Group 1 - Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc. experienced a 5.17% increase in stock price, reaching 54.95 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 3.445 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 4.42%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 90.184 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on October 16, 1995, and listed on August 31, 2010, is primarily engaged in the production and sales of lithium concentrate products and lithium compounds and their derivatives [1] - The revenue composition of Tianqi Lithium is as follows: lithium compounds and derivatives account for 50.54%, lithium ore for 49.25%, and other products for 0.21% [1] Group 2 - E Fund's Hu Shen 300 ETF (510310) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Tianqi Lithium, having reduced its holdings by 399,300 shares in the third quarter, now holding 12.7261 million shares, which represents 0.78% of the circulating shares [2] - The estimated floating profit from this investment is approximately 34.36 million CNY [2] - The E Fund Hu Shen 300 ETF was established on March 6, 2013, with a current scale of 305.165 billion CNY, achieving a year-to-date return of 20.27% and a one-year return of 20.17% [2]

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 碳酸锂期货早报 2025年11月5日 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点 | | | 供给端来看 ， 需求端来看 | 上周碳酸锂产量为21080吨 环比减少1 07% ， . , 上周磷酸铁锂样本企业库存为104979吨 环比增加0 | 高于历史同期平均水平 61% 上周三元材 | 。 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | ， 料样本企业库存为18890吨 | ， . 环比增加1 60% ， . 。 | , | | | | | | 成本端来看 | 外购锂辉石精矿成本为79630元/吨 日环比减少0 98% | 生产所得为 | | | | 1 | 基本面: | ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core View of the Report - On November 4, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures fluctuated downward. The spot market remained bearish, and the basis changed from a discount to a premium. Currently, both supply and demand are strong. The news of the resumption of production of lithium mines in Jiangxi is inconsistent, but the production of lithium carbonate remains high. High prices have increased the wait - and - see sentiment among downstream players. The inflection point may be approaching. If the weakening of demand is verified, there is still room for the price to fall. It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate widely. The recommended trading strategy is to hold short positions and partially take profits after the downward trend stabilizes [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Data Futures Price and Trading Volume - On November 4, 2025, the closing prices of lithium carbonate futures contracts decreased compared with the previous day. For example, the closing price of the near - month contract was 77,160 yuan/ton (-3,460 yuan/ton), and the closing price of the active contract was 78,560 yuan/ton (-3,720 yuan/ton). The trading volume of the active contract was 975,978 hands (+389,310 hands), and the open interest was 457,374 hands (-67,810 hands) [1] Inventory and Basis - The inventory on November 4, 2025, was 26,490 tons (-800 tons). The basis (SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price - lithium carbonate active contract closing price) changed from - 1,280 yuan/ton on November 3 to 2,340 yuan/ton on November 4, an increase of 3,620 yuan/ton [1] Raw Material Prices - On November 4, 2025, the average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 931 US dollars/ton (-10 US dollars/ton), and the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 1,315 yuan/ton (-35 yuan/ton) [1] Downstream Product Prices and Output - The prices of some downstream products such as lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, and electrolyte changed. In terms of output, last week, the output of lithium iron phosphate increased, the output of ternary materials increased, and the output of power batteries increased. In November, the production schedule of cobalt - lithium increased, and the production schedule of manganese - lithium decreased [1] Terminal Market Conditions - In October, the year - on - year growth rate of new energy vehicle production and sales slowed down; the 3C shipments were average; the production schedule of energy - storage batteries increased in November [1] Supply - related News - The lithium spodumene concentrate of the Bougouni lithium project of Kodal Minerals has been shipped to the port of San Pedro, Côte d'Ivoire, with a cumulative shipment of over 10,000 tons, and the shipment progress meets market expectations [1]

Group 1 - Lithium stocks continued to decline, with Ganfeng Lithium down 3.79% at HKD 45.7 and Tianqi Lithium down 2.03% at HKD 43.5 [1] - Lithium carbonate futures have significantly dropped, with the main contract falling over 4% on November 4, currently priced at CNY 78,520 per ton [1] - There are reports of a key breakthrough in the resumption approval of the mining operations by CATL, but the final confirmation of the resumption status is still uncertain [1] Group 2 - Current supply and demand are both strong, but high lithium carbonate production levels are leading to increased cautiousness among downstream consumers, indicating a potential turning point in demand [1] - If demand weakness is confirmed, there is further room for price correction in lithium [1]

Group 1 - Lithium stocks continued to decline, with Ganfeng Lithium down 3.79% at HKD 45.7 and Tianqi Lithium down 2.03% at HKD 43.5 [1] - The recent significant drop in lithium carbonate futures was influenced by supply-side news, with the main contract falling over 4% on November 4, currently priced at CNY 78,520 per ton [1] - There are reports of a key breakthrough in the resumption approval of the Jiangxi lithium mines by CATL, but the final confirmation of the resumption status is still pending [1] Group 2 - Current supply and demand are both strong, but the repeated news of Jiangxi lithium mine resumption has led to high lithium carbonate production, which is increasing cautious sentiment among downstream consumers [1] - There is a potential turning point in demand for power, and if demand weakness is confirmed, there may be further price corrections expected in lithium prices [1]

