国际贸易
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关税突发!特朗普最新预告!
证券时报· 2025-07-04 04:21
美国目前只和英国、越南两国敲定贸易协议,另与中国达成框架协议。 特朗普当地时间7月2日表示,美国已经与越南达成贸易协议。特朗普随后又发帖文称,越南所有对美出口 商品将面临至少20%关税,并对美国"完全开放市场"。 其他贸易伙伴,如日本、欧盟等,仍在与美国谈判以敲定协议。 关税大消息。 美国总统特朗普表示,会在今日(7月4日)起向各国发出信件,具体说明有关国家货物进入美国时将面对 的关税税率。他在前往艾奥瓦州前向记者表示,每次将有10个国家收到有关信件,信中提及的关税税率为 20%至30%。 美国财长贝森特表示,将有约100个国家面对10%对等关税,并预计下周三(7月9日)对等关税宽限届满 前有一系列的贸易协议公布。美国4月公布对等关税政策时,获10%基准对等关税税率的国家及地区有 123个。他还说,未来几天将有大量消息。 特朗普多次威胁,若无法在下周期限前与美国达成贸易协议,将单方面设定关税。特朗普最早在4月2日宣 布激进的"对等"关税,但很快就宣布暂停90天,给各国协商的时间,这段期间的税率是10%。 综合自:央视新闻、新华社、券商中国、CCTV国际时讯等 责编:李丹 校对:刘星莹 版权声明 当地时间7月1 ...
每日10国!特朗普或周五起发函通知全球新关税
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-04 00:42
美国总统特朗普周四表示,其政府可能最早于周五开始向贸易伙伴国发送通知函,单方面设定新的关税 税率。此举旨在为7月9日的谈判截止日期提前施压,迫使各国尽快与美国达成协议。 "我们可能明天就开始发函,大概每天发10个国家,告知他们若想与美国做生意,需要支付多少关 税,"特朗普在离开华盛顿前往爱荷华州参加活动时对记者表示。 他长期以来威胁称,如果各国未能在截止日期前与美国达成协议,他将直接单方面设定税率。特朗普承 认与170多个国家谈判的复杂性。他说他更倾向于通知大多数其他国家具体的关税税率,而跳过详细的 谈判。 尽管如此,市场仍对美越协议作出积极反应,在越南设厂的美国制造商股价应声上涨。然而,许多主要 贸易伙伴,如日本、韩国和欧盟,仍在努力敲定最终协议。 特朗普最初于4月2日宣布提高所谓"对等关税",但给予各国90天谈判缓冲期,期间暂执行10%的统一税 率。截至目前,特朗普政府已宣布与英国和越南达成协议,并与中国达成关税休战。 当周四被问及是否会有更多协议达成时,特朗普回应称:"我们还有几项协议在谈,但我的倾向是直接 发函,告诉他们该付多少关税。"他补充道:"这样简单多了。" 周三,特朗普宣布了与越南的协议,称美 ...
商务部回应美国与越南达成贸易协议
21世纪经济报道· 2025-07-03 07:54
今天下午,商务部召开例行新闻发布会。新闻发言人就美国和越南达成的贸易协定是否针对 中国一事进行了回应。 商务部新闻发言人 何咏前 :美国对全球贸易伙伴加征所谓"对等关税",是典型的单边霸凌做 法,中方一直坚决反对。中方注意到相关情况,正在开展评估。中方的立场是一贯的,我们 乐见各方通过平等磋商解决与美方经贸分歧, 但坚决反对任何一方以牺牲中方利益为手段达 成交易 。如果出现这样的情况,中方将坚决予以反制,维护自身正当权益。 来源 | 央视新闻 本期编辑 金珊 特朗普称美越达成贸易协议!越南所有对美出口商品将面临至少20%关税 SFC 21君荐读 ...
