Group 1: Market Reactions - The US stock market opened lower, with the Dow Jones down 1.14%, Nasdaq down 1.07%, and S&P 500 down 0.83% as of 22:45 [1] - Major tech stocks mostly declined, with Apple up 0.21%, while Amazon, Tesla, Nvidia, and Google fell over 1% [2] Group 2: Geopolitical Tensions - Israel's air force conducted multiple strikes in Iran, resulting in significant casualties, with 329 injured and 78 dead [3] - Israel announced the closure of all its embassies globally and the suspension of consular services [4] - Iran's civil aviation organization suspended all domestic and international flights until further notice [5] - Iran officially withdrew from nuclear negotiations with the US [6] Group 3: Gold Market Dynamics - International gold prices surged past $3,400 per ounce due to rising geopolitical tensions [7][8] - The World Gold Council noted that increased geopolitical risks typically drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, leading to heightened market activity [10] - Geopolitical risk is a significant driver of gold prices, contributing to an 8% increase in 2024 and 5.7% in the first five months of 2025 [11] Group 4: Oil Market Impact - Following the Israeli strikes, concerns over potential disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies led to a spike in oil prices, with WTI crude rising over 14% at one point [12] - Iran's oil production has significantly recovered, reaching approximately 3.3 million barrels per day, close to pre-sanction levels [12] - The potential for military action raises concerns about supply disruptions, but OPEC+ has sufficient spare capacity to offset potential losses from Iran [13] - Long-term oil price trends will depend on global growth prospects and supply-demand dynamics, with caution advised against chasing oil investments at current price levels [14]

Market Overview - On June 13, US stock indices opened lower, with the Dow Jones down 1.32%, S&P 500 down 0.79%, and Nasdaq down 0.83% [1] - Major tech stocks experienced declines, with Nvidia and Amazon dropping over 1%, Google A down 1%, and Apple and Tesla nearly 1% [2][3] Sector Performance - Airline stocks fell across the board, with American Airlines down nearly 5%, United Airlines down over 4%, and Boeing down over 2% [3][4] - Energy stocks showed strength, with Houston Energy experiencing a surge of over 160% at one point, and US Energy rising over 90% [4][5] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell over 1%, with individual stocks like Kingsoft Cloud down over 7%, iQIYI, XPeng Motors, Bilibili, and Li Auto down over 3%, and Alibaba down over 2% [6][7] International Markets - European indices also saw declines, with the UK FTSE 100 down 0.45%, and both the French CAC40 and German DAX down over 1% [8] Commodity Prices - International oil prices surged, with US oil up 7% and Brent oil nearly 7% [8] - Gold prices also increased, with London gold up 1.48% and COMEX gold up 1.65% [11] Geopolitical Events - Tensions escalated as Iran officially withdrew from nuclear negotiations with the US, and Israel conducted airstrikes in Iran, resulting in casualties [11][12][13] - The situation has implications for oil prices, with Morgan Stanley predicting potential spikes to $120 per barrel due to these geopolitical tensions [11]

Market Overview - On June 12, US stock indices experienced slight gains, with the Dow Jones up 0.24% at 42,967.62 points, the Nasdaq up 0.24% at 19,662.48 points, and the S&P 500 up 0.38% at 6,045.26 points [1] - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index down 0.41% [3][8] Key Company Performances - Oracle's stock surged by 13.32% after reporting better-than-expected Q4 earnings and projecting continued growth in its cloud computing business [5][6] - Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon saw gains of 1.52%, 1.32%, 0.21%, and 0.02% respectively, while Tesla, Alphabet, and Meta experienced declines of 2.24%, 1.02%, and 0.11% respectively [3][5] Gold Market - International gold prices rose, with London spot gold increasing by 0.92% to $3,386.02 per ounce and COMEX gold futures up 1.88% to $3,406.4 per ounce [10] - The silver market also saw a rebound influenced by the performance of other commodities, indicating a potential recovery in the gold-silver ratio [11]

