Core Viewpoint - The computing power sector has experienced significant growth, with the computing power index rising over 11% from September 8 to September 24, and a year-to-date increase of 74.5%, indicating heightened market interest in the industry [1] Group 1: Industry Growth Drivers - The global competition in computing power is still in its early stages, with substantial investments in computing infrastructure from various countries and companies, providing long-term demand support for the computing power industry [1] - Domestic chips have shown competitive performance in inference scenarios, with significant potential for domestic substitution as chip performance improves and software ecosystems develop. The years 2025 to 2027 are expected to be critical for domestic AI chips transitioning from the introduction phase to accelerated penetration in the internet market [1] - The application scenarios for computing power are continuously expanding, further driving industry growth [1] Group 2: Short-term Risks - There are concerns about overvaluation in certain sub-sectors, which may lead to a pullback in growth expectations over the next 1-2 years [2] - The risk of technological iteration may reshape the market competition landscape, posing challenges to existing participants [2] - Global supply chain uncertainties could disrupt the development pace of the industry [2] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Focus on the domestic computing power core industry chain, including GPU, ASIC chips, optical modules, and liquid cooling equipment [2] - Consider investing in computing power service and cloud infrastructure providers, as the value of service segments continues to rise with diversified computing power demand [2] - Explore opportunities in green computing solution companies that align with the "East Data West Calculation" strategy and its requirements for Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant stock price movements of various companies, with Inspur Information experiencing a surge and Ningbo Construction previously hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies such as Data Port, Runze Technology, Unisplendour, and Zhongke Shuguang also showed notable increases in their stock prices [1]

长江商报奔腾新闻记者 徐佳 周大福系A股上市公司ST景谷（景谷林业，600265.SH）再获大股东驰援。 9月23日晚间，ST景谷发布公告称，公司控股股东周大福投资拟与公司签署《资产赠与协议》，将其持 有的博达数科51%股权无偿赠与公司。公司无需支付任何对价，并不附任何义务。本次受赠完成后，公 司将持有上海博达数智科技有限公司（以下简称"博达数科"）51%股权，博达数科将纳入公司合并报表 范围内。 公告显示，博达数科成立于2025年4月末，迄今不足五个月，周大福投资持有其100%股权，并已于2025 年7月31日前完成对博达数科1.95亿元注册资本的实缴。 虽无偿获得控股股东注入算力资产，但当前ST景谷盈利能力低迷。数据显示，2025年上半年，ST景谷 实现营业收入1.23亿元，同比下降45.03%；净利润亏损1.24亿元；扣除非经常性损益后的净利润亏损 7514.45万元，自2005年以来一直为亏损状态。 在上述背景下，周大福投资此次向ST景谷注入资产，主要为提高上市公司经营能力，进一步优化公司 业务结构。 但另一方面，由人造板、营林造林行业跨界至算力行业，ST景谷本次交易也面临多重风险。 ST景谷同时也提 ...

