua and Batian Co. hitting the daily limit [2][4] - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a strong performance, with companies such as China Aluminum and Minfa Aluminum reaching the daily limit [6][7] - The storage chip sector also saw substantial increases, with stocks like Yishitong and Aisen Co. rising over 10% [9][10] - The robotics sector showed positive movement, with stocks like Greening Harmonics and Ruishun Technology gaining over 5% [11][12] - Power equipment stocks strengthened, with companies like Moen Electric and China West Electric hitting the daily limit [14][15] Notable Individual Stocks - Qing Shui Yuan saw a rise of 20.04%, closing at 12.22 yuan, while Chengxing Co. and Batian Co. both increased by over 10% [5] - China Aluminum and Minfa Aluminum both rose by 10.03%, closing at 10.86 yuan and 4.28 yuan respectively [7] - Yishitong surged by 10.57%, closing at 34.00 yuan, while Aisen Co. rose by 10.38% to 60.73 yuan [10] Market Outlook - According to Debon Securities, the market is expected to continue its recent strong sector performance, with rotation among stocks likely to enhance market activity [20]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to the 4000-point level, closing at 4004 points, up 0.97% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.73%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 1.84%, and the STAR Market 50 Index surged by 3.34% [1][2] - Total market turnover reached 2.08 trillion yuan, an increase of 181.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 2900 stocks rising [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 4007.76 (+38.51, +0.97%) [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 13452.42 (+228.86, +1.73%) [2] - ChiNext Index: 3224.62 (+58.39, +1.84%) [2] - STAR Market 50 Index: 1436.86 (+46.46, +3.34%) [2] - CSI 300 Index: 4693.40 (+66.15, +1.43%) [2] - CSI 500 Index: 7345.72 (+116.38, +1.61%) [2] Sector Performance - Fertilizer and phosphorus chemical sectors saw significant gains, with stocks like Yuntianhua and Batian Co. hitting the daily limit [3] - Nearly 70% of non-ferrous metal stocks reported net profit growth in Q3, leading to a surge in the non-ferrous metals sector, with companies like Aluminum Corporation of China and Nanshan Aluminum also hitting the daily limit [3] - The robotics sector was active following the debut of Xiaopeng's humanoid robot IRON, with Hanyu Group reaching its daily limit [3] - The semiconductor, storage chip, power equipment, and lidar sectors were among the top gainers [3] Declining Sectors - The Hainan sector, which had seen consecutive gains, experienced a pullback, with Haikong Group hitting the daily limit down [3] - The shipbuilding sector declined, led by Jianglong Shipbuilding [3] - The tourism and hotel sector weakened, with Dalian Shengya hitting the daily limit down [3] - Sectors related to film, duty-free, and short dramas saw the largest declines [3]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to the 4000-point mark, closing at 4004 points, up 0.97% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.73%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 1.84%, and the STAR Market 50 Index surged by 3.34% [1] - The total market turnover reached 2.08 trillion yuan, an increase of 181.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 2900 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The fertilizer and phosphate chemical sectors saw significant gains, with companies like Yuntianhua and Batian Co. hitting the daily limit [1] - Nearly 70% of non-ferrous metal stocks reported net profit growth in the first three quarters, leading to a surge in the non-ferrous metals sector, with China Aluminum and Nanshan Aluminum also hitting the daily limit [1] - The robotics sector was active following the debut of XPeng's humanoid robot IRON, with Hanyu Group reaching the daily limit [1] - The CPO concept stocks rose, with Kewan Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - Sectors such as semiconductors, storage chips, power equipment, and lidar technology saw significant gains [1] Declining Sectors - The Hainan sector, which had seen consecutive gains, experienced a pullback, with Haikou Group hitting the daily limit down [1] - The shipbuilding sector declined, led by Jianglong Shipbuilding [1] - The tourism and hotel sector weakened, with Dalian Shengya hitting the daily limit down [1] - Sectors related to film, duty-free, and short dramas saw the largest declines [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold: The ongoing government shutdown continues to affect liquidity [2][4]. - Silver: Expected to rebound with oscillations [2][5]. - Copper: Lacks clear drivers, with prices expected to oscillate [2][9]. - Zinc: Expected to trade within a range [2][12]. - Lead: Reduced overseas inventories support prices [2][16]. - Tin: Attention should be paid to macro - impacts [2][19]. - Aluminum: Expected to perform strongly [2][23]. - Alumina: Expected to rebound from the bottom [2][23]. - Cast aluminum alloy: Expected to follow the trend of electrolytic aluminum [2][23]. - Nickel: Constrained by inventory accumulation at the smelting end, supported by uncertainties at the mine end [2][25]. - Stainless steel: Steel prices are expected to oscillate narrowly at a low level [2][25]. 