脑机接口行业点评 Neuralink 发布会公布三年计划，关注脑机接口进展 2025 年 06 月 30 日 ➢ 完成 E 轮融资加快研发，Neuralink 公布未来三年的发展计划。今年 6 月 上旬，Neuralink 宣布完成 6.5 亿美元的 E 轮融资，主要投资者包括方舟投资、 德丰杰成长基金、创始人基金、光速创投、红杉资本、兴盛资本等。发布会上 Neuralink 公布了未来的三年计划——2025 年第四季度：在言语皮层植入设备， 直接从大脑信号中解码有意识的词语，转换为语音。2026 年：将电极数量增加 到 3000 个，让首位「盲视」参与者重获视觉，初期是低分辨率导航，最终达到 超人多波段视觉。2027 年：增加通道数量至 10000 个，首次实现多设备植入 （运动皮层、言语皮层或视觉皮层）。2028 年：每个植入物达到超过 25000 个 通道，拥有多个植入物，能访问大脑的任何部分，治疗精神疾病、疼痛、失调， 并且与 AI 集成。马斯克宣称要在 2028 年实现将人类大脑与 AI 全面集成，实现 意识层面的互联。 ➢ 事件：6 月 28 日，马斯克召开 Neuralink 线上发布会，公布脑 ...

Core Insights - Neuralink is making steady progress in the brain-computer interface (BCI) sector, with its plans aligning with current industry trends and expectations [1][4] - The company aims to create a universal human brain input/output interface, with a long-term goal of achieving unprecedented bandwidth in neural activity communication [3][4] Group 1: Technological Developments - Neuralink has demonstrated that implanted devices allow users to control computers, play games, and operate robotic arms using brain signals [3] - The company plans to decode "intent language" directly from the speech cortex by the end of 2025 and expand the number of electrode channels to 3,000 by 2026 [4] - By 2028, Neuralink aims to increase the number of electrodes to 25,000, enabling comprehensive access to different brain regions for treating mental illnesses and exploring AI integration [4] Group 2: Industry Context - A technology expert from a Chinese BCI company noted that Neuralink's advancements and plans are valuable references for the industry, particularly in areas like motor function replacement and sensory restoration [4][5] - The expert emphasized that while the long-term goals of their company align with Neuralink's, their implementation strategies will be tailored to meet the specific needs of Chinese patients and market characteristics [5]

Market Overview - On June 30, A-shares experienced a volatile rise, with the ChiNext Index increasing by over 1% and more than 4,000 stocks rising. The trading volume was 1.52 trillion, down from 1.58 trillion the previous day [1] - The military industry stocks led the gains, with over ten stocks including Hengyu Xintong and Chenxi Aviation hitting the daily limit [1] - Gaming stocks also saw fluctuations, with companies like Giant Network and Kaiying Network reaching the daily limit [1] - The photovoltaic industry chain strengthened, particularly in the BC battery sector, with Guangxin Materials hitting the daily limit [1] - Stocks related to lithography machines were active, with companies like Blue Eagle Equipment and Kaimite Gas also hitting the daily limit [1] Banking and Securities Sector - Bank and brokerage stocks continued to adjust, with companies such as Qilu Bank and Zhengzhou Bank experiencing varying degrees of decline [2] Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) Sector - The brain-computer interface concept showed strong performance, with companies like Xiangyu Medical hitting the daily limit and Botao Bio rising over 8% [3] - Recent positive developments in the BCI sector have attracted global investor interest, with 2025 being highlighted as a critical year for BCI technology [4] - Neuralink, a company owned by Elon Musk, announced that seven individuals have implanted their N1 devices, allowing paralyzed individuals to control computers using their thoughts [5] - Neuralink's ambitious plans include a roadmap to develop a full-brain interface by 2028, enabling high-bandwidth connections between biological brains and external machines [7][9] Stock Performance and Market Reactions - The stock of Brain Regeneration Technology, a previously obscure company, surged by 13,192.24% this year after announcing FDA approval for its new neural modulation chip [11] - However, the stock price subsequently plummeted, leading to a loss of $33 billion in paper wealth, raising concerns among market observers [13] - Regulatory bodies may scrutinize the volatility in low-priced small-cap stocks, which are often susceptible to fraud [14] Future Prospects in BCI - The BCI market is expected to grow, with applications primarily in healthcare, and gradually expanding into education, gaming, and smart home sectors [14] - The development of higher precision sensors and lighter, more compatible devices is anticipated to enhance the BCI industry [14] - A list of BCI concept stocks shows several companies with strong institutional ratings and projected profit growth for 2025 and 2026, including Mindray Medical and Kailing Medical [16]