当前，Sigma不仅面临电池金属价格走弱的压力，还承受着投资者更严格的审视。截至目前，公司未立 即回应置评请求。 继2024年市值缩水64%后，Sigma今年股价跌幅已超过50%。全球锂市场持续动荡，电动汽车需求增长 不及预期，叠加美国总统特朗普重塑全球最大经济体的清洁能源政策，使行业雪上加霜。 上周一，BMO Capital Markets加入越来越多分析师的悲观阵营，纷纷下调展望。此举源于Sigma上月突 然更换采矿承包商，公司声称此举是为提升巴西旗舰矿场效率而采取的措施。但分析师指出，启用大型 卡车和设备现代化的计划可能导致资本支出增加，并拖累扩建项目进度。 BMO分析师Joel Jackson在给客户的报告中写道："我们尚不确定近期股价波动的具体原因，但已知市场 对采矿承包商更换、资产负债表状况等问题存在诸多疑问，这导致Sigma在本轮锂矿股反弹中表现落 后。" 早在今年8月，美国银行就发出预警，强调供应商账款延期支付可能带来的连锁反应。上月末，该行已 将Sigma股票评级从"买入"下调至"中性"。 昔日锂矿明星股Sigma Lithium Corp.(SGML.US)正深陷困境：市场对其短期产能的信 ...

证券日报网讯赣锋锂业（002460）11月4日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年10月31日， 公司A股股东人数为393，567户。 ...

Report Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating in the report. Core Viewpoints - The report predicts that the lithium carbonate futures price will show an "oscillating and strengthening" trend in the range of 74,000 - 83,000 yuan/ton in the next month. If the lithium ore gap cannot be filled in time, the price may break through 85,000 yuan/ton [5]. - On the lithium ore side, the expected increase in the quantity of imported lithium concentrates this month can ease the supply tightness. The release of salt lake production capacity will continuously supplement the supply of the lithium salt market, and the "resumption speed of Jianxiaowo" is a key variable. If its resumption progress exceeds market expectations, it will directly expand the lithium salt supply scale and potentially suppress prices. The current demand is strong, and the prices of core battery materials such as lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, and lithium hexafluorophosphate are rising, indicating the demand toughness for lithium carbonate. The high - prosperity production schedule in November will maintain the strong demand for lithium salts, intensifying the supply - demand mismatch of lithium ore. The downstream demand of lithium battery material enterprises is expected to increase month - on - month by the end of the year, which will support the spot price of lithium carbonate [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Futures Data - **Price and Volatility**: The 20 - day rolling volatility of the lithium carbonate LC2601 contract is 30.0%, and the historical percentile of the current volatility in 3 years is 45.1%. The strong pressure level of the LC2601 contract is 85,000 yuan/ton [2]. - **Contract Information**: The closing price of the lithium carbonate futures main contract is 78,560 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 3,720 yuan (- 4.52%) and a weekly decrease of 3,080 yuan (- 3.77%). The trading volume is 975,978 lots, with a daily increase of 389,310 lots (66.36%) and a weekly increase of 246,671 lots (33.82%). The open interest is 457,374 lots, with a daily decrease of 67,810 lots (- 12.91%) and a weekly decrease of 31,429 lots (- 6.43%) [8]. - **Spread Information**: LC2601 - LC2603 is 100 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 420 yuan (- 80.77%) and a weekly decrease of 640 yuan (- 86.49%); LC2601 - LC2605 is - 500 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 580 yuan (- 725.00%) and a weekly decrease of 740 yuan (- 308.33%); LC2603 - LC2605 is - 600 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 160 yuan (36.36%) and a weekly increase of 100 yuan (20.00%) [8]. - **Warehouse Receipt Information**: The Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate warehouse receipts are 26,490 lots, with a daily decrease of 800 lots (- 2.93%) and a weekly decrease of 845 lots (- 3.09%) [8]. 2. Spot Data - **Lithium Ore Prices**: The average daily prices of various lithium ores have different degrees of decline. For example, the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 2 - 2.5%) is 2,115 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 35 yuan (- 1.63%) and a weekly increase of 50 yuan (2.42%) [26]. - **Lithium Salt Prices**: The average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 78,700 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 100 yuan (- 0.13%) and a weekly increase of 2,400 yuan (3.15%); the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 80,900 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 100 yuan (- 0.12%) and a weekly increase of 2,400 yuan (3.06%) [29]. - **Downstream Product Prices**: The prices of downstream products such as lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, and electrolytes also have different changes. For example, the average price of lithium iron phosphate (power - type) is 36,025 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 25 yuan (- 0.07%) [38]. 3. Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - **Basis Information**: The basis quotes of different lithium carbonate brands vary. For example, the basis quote of Shengxin Lithium Energy (LI2CO3≥99.8%, LC2601) is - 100 yuan, and the four - material comprehensive basis quote (LC2601) is - 225 yuan [42]. - **Warehouse Receipt Information**: The total number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts is 26,490 lots, a decrease of 800 lots compared with yesterday. Different warehouses have different changes in warehouse receipt quantities, such as a decrease of 150 lots in Xiangyu Speed - Pass Shanghai and 440 lots in Suining Tiancheng [45]. 4. Cost and Profit - **Production Profit**: The report shows the production profit charts of lithium carbonate from purchased lithium ore, including the production profit from purchased lithium spodumene concentrate (Li₂O: 6%) and lithium mica concentrate (Li₂O: 2.5%), as well as the import profit and theoretical delivery profit of lithium carbonate [46][47][49]. 5. Risk Management Strategies - **Procurement Management**: For enterprises with plans to produce battery materials in the future, if they are worried about the increase in procurement costs due to rising lithium carbonate prices, they can buy corresponding futures contracts or sell put options to lock in procurement costs. The hedging ratio is 20%, and the recommended entry range is below 73,000 yuan for futures and LC2512 - P - 73000 for options [2]. - **Sales Management**: For enterprises with plans to produce lithium carbonate in the future, if they are worried about the decrease in sales profits due to falling prices, they can sell corresponding futures contracts or buy put options and sell call options to lock in sales profits. The hedging ratio for futures is 40%, and 20% for options [2]. - **Inventory Management**: For enterprises with high lithium carbonate inventories, if they are worried about inventory depreciation due to falling prices, they can sell futures contracts or call options to lock in inventory value. The hedging ratio for futures is 60% (above 83,000 yuan), and 30% for call options (LC2601 - C - 83000) [2].

