当美联储的加息节奏像钟摆般规律敲打市场时，聪明的水手已经开始调整风帆。眼下利率站上5%高 位，美元成为吸金漩涡，美股成长股估值压缩，港股流动性承压——但这片看似汹涌的海域，实则暗藏 黄金航路。理解加息周期的本质，就像看懂潮汐规律：资金成本上升冲刷掉市场泡沫，却也使优质资产 的礁石显露真容。 在美股战场，不妨关注"现金流战士"。那些能自己造血的企业，比如拥有订阅制护城河的软件公司、垄 断细分市场的工业巨头，正凭借稳定自由现金流穿越风暴。举个例子，微软近三年经营性现金流年均超 600亿美元，这比任何分析师预测都更有说服力。而港股市场则要寻找"利率免疫"标的，比如澳门博彩 股受益于消费复苏，其美元债压力已被提前消化，反而在加息末期显现弹性。 资产配置需要"动态平衡术"。当10年期美债收益率冲高时，可适度增配港股高股息率国企，这些"现金 奶牛"的6-8%股息率比银行理财更诱人；待加息预期缓和时，再逐步增加美股生物科技仓位，该板块市 销率已跌至十年均值下方30%。记住，别和美联储对着干，但要比市场早半步——就像冲浪者捕捉浪 头，要在力量将尽未尽时切入。 Doo Financial建议投资者，不妨把加息周期当作投资组合的 ...

International Game (IGT) Update / Briefing May 20, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker0 Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Krista, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the International Game Technology Italy Lotto Tender Update Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Thank you. And I would now like to turn the conferen ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The preliminary voting results indicated that proposals one, two, three, and four were approved by more than 95% of the total voting power, while proposal five was rejected, receiving less than 4% of the total voting power [16]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific data or metrics related to individual business lines were discussed during the meeting [15]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific market data or metrics were provided in the meeting [15]. Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company did not provide detailed comments on its strategy or competitive landscape during this meeting [15]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management did not offer specific insights regarding the operating environment or future outlook during the meeting [15]. Other Important Information - The meeting included a proposal from the New York City Comptroller's office regarding the disclosure of director gender, race, and ethnicity, which was ultimately rejected [10][12][16]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Were there any appropriate questions received during the meeting? - There were no appropriate questions received regarding the business of this shareholder meeting [15].

华泰证券指出，往前看，美国对华关税水平低于市场预期，出口链压力减弱下中国增长预期或抬升，尤 其是在此前并未跟随其他货币升值的情况下，人民币及人民币资产均有补涨空间。历史上看，人民币走 势与港股收益相关性较强。人民币走强能够同时改善香港贸易条件，并且提升整体人民币资产吸引力。 依然看好港股相对全球市场的收益表现。 智通财经APP获悉，港股早盘承压低开后下挫，恒科指曾跌超2%，随即跌幅收窄，恒指及国指午后一 度翻红，最终均小幅收跌。但截止收盘，恒生指数跌0.05%或12.33点，报23332.72点，大市交投进一步 缩减，全日成交额为1847.04亿港元；恒生国企指数跌0.09%，报8460.55点；恒生科技指数跌0.5%，报 5255.06点。 蓝筹股表现 小米集团-W(01810)由跌转涨。截至收盘，涨2.65%，报52.35港元，成交额110.97亿港元，贡献恒指 39.24点。小米汽车官方微博宣布，将于5月22日19点举行小米战略新品发布会。小米SUV车型YU7，自 研手机SoC芯片玄戒O1和小米15SPro旗舰手机将于同日发布。此外，小米集团董事长雷军微博发文表 示，小米玄戒O1，采用第二代3nm工艺制 ...

研究报告 Research Report 18 May 2025 中国可选消费 China (A-share) Discretionary 可选消费周度趋势解析：本周宠物和美国消费板块股市表现最优，大多板块估值仍低于过去 5 年平均 Analysis of weekly discretionary trends： Pet and U.S. consumer sector stocks are the top performers this week, and valuations in most sectors are still below the average of the past five years [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 评级 股票名称 | 评级 | | 美的集团 | Outperform 海信视像 | Outperform | | 格力电器 | Outperform 安克创新 | Outperform | | 海尔智家 | Outperform ...

1、汽车股上行，蔚来涨超5%，吉利、小鹏涨超3%，零跑涨超2%。 今日上午港股 点击蓝字，关注我们 消息面上，中国4月新能源车厂商批发渗透率51.7%，同比上升11个百分点。4月新能源乘用车批发销 量达到113.3万辆，同比增长40.2%，环比增长0.3%；1-4月累计批发398.1万辆，增长42.1%。4月新能 源乘用车市场零售90.5万辆，同比增长33.9%，环比下降8.7%；1-4月累计零售332.4万辆，增长 35.7%。4月新能源乘用车厂商出口18.9万辆，同比增长44.2%，环比增长31.6%；1-4月累计出口59.0万 辆，增长26.7%。 2、汽配股早盘走高， 国泰海通称中资零部件企业在美竞争优势仍在。 敏实集团(00425) 涨4.07%； 德昌电机控股(00179) 涨3.58%； 耐世特(01316) 涨3.07%；京东方精电(00710)涨2.35%。 3、啤酒股普涨，华润啤酒涨超3%，百威亚太涨超2%，青岛啤酒涨超1%。 消息面上，东吴发布研 报称，25Q1啤酒板块恢复性增长。 4、KEEP涨超10% ，公司加速AI融合，或帮助打破用户规模与商业化规模天花板。 5、小米一度跌超6%， ...