2025 年 06 月 30 日 马斯克公布脑机接口进展，Neuralink 估值快速 上升 推荐(维持) 事件 分析师：林子健 S1050523090001 linzj@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 ▌Neuralink 展示新产品方向，有望链接生物大脑与 外部机器 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 汽车(申万) | -0.4 | -3.0 | 30.0 | | 沪深 300 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 13.7 | 市场表现 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 (%) 汽车 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《汽车行业点评报告：商务部开 展 2025 年千县万镇新能源汽车消费 季活动，政策加码新能源车下乡再 提速》2025-06-29 2、《汽车行业周报：Robotaxi 开启 试运营，人形机器人中长期信心不 改》2025-06-26 3、《汽车行业周报：人形机器人渠 道+应用场景加速落地，汽车供应链 迎来 60 天账期新变革》2025-06-16 当地时间 6 月 27 日，马斯克旗下脑机 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent developments in the Chinese stock market, including the performance of various sectors and the implications of economic indicators such as PMI, as well as the potential for upcoming policy changes and international relations affecting market sentiment [1][2][5]. Economic Indicators - China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI for June exceeded expectations, indicating stable growth momentum despite high tariffs from the US [2]. - Citi forecasts a strong actual growth rate of 5.3% for the first half of 2025, supported by a firm policy commitment to meet annual GDP targets [2]. - High-frequency tracking indicators show a rebound in China's exports to the US in June, suggesting continued monthly export growth [2]. Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.76% in the first half of the year, while the North Star 50 Index surged by 39.45% [2]. - On a recent trading day, major indices collectively increased, with the Shanghai Composite up 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component up 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.35% [3]. Sector Highlights - The military industry sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up [3]. - Brain-computer interface concept stocks continued to perform well, driven by recent advancements announced by Neuralink [3]. - The photovoltaic sector experienced a surge, with domestic new photovoltaic installations reaching 92.92 GW in May, a year-on-year increase of 388.03% [3]. - The gaming sector exploded with 158 new games approved in June, marking a record high for the year, indicating a clear trend of regulatory easing [3]. Investment Strategies - Various institutions predict a bullish outlook for July, with policy support, liquidity easing, and positive mid-year earnings expectations driving the market [5][6]. - Recommended sectors for investment include technology, dividends, and military industries, with small-cap stocks expected to maintain relative advantages [5][6]. Fund Flows - The defense and military industry saw the largest net inflow of funds, with significant investments in leading companies [15]. - The overall market experienced a net inflow of 344.71 billion yuan, with notable interest in sectors such as defense, electric power equipment, and media [15][26]. Company Performance - TaoTao Automotive expects a net profit growth of 70%-98% year-on-year for the first half of the year [10]. - Hanyu Pharmaceutical anticipates a turnaround with a projected net profit of 142 million to 162 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [10]. Industry Developments - Major photovoltaic glass manufacturers plan to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July to address oversupply issues [11]. - The Ministry of Commerce announced continued anti-dumping duties on imported stainless steel products from several countries, impacting market dynamics [12].