Economic Indicators - In September, the US manufacturing PMI fell to 52, while the services PMI dropped to 53.9, indicating a slight slowdown in economic expansion [2] - The composite PMI also decreased to 53.6, marking the lowest level since June 2025, with new orders and employment indices declining [2] - Despite the slowdown, consumer spending remains resilient, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may help prevent a recession [3] Regulatory Developments - The State Administration for Market Regulation in China has released a draft for public consultation on the basic requirements for food delivery platforms, focusing on service management and fee transparency [4] - The draft aims to regulate platform fees and promotional behaviors to prevent unfair competition and ensure food safety [4][5] Energy Consumption - In August, China's total electricity consumption reached 10,154 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, with the manufacturing sector showing the highest growth at 5.5% [6] - The electricity demand growth reflects a robust economic recovery, although supply challenges remain due to mismatches in demand and supply timing [7] Computing Industry Initiatives - Hubei Province plans to develop a computing industry cluster, aiming for a total computing power of 25 EFLOPS by 2027, with a focus on integrating computing with optical communication and chip industries [8] - The measures encourage the development of a diverse computing infrastructure and aim to avoid homogeneous competition among cities [9] Labor Market Concerns - A survey indicates that 24% of young employees in the US and Europe are very concerned about potential job loss due to AI, compared to only 10% of older workers [10] - The rise of AI technology presents both challenges and opportunities for young workers, who may leverage AI to enhance their skills and productivity [11] Agricultural Sector Trends - The price of live pigs has dropped significantly, with a 10.4% decrease from early September and a 24.4% decline from the peak in February, reflecting an oversupply in the market [12] - Despite short-term measures to control production, the long-term outlook for the pig farming industry suggests a need for reduced production capacity to balance supply and demand [13] Stock Market Performance - On September 24, the stock market saw a broad increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.83% and the ChiNext Index reaching a three-year high [14] - The semiconductor sector continued to perform strongly, driven by developments in AI and chip demand, while consumer sectors like tourism showed weakness [15]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing high volatility, with strong performance in large-cap technology growth stocks, but signs of sector differentiation and crowded trading are becoming increasingly evident [1][2]. Market Dynamics - Recent surges in AI, computing power, and semiconductor sectors have led some private equity firms to express concerns about short-term risks in technology stocks, prompting a shift in investment focus towards cyclical, consumer, and high-end manufacturing sectors [1][2]. - The financing balance in the A-share market has been rising, indicating a concentration of leveraged funds in technology stocks, which raises potential short-term risks [1][2]. Trading Conditions - The TMT (Technology, Media, Telecommunications) sector's trading volume has reached approximately 35%, placing it in the 92nd percentile since 2019, while the growth style's trading volume is around 58%, in the 97th percentile since 2019, indicating a crowded trading environment [2]. - Some private equity firms are adjusting their portfolios to balance exposure, with a focus on reducing positions in overvalued technology stocks while increasing allocations to sectors like new energy and consumer goods [4][6]. Investment Strategies - Private equity firms are showing a clear divergence in strategies, with some reducing exposure to high-flying technology stocks and reallocating to sectors with better valuation prospects, while others maintain their focus on growth opportunities [4][6]. - There is a growing interest in sectors related to overseas demand, such as appliances and consumer brands, which are perceived to have strong competitive advantages and profitability [6][7]. Sector Outlook - The technology sector is expected to continue evolving, with opportunities emerging within the domestic supply chain, particularly in AI and related industries, where valuations are relatively lower compared to international counterparts [5][6]. - Consumer and cyclical assets are gaining attention, with expectations of improved performance as overall market confidence rises, and certain cyclical stocks are anticipated to benefit from favorable supply-demand dynamics [7].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is entering a period of fluctuation as the third quarter concludes, with brokerages maintaining a relatively positive outlook for the fourth quarter, suggesting that the market trend is not yet over [1][2]. Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a daily trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan, with major indices experiencing divergence; the Shanghai Composite Index remains in a high-level fluctuation while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices continue to rise [2]. - A structural recovery in A-share earnings is anticipated, driven by policy expectations, macro and micro liquidity improvements, and a resilient export growth forecast [2]. Policy Impact - The recent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are expected to boost the RMB exchange rate, attracting global capital inflows into China, with a shift in market focus towards 2026 economic and policy expectations [3]. - Domestic liquidity is expected to remain loose, with increased allocation towards equity assets by residents, contributing to market growth [3]. Market Style - The market is expected to exhibit a more balanced style in the fourth quarter, with both growth and value styles having opportunities [4]. - Historical data suggests that value styles have a slightly higher probability of outperforming growth styles in the fourth quarter since 2013 [4]. Investment Focus - The primary investment focus for the fourth quarter includes technology growth sectors, particularly AI, alongside cyclical products and sectors with improving economic conditions [5][6]. - Specific sectors identified for potential growth include rare earth permanent magnets, precious metals, military, financial IT, and various consumer goods [6]. Sector Recommendations - Companies are advised to focus on sectors such as non-ferrous metals, AI hardware and applications, and consumer services, with particular attention to emerging trends in pet economy, IP toys, and beauty products [6].

Core Viewpoint - The third National Skills Competition held in Zhengzhou, Henan, showcased the transformation of China's industrial structure, emphasizing the integration of traditional skills with digital technology, and highlighted the region's role in advancing skilled talent development [3][4][9]. Event Overview - The competition took place from September 19 to 23, attracting 3,420 participants from 35 delegations across the country [1][3]. - The event featured 106 competition items, with over 50% focused on advanced manufacturing and cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence and industrial internet [3][4]. Industry Transformation - The competition's structure reflects a shift from traditional manufacturing to intelligent manufacturing, indicating a deep integration of digital technology into vocational skills [4][5]. - New competition categories, including those related to rural revitalization and social services, demonstrate a diversification in skill development [3][5]. Talent and Education - The average age of participants was 24, with a significant representation of highly educated individuals: 13 PhDs, 286 Master's, and 843 Bachelor's degree holders, accounting for 33% of the competitors [5][9]. - The event highlighted the growing demand for skilled talent in emerging industries, with a focus on integrating education and practical skills [9][10]. Regional Economic Impact - The National Skills Competition is expected to have a positive impact on the economic development of Zhengzhou and the broader Henan region, fostering a symbiotic relationship between skills development and industrial growth [9][10]. - Zhengzhou aims to become an "international innovation talent center" and has attracted nearly 110,000 young talents, with a total skilled workforce of 136,000 [9][10]. Industry Clusters - Zhengzhou has developed significant industrial clusters, particularly in advanced manufacturing, with major companies like BYD and Foxconn establishing operations in the region [7][9]. - The presence of these companies creates substantial demand for skilled labor, further enhancing the region's attractiveness for talent [7][9].