摩根大通指出，澳门博彩业在5月首5天的博彩总收入(GGR)达10.2亿澳门元，尽管面对去年同期高基 数，仍实现强劲的12%按年增长，并恢复至疫情前五月黄金周水平的90%以上。该数据大幅超越预期的 日均8.5亿澳门元，创多年来最大幅度超预期表现，增长尤其令人鼓舞。该行指，过半数澳门博企已公 布首季业绩，该行认为现阶段财报对股价刺激有限。重点将落在管理层对黄金周超预期表现可持续性的 解读，以及各营运商的细分数据。 智通财经APP获悉，博彩股涨势延续，截至发稿，新濠国际发展(00200)涨6.63%，报4.02港元；银河娱 乐(00027)涨4.07%，报31.95港元；永利澳门(01128)涨1.64%，报5.57港元；金沙中国(01928)涨1.28%， 报15.82港元。 消息面上，近日，新濠国际发展发布公告，附属新濠博亚娱乐2025年第一季度的总营运收益为12.3亿美 元，同比增加约11%。总营运收益增加，主要可归因于所有博彩营运及整体非博彩营运的表现均有改 善。银河娱乐发布公告，于2025年第一季度，集团净收益为112亿港元，按年上升6%，按季下跌1%。 集团经调整EBITDA为33亿港元，按年上升16% ...

证券研究报告 银河娱乐 (27 HK) 中场、老虎机恢复强于行业，流水回 落或反映增长放缓 | 华泰研究 | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 5 月 | 09 日│中国香港 | 博彩 | 澳门今年首季博彩收入每月平均不到 200 亿澳门元（对比此前政府财政预 算中全年 2400 亿澳门元的预测）。我们维持银河盈利预测，25-27 年博彩毛 收入 452/501/553 亿港元，25-27 年 EBITDA 147/154/170 亿港元。维持目 标价 39.5 港元和 25E 10.8x EV/EBITDA。我们虽看好嘉佩乐开业带来的客 流效应，但随着金沙改造完成，银河后续表现仍有待观察，维持"增持"。 风险提示：政策落地不及预期，测算存在误差，海外博彩市场竞争加剧。 经营预测指标与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 (港币百万) | 35,684 | 43,432 | 46,615 | 51,414 | 56,6 ...

证券研究报告 新濠国际发展 (200 HK) 澳门总 GGR 恢复超行业，市场份额和 EM 增长 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 5 月 | 09 日│中国香港 | 博彩 | 新濠国际子公司新濠博亚（MLCO US）于 5/8 盘前发布 25Q1 财报，收盘 股价涨约 4%，主要系：1）澳门博彩收入恢复超行业；2）据 Q1 电话会， 澳门业务 25Q1 份额为 15.7%，高于 24Q4 的 14.7%；3）24Q4 新濠影汇 翻新完成及降本增效见效，EBITDA Margin（EM）环比上升。25Q1 新濠博 亚总 GGR 12.99 亿美元（澳门业务总 GGR 11.31 亿美元，恢复至 19Q1 的 80%，超行业的 76%）。母公司新濠国际于 4/25 公告拟通过向现有股东按 二供一供股，筹集最多 7.8 亿港元，而新濠博亚表示年初至今已回购 1.65 亿美元 ADS。截至 25 年 3/31，新濠博亚可用流动性（包括现金和未动用的 循环信贷额度）为 32.7 亿美元，总债务 71.6 亿美元，Debt/Asset 为 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that due to the continuous increase in market share, the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Melco International Development for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 2% to HKD 14.01 billion and HKD 13.45 billion respectively [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a 5x EV/adjusted EBITDA for 2025, indicating a potential upside of 48% compared to the current stock price [1] Group 2 - In Q1 2025, Melco Resorts reported net revenue of USD 1.232 billion, an increase of 11% year-on-year and 3% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 89% of Q1 2019 levels [2] - The adjusted property EBITDA for Q1 2025 was USD 341 million, up 14% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of USD 315 million [2] - The performance is attributed to the increase in market share at City of Dreams and Studio City in Macau [2] Group 3 - Management indicated that the market share in Macau reached 15.7% in April 2025, with high-end mass gaming continuing to drive performance growth [3] - The show "The House of Dancing Water" premiered at City of Dreams on May 7, 2025 [3] - Management expects the reinvestment rate in the Macau gaming industry to stabilize compared to a year ago [3] Group 4 - During the May Day Golden Week in 2025, the betting volume in Macau properties was strong, with a 20% year-on-year increase in mass gaming at City of Dreams, supported by a 30% increase in property foot traffic [4] - The win amount from rated customers in Macau properties increased by 12% year-on-year [4]