Group 1: A-Share Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the three major indices declining, where the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 1.71%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.96% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.94 trillion yuan, down from 2.13 trillion yuan in the previous trading day, indicating a decrease in market activity [1] - Over 3,600 stocks in the market saw declines, reflecting a broad-based sell-off [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The sectors that performed well included Fujian, banking, and ice and snow economy, while sectors such as precious metals, lithium mining, and robotics faced significant declines [1] - There is a noticeable shift in market style, with dividend stocks continuing to strengthen [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - Short-term outlook suggests a decline in equity risk appetite as the market may continue to experience fluctuations and sector rotation [1] - The long-term outlook for A-shares remains bullish, with a slow bull market trend expected to persist, and technology growth is anticipated to be the core focus [1] - A "dumbbell" structure of investment, focusing on both technology growth and dividend stocks, is recommended for current market conditions [1] Group 4: Storage and Bond Market Insights - The storage sector is expected to benefit from AI demand, with DRAM prices projected to rise by 8-13% quarter-on-quarter by Q4 2025 due to limited allocation of advanced process capacity by major manufacturers [2] - The bond market sentiment is expected to improve following the central bank's unexpected announcement to restart government bond trading, which may lead to better performance in Q4 compared to Q3 [2] - Investors are encouraged to consider various ETFs related to semiconductor equipment and government bonds as potential investment opportunities [2]

Market Performance - On November 4, the three major stock indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing a slight rise before consolidating, while the ChiNext Index declined after filling a gap [1] - By the end of the trading day, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3960.19 points, down 0.41%, with a trading volume of approximately 852.9 billion; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13175.22 points, down 1.71%, with a trading volume of about 1062.8 billion; the ChiNext Index closed at 3134.09 points, down 1.96%, with a trading volume of around 481.3 billion [1] Sector Performance - The Fujian and banking sectors led the gains, while tourism and the snow industry saw significant increases; however, metal stocks experienced notable adjustments, leading to declines in non-ferrous and lithium sectors [1] - The PEEK materials, sci-tech growth sectors, and AI mobile PC sectors also saw significant declines [1] Institutional Insights - According to institutional views, the current market volatility is seen as a buildup of momentum for the year-end and cross-year market trends, with expectations of clearer directions following a period of consolidation [2] - Recommendations include focusing on high-growth sectors such as semiconductors, consumer electronics, artificial intelligence, robotics, and low-altitude economy for potential investment opportunities [2] Policy Developments - The National Health Commission and other departments released guidelines to promote and regulate the application of "AI + healthcare," aiming to establish high-quality data sets and intelligent applications in healthcare by 2027, with full coverage of intelligent diagnostic assistance by 2030 [3] - The guidelines emphasize the creation of a robust AI application standard system in healthcare, aiming to enhance the quality of the health industry [3] Strategic Directions - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasized the need to cultivate emerging industries and open new growth avenues, focusing on upgrading traditional industries and fostering a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing [4] - The SASAC also highlighted the importance of technological self-reliance and innovation, advocating for deep integration of technological and industrial innovation to stimulate new productive forces [4]