非农夜将至 黄金震荡偏强
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-03 06:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of economic data and trade negotiations on market dynamics, particularly the rising demand for gold as a safe-haven asset due to economic uncertainties and high tariff threats [1][3][4] - The ADP employment data for June showed a significant decline of 33,000 jobs, marking the largest monthly drop since March 2023, which was far below the expected increase of 98,000 jobs [1] - The Challenger job cuts report indicated that layoffs rose to 47,999 in June, the highest level since December 2024, reinforcing concerns about economic slowdown and aggressive cost-cutting measures by employers [1] Group 2 - The upcoming U.S. tariff negotiations are creating a highly fragmented global trade landscape, with various countries seeking exemptions or reductions in tariffs while facing significant uncertainties [2][3] - The U.S. is employing a "divide and conquer" strategy in negotiations, with the EU seeking exemptions for key industries and Canada having to withdraw a planned digital services tax to restart talks [2] - The potential for a differentiated tariff system and trade conflicts may disrupt global supply chains and increase production costs, further enhancing gold's appeal as an inflation hedge [3][4] Group 3 - The instability in trade policies is providing solid support for precious metal prices, with gold and silver expected to find strong support around $3,300 and $36 respectively [4] - The market is closely watching the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which could trigger significant movements in gold and silver prices depending on the employment trends [4] - Analysts suggest a cautious approach before the non-farm data release, with potential for increased positions if key resistance levels are broken [4]
美越达成关税协议,特朗普称越南对美零关税
日经中文网· 2025-07-03 03:13
在美越谈判中,如何应对中国产品借道越南向美国"迂回出口"也是重要议题 美国总统特朗普7月2日在社交媒体上宣布,"与越南就贸易谈判达成一致"。继英国之后,越南 成为与特朗普政府签署贸易协定的第2个国家。在亚洲属于首个…… 美国总统特朗普7月2日在社交媒体上宣布,"与越南就贸易谈判达成一致"。据悉,作为美国把对等关税 的税率降至20%的交换,越南将对从美国进口的产品实行零关税。特朗普称,"越南将为美国提供完全 的市场准入"。 特朗普透露,作为应对迂回出口的措施,双方还同意对在越南组装后运往美国的产品征收40%的关税。 美国2024年对越南的货物贸易逆差约为1235亿美元。越南的部长级官员此前多次访美,与美国商务部长 卢特尼克等人进行了磋商。 日本经济新闻(中文版:日经中文网)八十岛绫平 华盛顿 版权声明:日本经济新闻社版权所有,未经授权不得转载或部分复制,违者必究。 日经中文网 https://cn.nikkei.com 继英国之后,越南成为与特朗普政府签署贸易协定的第2个国家。在亚洲属于首个。 越南方面也发布了相关消息。据悉,特朗普和越南最高领导人、越共中央总书记苏林通电话后达成了协 议。 特朗普发帖称,美国将 ...
公开迎合特朗普?加拿大公开服软,中国警告发出:牺牲中方利益绝不接受
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 03:34
国际贸易的棋局上,2025年6月末的风云突变令人屏息。当特朗普政府设定的7月9日"对等关税"暂停期步步紧逼,加拿大在最后关头突然转 向,引发了一场牵动全球神经的博弈。这场由美国单边发起的关税风暴,正考验着各国维护自身利益与国际经贸秩序的智慧与决心。 6月27日,美国总统特朗普以加拿大将对美国科技公司征收数字服务税为由,悍然宣布中止与加方的所有贸易谈判,并强硬要求加拿大在七天 内"支持两国贸易的关税"。戏剧性的一幕发生在6月29日深夜——距原定6月30日加拿大对美开征数字服务税仅一步之遥时,加政府宣布取消 这一已立法生效的关键税种。据加财政部发布的信息,总理卡尼与特朗普已达成共识,双方将恢复谈判,力争在2025年7月21日前达成"互惠 的全面贸易安排"。 特朗普(资料图) 加拿大的闪电"变脸"并非孤立事件。特朗普在6月27日录制并于29日播出的福克斯新闻采访中直言不讳地表示,无意延长7月9日到期的90天关 税暂停期。他宣称将根据"友好与否"的标准对各国分类处置:"恭喜你们获准购买美利坚合众国商品,需支付25%关税,或35%、50%、10% 关税。"这种将国际贸易伙伴粗暴划分为三六九等、赤裸裸挥舞关税大棒的姿态, ...
最后时刻加方向特朗普屈服,中方昭告全球:胆敢出卖中国虽远必诛
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 01:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of Canada's submission to U.S. trade pressures, highlighting the broader risks for other nations and the potential for a fragmented global economy due to U.S. trade policies [1][22]. Group 1: U.S. Trade Strategy - The U.S. employs a "poison pill" strategy, using tariffs as a tool to create pressure on countries, while the real danger lies in the hidden clauses related to "national security" and "reliable supply chains" [3][5]. - The U.S. has set a deadline for countries to comply with its trade demands, creating a sense of urgency and fear among nations to avoid economic repercussions [5][17]. Group 2: Canada's Economic Vulnerability - Canada is heavily reliant on the U.S. for trade, with 75% of its exports going to the U.S., making it particularly susceptible to U.S. tariffs [8][10]. - The economic strain from U.S. pressures has led to a shrinking GDP and rising unemployment in Canada, further weakening its ability to resist U.S. demands [8][10]. Group 3: China's Response - China has shifted its strategy from reactive measures to proactive warnings, clearly stating that any country compromising Chinese interests for U.S. tariff exemptions will face consequences [12][13]. - China is working on building a new economic system that reduces reliance on the U.S. and strengthens ties with other economies, such as ASEAN and BRICS [15][20]. Group 4: Global Implications - Canada's capitulation serves as a warning to other nations, with countries like Japan, South Korea, and India showing signs of following suit in negotiations with the U.S. [17][18]. - The potential normalization of "poison pill" clauses in global trade agreements could lead to a fragmented world economy, characterized by geopolitical divisions and increased trade costs [20][22].
