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有友食品(603697):成长性凸显,新品节奏加快
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-27 08:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company demonstrated significant growth in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of 380 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million yuan, up 16.2% year-on-year [7] - The company is actively expanding its new product offerings and emerging sales channels, which are expected to contribute significantly to future growth [7] - The company maintains a positive outlook for profitability, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 expected to grow by 26.2%, 17.8%, and 15.7% respectively [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 380 million yuan, with a breakdown showing meat products revenue at 354 million yuan, a 45% increase year-on-year [7] - The company’s gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 18.2%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in channel structure [7] - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 13.1%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The total revenue forecast for 2023A to 2027E is projected to grow from 966.21 million yuan in 2023A to 2,025.66 million yuan in 2027E, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 116.16 million yuan in 2023A to 270.52 million yuan in 2027E, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [1] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on new product launches and expanding into new sales channels, particularly in e-commerce and membership-based supermarkets, which are anticipated to drive future revenue growth [7] - The company’s strategy includes enhancing operational efficiency and leveraging scale effects to improve profitability [7]
甘源食品:025年第一季度收入同比下滑,盈利能力有所弱化-20250427
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-27 08:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][13][16] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 2.26 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 380 million yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, total revenue decreased by 14.0% year-on-year to 500 million yuan, with a net profit decline of 42.2% year-on-year to 50 million yuan [1][8][11] - The revenue growth in 2024 was primarily driven by the bulk snack channel and overseas markets, with significant contributions from the distribution/e-commerce/other channels [1][9] - The company is currently in a multi-channel growth phase, focusing on consolidating its leading position in niche markets while enhancing shareholder returns [13][16] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 35.5%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by promotional activities and rising raw material costs [2][10] - The first quarter of 2025 faced high base pressure, with a gross margin decline of 1.1 percentage points due to sustained high palm oil prices [11][12] - The company expects total revenues of 2.61 billion yuan in 2025, 3.00 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.46 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.5%, 15.3%, and 15.0% respectively [3][13][15] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is 400 million yuan in 2025, 460 million yuan in 2026, and 550 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 5.9%, 16.3%, and 17.8% respectively [3][13][15] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 17 for 2025, 15 for 2026, and 13 for 2027 [3][13][15] Market and Channel Insights - The bulk snack channel is expected to continue its rapid growth, with revenue share projected to exceed 20% [1][9] - The overseas market, particularly in Vietnam, has shown promising growth, contributing nearly 200 million yuan in revenue for 2024 [1][9]
甘源食品(002991):025年第一季度收入同比下滑,盈利能力有所弱化
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-27 07:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][13]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 2.26 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 380 million yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year. However, in the first quarter of 2025, total revenue decreased by 14.0% year-on-year to 500 million yuan, with a net profit decline of 42.2% year-on-year to 50 million yuan [8][11]. - The growth in revenue for 2024 was primarily driven by the bulk snack channel and overseas markets, with significant contributions from various distribution channels [9][12]. - The company is currently in a multi-channel growth phase, focusing on consolidating its leading position in niche markets while enhancing shareholder returns [13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2.26 billion yuan, with a net profit of 380 million yuan. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue drop to 500 million yuan and a net profit of 50 million yuan [8][11]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 35.5%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by promotional activities and rising raw material costs [10][11]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the distribution channels in 2024 was 1.93 billion yuan from distributors, 240 million yuan from e-commerce, and 80 million yuan from other channels, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 22.6%, 10.8%, and 65.5% [9][12]. - The bulk snack channel is expected to continue its rapid growth, with revenue projected to double and its share exceeding 20% [9]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The company faced increased costs and expenses in 2024, leading to a decline in profitability. The sales expense ratio rose to 12.7%, reflecting higher promotional and employee costs [10][11]. - The net profit margin for the first quarter of 2025 decreased to 10.5%, down 5.1 percentage points year-on-year, due to high raw material prices and increased expenses [11]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2026, now expecting total revenues of 2.61 billion yuan and 3.00 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 15.5% and 15.3% [13][15]. - The focus remains on expanding overseas markets and enhancing e-commerce capabilities, with a cautious approach to managing costs amid ongoing pressures from raw material prices [12][13].