Core Viewpoint - The weakening of the US dollar and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve create a critical allocation window for non-dollar assets [1][2]. Economic Outlook - The US economy has been experiencing a temporary slowdown since the beginning of the year, characterized by increased imports and weakened consumer and business confidence, which is expected to continue for the next two to three quarters [1]. - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to start cutting interest rates by the end of this year, with a total of four cuts expected by mid-next year, potentially lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 3.25%-3.50% [1]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider reallocating to non-dollar assets, particularly European industrial and banking stocks, which are expected to benefit from significant fiscal stimulus plans in Europe [2][4]. - The euro is projected to appreciate against the dollar, with an expected exchange rate of 1.18 by August next year, indicating a potential 4% increase [4]. European Market Insights - The European investment landscape has seen a notable shift in confidence, driven by factors such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and Germany's announcement of a €500 billion fiscal stimulus plan focused on defense and infrastructure [4]. - European investment-grade bonds, particularly from the financial sector, offer attractive yields around 3.5%, despite being lower than US Treasury yields [4]. Australian Market Perspective - Australian government bonds are also viewed positively, with 10-year yields exceeding 4%, and the Australian dollar is expected to appreciate over the next 1-2 years due to global commodity price influences [5]. Gold and Commodity Investments - Gold is seen as a significant hedge and diversification tool, with potential prices reaching $3,700 per ounce by June next year, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and central bank purchases [5]. - The allocation to gold and other commodities should be limited to around 5% of the investment portfolio, with a greater focus on stocks and bonds [5]. Focus on Chinese Technology Stocks - Chinese technology stocks, particularly those related to artificial intelligence, are highlighted as promising investment opportunities, driven by recent fiscal and monetary stimulus and growing international interest [6]. - The rapid development of AI in China is supported by significant investments from major tech companies, enhancing the long-term growth potential of the sector [6]. Comparison with Japan's Economic Situation - China's economic resilience is contrasted with Japan's past economic challenges, emphasizing that China's growth rate remains around 5% and urbanization offers substantial growth potential [7]. - Despite adjustments in the real estate market, China's industrial and manufacturing investments are growing at rates of 9%-10%, significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels [7].