Industry Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced plans to develop new industries such as humanoid robots, brain-computer interfaces, the metaverse, and quantum information during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] - The Ministry of Transport is set to implement the "Artificial Intelligence + Transportation" initiative, focusing on large-scale innovation applications in the transportation sector [2] Regulatory Actions - The State Administration for Market Regulation has urged Huo La La to comply with antitrust laws and ensure fair market competition [2] - The National Internet Information Office has taken measures against platforms like Toutiao and UC for failing to manage harmful content effectively [3] Company News - Tianpu Co. announced a stock suspension due to a significant price increase of 317.72% over 15 trading days, indicating a disconnection from its fundamentals [4] - Upwind New Materials completed a share transfer involving 1.21 million shares, changing its controlling shareholder [4] - Wolong Nuclear Materials plans to invest up to 1 billion yuan in a new materials project in Jiangsu [5] - Dongshan Precision is preparing for an overseas H-share issuance to enhance its international presence [5] - Jinpu Titanium Industry has terminated its major asset restructuring plans due to market uncertainties [6] - Hualing Cable intends to acquire control of Anhui San Bamboo Intelligent Technology for up to 270 million yuan [6] - Initial Information reported abnormal stock trading due to significant price fluctuations [7] - ST Jinggu announced a donation of 51% equity in Bodata Technology to enhance its asset base [7] Research Insights - China Galaxy Securities remains optimistic about the computing power sector, particularly in PCB, domestic computing, IP licensing, and chip inductors [8] - CITIC Construction Investment forecasts a global upturn in power equipment demand, with investments exceeding 400 billion dollars by 2025 [8]

Group 1 - Deutsche Bank analysts indicate that the recent surge in gold prices to historical highs suggests underlying panic in the stock market, as gold is typically viewed as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty [1] - The market is increasingly concerned about potential government shutdowns in the U.S. and slowing job growth, which are contributing to the fear reflected in rising gold prices [1] - Credit Suisse notes that comments from Fed Governor Milan regarding a potential 150 basis point rate cut have had minimal impact on market expectations, as evidenced by the continued rise in two-year Treasury yields [1] Group 2 - ING maintains a neutral stance on U.S. Treasuries in the short term, while looking for opportunities to short 10-year Treasuries, anticipating a rise in yields to 4.5% by 2026 [2] - Morgan Stanley suggests that the likelihood of the Bank of England cutting rates in December is low, despite potential economic weakness, with expected rate cuts in February and April [2] - CICC reports a continued trend of deposit migration, primarily driven by a shift towards equity markets, although the pace of this migration has slowed [2] Group 3 - Huatai Securities predicts an acceleration of the "East rises, West declines" trend in the semiconductor equipment market in China, with global equipment company revenues expected to grow by 24% year-on-year by Q2 2025 [3] - CITIC Securities highlights that the Democratic Republic of Congo's new cobalt export quotas may lead to a significant increase in cobalt prices due to supply constraints [4] - CITIC JianTou expresses optimism about the robotics sector, driven by advancements in Tesla's Optimus and other companies, indicating a return to technology growth as a key investment theme [5] Group 4 - CITIC Securities notes that solid-state battery trials are beginning, with a focus on improving interface and pressure conditions to address key challenges [6] - CITIC JianTou forecasts that global investment in power grids will exceed $400 billion by 2025, driven by rising electricity demand and increased capital expenditures from major companies [7] - Galaxy Securities reports that positive factors for banks are accumulating, suggesting a potential turning point for mid-term performance improvements [8] Group 5 - Galaxy Securities continues to favor sectors related to computing power, including PCB, domestic computing, IP licensing, and chip inductors, anticipating a recovery in the foldable screen market by 2026 [9] - Everbright Securities indicates that domestic engineering machinery sales are performing well despite seasonal trends, with significant growth in non-excavator categories [10]

【导读】中证全球算力主题指数、中证沪深港算力主题指数将于9月24日正式发布 9月23日，中证指数有限公司发布消息称，将于9月24日正式发布中证全球算力主题指数、中证沪深港算力主题指数，为市场提供多样化的业绩比较基准与 投资标的。 具体来看，中证全球算力主题指数，是从全球市场中选取业务涉及数据中心建设、运营及相关硬件设备制造等算力领域的上市公司作为指数样本公司，以 反映全球市场代表性算力领域上市公司证券的整体表现。 | | 中证全球算力主题指数样本名单 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券中文简称 | 证券英文名称 | | Stock | Stock Name | Stock Nore (Eng.) | | Code | | | | 000063 | 中兴通讯 | ZTE Corporation | | 000938 | 紫米股份 | Unisplendour Corporation Limited | | 000977 | 浪潮信息 | leit Systems Co., Ltd. | | 000988 | 华工科技 | Huagang Tech Campany Limite ...