证券代码：603363 证券简称：傲农生物 公告编号：2025-113 福建傲农生物科技集团股份有限公司 2025 年 11 月养殖业务主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 主要产品 | 销售量 | 库存量 | 销售量同比 增减（%） | 库存量同比 增减（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 生猪 | 15.77 | 69.97 | +72.21 | +33.94 | 2025 年 11 月，公司生猪销售量 15.77 万头，同比增加 72.21%，较 2025 年 10 月减少 17.08%。 2025 年 11 月末，公司生猪存栏 69.97 万头，同比增加 33.94%，较 2025 年 10 月末增加 7.58%，较 2024 年 12 月末增加 36.41%。 公司积极推动生猪养殖产能优化工作，合理调整养殖布局、规模与品种结构， 后续将继续坚持"稳字当头、持续降本"的策略，集中资源发展优势产能，务实 经营发展目标，切实推进降本工作。 二、其他说 ...

Core Viewpoint - Aonong Biological (603363.SH) reported a significant increase in pig sales and inventory, indicating a positive trend in production capacity optimization and cost reduction strategies [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In November 2025, the company sold 157,700 pigs, representing a year-on-year increase of 72.21%, but a month-on-month decrease of 17.08% [1] - The total pig inventory at the end of November 2025 was 699,700 heads, which is a year-on-year increase of 33.94% and a month-on-month increase of 7.58% [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively promoting the optimization of pig farming capacity by adjusting breeding layout, scale, and breed structure [1] - The company will continue to adhere to a strategy focused on stability and ongoing cost reduction, concentrating resources on developing advantageous production capacity [1]

农林牧渔 2025 年 12 月 08 日 业 研 究 农林牧渔 猪价弱势运行，11 月第三方能繁延续去化 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：猪价维持弱势，11 月第三方能繁延续去化。（1）月初缩 量拉涨有限，本周猪价窄幅回调。本月初集团场缩量拉涨猪价，但市场接 受度有限，散户大猪顺势出栏，供应压力持续，供大于求格局持续。12 月 5 日猪价 11.19 元/公斤，周环比-0.01 元/公斤。（2）本周屠宰量继续增长。 受降温天气带动，四川地区腌腊、灌肠活动陆续启动，对生猪屠宰量形成 支撑。本周样本屠宰企业日均屠宰量为 17.66 万头，周环比+1.83%。（3） 本周生猪出栏均重继续增长。本周集团出栏节奏收窄后放量，集团出栏均 重小幅增加；散户受制于资金和疫情影响，北方多地散户大猪出栏积极性 偏强，散户出栏均重增幅明显。截至 12 月 4 日当周，行业生猪出栏均重 129.82 公斤，周环比+0.60 公斤。展望后市，养殖已陷入亏损状态，叠加产 能调控政策推进，行业产能去化预计持续，有望推动长期猪价中枢上移， 低成本优质猪企将获得超额收益。根据农业农村部数据，10 月末全国能繁 母猪存栏量降至 ...