Market Performance - The US stock market continues its strong upward trend, with all three major indices reaching new highs [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 443.13 points, an increase of 1.05%, closing at 42,762.87 points [3] - The Nasdaq Composite Index increased by 1.20%, closing at 19,529.95 points, while the S&P 500 Index rose by 1.03%, closing above the key 6,000-point mark at 6,000.36 points [3] - For the week, the S&P 500 Index gained 1.5%, the Dow Jones Index rose by 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Index saw a 2.2% increase [3] Employment Data - The employment report for May exceeded market expectations, with 139,000 new jobs added, surpassing the forecast of 125,000 [4] - The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, alleviating concerns about economic slowdown amid trade policy uncertainties [4] Trade Negotiations - The progress of US-China trade negotiations is a focal point for the market, with investors cautiously optimistic about reaching a trade agreement [4] - Technology stocks performed well, with Apple shares rising by 1.6% and Tesla shares rebounding by 3.8% [4] Technology Stocks - Other major tech stocks also showed strong performance, with Google up by 3.2%, Amazon by 2.7%, Meta by 1.9%, Nvidia by 1.2%, and Microsoft by 0.6%, continuing to set closing historical highs [5] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index saw a slight decline of 0.1%, indicating relatively stable performance for Chinese concept stocks [5] Commodity Market - In the international commodity market, oil prices rebounded due to ongoing wildfires in Alberta, Canada, affecting energy prices [5] - WTI crude oil for the nearest month rose by 1.91%, closing at $64.58 per barrel, while Brent crude oil increased by 1.13%, closing at $66.47 per barrel [5] Gold Prices - International gold prices faced downward pressure, with three-month gold futures on the New York Commodity Exchange dropping by 1.3% to $3,330.70 per ounce [6] - A stronger US dollar has exerted pressure on precious metal prices [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report Based on macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures on June 10, 2025, including股指期货,国债 futures, precious metals futures, base metals futures, energy futures, and chemical futures, and gives resistance and support levels [2][3]. Summary by Directory 1. Futures Market Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: IF2506, IH2506, IC2506, and IM2506 are expected to oscillate strongly on June 10, 2025, with specific resistance and support levels provided. For the whole of June 2025, they are also expected to have a generally strong - oscillating trend [2][19]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The ten - year T2509 and thirty - year TL2509 are likely to oscillate strongly on June 10, 2025, with corresponding resistance and support levels [3][39]. - **Precious Metals Futures**: Gold futures AU2508 are expected to oscillate and consolidate on June 10, 2025, while silver futures AG2508 are likely to oscillate strongly and may hit a new high. For June 2025, gold futures are expected to have a wide - range strong - oscillating trend, and silver futures are expected to oscillate strongly and break through key resistance levels [3][45][50]. - **Base Metals Futures**: Copper (CU2507), aluminum (AL2507) futures are expected to oscillate strongly on June 10, 2025, while alumina (AO2509), zinc (ZN2507), nickel (NI2507), rebar (RB2510), hot - rolled coil (HC2510), iron ore (I2509) futures are likely to oscillate weakly. Different resistance and support levels are given for each [3][4][5]. - **Energy Futures**: Crude oil futures SC2507 are expected to oscillate strongly on June 10, 2025, with specific resistance and support levels. For June 2025, it is expected to have a wide - range strong - oscillating trend [5][95]. - **Chemical Futures**: PTA (TA509) futures are expected to oscillate and consolidate on June 10, 2025, while PVC (V2509), methanol (MA509), and natural rubber (RU2509) futures are likely to oscillate weakly, with corresponding resistance and support levels [7][101][103]. 2. Macro Information and Trading Tips - **Sino - US Economic and Trade Consultation**: The first meeting of the Sino - US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London on June 9 and continued on June 10 [8]. - **Domestic Policies**: The General Offices of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council issued an opinion on improving people's livelihood, and the State Council carried out a special study on promoting the integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation [8][9]. - **Economic Data**: In May, China's CPI decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year, and PPI was still at a low level. In the first five months, China's total import and export value increased by 2.5% year - on - year, with exports growing by 7.2% and imports decreasing by 3.8% [8][9]. - **International News**: The US Senate Republicans plan to propose a revised tax and healthcare bill, the US may hit the debt ceiling between mid - August and late September, and consumer inflation expectations in the US decreased in May [10]. 3. Commodity Futures - Related Information - **International Futures Market**: On June 9, international precious metals futures closed mixed, and international oil prices strengthened. The first recycled metal futures option, cast aluminum alloy, was listed on the Shanghai Futures Exchange on June 10 [12]. - **Exchange - Rate Information**: Hong Kong will maintain the linked exchange rate system, and the on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose on June 9. The US dollar index fell, and non - US currencies generally rose [12][13][14]. 4. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: On June 9, IF2506, IH2506, IC2506, and IM2506 all showed a trend of opening higher, rising and then falling back, with different degrees of increase. The A - share market oscillated and rebounded, and the Hong Kong stock market was strong [14][15][16][17]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On June 9, the ten - year T2509 and thirty - year TL2509 both showed a trend of opening higher, rising and then falling back, with different degrees of increase. The central bank carried out 1738 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net investment of 1738 billion yuan [36][41]. - **Precious Metals Futures**: On June 9, gold futures AU2508 fell, while silver futures AG2508 rose and hit a new high [45][50]. - **Base Metals Futures**: On June 9, copper, aluminum, alumina, zinc, nickel, rebar, hot - rolled coil, and iron ore futures showed different trends of rise and fall [54][59][63][68][71][77][80][83]. - **Energy Futures**: On June 9, crude oil futures SC2507 rose [95]. - **Chemical Futures**: On June 9, PTA, PVC, methanol, and natural rubber futures showed different trends of rise and fall [101][103][105][108].

Group 1 - Despite signs of a cooling labor market and slowing economic activity, Wall Street strategists remain optimistic about summer stock market performance, maintaining S&P 500 year-end target prices in the range of 6300-6500 points, believing the worst impact of tariffs may have passed [1][4] - The S&P 500 index closed at 6010 points, approximately 2% below its historical high, following a nearly 30% correction earlier this year [1][4] - Recent economic data shows weakness, with May ADP private sector employment adding only 37,000 jobs, the lowest in over two years, and initial jobless claims rising to the highest level since October 2024 [4][5] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, David Kostin, noted that the slowdown in economic data was anticipated, and historical analysis shows that soft economic data often bottoms out before hard economic data [5][8] - Kostin's research indicates that the correlation between the S&P 500 index returns and soft data is currently higher than that with hard data, predicting the S&P 500 could reach 6500 points in the next 12 months if the recovery in soft data continues [5][8] - Citigroup's U.S. equity strategy head, Scott Chronert, raised the S&P 500 target from 5800 to 6300 points, citing a significant reduction in trade uncertainty following the pause in tariff increases between the U.S. and China [5][8] Group 3 - Despite acknowledging potential risks from rising interest rates and high valuations, strategists believe that as long as the economic slowdown does not exceed expectations, growth sectors, particularly large tech stocks, still hold investment value [8] - The dual support from easing trade tensions and improving soft data is becoming a key basis for strategists' optimistic outlook [8]