WTO前首席经济学家:美元或提前失去主导地位
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-30 12:04
Group 1: Economic Impact of Tariffs - The direct effect of tariffs may reduce the U.S. economic growth rate by 0.5% to 0.75%, with a negative impact of approximately 0.1% on global economic growth [5] - Tariffs are expected to raise commodity prices and increase the cost of production components, affecting both domestic production and global exports [3][5] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs and international relations has led many domestic and foreign companies to postpone significant investments, which may have a more substantial impact on U.S. economic growth than the tariffs themselves [3][5] Group 2: U.S. Trade Policy and Global Trade Dynamics - The U.S. trade policy under the Trump administration is characterized by aggressive unilateral actions, which may lead to long-term damage to global trade relationships [6][8] - The potential for a restructuring of global trade networks is anticipated, similar to past global shocks, although this may slow down globalization rather than reverse it [6][8] - The U.S. may not fully withdraw from the WTO but could adopt a less active role, which might encourage other member countries to push for rule reforms [9] Group 3: Future of the Dollar and Global Currency Dynamics - The dollar is expected to maintain its dominant position for the next 10 to 20 years, but its supremacy may be challenged due to U.S. fiscal imbalances and concerns over investment safety [10] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal policy and the safety of U.S. debt could weaken the dollar's status in the global economy [10][11] Group 4: WTO Reform and Global Trade Rules - There is a pressing need for WTO rule updates to address new global challenges such as climate change and health crises, as current rules do not adequately reflect these issues [8][9] - The cooperation of major economies, including the U.S., China, and the EU, is essential for establishing a new, acceptable rule system within the WTO [9][12]
关税暂缓期仅剩一周,韩国:首要任务是获得延期许可
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-30 10:48
该官员预计美国将在当天就进一步延长做出决定。他补充说: "我们将在7月8日之前尽最大努力争取延长谈判期限。" 韩国寻求美国关税暂停期延长,以继续贸易谈判 这位官员透露,在上周的会谈中,美国主要提出了与韩国非关税壁垒相关的问题。由于韩美两国已签署 自由贸易协定,韩国对美国进口商品几乎实行零关税。 周一,据媒体援引一位韩国高级贸易官员表示,韩国将寻求延长美国90天的关税暂停期。由于韩美两国 间的贸易谈判可能无法在下周的最后期限前完成,韩国希望获得更多时间。 此前据新华社,韩国总统李在明6日7日曾与美国总统特朗普通话,谈及韩美关系、经贸磋商等话题。 媒体报道称,韩国新一届政府已于上周与美国举行了首次高级别贸易会谈。此外,自两国在4月底同意 制定一项贸易方案,以期在美国90天关暂停期结束前降低关税以来,双方已进行了三轮工作层面的技术 讨论。 这位官员在一次吹风会上表示: "看来有些国家将在7月8日前达成协议,有些国家可能会获得延期以继续谈判,而另一些国 家则将决定是否在关税生效的情况下继续谈判。" 有媒体援引一位曾参与谈判的韩国政府高层人士表示: "(美方要求)每一步都必须由新一届总统办公室及核心决策层拍板后才能推动 ...
韩贸易新政对接美国 伦敦银超跌反弹
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-30 02:26
Group 1 - The current trading price of London silver is above $35.39, with a recent high of $36.06 and a low of $35.39, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - The new South Korean Trade Minister Yeo Han-koo is advocating for a "mutually beneficial" trade agreement with the U.S. during his visit to Washington, emphasizing the need for cooperation beyond tariff issues [3] - The silver price has shown a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, suggesting potential testing of lower prices, but a weekly close above $36.00 could provide strong support [3] Group 2 - To regain an upward trend, silver bulls need to reclaim the peak of $36.83 from June 26, with the next targets being $37.00 and the yearly peak of $37.31 [4] - If silver prices fall below $36.50, a test of the $36.00 support level is expected, with further declines targeting the daily low of $35.68 from June 24 and the latest cycle low of $35.29 [4]