Core Viewpoint - The advent of brain-machine interface technology by Neuralink is poised to disrupt various industries, including education, healthcare, and the arts, leading to significant changes in job markets and societal structures [1][11]. Group 1: Impact on Healthcare - The technology has entered clinical trials, with 7 patients successfully implanted with Neuralink devices, allowing them to control computers and mechanical arms through thought [4]. - Disabled individuals, such as those with paralysis, can regain mobility through thought-controlled devices, potentially eliminating outdated medical equipment manufacturers [6]. - Vision restoration for the blind is possible through "blindsight" technology, which could drastically reduce the need for eye care professionals and related industries [7][8]. Group 2: Transformation of Education - Future students may download knowledge directly into their brains, drastically altering the educational landscape and potentially rendering traditional teaching methods obsolete [12][14]. - The rapid acquisition of knowledge could lead to a significant reduction in the demand for conventional educators, particularly those who rely on rote teaching methods [15]. Group 3: Effects on the Arts and Creative Industries - Artists may utilize brain signals to create music and art, which could enhance creativity but also threaten the livelihoods of traditional artists and designers [17]. - The integration of AI with brain-machine interfaces could lead to a scenario where everyone has access to vast knowledge, resulting in intense competition in creative fields [19]. Group 4: Market Potential and Growth - The brain-machine interface market in China is projected to reach $7.63 billion between 2025 and 2029, with a current industry scale of 2.8 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 20.1% growth [23][25]. - Regulatory frameworks are being established in China to support the development of brain-machine interfaces, including pricing guidelines for invasive and non-invasive procedures [27]. Group 5: Future Developments and Timeline - Neuralink has outlined a timeline for technological advancements, including the ability to decode speech from brain signals by late 2025 and achieving multi-device implants by 2028 [21][22]. - The rapid advancement of surgical robotics for electrode implantation is expected to enhance the feasibility of widespread brain-machine interface applications [22].

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Core Viewpoint - The brain-computer interface (BCI) sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by advancements from companies like Neuralink and recent breakthroughs in China, indicating a potential commercialization of BCI technology in the near future [2][4][5]. Group 1: Neuralink Developments - Neuralink has showcased its latest research and product development, with 7 participants currently using the device for an average of 50 hours per week, peaking over 100 hours [2]. - The company plans to implant devices in the speech cortex by the end of 2025 to decode silent speech from brain signals, and aims to increase electrode channels to 3,000 by 2026 to explore restoring vision [2][3]. - By 2028, Neuralink anticipates implanting over 25,000 electrodes to address mental health issues and explore integration with AI, potentially allowing humans to control robots directly [3]. Group 2: Market Potential and Growth - The global BCI market is projected to grow from $2.62 billion in 2024 to approximately $12.4 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.35% [4]. - The BCI technology is recognized as one of the most disruptive technologies of the 21st century, with expectations for a surge in medical product applications over the next 5 to 10 years [4]. Group 3: Domestic Developments in China - Recent successful trials in China, including the first invasive BCI-assisted rehabilitation for a stroke patient, highlight the rapid advancement of BCI technology towards commercialization [4]. - The "Beijing Brain Institute" has developed a flexible, high-throughput, semi-invasive BCI system that has entered clinical trials, marking significant progress in the field [4]. Group 4: Industry Insights - The domestic BCI industry is benefiting from technological breakthroughs and supportive government policies, which are expected to accelerate the commercialization process [5]. - BCI products are categorized into non-invasive and invasive types, with non-invasive products leading in commercialization, while invasive products are still in clinical research stages [6]. - Despite the promising outlook, the BCI industry faces challenges related to safety, regulatory approval, and the need for foundational research [6][7].

机构表示，外部地缘政治变化不断促发军工关注度，提升军工行业整体估值，且军工板块二季度业绩初步 预期逐渐落地，部分白马股有望触底反转；叠加"十五五"规划逐步推动，军工板块后续将逐渐上涨。 6月最后一个交易日，A股全线走高，创业板指、科创50指数等涨超1%。全月来看，沪指上涨2.9%， 深证成指、创业板指分别上涨4.23%、8%。 港股今日疲弱，尾盘加速跳水，恒生指数跌近1%。 具体来看，A股主要股指盘中强势上扬，创业板指等涨超1%。截至收盘，沪指涨0.59%报3444.43点，深 证成指涨0.83%报10465.12点，创业板指涨1.35%报2153.01点，科创50指数涨1.54%，沪深北三市合计 成交15175亿元，较此前一日减少584亿元。 场内超4000股飘红，军工板块延续强势，中光防雷斩获3连板，北方长龙、长城军工续创历史新高；光刻 机概念爆发，蓝英装备20%涨停，广信材料涨超15%；人脑工程概念崛起，翔宇医疗20%涨停，爱朋医疗 涨超10%；创新药概念拉升，毕得医药、药康生物、奥浦迈等涨超10%。券商、银行板块疲弱，国盛金控 大幅回落。 港股方面，截至收盘，恒生指数跌0.87%，恒生科技指数跌0.7 ...

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