3. Summary by Commodity Gold - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Gold 2512 closed at 912.26 with a daily decline of 0.36% and a night - session increase of 0.63% to 916.38; Comex Gold 2512 rose 1.25% to 3990.40 [5]. - **Trend Strength**: Gold trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral view [7]. Silver - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Silver 2512 closed at 11276 with a daily increase of 0.33% and a night - session increase of 1.58% to 11381; Comex Silver 2512 rose 2.06% [5]. - **Trend Strength**: Silver trend strength is - 1, indicating a weak - bearish view [7]. Copper - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Copper main contract closed at 85670 with a daily decline of 0.08% and a night - session increase of 0.27% to 85900; LME Copper 3M rose 0.79% to 10733 [9]. - **Industry News**: Chile's state - owned mining company ENAMI obtained environmental permits for a new $1.7 billion copper smelter; Indonesia granted Amman Mineral International a 400,000 - ton copper concentrate export quota; Chile's September copper production was 456,663 tons, up 7.79% month - on - month and down 4.5% year - on - year; Glencore plans to close its Canadian smelter and refinery [9][11]. - **Trend Strength**: Copper trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral view [11]. Zinc - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Zinc main contract closed at 22650 with a daily decline of 0.09%; LME Zinc 3M closed at 3077.5 with a decline of 0.98% [12]. - **Trend Strength**: Zinc trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral view [15]. Lead - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Lead main contract closed at 17475 with a daily increase of 0.34%; LME Lead 3M closed at 2021 with a decline of 0.44% [16]. - **Trend Strength**: Lead trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral view [17]. Tin - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Tin main contract closed at 282090 with a daily decline of 0.58% and a night - session increase of 0.28% to 282820; LME Tin 3M rose 0.21% to 35745 [19]. - **Trend Strength**: Tin trend strength is 1, indicating a slightly bullish view [22]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Aluminum main contract closed at 21395, Shanghai Alumina main contract closed at 2772, and the aluminum alloy main contract closed at 20830 [23]. - **Industry News**: US employment showed signs of stabilization; the US October ISM services PMI rebounded strongly [24]. - **Trend Strength**: Aluminum, alumina, and aluminum alloy trend strengths are all 0, indicating neutral views [24]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Price and Performance**: Shanghai Nickel main contract closed at 120030, and the stainless - steel main contract closed at 12535 [25]. - **Industry News**: An Indonesian nickel mine was taken over by the forestry working group; China suspended a non - official subsidy for imported copper and nickel from Russia; Indonesia imposed sanctions on 190 mining companies; Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on China [25][26][27]. - **Trend Strength**: Nickel and stainless - steel trend strengths are both 0, indicating neutral views [27].

Core Viewpoint - London base metals showed mixed performance on November 3, with zinc and aluminum prices increasing while copper and nickel prices declined [1] Price Movements - LME zinc rose by 1.72% to $3,108.00 per ton [1] - LME aluminum increased by 0.85% to $2,908.50 per ton [1] - LME lead saw a rise of 0.64% to $2,030.00 per ton [1] - LME tin decreased by 0.47% to $35,915.00 per ton [1] - LME copper fell by 0.63% to $10,819.00 per ton [1] - LME nickel dropped by 0.73% to $15,115.00 per ton [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on Copper Market Industry Overview - The report focuses on the copper market, highlighting recent price movements and underlying factors affecting supply and demand dynamics [1][2][22]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Current Price Levels**: Copper prices have recently surpassed historical highs, currently trading above $11,200 per ton, but any breakout is expected to be temporary [1][2]. - **Price Drivers**: The 15% price increase from January to mid-September was primarily driven by a weaker dollar, improved growth expectations in China, and tightening physical copper markets outside the US [1][2]. - **Investor Sentiment**: The surge to $11,200 per ton was largely fueled by bullish investor sentiment, anticipating supply disruptions in copper mining [1][2]. - **Market Positioning**: The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper investment positions are at a historical high, while the US COMEX shows lower open interest, indicating potential for further inflows into COMEX contracts [1][2][18]. - **Future Supply Outlook**: Despite current tightness, the market is expected to experience a slight oversupply by 2026, with a forecasted price of $10,500 per ton [1][2][22]. - **Inventory Trends**: Global visible copper inventories have increased by 700,000 tons year-to-date, suggesting a surplus despite ongoing supply disruptions [22][25]. - **Demand Dynamics**: Chinese apparent consumption has slowed, with a year-on-year decline of 2% in September, contrasting with previous growth rates [23][24]. - **Production Growth**: Global refined copper production is up 4% year-to-date, with strong growth from marginal producers offsetting weaknesses in major Latin American mines [24][25]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Expectations**: The anticipated tightness in the copper market is not expected to materialize in the next six months, leading to a potential price pullback to the $10,000-$11,000 range [22][25]. - **Investor Behavior**: If visible copper inventories do not decline significantly, speculative positions in the copper market may decrease, further impacting prices [25]. - **Arbitrage Opportunities**: The current COMEX-LME price cycle may create opportunities for US imports, potentially leading to temporary price spikes if investor inflows continue [18][22]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the copper market, providing insights into price movements, supply-demand dynamics, and future expectations.