盐津铺子(002847):2024年报和2025一季报点评:品类品牌驱动增长,海外渠道扩容
Guohai Securities· 2025-04-27 04:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.304 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.89%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 640 million yuan, up 26.53% year-on-year [4][5] - The company has launched a category brand strategy, with significant growth in key products such as "Mowon" and "Egg Emperor," which have become category champions [5][8] - The company is expanding its overseas channels, with overseas revenue reaching 62.74 million yuan in 2024, a substantial increase from 314,900 yuan in 2023 [5][8] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.443 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.96%, and a net profit of 147 million yuan, up 33.66% year-on-year [4] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.537 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.69%, with a net profit of 178 million yuan, up 11.64% year-on-year [4] - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 30.69%, down 2.85 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q1 2025, it was 28.47%, down 3.63 percentage points year-on-year [5][8] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 6.795 billion yuan in 2025, 8.252 billion yuan in 2026, and 9.539 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 853 million yuan, 1.053 billion yuan, and 1.240 billion yuan respectively [7][9] - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.13 yuan, 3.86 yuan, and 4.54 yuan respectively [7][9] Market Performance - The company's stock has outperformed the market, with a 12-month performance of 78.3% compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which has only increased by 7.3% [3]
安慕希推出蛋白酸奶;食验室×光与夜之恋联动上新 | 创新周报
FBIF食品饮料创新· 2025-04-27 00:55
我们每周为你收罗来自全球最具创新的食品,了解最新食品创新动态和趋势,请关 注每周日发布的 【FBIF创新周报】! 本周创新看点 1、安慕希上新蛋白酸奶 安慕希上新蛋白酸奶 2、食验室×光与夜之恋联动上新 3、吾岛藻蓝蛋白椰子风味希腊酸奶上架盒马 4、正官庄红参能量风味饮料"嗷嗷元饮"上市 5、绿箭x安慕希上新清新酸奶味薄荷糖 6、海河乳品推出奶冰系列冰棍 7、格力高扁桃仁效果大红袍茶味上新 8、三得利推出无酒精起泡葡萄酒 9、龟甲万推出咸焦糖豆奶和巧克力薄荷豆奶 10、山森推出GABA100睡活醋饮直饮型 近日, 安慕希 推出新品:蛋白酸奶 。 据品牌介绍,在营养方面,新品添加乳清蛋白粉,一包蛋白质含量为 5.4g,同时添加益生元低聚半乳 糖,添加量为2.5%。该产品蔗糖添加量为4%,相比于PET安慕希希腊风味酸奶原味蔗糖添加量 (8.5%)减少50%以上。此外,产品每100g含4g脂肪与95mg钙。在包装上,该产品采用150g便携 包装设计,便于携带。 目前,新品已上线安慕希天猫旗舰店,产品规格为 150g/包,参考售价55元/10包。 新闻来源:小红书 @安慕希 原文链接: https://t.hk.uy ...
三只松鼠赴港上市,年营收破百亿,短视频平台成重要销售渠道
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-26 02:54
Core Viewpoint - The well-known snack brand Three Squirrels has officially submitted its application for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking its second step towards internationalization after successfully listing on the A-share market in 2019, establishing a dual financing platform of "A+H" shares [1] Financial Performance - Three Squirrels has shown steady growth in recent years, with revenues projected at RMB 72.93 billion, RMB 71.15 billion, and RMB 106.22 billion for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, and gross profit margins of 26.2%, 22.7%, and 23.8% [2][5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 1.25 per 10 shares, totaling RMB 500 million, without involving stock bonuses or capital reserve transfers [1] Sales Channels - The company has excelled in e-commerce and short video platforms, with consumer revenue from e-commerce platforms reaching RMB 43.92 billion (41.3% of total revenue) and from short video platforms at RMB 26.35 billion (24.8%) in 2024 [3][4] Product Portfolio - Three Squirrels offers a diverse product range including nuts, baked goods, snack combinations, meat products, and dried fruits, with over 1,000 standard product units (SPUs) available by the end of 2024, including more than 600 new SPUs launched that year [2] Profitability - The company has achieved consistent profit growth, with net profits of RMB 1.29 billion, RMB 2.2 billion, and RMB 4.07 billion for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, and net profit margins of 1.8%, 3.1%, and 3.8% [5] Shareholder Structure - The founder and CEO, Zhang Liaoyuan, holds a significant 40.37% stake, while major investors IDG Capital and Today Capital have reduced their holdings in recent years, cashing out over several billion RMB [5] Future Outlook - Three Squirrels aims to deepen its presence in the snack food market through continuous innovation, optimizing its product mix, expanding sales channels, and enhancing brand influence, while leveraging the advantages of its "A+H" share structure for future growth [7]
洽洽食品(002557):2024年报、2025年一季报点评:经营有待调整,高股息率突出
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-25 10:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 30 yuan [2][7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.13 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 849 million yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year. However, Q4 2024 showed a decline in net profit by 24.8% year-on-year [2][8]. - The company has a high dividend payout ratio of 76.12%, distributing a total of 649 million yuan in cash dividends [2][8]. - Despite facing operational adjustments and external pressures, the company is expected to achieve steady revenue growth throughout the year, although profit pressures may persist in the short term [2][7]. Financial Summary - **2024 Financials**: Total revenue of 7.13 billion yuan, net profit of 849 million yuan, and earnings per share (EPS) of 1.68 yuan [8]. - **2025 Projections**: Expected revenue of 7.43 billion yuan, net profit of 702 million yuan, and EPS of 1.39 yuan, reflecting a decrease in profit due to market conditions [8]. - **2026-2027 Projections**: Revenue is projected to grow to 7.85 billion yuan in 2026 and 8.27 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits expected to recover to 855 million yuan and 982 million yuan respectively [8]. Market Performance - The company's stock price as of April 25, 2025, is 23.99 yuan, with a 12-month high of 37.50 yuan and a low of 23.99 yuan [4][8]. - The company has a total market capitalization of 12.135 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 12.110 billion yuan [4][8]. Operational Insights - The company is focusing on enhancing product quality to maintain brand strength amidst increasing competition and market pressures. This includes improving the quality of raw materials and increasing the proportion of high-quality products [2][7]. - The company is also adapting to market demands by implementing promotional strategies while maintaining product quality [2][7].