新华财经上海6月8日电（葛佳明） 本周（6月2日-7日），美国5月非农数据超预期，部分缓解衰退担忧，美联储降息概率有所降低，美债收益率居高难 下，。欧洲央行如期降息却释放"鹰派"的信号，市场对其年内降息预期下滑。美元本周走低，现货黄金整体走高，贵金属市场迎来集体上涨。 欧股方面，欧洲各国股市本周多数上涨，欧洲STOXX 600指数本周累计上涨0.91%；德国DAX指数周累计上涨1.28%；法国CAC 指数全周累计上涨0.68%； 英国富时100指数全周累计上涨0.75%。 亚太股指方面，日经225指数本周转跌，全周累计跌幅为0.59%；印度SENSEX30指数全周涨0.91%；韩国综合指数本周涨4.24%。 外汇市场方面，美元指数本周走势震荡下行全周累计下跌0.24%，收报99.2；非美货币涨多跌少，欧元全周累计上涨0.42%，报1.13，日元兑美元全周累计跌 0.55%，报144.85。 大宗商品方面，近期金价维持震荡走势，本周黄金涨幅0.47%。白银、铂金近期走势强劲，伦敦现货白银突破36美元关口，白银期货主力合约全周涨幅达 9.39%，涨至36.13美元／盎司。 业内人士普遍认为，白银、铂金等贵金属大涨 ...

就业数据利好 美股大涨 6月6日晚间，美股三大指数开盘大涨，涨幅均在1%左右。 消息面上，美国就业数据缓解了对经济即将放缓的担忧，在特朗普与马斯克激烈言语交锋引发市场动荡后，华尔街得以稳定。 特斯拉上涨5.52%，领涨大型科技股。 大家好，今晚继续关注海外市场的表现。 Ameriprise首席市场策略师安东尼·萨格利姆贝内在接受采访时表示："非农就业数据好于预期，这表明尽管增长趋势有所放缓，就业市场依然 表现强劲。" | 了 筛选 | | 最新价 = | 涨跌幅 = □* | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 特斯拉 | | 300.41 | +5.52% | | US TSLA | | | | | 美光科技 | 2 | 110.63 | +4.09% | | us MU | | | | | 安谋 | 11 | 134.56 | +3.87% | | US ARM | | | | | 谷歌-C | | 174.62 | +2.83% | | us GOOG | | | | | 赛富时 | 5 | 272.74 | +2.10% | | us CRM | | | | | 亚马逊 US AM ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a positive trading day, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.6%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.57%, and the National Enterprises Index up by 0.67% [1] - The total trading volume for the Hang Seng Index reached 212.687 billion HKD [1] - Notable gains were observed in the stablecoin sector, with Lianyi Rong Technology (09959.HK) rising by 10% and China Everbright Holdings (00165.HK) increasing by over 11% [1] Group 2 - Technology stocks continued to perform well, with Meituan (03690.HK) up by over 3%, Horizon Robotics (09660.HK) rising by over 2%, and Xpeng Motors (09868.HK) also increasing by over 2% [1] - The pharmaceutical sector, Chinese brokerage stocks, and the consumer goods sector were notably active, with Innovent Biologics (01801.HK) rising by over 14%, Hongye Futures (03678.HK) increasing by over 5%, and Mixue Group (02097.HK) also up by over 5%, reaching a historical high [1] - Conversely, Alibaba concept stocks, insurance stocks, and logistics stocks showed weak performance, with China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK) declining by over 4% and Trip.com Group-S (09961.HK) dropping nearly 4% [1]