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FICC日报:海外宏观环境改善,股指反弹-20250530
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-30 05:13
海外宏观环境改善,股指反弹 市场分析 美国经济增速高于初值。国内方面,商务部回应中美经贸磋商新动向表示,中美日内瓦经贸会谈以来,双方在多 个层级就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通。近期中方围绕美方在半导体领域滥用出口管制措施等做法,多次与美方进 行交涉。对于欧盟对华轮胎产品发起反倾销调查,中方将密切关注欧方后续行动,并坚决维护中国企业合法权益。 海外方面,美国第一季度GDP修正值按年率计算萎缩0.2%,较此前公布的初值(萎缩0.3%)略有上调,但仍显示 美国经济在年初遭遇了收缩。消费支出增速大幅下调,创下近两年来的最弱增速。企业利润暴跌2.9%,创下2020 年以来最大跌幅。核心PCE小幅下调至3.4%。 FICC日报 | 2025-05-30 股指反弹。现货市场,A股三大指数高开高走,上证指数涨0.7%收于3363.45点,创业板指涨1.37%。行业方面,板 块指数涨多跌少,计算机、医药生物、电子、国防军工行业领涨,仅美容护理、银行、食品饮料、石油石化行业 收跌。当日沪深两市成交金额升至1.2万亿元。海外市场,美国联邦上诉法院暂停一项阻止特朗普征收全球关税的 裁决,对于暂停期是否会进一步延长,法院尚在考虑之中。此前 ...
A股市场大势研判:沪指走出三连阳
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-21 23:31
Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3387.57, with a slight increase of 0.21% or 7.10 points [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.44%, closing at 10294.22, gaining 45.05 points [2] - The CSI 300 Index increased by 0.47%, closing at 3916.38, with a gain of 18.21 points [2] - The ChiNext Index saw a rise of 0.83%, closing at 2065.39, up by 16.93 points [2] - The STAR 50 Index decreased by 0.22%, closing at 995.49, down by 2.19 points [2] - The Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index increased by 0.39%, closing at 1479.81, gaining 5.82 points [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included coal (2.55%), non-ferrous metals (2.05%), and electric power equipment (1.11%) [3] - The bottom-performing sectors included beauty care (-1.09%), electronics (-0.93%), and media (-0.87%) [3] - Concept sectors that performed well included graphite electrodes (2.57%), recombinant proteins (2.52%), and gold concepts (2.06%) [3] - Underperforming concept sectors included PEEK materials (-1.79%), camping economy (-1.56%), and WiFi 6 (-1.55%) [3] Market Outlook - The report indicates that the A-share market shows strong resilience and strategic determination, with the potential for further upward movement despite significant selling pressure above [5] - The report suggests a focus on sectors such as finance, public utilities, retail, food and beverage, non-ferrous metals, and TMT for investment opportunities [5] - The completion of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 negotiations is expected to enhance regional economic integration and supply chain connectivity [4]
资金透视:资金共识仍待凝聚
HTSC· 2025-05-20 03:19
Core Insights - The market consensus remains fragmented despite the easing of US-China tariffs, with various funds showing interest in different sectors such as dividends, themes, large-cap growth, and export chains [1][2] - Active foreign capital has seen a net outflow, while passive foreign capital continues to flow into the A-share market, indicating a structural divergence in foreign investment [3][56] - Industrial capital is providing support to the A-share market, with significant increases in share buybacks compared to the previous year [4][65] Group 1: Fund Allocation and Market Dynamics - Retail investors have shown a preference for defensive dividend stocks, with net inflows into banking and transportation sectors, while experiencing outflows from electronics and machinery [2][11] - Financing funds are focusing on industries with improving fundamentals and thematic catalysts, such as defense and military [2][19] - Private equity funds are concentrating their research on large-cap growth sectors like pharmaceuticals and electronics [2][50] Group 2: Foreign Investment Trends - In the recent period, foreign capital saw a net inflow of 21.8 billion yuan, with active foreign capital experiencing a net outflow of 7.2 billion yuan, while passive foreign capital recorded a net inflow of 29 billion yuan [3][56] - Regional and global allocation-type foreign funds have increased their positions in A-shares, with Asian allocation funds reaching 89% of their levels since 2020 [3][56] Group 3: Industrial Capital and Market Support - The A-share market has faced four consecutive weeks of net outflows from ETFs, totaling 263 billion yuan, with significant support from industrial capital through share buybacks [4][41] - The average weekly buyback amount in 2025 has risen to 68 billion yuan, compared to 43 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a strong trend in corporate buybacks [4][71] Group 4: Fundraising and Market Activity - The number of new equity funds launched has decreased, with only 48 billion yuan in new equity fund shares issued last week, reflecting a decline in fundraising activity [32][33] - The net reduction of significant shareholders in the secondary market amounted to 43 billion yuan, with a weekly unlock market value of 306 billion yuan [65][74]
