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二季度供应过剩局面不改 短期锂价预计震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-16 06:19
碳酸锂市场总体库存降500吨至13.2万吨,下游库存降3000吨至4.2万吨,冶炼厂库存增3800吨在5.5万 吨,中间环节积极去库。 机构观点 南华期货(603093):二季度碳酸锂供应过剩局面不改,抢出口预期能否落地有待观察;锂矿与锂盐库 存双高,锂盐产能出清压力逐渐向矿端传导,矿价松动将让成本端继续下移,后续关注矿与盐的螺旋式 下跌以及供给端企业异动。 正信期货:现货市场交投清淡,锂盐厂挺价惜售,供给端产量增加,进口回升,库存压力较大,锂矿价 格下跌削弱成本支撑,中美经贸会谈利好储能电池出口,短期锂价预计震荡。 5月16日,国内期市有色金属板块全线飘绿。其中,碳酸锂期货盘面表现偏弱,截至发稿主力合约大幅 下挫3.84%,报62020.0元/吨。 【消息面汇总】 5月16日富宝锂电网发布数据显示,电碳现货基差指数为530元/吨(持平);电池级碳酸锂报63350元/ 吨(-1300元/吨);工业级碳酸锂(综合)报62500元/吨(-900元/吨);电池级碳酸锂长协均价64450 元/吨(-100元/吨)。 5月15日,广期所发布《关于征集碳酸锂期货注册品牌的通知》,注册品牌要求具备健全的商品流向追 溯机制、 ...
永杉锂业:拟定增不超5亿元 推动技术研发及供应链布局
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-05-16 03:02
Core Viewpoint - Yongshan Lithium Industry plans to issue up to 71.8391 million shares at a price of 6.96 yuan per share, raising no more than 500 million yuan to support liquidity and enhance technological research and supply chain layout [1][2] Group 1: Company Strategy and Operations - The company adheres to a "large mining enterprise" supply strategy, focusing on Australian large-scale mines as the supply base while expanding supply channels in Africa and South America [2] - The company is driving innovation through process optimization and technology breakthroughs, including flexible production lines and lithium extraction processes [2] - The raised funds will enhance operational efficiency, market adaptability, and supply assurance to key downstream customers, supporting the implementation of supply chain resource layout and technological research strategies [2] Group 2: Financial Impact and Shareholder Confidence - Following the issuance, the total assets and net assets of the company will increase, optimizing the asset-liability structure and alleviating short-term cash flow pressure [2] - The controlling shareholder, Yongrong Zhisheng, will see an increase in shareholding percentage, reinforcing control stability and demonstrating confidence in the company's future development [3]
库存小幅增加,过剩格局仍未改变
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-16 01:38
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-05-16 库存小幅增加,过剩格局仍未改变 市场分析 2025年5月15日,碳酸锂主力合约2507开于64680元/吨,收于64120元/吨,当日收盘价较昨日结算价收跌0.83%。当 日成交量为230077手,持仓量为289360手,较前一交易日增加12404手,根据SMM现货报价,目前期货贴水电碳680 元/吨。所有合约总持仓480821手,较前一交易日减少3011手。当日合约总成交量较前一交易日减少194070手,成 交量减少,整体投机度为0.58 。当日碳酸锂仓单36664手,较上个交易日减少52手。 碳酸锂现货:根据SMM数据,2025年5月15日电池级碳酸锂报价6.38-6.58万元/吨,较前一交易日上涨0.01万元/吨, 工业级碳酸锂报价6.265-6.365万元/吨,较前一交易日上涨0.01万元/吨。部分锂盐企业陆续检修或减产,周度产量 环比继续小幅下降,周度产量1.66万吨,环比上周减少1115吨,锂辉石生产碳酸锂产量减少较多,但整体来看,减 产力度不及预期,碳酸锂产量仍处于高位,小幅减产难以对供需过剩格局造成实质性改变。 库存方面,最新统计库存131920 ...
永杉锂业: 永杉锂业关于向特定对象发行A股股票摊薄即期回报的风险提示及填补措施与相关主体承诺的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-15 13:44
Core Viewpoint - The company is issuing A-shares to specific investors, which may dilute immediate returns for existing shareholders, but aims to enhance its financial structure and support future growth initiatives [1][5][9]. Group 1: Impact of A-Share Issuance - The issuance is expected to dilute the company's earnings per share (EPS) and return on equity (ROE) due to an increase in total share capital [5][9]. - Under three scenarios of net profit growth (0%, 20%, and 40%), the basic and diluted EPS will be affected, with potential declines in immediate returns [2][4][3]. Group 2: Necessity and Rationale for Issuance - The issuance will supplement working capital, supporting technology research and supply chain development amidst a competitive lithium market [5]. - It aims to convey a positive signal to the market, reinforcing the controlling shareholder's commitment to the company's future [6]. - The financial structure will be optimized, alleviating short-term cash flow pressures and enhancing financial stability [6]. Group 3: Measures to Mitigate Dilution Risks - The company will implement strict management of the raised funds to ensure they are used effectively and in accordance with regulations [7]. - Efforts will be made to enhance core competitiveness through improved supply chain management and increased R&D investment [8]. - The governance structure will be strengthened to ensure shareholder rights are protected and to maintain effective oversight [8]. Group 4: Commitments from Stakeholders - The controlling shareholder and management have made commitments to uphold measures that will mitigate the dilution of immediate returns and protect investor interests [10][11].