Core Insights - The report anticipates a significant reversal in the livestock cycle, particularly recommending Hong Kong-listed dairy farming stocks as key beneficiaries [1][12] - The monthly recommended investment portfolio includes leading companies in the livestock sector such as Yuran Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Muyuan Foods, indicating a bullish outlook on their performance [1][3] Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is expected to benefit from a cyclical rebound, with a focus on both beef and milk production, as domestic prices are projected to rise significantly from 2025 to 2027 [14] - The report highlights that the domestic milk price has been in decline for nearly four years, leading to a reduction in production capacity, while the beef-to-milk price ratio has reached historical highs, suggesting an acceleration in the culling of dairy cows [14] - Key recommendations in the livestock sector include Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming, which are positioned to benefit from the anticipated price recovery in raw milk and beef [14][19] Swine Sector - The swine sector is characterized by a gradual recovery in prices, with a focus on leading companies such as Huazhong Holdings, Dekang Agriculture, and Muyuan Foods, which are expected to outperform due to their low-cost advantages [15][22] - The report notes that the average price of live pigs was 11.25 yuan/kg at the end of November, reflecting a 10% month-on-month decline, while the price of piglets increased by 18% [22][23] - The report emphasizes that leading companies in the swine sector are likely to see significant cash flow improvements and increased dividend payouts as the industry stabilizes [15][21] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is experiencing a slight increase in supply, with expectations for demand recovery, particularly in the white-feathered chicken segment, where prices have shown a modest increase [24][30] - The report indicates that the price of white chicken was 7.10 yuan/kg at the end of November, reflecting a 1.43% month-on-month increase, while chick prices have decreased [25][30] - Recommendations for the poultry sector include leading companies such as Lihua Holdings and Shengnong Development, which are expected to maintain strong profitability amid improving market conditions [17][24] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a promising growth area, benefiting from rising consumer sentiment and the emergence of domestic brands, with key recommendations including Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co [16][20] - The report highlights that the domestic pet food export volume decreased by 3.88% month-on-month, indicating potential challenges in the export market [20] - The growth of high-end domestic brands during promotional events like Double 11 is noted, suggesting a strong market presence and growth potential for local players [20][21] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting that soybean meal prices are at historical lows, while corn prices have increased by 4% month-on-month to 2289 yuan/ton [2][22] - The report indicates that the supply of eggs is under pressure due to increasing production, while the demand for corn is expected to stabilize as new crops come to market [2][22] - The overall agricultural sector is projected to experience a recovery, with specific attention to the planting chain and companies with strong R&D capabilities [17][19]

Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates a significant reversal in the livestock cycle, recommending Hong Kong-listed dairy farming stocks as core investments [1][12] - The monthly recommended portfolio includes YouRan Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Muyuan Foods, which are leaders in their respective sectors [1][3] Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is expected to benefit from a cyclical rebound, with a focus on both beef and milk production, as domestic prices are projected to rise significantly by 2027 [14][40] - The report highlights that the domestic milk price has been in decline for nearly four years, leading to pressure on production capacity, while the beef-to-milk price ratio has reached historical highs, prompting faster culling of dairy cows [14][40] Swine Sector - The swine sector is experiencing a gradual recovery, with leading companies expected to benefit from improved cash flows and dividend potential as industry capacity contracts [1][15] - The report emphasizes that the current valuation of leading swine companies is at historical lows, indicating potential for valuation recovery [15][22] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is seeing an increase in supply, with expectations for demand recovery, particularly in the white-feathered chicken segment, which is entering a consumption peak [24][30] - The report notes that the price of broiler chickens has shown a slight recovery, with a projected increase in profitability for leading poultry companies [24][30] Pet Sector - The pet industry is identified as a promising new consumption sector, benefiting from the rise of domestic brands and emotional consumer trends [16][20] - The report recommends leading pet food companies, which are expected to continue their growth trajectory due to product upgrades and direct sales transformations [20][16] Feed Sector - The feed sector is highlighted for its deepening industrialization and clear division of labor, with leading companies expected to widen their competitive advantages through technology and service [1][3] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting that the price of corn has increased by 4% month-on-month, while soybean meal prices are at historical lows, indicating a potential for future recovery [2][22] - The report also mentions that the egg market is under pressure from supply increases, while the demand for soybeans is tightening in the medium to long term [2][18]