今日7.22亿元主力资金潜入银行业
| 行业名 | 成交量(亿 | 成交量较昨日增减 | 换手率 | 涨跌幅 | 今日主力资金净流入(亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 称 | 股) | (%) | (%) | (%) | 元) | | 银行 | 38.83 | 9.74 | 0.29 | 1.52 | 7.22 | | 交通运 输 | 44.46 | 44.77 | 1.06 | 0.72 | 6.03 | | 美容护 理 | 4.57 | 28.42 | 4.15 | 1.18 | 5.04 | | 医药生 | 49.01 | 11.96 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 2.64 | | 物 煤炭 | 11.08 | 1.88 | 0.86 | 0.62 | 1.01 | | 建筑装 饰 | 35.56 | 21.05 | 1.27 | 0.60 | 0.85 | | 社会服 | | | | | | | 务 | 12.09 | 26.85 | 2.65 | 0.10 | 0.61 | | 公用事 业 | 41.51 | -6.18 | 1.05 | 0.31 | 0.47 | | 基础化 ...
【申万宏源策略 | 一周回顾展望】二季度是中枢偏高的震荡市
申万宏源研究· 2025-05-12 01:09
Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to remain in a high central oscillation phase in Q2, with external demand pressures not yet evident but still a concern for the future. The market's ability to fully break through is limited due to insufficient time to digest fundamental expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The A-share market is characterized as a high central oscillation phase, with fundamental factors indicating an upward ceiling. The key variable affecting the fundamentals is the impact of Trump's tariffs, with expectations of policy adjustments and negotiations between China and the U.S. [2]. - The supply side shows a high visibility of significant supply clearance, but the absolute level remains high, making it difficult for supply-demand dynamics to improve within 2025 [2]. - The financial policy's comprehensive and consistent implementation is expected to stabilize market expectations and maintain market activity, despite the potential for downward pressure [3]. Group 2: Policy and Liquidity Factors - Recent financial policy announcements are expected to exceed market expectations in terms of their comprehensive and consistent implementation, which is crucial for stabilizing capital market expectations [2][3]. - The current market phase is marked by a verification period for policy layout and performance, with the execution of growth-stabilizing policies becoming a primary concern for the capital market [3]. Group 3: Public Fund Trends - The long-term trends in public fund product structure adjustments include a strengthened trend towards passive equity products, with three resonances: investor demand, policy encouragement, and the weakening of active fund incentives [4]. - There is an expected increase in strategic investments in low-volatility and asset allocation products, which are encouraged by management to attract long-term capital into the market [4][5]. - Public funds are likely to increase their willingness to allocate to clearly undervalued sectors, with typical low-allocation sectors identified as banking, non-bank financials, public utilities, and transportation [5]. Group 4: Sector Performance and Opportunities - Short-term and long-term structural directions favor technology, with the first quarter showing strong performance in consumption, pharmaceuticals, and technology sectors [8]. - The domestic AI industry and embodied intelligence are highlighted as investment opportunities, with a focus on the robotics sector showing better micro-structural performance compared to AI [8]. - The market is expected to maintain oscillation in Q2-Q3, with both technology and consumption sectors needing to capitalize on wave opportunities [8]. Group 5: Market Sentiment and Earnings - The expansion of the profit-making effect is observed across various sectors, with banking, public utilities, and international military industries showing significant growth [12]. - The sentiment indicators suggest a continued expansion in the market, with low valuation and high dividend sectors experiencing increased profitability [9][12].