渠道绞杀:洽洽瓜子崩盘,三只松鼠逆袭
和讯· 2025-04-25 09:53
商业世界的故事、逻辑、认知。由"和讯商业"团队出品。 以下文章来源于和讯商业 ,作者孟圆 和讯商业 . 螳螂捕蝉,黄雀在后,零食行业的后来者不只一位,量贩渠道的力量正在不断渗透。 随着市场竞争 加剧,行业逻辑也正在被改写。 截至4月24日收盘,洽洽食品(002557.SZ)报价23.99元,日跌7.37%,盘中一度逼近跌停,已触 及近三年最低水平。这主要是受一季度业绩超预期下滑影响。 面对近期股价接连下跌,洽洽食品此前在投资者互动平台表示,公司正在实施回购股份计划。 2024年,洽洽食品还算交出一份稳定的答卷,营收净利润双增长,业绩稍有回暖,但同时公布的 2025年一季报却再遭滑铁卢,营收下降超13%,净利润下滑近七成。另一端,竞争对手三只松鼠 (300783.SZ)则高歌猛进,以106.22亿元的营收和49.3%的增速,重回百亿营收高位。 从年报来看,三只松鼠显得从容许多。 2024年,三只松鼠结束营收连续四年的下滑状态,以106.22 亿元的营收创历史新高,同比增速达49.3% ;实现归母净利润 4.08 亿元,增长85.51%;归母扣非 净利润3.19亿元,同比大增214.3%,其增长动力主要来自抖音等 ...
明星代言花掉71%利润,研发投入却砍半!溜溜梅“赌”营销能走多远?
凤凰网财经· 2025-04-25 06:28
2022年至2024年,溜溜果园的总收入分别为11.74亿元、13.22亿元及16.16亿元;同期的净利润分别为0.68亿元、0.99亿元和1.48亿元。 凤凰网财经《IPO观察哨》 前不久,溜溜梅母公司溜溜果园披露港交所IPO申请材料。 早在2019年,溜溜梅就计划进军深交所,但随后撤回上市申请。直到今年4月,溜溜梅再次向资本市场发起冲击。 不过,时隔5年,溜溜梅也有了不小的变化。翻阅招股书,凤凰网财经《IPO观察哨》发现,尽管近三年营收与净利润呈现增长,但核心产品毛利率 持续下滑,原材料成本攀升蚕食利润空间。 更引人关注的是,公司营销费用高企,2024年明星代言支出占比净利润高达71%,而研发投入却遭大幅削减,产品质量投诉频发。与此同时,红杉 资本的"清仓退出"与经销商业绩疲软,为此次IPO蒙上阴影。 在现金流紧绷与短期偿债压力的双重夹击下,溜溜梅能否凭借营销"赌注"赢得资本市场青睐,仍是未知数。 01 核心品类毛利率持续承压 合约负债减少40% 从招股书来看,溜溜果园的业绩数据表现良好,但实际上,其主要品类的毛利率出现持续下滑。 溜溜梅的核心产品"青梅制品"占营收比重超60%,招股书显示,溜溜果园梅干零 ...
来伊份荣膺腾讯智慧零售三大奖项,推动零食行业数字化变革
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-04-25 02:57
转自:宿迁网 2025年4月22日,在腾讯智慧零售发布的全域数字化经营2024年度榜单上,来伊份一举斩获"年度组织人 才赋能标杆""年度行业数字化标杆"和"年度行业经营标杆"三大奖项,向行业展示休闲食品领域数字化 变革的出色实践成果。 深耕人才赋能,筑牢数字化根基 来伊份依托消费者数据中台,精准洞察用户需求,构建起完善的用户标签体系和生命周期策略。借助腾 讯云原生架构的稳定性与高并发支持能力,来伊份保障了业务的高效协同运作。 来伊份以"数据+场景"闭环模式实现了全域增长,在休闲食品行业走出了一条可量化、可复制的数字化 转型之路,为零售行业的数字化升级提供了参考范本。 优化全域经营,释放增长潜能 通过"全域消费者运营平台",来伊份成功整合线上线下全渠道数据,汇聚超8900万会员并构建精准用户 画像,私域会员规模突破4500万,会员购买转化率显著提升45%。 来伊份开创性地建立"总部-区域-门店"协同机制,完成从传统流量运营到用户资产深度运营的转型升 级。此外,公司利用AI智能选址系统结合LBS数据优化拓店策略,大幅提升了单店营收能力,进一步巩 固了其在休闲食品市场的地位。 未来,来伊份将继续深化与腾讯等伙伴的合 ...