Core Insights - The report anticipates a significant reversal in the livestock cycle, particularly recommending Hong Kong-listed dairy farming stocks [1][12] - The monthly recommended portfolio includes YouRan Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Muyuan Foods, which are expected to benefit from the livestock cycle recovery [1][3] - The report highlights the expected upward trend in domestic beef and milk prices, suggesting a strong recovery in the performance of livestock companies [1][14] Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is projected to experience a major turnaround, with a focus on dairy farming stocks such as YouRan Agriculture and Modern Farming [1][14] - The report indicates that the domestic beef and milk markets are likely to see a price rebound, driven by a reduction in production capacity and improved demand dynamics [1][14] - The anticipated "meat-milk resonance" is expected to enhance profitability for dairy farming companies, with significant earnings recovery potential [1][14] Swine Sector - The swine sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in prices, with leading companies like Huazhong and Muyuan Foods positioned to benefit from valuation corrections [1][14] - The report notes that the cash flow of leading swine companies is improving, which may lead to higher dividend payouts in the future [1][15] - The current market conditions suggest that the swine industry is stabilizing, with a focus on maintaining reasonable breeding levels [22] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is experiencing a slight increase in supply, with expectations for demand recovery to support price stabilization [24] - The report highlights that the white-feathered chicken market is showing signs of recovery, with prices expected to improve as the consumption season approaches [24] - Leading poultry companies are anticipated to maintain strong profitability amid changing supply dynamics [24] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a promising growth area, with domestic brands gaining traction and expected to benefit from rising consumer sentiment [1][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for local pet food brands to capture market share, particularly in the high-end segment [1][16] - The performance of leading pet food companies is projected to remain strong, driven by product upgrades and direct sales strategies [20] Feed Sector - The feed sector is expected to benefit from deeper industrialization in livestock farming, with leading companies leveraging technological and service advantages [1][14] - The report indicates that feed prices are at historical lows, providing a strong cost support for livestock producers [1][14] - The anticipated tightening of supply-demand balance in the feed market is expected to lead to gradual price recovery [1][14] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting that the price of live pigs was 11.25 yuan/kg at the end of November, down 10% month-on-month, while the price of 7kg piglets increased by 18% [2][22] - The report also highlights that corn prices have increased by 4% month-on-month, indicating a potential bottoming out in the market [2][22] - The overall agricultural sector is showing resilience, with the SW Agricultural Index outperforming the broader market [2][22]

行业 生猪日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 08 日 021-60635740 期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635727 期货从业资格号：F0230741 研究员：洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.co m 期货从业资格号：F3076808 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农业产品研究团队 研究员：林贞磊 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：王海峰 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：刘悠然 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源：涌益，建信期货研究中心 生猪行情： 图1：全国生猪出栏价 元/公斤 图2：样本屠宰场屠宰量 头 数据来源：涌益，建信期货研究中心 每日报告 二、行业要闻 图1：养殖利润 元/头 图 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **pork industry** and **liquor market**, focusing on the challenges faced by the pig farming sector and the dynamics of the liquor market, particularly **Kweichow Moutai**. Key Points on the Pork Industry - **Oversupply and Weak Demand**: The pork price has declined due to oversupply and weak consumer demand, with a 5% year-on-year increase in the number of pigs slaughtered in the first three quarters of 2025, but the slaughter volume growth is significantly lower than previous years [1][2]. - **Losses Across All Categories**: All categories of pigs (commercial, piglets, and breeding sows) are experiencing losses, leading to accelerated capacity reduction [1][4]. - **Self-breeding Model Struggles**: The self-breeding model is facing severe losses, with cash flow pressures on some enterprises [1][5]. - **Slow Capacity Adjustment**: The speed of capacity adjustment is slower than expected, with limited reduction in the number of breeding sows in November [1][7][8]. - **Changing Cycle Characteristics**: The characteristics of the pig cycle are changing, with shorter cycles and reduced volatility. The ability to quickly adjust capacity is limited due to improved epidemic prevention capabilities and high fixed asset standards [1][9][10]. - **Cost Reduction Focus**: The industry is entering a phase of cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with leading companies expected to gain cost advantages [1][10]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Companies such as Muyuan, Wens Foodstuff, Tiankang Biological, and Dekang Agriculture are recommended for investment due to their potential for value recovery [1][11]. Key Points on the Liquor Market - **Kweichow Moutai Price Decline**: The price of Kweichow Moutai has recently dropped by approximately 100 yuan, primarily due to changes in supply and demand dynamics, with increased supply from manufacturers and weak seasonal demand [1][12]. - **Future Price Expectations**: Prices are expected to remain low in the first quarter of 2026, with fluctuations around the low point throughout the year [1][12]. - **Market Dynamics**: The liquor market has seen a shift since the third quarter, with companies reducing growth rates to relieve pressure. The second quarter of next year is anticipated to see a release of pressure on financial reports, with a potential turning point in the third quarter [1][13][14]. Additional Insights - **Consumer Goods Sector**: The consumer goods sector is expected to see improvements in pricing stability and competitive dynamics, with specific recommendations for companies like Anjijia Foods and Yili Group [1][15]. - **Medical Device Sector**: The medical device sector is entering a low growth phase, with expectations of growth rates remaining below 5% in the coming years [1][16][18]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the challenges and opportunities within the pork and liquor markets, as well as broader consumer goods and medical device sectors.