永杉锂业: 向特定对象发行A股股票募集资金使用的可行性分析报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-15 13:44
股票代码:603399 股票简称:永杉锂业 锦州永杉锂业股份有限公司 募集资金使用可行性分析报告 二〇二五年五月 公司已按照上市公司的治理标准,建立健全了法人治理结构,股东大会、董事会、 监事会和管理层的独立运行机制,并通过不断改进与完善,形成了较为规范、标准的 公司治理体系和较为完善的内部控制程序。 一、本次募集资金使用计划 锦州永杉锂业股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")本次向特定对象发行A股股票 募集资金总额不超过50,000.00万元(含本数),扣除发行费用后全部用于补充流动资 金。 二、本次募投项目的必要性及可行性分析 (一)本次募集资金使用的必要性分析 近年来,全球锂盐行业在供需再平衡中加速分化,行业集中度进一步提升,未来 锂盐行业产品需求增长市场容量仍较为可观。从全球视角看,锂资源开发呈现"资源+ 技术"双轮驱动的竞争格局,资源开发效率与产能成本管控将成为企业生存竞争的重 要变量。在此背景下,一方面公司将坚持"大矿企"供应战略,以澳大利亚规模化矿 山为供应基本盘,构建优质原料供应渠道与商务合作关系,同时积极拓展非洲、南美 等地区的供应渠道,构建多区位、多维度的供应链安全保障体系;另一方面公司将围 绕 ...
永杉锂业: 锦州永杉锂业股份有限公司2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票方案论证分析报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-15 13:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the company's strategic move to issue shares to specific investors to enhance its financial strength and support its growth in response to increasing demand for processed lithium products [2][5][6] - The issuance is aligned with global trends towards carbon neutrality and the promotion of clean energy, particularly in the context of China's ambitious carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals set for 2030 and 2060 respectively [3][4] - The company aims to utilize the raised funds to improve operational efficiency, enhance market responsiveness, and ensure supply security for key customers, thereby facilitating stable development [6][8] Group 2 - The global market for new energy vehicles is projected to grow significantly, with an expected increase in sales to 18.236 million units in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.4%, and China's market share rising to 70.5% [4] - The demand for lithium products is anticipated to remain strong due to the rapid expansion of the lithium-ion battery market, driven by both the new energy vehicle sector and energy storage solutions [4][6] - The company plans to enhance its supply chain and technological capabilities, focusing on resource development and efficiency to maintain competitiveness in the lithium salt industry [7][8] Group 3 - The issuance of shares will be conducted at a price of 6.96 yuan per share, which is not less than 80% of the average trading price over the previous 20 trading days [11][14] - The issuance is expected to increase the company's total assets and net assets, optimizing its capital structure and alleviating short-term cash flow pressures [6][8] - The company has established a robust governance structure to ensure compliance with regulations and protect shareholder interests, including a commitment to transparent management of the raised funds [24][25]
新能源及有色金属日报:宏观情绪好转,空单止盈引发盘面减仓上涨-20250515
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 05:20
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-05-15 宏观情绪好转,空单止盈引发盘面减仓上涨 市场分析 2025年5月14日,碳酸锂主力合约2507开于63860元/吨,收于65200元/吨,当日收盘价较昨日结算价收涨3.0%。当 日成交量为377525手,持仓量为276956手,较前一交易日减少17270手,根据SMM现货报价,目前期货升水电碳500 元/吨。所有合约总持仓465422手,较前一交易日减少3011手。当日合约总成交量较前一交易日增加198389手,成 交量增加,整体投机度为1.02 。当日碳酸锂仓单36716手,较上个交易日增加272手。 碳酸锂现货:根据SMM数据,2025年5月14日电池级碳酸锂报价6.36-6.58万元/吨,较前一交易日上涨0.01万元/吨, 工业级碳酸锂报价6.255-6.355万元/吨,较前一交易日上涨0.01万元/吨。据SMM调研,碳酸锂现货成交价格重心呈 小幅震荡上行。当前市场成交情况显示,下游企业的采购意愿较为低迷,整体需求主要依靠客供及长协供应来满 足。上游锂盐厂在面临成本亏损的压力下,挺价意愿表现得十分强烈。目前主要是贸易商与下游企业之间存在一 定的成交情况。从 ...
碳酸锂:基本面仍偏弱,上方空间或有限
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 02:35
2025 年 5 月 15 日 碳酸锂:基本面仍偏弱,上方空间或有限 | | 邵婉嫕 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015722 | shaowanyi@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | | | 刘鸿儒(联系人) 期货从业资格号:F03124172 | liuhongru@gtht.com | | 【基本面跟踪】 | | | 碳酸锂基本面数据 5 月 13 日,雅化集团公告称,公司下属全资子公司雅化国际与 Core 公司全资子公司锂业发展签署 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2507合约(收盘价) | 65,200 | 1,980 | 1,040 | -2,980 | -5,020 | -13,120 | | | | 2507合约(成交量) | 377,525 | 160,492 | 173,711 | 269,348 | 327,690 | 371,433 | | | ...
贵金属有色金属产业日报-20250514
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 09:14
. 贵金属有色金属产业日报 2025/5/14 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明 】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和建议。 在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形下做出修 改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交 易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用 或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 本公 ...