Core Points - A-shares showed an upward trend in the morning session, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.13% to 3832.90 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.11% to 13355.98 points, and the ChiNext Index climbing by 1.77% to 3207.44 points [1] Sector Performance - The battery sector led the gains with an increase of 4.26%, achieving a total trading volume of 2,665.81 million hands and a total transaction value of 871.95 billion [2] - The energy metals sector followed with a rise of 3.58%, with a trading volume of 303.62 million hands and a transaction value of 143.35 billion [2] - Other notable sectors included securities (+2.39%), photovoltaic equipment (+1.94%), and consumer electronics (+1.80%) [2] Declining Sectors - The education sector experienced the largest decline at -1.97%, with a trading volume of 320.37 million hands and a transaction value of 22.25 billion [2] - Other sectors that saw declines included home appliances (-1.34%), coal mining and processing (-1.19%), and agricultural product processing (-0.67%) [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shengtun Mining has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 92.12%, indicating strong market interest and potential growth in the mining sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On September 29, Shengtun Mining's stock rose by 2.21%, reaching 9.26 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 8.25 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.91% [1]. - The company has experienced a net outflow of 38.47 million CNY in principal funds, with large orders accounting for 24.05% of purchases and 31.85% of sales [1]. - Over the past five trading days, the stock has increased by 13.20%, while it has risen by 36.58% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Shengtun Mining, established on January 14, 1997, and listed on May 31, 1996, is located in Xiamen, Fujian Province, and specializes in non-ferrous metal mining and related services [2]. - The company's revenue composition includes 66.55% from energy metals, 27.88% from basic metals, and 5.56% from metal trading and other services [2]. - As of August 31, the number of shareholders increased to 130,300, with an average of 23,720 circulating shares per person [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shengtun Mining reported a revenue of 13.804 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.94%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.81% to 1.053 billion CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 933 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 388 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including 山金国际, 赤峰黄金, 洛阳钼业, 中国宏桥, and 中钨高新 [3]. Core Insights - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are trading around interest rate cuts, with silver showing potential for a short squeeze due to low inventory levels and continued inflows into ETFs [1][33]. - Industrial metals like copper are supported by production cuts at the Grasberg mine and a reduction in global copper supply, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate as the market awaits demand recovery [1][33]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium, are experiencing active trading ahead of the holiday, with expectations of strong supply growth in the fourth quarter [1][33]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold and silver continue to trade based on interest rate expectations, with silver's strong performance linked to low inventory levels and ETF inflows [1][33]. - The U.S. core PCE price index for August recorded a year-on-year rate of 2.9%, aligning with expectations and reducing concerns about interest rate cuts [1][33]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by production cuts at the Grasberg mine, with a projected reduction of over 500,000 tons in global copper supply over the next 12 to 15 months [1][33]. - Aluminum supply is increasing as production capacity is restored, but prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [1][33]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices are stable, with active trading as companies prepare for the holiday season, and supply expectations remain strong for the fourth quarter [1][33]. - The report notes a slight increase in lithium carbonate production, with inventory levels decreasing [1][33]. Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights several companies to monitor, including 兴业银锡, 盛达资源, 万国黄金集团, 中金黄金, 紫金矿业, 山东黄金, 赤峰黄金, 银泰黄金, 招金矿业, 洛阳钼业, 明泰铝业, and others [1][3].

证券之星消息，9月26日能源金属板块较上一交易日上涨0.28%，盛屯矿业领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3828.11，下跌0.65%。深证成指报收于13209.0，下跌1.76%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600711 | 盛电矿业 | 9.06 | 5.35% | 281.80万 | | 25.49 Z | | 301219 | 腾远钻业 | 68.70 | 2.83% | 14.98万 | | 10.37亿 | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 57.13 | 2.73% | 96.34万 | | 55.58亿 | | 300618 | 塞锐铝业 | 50.33 | 0.90% | 24.03万 | | 12.15亿 | | 000762 | 西藏矿业 | 22.72 | 0.62% | 27.67万 | | 6.41亿 | | 603399 | 永杉锂业 | 9.50 | 0.21% | 8.77万 | | 8378.64万 ...