5月6日电子、计算机、机械设备等行业融资净买入额居前
截至5月6日,市场最新融资余额为17900.74亿元,较上个交易日环比增加143.81亿元,分行业统计,申 万所属一级行业有28个行业融资余额增加,电子行业融资余额增加最多,较上一日增加31.56亿元;融 资余额增加居前的行业还有计算机、机械设备、医药生物等,融资余额分别增加21.17亿元、12.74亿 元、8.83亿元;融资余额减少的行业有3个,交通运输、综合、钢铁等行业融资余额减少较多,分别减 少1.55亿元、1606.06万元、239.93万元。 以幅度进行统计,家用电器行业融资余额增幅最高,最新融资余额为254.31亿元,环比增长2.42%,其 次是计算机、轻工制造、电子行业,环比增幅分别为1.58%、1.56%、1.52%;融资余额环比降幅居前的 行业有综合、交通运输、钢铁等,最新融资余额分别有29.49亿元、334.25亿元、150.53亿元,分别下降 0.54%、0.46%、0.02%。(数据宝) 5月6日各行业融资余额环比变动 | 代码 | 最新融资余额(亿元) | 较上一日增减(亿元) | 环比增幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 电子 | 2109.00 ...
主力资金动向 13.24亿元潜入公用事业
证券时报·数据宝统计,今日有6个行业主力资金净流入,25个行业主力资金净流出。资金净流入金额最 大的行业为公用事业,涨跌幅1.08%,整体换手率1.22%,成交量较前一个交易日变动40.26%,主力资 金净流量13.24亿元;今日资金净流出最大的行业为电子,涨跌幅-1.47%,整体换手率1.88%,成交量较 前一个交易日变动-21.22%,主力资金净流量-66.21亿元。(数据宝) 今日各行业主力资金流向一览 | 行业名 | 成交量(亿 | 成交量较昨日增减 | 换手率 | 涨跌幅 | 今日主力资金净流入(亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 称 | 股) | (%) | (%) | (%) | 元) | | 公用事 | 48.18 | 40.26 | 1.22 | 1.08 | 13.24 | | 业 | | | | | | | 医药生 物 | 49.83 | 6.86 | 1.84 | 0.25 | 2.65 | | 农林牧 | 25.20 | -2.22 | 2.73 | 0.53 | 2.04 | | 渔 | | | | | | | 房地产 | 40. ...
7只股即将实施分红(名单)
| 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 每10股派现(元) | 每10股送转(股) | 最新收盘价(元) | 近5日涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000823 | 超声电子 | 2.000 | - | 9.57 | 7.41 | | 002852 | 道道全 | 1.280 | - | 9.45 | 2.94 | | 300146 | 汤臣倍健 | 3.600 | - | 11.36 | 1.79 | | 002911 | 佛燃能源 | 2.300 | - | 10.92 | 1.58 | | 300750 | 宁德时代 | 45.530 | - | 225.46 | 0.65 | | 600211 | 西藏药业 | 7.280 | - | 36.85 | -0.11 | | 301389 | 隆扬电子 | 2.500 | - | 17.39 | -4.24 | 对于关注分红的投资者而言,在分红方案密集实施季,上市公司分红有两个比较重要的日期,即股权登 记日和除权除息日。以除权除息日计算,目前有30家公司分配方案已经实施,未来一段时间需要关注的 就是 ...