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Views - The report highlights that the recent U.S.-China trade negotiations have led to significant agreements, including the cancellation of certain tariffs and a pause on export controls, which may positively impact market sentiment [3][48] - The Federal Reserve's recent hawkish stance has pressured metal prices, particularly gold, but there remains underlying support due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [4][50] - Long-term trends indicate a continued focus on gold and silver investments, driven by concerns over global debt and currency devaluation, with specific stocks recommended for investment [51][52] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices on COMEX fell by 1.20% to $4,077.20 per ounce, while silver prices decreased by 0.33% to $48.25 per ounce [1][30] - The gold-silver ratio declined by 0.88% to 84.50, indicating a potential for silver price recovery [30] - SPDR Gold ETF holdings decreased by 248,440.78 ounces, while SLV Silver ETF holdings fell by 8,982,443.90 ounces [30] Base Metals - Copper prices on LME dropped by 0.51% to $10,891.50 per ton, while aluminum prices increased by 1.10% to $2,888.00 per ton [9] - The report notes a tightening supply for copper due to ongoing geopolitical issues and production challenges, with a projected reduction in output [11][21] - The aluminum market remains stable, with domestic production capacity holding steady and demand from sectors like electric vehicles and power generation expected to support prices [22] Minor Metals - Magnesium prices decreased by 0.90% to 17,680 yuan per ton, with stable demand but reduced purchasing activity from export traders [17] - Molybdenum and vanadium prices have shown weakness, with ongoing pressure from oversupply and reduced demand in the steel sector [18]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The report indicates that the precious metals market is experiencing a decline in prices due to easing trade concerns and profit-taking activities, with gold and silver prices dropping by 3.89% and 3.62% respectively [2][28][30] - The base metals market shows mixed signals, with copper prices continuing to rise despite weak demand and high inventory levels, while aluminum prices have reached new highs due to stable supply and positive macroeconomic sentiment [1][21][22][32] Summary by Sections Base Metals & Precious Metals - Copper: Prices have continued to rise, with the current price at 87,130 CNY/ton, but demand remains weak, leading to cautious purchasing behavior from downstream enterprises [1][13] - Aluminum: Prices have increased to 21,415 CNY/ton, supported by stable supply and positive macroeconomic factors, with a notable increase in aluminum rod production [1][21][22] - Precious Metals: Gold and silver prices have decreased, attributed to reduced safe-haven demand following improved trade relations and market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [2][28][30] Minor Metals - Antimony: Prices are under pressure, but new export regulations may help restore demand [3][41] - Rare Earths: Prices are beginning to rise, driven by expectations of export recovery and stable demand [4][41] Market Predictions - The report anticipates that copper prices will face upward pressure in the short term, while aluminum prices are expected to remain high due to favorable macroeconomic conditions [1][14][21] - Precious metals are likely to continue experiencing price fluctuations, influenced by geopolitical developments and monetary policy announcements [2][29][30]

Core Viewpoint - London base metals experienced a widespread decline on October 30, with significant drops in prices across various commodities [1] Price Movements - LME copper fell by 2.27%, closing at $10,930.00 per ton [1] - LME tin decreased by 1.28%, settling at $35,720.00 per ton [1] - LME zinc dropped by 1.23%, ending at $3,044.50 per ton [1] - LME nickel saw a decline of 0.75%, with a closing price of $15,250.00 per ton [1] - LME aluminum fell by 0.59%, closing at $2,870.00 per ton [1] - LME lead decreased by 0.22%, finishing at $2,022.00 per ton [1]