9月26日，天齐锂业盘中上涨2.46%，截至10:28，报45.79元/股，成交12.61亿元，换手率1.92%，总市值 751.52亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出5929.36万元，特大单买入6448.05万元，占比5.11%，卖出9326.11万 元，占比7.40%；大单买入2.59亿元，占比20.54%，卖出2.89亿元，占比22.96%。 天齐锂业今年以来股价涨38.76%，近5个交易日涨1.73%，近20日涨4.16%，近60日涨41.46%。 今年以来天齐锂业已经2次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为8月11日，当日龙虎榜净买入3.81亿元； 买入总计6.63亿元 ，占总成交额比17.81%；卖出总计2.82亿元 ，占总成交额比7.57%。 天齐锂业所属申万行业为：有色金属-能源金属-锂。所属概念板块包括：化肥、盐湖提锂、固态电池、 锂电池、小金属等。 截至6月30日，天齐锂业股东户数27.08万，较上期减少6.08%；人均流通股5451股，较上期增加6.45%。 2025年1月-6月，天齐锂业实现营业收入48.33亿元，同比减少24.71%；归母净利润8441.06万元，同比增 长101.6 ...

Core Insights - The energy metals sector experienced a rise of 1.36% on September 25, with Shengtu Mining leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.3, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13445.9, up 0.67% [1] Energy Metals Sector Performance - Shengtu Mining (600711) closed at 8.60, up 3.37% with a trading volume of 1.5912 million shares and a transaction value of 1.377 billion [1] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) closed at 44.69, up 3.11% with a trading volume of 738,300 shares [1] - Yongxing Materials (002756) closed at 35.29, up 2.23% with a trading volume of 137,900 shares [1] - Other notable performers include: - Cangge Mining (000408) at 55.14, up 1.92% [1] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) at 18.18, up 1.68% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) at 55.73, up 1.47% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector saw a net inflow of 147 million in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 27.5759 million [2] - Major stocks in the sector showed varied capital flows, with Tianqi Lithium seeing a main fund inflow of 260 million [3] - Cangge Mining had a main fund inflow of 59.2092 million, while Shengtu Mining experienced a main fund inflow of 46.1362 million [3]

Group 1: Industrial Metals - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut leads to short-term fluctuations in commodity prices, but industrial metal prices are expected to rise due to improved demand expectations during the "golden September and silver October" season [1] - The SMM imported copper concentrate index increased week-on-week, while the suspension of operations at Indonesia's Grasberg copper mine exacerbates supply disruptions, tightening copper supply [1] - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production sees a slight increase due to capacity replacement, with downstream companies ramping up operations in anticipation of the consumption peak [1] Group 2: Energy Metals - The Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to extend its export ban, potentially leading to a significant rise in cobalt prices, while lithium demand is strong due to seasonal factors [1] - The lithium market experiences increased procurement demand, with spot transaction prices rising as supply and demand both grow, but demand growth is stronger [1] - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to domestic raw material shortages and accelerated inventory depletion during the demand peak [1] Group 3: Precious Metals - Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, geopolitical tensions have increased, leading to a bullish outlook for precious metals [2] - The SPDR gold holdings have significantly increased as overseas investors accelerate their allocation to gold, driven by heightened risk aversion [2] - Long-term trends indicate that central bank gold purchases and weakened dollar credibility will push gold prices higher, presenting opportunities for investment in the gold sector [2] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Investment strategies should focus on industrial metals like copper and aluminum, which are expected to rise due to supply disruptions and improved demand [3] - Energy metals such as cobalt and lithium should be targeted for potential price increases driven by supply tightening and seasonal demand [3] - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, should be considered for investment due to rising geopolitical tensions and long-term bullish trends [3]