Summary of the Conference Call on November Pig Production Data Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the pig farming industry in China, specifically discussing the production capacity and market trends as of November 2025 [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments Pig Production Capacity - The national breeding sow inventory decreased by 0.62% month-on-month in November 2025, but increased by 0.82% year-on-year. Compared to the peak in June, there was a reduction of 380,000 sows, primarily due to policy guidance, market expectations, and disease impacts [1][2]. - The average weight of pigs at slaughter in November was 124.66 kg, showing a slight increase of 0.09% month-on-month but a decrease of 0.83% year-on-year [1][6]. Market Prices and Profitability - The average price of pigs continued to decline, reaching 11.13 CNY/kg by December 5, 2025. This price level resulted in over 95% of enterprises operating at a loss, with losses of approximately 100 CNY per head for self-breeding and around 300 CNY per head for piglet fattening [1][5]. - The price is expected to remain below 12 CNY/kg before the Spring Festival due to sufficient supply and increased slaughtering pace in December [1][10]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of pigs in November was ample, with a decrease in large enterprise slaughtering but also a significant reduction in secondary fattening targets, which dropped by 71% [1][7][8]. - The demand in southern regions was weak due to higher temperatures and lower stocking intentions, contributing to the price decline [1][8]. Future Price Predictions - It is anticipated that pig prices will not exceed 12 CNY/kg before the Spring Festival, with a potential slight increase in mid-December due to increased stocking by downstream buyers and reduced slaughtering by farming groups [1][10]. Disease Impact - Recent outbreaks of pig diseases in regions like Shandong and Jiangsu have affected both small-scale and large farming groups, leading to a decrease in breeding sow inventory [1][4][11]. - The disease situation has worsened compared to the previous year, with a significant increase in incidence rates, particularly in the northern regions [1][21]. Financial Health of the Industry - The overall cash flow situation in the pig farming industry is poor, with losses per pig reaching 300 to 400 CNY since August 2025. Approximately 60% to 70% of farming companies are experiencing cash flow difficulties [1][18][19]. Cost Trends and Future Outlook - The cost of pig farming is expected to continue decreasing, primarily due to lower feed prices and the adoption of superior breeding stock, which enhances reproductive performance and reduces feed conversion ratios [1][23][24]. - The industry is likely to see a recovery in profitability by the second half of 2026 as production capacity decreases and demand increases during peak consumption seasons [1][15]. Additional Important Insights - The differences in data reporting between the Ministry of Agriculture and third-party organizations highlight the complexities in understanding market dynamics and the impact of policy measures on production capacity [1][12]. - The willingness of small and medium-sized farms to reduce production capacity is low, as they anticipate potential profits during peak demand periods [1][13]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the current state and future outlook of the pig farming industry in China.

证券代码：603477 证券简称：巨星农牧 公告编号：2025-113 债券代码：113648 债券简称：巨星转债 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司2025年11月养殖业务销售情况简报 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 ■ 三、特别说明与风险提示 1、上述披露信息仅包含公司养殖业务的生猪销售情况，不包括其他业务和其他产品。 2、上述销售数据来源于公司内部统计，未经审计，与定期报告披露的数据之间可能存在差异，上述销 售数据仅作为阶段性数据供投资者参考。因四舍五入，以上数据可能存在尾差。商品肥猪销价为当月销 售均价。 3、生猪市场价格的大幅波动（下降或上升）与动物疫病是生猪养殖行业的系统性风险，对任何一家生 猪养殖生产者来讲都是客观存在的、不可控制的外部风险，可能会对公司的经营业绩产生重大影响。 敬请广大投资者审慎决策，理性投资，注意风险。 特此公告。 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将2025年11月养殖业务销售情况披露如下： 一、2025年11月养殖业务销售情况 ■ 二、2025年1至11月养殖业务销售情况 ...