Group 1: Market Interest Rates and Central Bank Operations - DRO01 closed at 1.44 with a 2.41bp increase, DR007 at 1.59 with an 11.09bp increase, GC001 at 1.64 with a 2.00bp increase, GC007 at 1.92 with a 12.50bp increase, SHBOR 3M at 1.57 with a 0.40bp increase, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.37 with a 1.50bp increase, 5 - year treasury at 1.64 with a 2.50bp increase, 10 - year treasury at 1.82 with a 2.20bp increase, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.12 with a 3.00bp decrease [3] - The central bank conducted 4015 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 4185 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 170 billion yuan [3] - This week, 18268 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market, and 3000 billion yuan of MLF will mature on September 25 [4] Group 2: Stock Index Performance - The CSI 300 rose 1.02% to 4566.1, the SSE 50 rose 0.68% to 2939.5, the CSI 500 rose 1.99% to 7323.7, and the CSI 1000 rose 1.7% to 7534.2 [5] - The trading volume of the two stock markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen reached 23268 billion yuan, a decrease of 1676 billion yuan compared to the previous day. Most industry sectors rose, with only the tourism and hotel sector falling [5] Group 3: Futures Market Performance - The trading volume and positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM futures contracts all decreased to varying degrees [5] - The IF next - month contract had an annualized premium of 3.40%, the IH next - month contract had an annualized discount of - 0.06%, the IC next - month contract had an annualized premium of 9.44%, and the IM next - month contract had an annualized premium of 12.51% [7] Group 4: Market Outlook - The macro - environment is generally positive for stock indices. Overseas, Sino - US economic and trade talks have sent positive signals, and the Fed's first interest rate cut this year is beneficial to A - shares. Domestically, poor economic data has led to stronger policy expectations [6] - The stock index trend remains bullish, but the policy aims for a "slow - bull" pattern. It is recommended to adjust and go long, and control positions before the holiday [6]

Core Points - The A-share market experienced a collective rise on September 24, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.83%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.80%, the ChiNext Index by 2.28%, the STAR 50 Index by 3.49%, and the North Exchange 50 Index by 2.03% [1] - The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and North exchanges was 23,471 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,713 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 4,400 stocks in the market saw an increase, with nearly 90 stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - Almost all industry sectors experienced gains, with electronic chemicals, semiconductors, gaming, photovoltaic equipment, energy metals, real estate services, and battery sectors leading the rise [1] - The tourism and hotel sector recorded the largest decline among industry sectors [1] Industry Summary - The electronic chemicals sector showed significant growth, contributing to the overall market rise [1] - The semiconductor industry also performed well, reflecting positive investor sentiment [1] - The gaming sector experienced notable gains, indicating strong demand and market interest [1] - The photovoltaic equipment and energy metals sectors were among the top performers, highlighting trends in renewable energy and materials [1] - Real estate services saw an increase, suggesting a recovery or growth in this sector [1] - Conversely, the tourism and hotel sector faced challenges, resulting in a decline [1]

Market Performance - Major A-share indices collectively strengthened, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.83% to close at 3853.64 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.80% to 13356.14 points, the ChiNext Index up by 2.28% to 3185.57 points, and the STAR 50 Index gaining 3.49% to 1456.47 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 232.68 billion, a decrease of 16.76 billion compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - Almost all industry sectors saw gains, with electronic chemicals, semiconductors, gaming, photovoltaic equipment, energy metals, real estate services, and battery sectors leading the increases, while the tourism and hotel sector experienced a decline [1] Stock Performance - Over 4400 stocks rose, with nearly 90 stocks hitting the daily limit up. The semiconductor sector continued to perform strongly, with stocks like Shengen Co., Jiangfeng Electronics, and Changchuan Technology hitting the limit up [3] - Robotics concept stocks surged, with companies like Haoneng Co. and Zhongchuang Zhiling seeing significant gains. Alibaba Cloud concept stocks also performed well, with Hangang Co. hitting the limit up [3] Capital Flow - In terms of capital flow, the semiconductor, photovoltaic equipment, and battery sectors saw significant net inflows, with the semiconductor sector attracting a net inflow of 15.42 billion [4] - Conversely, the electronic components, communication equipment, and automotive parts sectors experienced notable net outflows, with electronic components seeing a net outflow of 3.839 billion [6]